GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 908

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NoDicePwn | Posted 9/27/2010 9:27:15 PM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2
Oh god tell me a Monkey Island game somehow got into the bracket.



http://www.gamefaqs.com/xbox360/960369-the-secret-of-monkey-island-special-edition

We can only hope.

I think this is more about the competition than actual strength for AC. I would take PW over T&T to put things in perspective (lol 12-ways).

I think AC is strong enough it may be able to win a match... well, if its against a high seeded game thats not very strong at least.
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 9/27/2010 9:27:30 PM | message detail
MAJORA'S MASK
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 9/27/2010 9:27:47 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #348
So how long after vote-ins does the bracket come out last time?

A little under 2 days later.


Well that settles it, bracket NEXT monday.

BLARGH
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charmander6000 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:28:01 PM | message detail
Random dumb guess: We see a powerhouse Nintendo game in a vote-in, like Wind Waker or Melee.

Maybe not those guys, but I would like to see some of Nintendo's weaker games (not together).

Super Mario Sunshine, Pikmin, Luigi's Mansion, Fire Emblem PoR/RD, Mario Kart DS/Wii, Wii Sports
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/27/2010 9:28:24 PM | message detail
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2010 12:26:37 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?search=wii+sports


One of those polls is for "Wii Sports Resort". For the other poll, it was pretty expected that Wii Sports would do bad as Twilight Princess probably crushed it under a bunch of SFF.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:28:49 PM | message detail
Super Mario Sunshine dominating a vote-in would be hilarious.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 9:29:04 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #343
Yeah, MvC2 should get top four against these guys.

I wonder if DMC is being hurt by all the PS2 representation. Of the 12 games, 7 can be found on the PS2. Conversely, L4D2 is the only truly "next-gen" game AC has to contend with.


I'm sure we can expect a lot of PS2 representation in all these vote-ins.
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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 9/27/2010 9:31:16 PM | message detail
Maybe not those guys, but I would like to see some of Nintendo's weaker games (not together).

Super Mario Sunshine, Pikmin, Luigi's Mansion, Fire Emblem PoR/RD, Mario Kart DS/Wii, Wii Sports


Considering last time, "not together" probably isn't very likely.
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charmander6000 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:31:41 PM | message detail
Yeah despite having six full console lifespans plus the end of N64/PS/DC and handhelds I feel that the PS2 may have almost a third of the bracket.
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Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/27/2010 9:31:51 PM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #356
Super Mario Sunshine dominating a vote-in would be hilarious.


Heh, I'd love to see it, and I'm far from a Sunshine fan.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:32:19 PM | message detail
Super Mario Galaxy vs. Luigi's Mansion.

Ghost Mario vs. Vacuum Luigi.

Let's do this.
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HaRRicH | Posted 9/27/2010 9:32:44 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #345
Last year we saw some surprise-power-houses in some vote-ins; Missingno came in with none of us prepared, and Mega Man X scored the highest percentage out of anybody in any poll (which AC is currently smashing). Think any major contenders will enter these polls this year?

I think this is more about the competition than actual strength for AC. I would take PW over T&T to put things in perspective (lol 12-ways).


I get that, yeah -- this is ultimately a pretty weak field if AC is getting a solid 20% here, especially with your PW-comparison. We could still see much stronger games fall into a vote-in situation though.

From: red sox 777 | #346
Wind Waker could be in a vote-in, yeah. I think Melee is basically guaranteed a 1-seed if it's 128 games, and at least a 2-seed if it's 64.


LoZ:WW feels like a contender, yeah, though I'd bank on LoZ:MM falling in that situation first (and probably a handheld game). I bet a lot of people didn't realize it was released this decade, and the N64 was dying out around that time anyway. Not saying anything about its strength or nomination-ability in a normal contest, but for this...I'd sig-bet right now LoZ:WW beat it in nominations.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/27/2010 9:35:14 PM | message detail
Last year we saw some surprise-power-houses in some vote-ins; Missingno came in with none of us prepared, and Mega Man X scored the highest percentage out of anybody in any poll (which AC is currently smashing). Think any major contenders will enter these polls this year?

Missingno was definitely a surprise, because I did not know of any Missingno rallies during the nomination phase and did not know anyone on the board that nominated Missingno.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 9:36:41 PM | message detail
For the record, here are the vote-in qualifiers from the Character Battle and the ones who barely missed the cut each day:

Mega Man X – 17.21% (1st place Day 5, 13 seed)
Missingno – 15.55% (1st place Day 1, 13 seed)
Frog – 14.87% (1st place Day 2, 13 seed)
Sub-Zero – 14.73% (1st place Day 3, 13 seed)
Rikku – 13.84% (2nd place Day 2, 14 seed)
Jecht – 13.66% (2nd place Day 3, 14 seed)
Meta Knight – 13.60% (1st place Day 6, 14 seeed)
HK-47 – 13.47% (2nd place Day 5, 14 seed)
Vault Boy – 12.68% (3rd place Day 5, 14 seed)
Aerith Gainsborough – 12.43% (1st place Day 4, 14 seed)
Liquid Snake – 12.30% (3rd place Day 2, 15 seed)
Cid Highwind – 12.22% (2nd place Day 4, 14 seed)
Big Daddy – 12.21% (4th place Day 2, 14 seed)
Miles “Tails” Prower – 12.03% (3rd place Day 4, 15 seed)
Akuma – 12.00% (2nd place Day 6, 15 seed)
Simon Belmont – 11.54% (4th place Day 4, 15 seed)
Midna – 10.86% (5th place Day 2, 16 seed)
Spy – 10.86% (3rd place Day 3, 15 seed)
Prince of Persia – 10.40% (5th place Day 4, 16 seed)
The Boss – 10.37% (2nd place Day 1, 15 seed)
Ridley – 10.27% (4th place Day 3, 16 seed)
Axel – 10.17% (3rd place Day 1, 15 seed)
Princess Peach – 10.07% (3rd place Day 6, 15 seed)
Thrall – 9.88% (4th place Day 6, 16 seed)
Marth – 9.64% (5th place Day 6, 16 seed)
Protoman – 9.47% (5th place Day 3, 16 seed)
Lightning – 9.41% (4th place Day 1, 16 seed)
Falco Lombardi – 9.20% (4th place Day 5, 16 seed)
Scorpion – 9.09% (5th place Day 1, DNQ)
Morrigan – 8.81% (6th place Day 4, DNQ)
KOS-MOS – 8.28% (6th place Day 6, DNQ)
Wario – 8.07% (5th place Day 5, DNQ)
Kain Highwind – 7.83% (6th place Day 3, DNQ)
Pac-Man – 7.67% (6th place Day 2, DNQ)

So anyone who didn't get 10%+ got a 16 seed, and seeding was mostly in order of percentage gotten, although a couple things get swapped around. Those who finished highly on that day seem to get a little bit of preference (such as The Boss and Axel getting 15s despite finishing with lower percentages than a couple characters who got 16s). Liquid Snake got hosed though! He finished higher than Big Daddy on the same day and still ended up with a lower seed.

But basically, based on this, if you finish in the top 4, you're pretty much guaranteed. 5th place is 2/3 chance.
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HaRRicH | Posted 9/27/2010 9:36:42 PM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #363
Last year we saw some surprise-power-houses in some vote-ins; Missingno came in with none of us prepared, and Mega Man X scored the highest percentage out of anybody in any poll (which AC is currently smashing). Think any major contenders will enter these polls this year?

Missingno was definitely a surprise, because I did not know of any Missingno rallies during the nomination phase and did not know anyone on the board that nominated Missingno.


I don't think anybody from Board 8 did nominate it. Kind of amazing it broke the Noble Nine...but then, L-Block won a contest with just one nom from B8 too.
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charmander6000 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:36:59 PM | message detail
Missingno was definitely a surprise, because I did not know of any Missingno rallies during the nomination phase and did not know anyone on the board that nominated Missingno.

Missingno was actually added to the database during the 2008 nomination period so someone was nominating him.


Also looking at the geolocation data, DMC may make some sizable gains on AC during the night.
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Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru.
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:40:26 PM | message detail
Oh yeah? Well based on my geolocation, Phoenix Wright is gonna dominate when the sun comes up!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4047&region=SAM
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4047&region=USXWY
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HaRRicH | Posted 9/27/2010 9:42:49 PM | message detail
Could it be...

...WYOMING'D
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 9:43:02 PM | message detail
Well played, Wyoming.
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charmander6000 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:43:04 PM | message detail
Timesplitters 2 is dying right now, it may not even maintain 5th place.
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Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats
Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/27/2010 9:44:17 PM | message detail
Also looking at the geolocation data, DMC may make some sizable gains on AC during the night.

Hmm, maybe. But the percentages for Europe and Asia can still change quite a bit because it's still early in the poll.
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LOLContests | Posted 9/27/2010 9:47:26 PM | message detail
DMC gonna beast this **** in a couple of hours:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4047&region=EUR
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Silverflash-x | Posted 9/27/2010 9:47:40 PM | message detail
I saw the poll and came here.

Yay, contest time. >_>
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/27/2010 9:48:21 PM | message detail
Assassin's Creed is only up 200 on DMC right now, which isn't high enough to ensure that it will maintain 1st place here.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 9:48:52 PM | message detail
Hmmm...T&T actually looks relatively good to do no worse than 4th right now, which is good.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:50:00 PM | message detail
You say that, but just wait until Timesplitters 2 comes back on it while BG&E comes back on Timesplitters 2!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 9:51:28 PM | message detail
Actually, are we guaranteed to have 6 days of vote-ins?

If we're getting the bracket on October 1st, that would mean only 3 days of vote-ins.

Which means we're either getting fewer games added through vote-ins or more games per vote-in getting in.

Or a 64 game bracket...!

Just kidding.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/27/2010 9:52:04 PM | message detail
DMC already has its first cut on Assassin's Creed.
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 9/27/2010 9:52:52 PM | message detail
I wish he'd let us do that petition thing we did one year

where we whined about the bracket and a few days later he'd change it if we got enough signatures
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SuperAngelo128 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:53:38 PM | message detail

From: ZenOfThunder | #379
I wish he'd let us do that petition thing we did one year

where we whined about the bracket and a few days later he'd change it if we got enough signatures


You mean

REMOVE:

ADD:
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Articuno2001 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:53:56 PM | message detail

From: ZenOfThunder | #379
I wish he'd let us do that petition thing we did one year

where we whined about the bracket and a few days later he'd change it if we got enough signatures


That was stupid because he then just changed some things randomly.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:53:57 PM | message detail
You mean where we pretty much completely sucked at changing the bracket and ended up with weaker replacements in nearly every spot?
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/27/2010 9:54:43 PM | message detail
Actually, are we guaranteed to have 6 days of vote-ins?

To get a bracket this Friday, we would need just 3 days of vote-ins. 4 days of vote-ins would not be possible, because it would be Saturday once all the vote-ins are done and he's not going to release a bracket on the weekend. 6 days of vote-ins means the last vote-in will be this Sunday, which most likely means a bracket next Monday.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 9:55:19 PM | message detail
Yeah, like how he swapped SFIV for TWEWY despite I think the petition not even being well favored.

Or how we swapped Fire Emblem for Golden Sun.

Or Soul Calibur for SSB.

I think Bacon realized his folly after that one, and hence we have vote-ins.
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LOLContests | Posted 9/27/2010 9:55:34 PM | message detail
Add/Remove would work best with something like characters that we already know a lot about. And we should be allowed to switch around characters in the bracket as well through that.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:57:07 PM | message detail
Add/Remove would work best with something like characters that we already know a lot about.

I can see it now.

REMOVE: Missingno
ADD: Daxter

REMOVE: Terra
ADD: Joanna Dark
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 9/27/2010 9:57:15 PM | message detail
ok maybe that wasn't as fun as I remember
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red sox 777 | Posted 9/27/2010 9:59:46 PM | message detail
Switch: Chrono Trigger and Fallout 3
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 10:22:24 PM | message detail
You know, in the spirit of the contest, we should have 12-hour vote-ins!
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/27/2010 10:31:44 PM | message detail
Poll of the Half-day
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/27/2010 10:34:11 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #384
Or Soul Calibur for SSB.


Don't remind me. I know it happened, but I can't remember the petitions or arguments at all, and for obvious good reasons. What the HELL were some of you thinking.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 10:35:43 PM | message detail
I think the main argument was that Soul Calibur did so well in the first Games Contest and needed some representation while SSB already had two much stronger entrants as it was.

I kept telling people that if you wanted Soul Calibur in so badly, they should've aimed to switch it with Xenogears because it had zero chance stuck in a poll with FFVIII, but nooooooo.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/27/2010 10:36:02 PM | message detail
12 hour vote-ins means we could go through all 6 of them in 3 days and get a bracket on Friday. The only disadvantage is terrible vote totals, which would probably be around 30000 or so. Night time matches from the last contest have never gotten less than 46000 votes.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 10:37:05 PM | message detail
Eh, the vote totals aren't that big of a deal. We won't see that many drastic shifts in percentage from the 12 hour point on anyhow, not with this many entrants in one poll, so no big loss.
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TheCodeisBosco | Posted 9/27/2010 10:45:39 PM | message detail
I'm not gonna lie, my first impression of the vote-in poll was this:

"People still remember Dark Cloud?!?"

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/27/2010 11:09:41 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #375
Hmmm...T&T actually looks relatively good to do no worse than 4th right now, which is good.


It's possible it could fall to 5th place. Left 4 Dead 2 probably overtakes it for third place, and Timesplitters 2 could come back on it. Phoenix is always front-loaded.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 11:15:20 PM | message detail
Eh, Timesplitters is fading, too, and T&T is at least maintaining its lead over L4D2 right now and should hold it for a while.
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transience | Posted 9/27/2010 11:42:19 PM | message detail
man, this sucks. I would have jumped on a hell of a lot of things over DMC and now it's out in the open. Assassin's Creed over Devil May Cry is no surprise to me, though maybe it isn't to anyone else either. nothing here is too much of a surprise, though Phoenix Wright over Left 4 Dead is kind of impressive, I guess.

Shadow Hearts is beating things, ladies and gentlemen.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 11:43:51 PM | message detail
I've been a proponent of "DMC isn't that strong" for a while, so yeah. I suppose a lot of casuals may jump on it depending on the matchup, but it's gonna end up as a 14 seed, so it may not get a favorable matchup anyway.
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transience | Posted 9/27/2010 11:47:46 PM | message detail
I think my biggest surprise here is Dark Cloud 2 doing so well. I had no idea it had any kind of a following after the first.
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