GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 908

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/24/2010 5:21:09 PM | message detail
FFX got screwed in this bracket. Melee in its own division, then it has to beat Brawl if it wins? All three all on the same half, ensuring a bad final? WTF is this?



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
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~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/24/2010 5:22:03 PM | message detail
FFX just gets to cakewalk it once it gets past all that though because Brawl and G/S/C are in the same division, too!

Seriously, we might get an FFX vs. MGS3 final, from the looks of it. The upper half is stacked.
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Please sign up to support the 2010 Nomination Rally Tournament winners!
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/55967577
HaRRicH | Posted 9/24/2010 5:23:08 PM | message detail
LIAR'D
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http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
Nominate EPONA here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/55150177
red sox 777 | Posted 9/24/2010 6:12:26 PM | message detail
Looks like we could be seeing an LTTP GBA vs. SM64 DS final!
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
SuperWhiscash | Posted 9/24/2010 6:13:36 PM | message detail
awwwww yeah cakewalk path for d/p/p
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TFC: 7-5-6. CCL Group A 1-0-0, won 2-1 over Cruz Azul / Argos: 5-2 / Jays: 63-55 / Leafs / Raptors
SS - 3052 0230 3247 | Platinum (legalhacks) - 0775 7164 7136
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/24/2010 6:13:58 PM | message detail
I can't believe Umineko was put in a match it can't lose! I wonder who nominated Cory in the House, anyway.

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DFF
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 9/24/2010 6:29:13 PM | message detail
When did the bracket come up?

And man it sure sounds like there are some stupid decisions.
Haguile | Posted 9/24/2010 6:34:38 PM | message detail
I think Umineko might win two matches in a row. I'm not sure.

It's probably going to be Trapped vs Umineko in round 2. Who do you got?
KinzoUshiromiya | Posted 9/24/2010 6:44:41 PM | message detail
Hi stats topic people
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(Regaro_Ukiera was here)
(He's Suspended though, so you get Kinzo for now)
Dr_Football | Posted 9/24/2010 6:46:21 PM | message detail
No Mercy to Round 3 BELIEVE
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http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png
http://img.imgcake.com/drfootballpngru.png
red sox 777 | Posted 9/24/2010 9:42:44 PM | message detail
Trivia of the day: Did you know that the links to old stats topics in the first post used to contain a link to a topic with a url containing Shindou Hikaru, the main character of Hikaru no Go?

How many people here play Go (also known as Weiqi in Chinese and Baduk in Korean) besides me?
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
Haguile | Posted 9/24/2010 9:46:28 PM | message detail
I play a little bit of Go. I happen to suck at it, but I play it!
Ultimaphazon | Posted 9/25/2010 11:40:46 AM | message detail
That was arguably the best 500 post the stats topic has ever had.
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/25/2010 11:41:13 AM | message detail
I do my best to maintain quality.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
charmander6000 | Posted 9/25/2010 2:08:45 PM | message detail
I can't believe Umineko was put in a match it can't lose! I wonder who nominated Cory in the House, anyway.

Cory in the House would destroy Umineko
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Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats
Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru.
red sox 777 | Posted 9/25/2010 2:10:56 PM | message detail
True or False: Umineko breaks 10% on FFVII.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/25/2010 2:11:56 PM | message detail
Falsetto
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
NoDicePwn | Posted 9/25/2010 2:16:00 PM | message detail
Eh... I'd have to say true. I'd imagine FF7 would be able to rack up at least 6-7% anti votes.
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Albion Hero
red sox 777 | Posted 9/25/2010 2:17:16 PM | message detail
Yeah, I'd probably with true also. This is probably a case where OOT would do a lot better than FFVII- even something like SMB3 or LTTP might achieve a larger blowout than FFVII.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
Haguile | Posted 9/25/2010 2:52:55 PM | message detail
Umineko vs Trapped

Who do you got?
red sox 777 | Posted 9/25/2010 4:45:03 PM | message detail
Trapped, it has a fairly interesting name, although I don't know what it is.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/25/2010 4:45:49 PM | message detail
Comet Crash vs. Umineko
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http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif
http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif
red sox 777 | Posted 9/25/2010 4:46:21 PM | message detail
Umineko, and easily. I've never seen anything approach how badly Comet Crash did in those GOTY polls.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
voltch | Posted 9/25/2010 4:51:19 PM | message detail
wats going on gais?

srsly, i been out of the contest loop for a week.
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Nipaa~
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 9/25/2010 4:52:33 PM | message detail

From: voltch | #023
wats going on gais?

srsly, i been out of the contest loop for a week.


Not a God damned thing. Still waiting for the bracket, which is coming "soonish" according to Bacon.
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"if only there were some way I could have sex" - Smartmuffin
Haguile | Posted 9/25/2010 5:06:18 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #021
Trapped, it has a fairly interesting name, although I don't know what it is.


Trapped is...hm...an adventure game that....
...I can't describe it. Watch it in order to understand:
http://www.viddler.com/explore/slowbeef/videos/179/
http://www.viddler.com/explore/slowbeef/videos/180
http://www.viddler.com/explore/slowbeef/videos/181
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/25/2010 5:06:47 PM | message detail
Whoa, is that Slowbeef of Metal Gear 2 fame?
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Support Barret Wallace (Final Fantasy VII) for Character Battle IX!
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NoDicePwn | Posted 9/25/2010 5:09:51 PM | message detail
Umineko vs. Sengoku Rance

who wins
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Albion Hero
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/25/2010 5:10:22 PM | message detail
We all lose.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
ZFS | Posted 9/25/2010 5:26:10 PM | message detail
Leon has the right idea.

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There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign.
Haguile | Posted 9/25/2010 7:11:28 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #027
Whoa, is that Slowbeef of Metal Gear 2 fame?


And of Snatcher fame.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/25/2010 8:59:45 PM | message detail
And Policenauts and a bunch of other ****. Hell, he's the mod of the Let's Play forum on SA.

Anyway, since there's no point making a Part 4 for the Gamespot Topics (lol Gamespot contest) and we have a couple of days minimum to kill before the bracket comes out, might as well say I don't mind rallying that much. Even if it significantly changes a match, it's usually a one-time thing (Mario/Cloud, L-Block, etc). Plus we're pretty damn resistant to rallying as it is, and the biggest rallies would come from PC companies, whose properties are pretty weak here.

Think about it, Gordon and Kerrigan wouldn't do nearly the damage they would on Gamespot. It'd probably boost them over a few characters they wouldn't normally beat, but that's it. Even if they had a 24-hour nonstop rally, I still wouldn't pick either to beat, say, Squall or Pikachu. Neither would pull an L-Block because neither would have the universal appeal that would get everyone behind them. Let's face it, GameFAQs users care a lot more about their contests than Gamespot visitors.

I don't see rallying as very influential here, and don't really think it can do any harm other than alter a few close matches. Of course, those few close matches could be major, but hey, as long as it brings in more people that bring in more ad views that bring in more revenue to keep this site running, I can live with it.
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Wylvane
Coffee Ninja is a horrible user.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/26/2010 2:53:09 AM | message detail
Tomorrow's poll will be "Which scheduled October release are you most looking forward to?". I find it strange that it will be run tomorrow, because those types of polls are almost always ran on the last day of a month. Most of the polls listed here were on the last day of a month:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?search=Which+scheduled

The fact it isn't being ran on the last day of this month would potentially suggest a series polls that are related to this contest. I doubt they are vote-ins, so I don't know what it could be.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/26/2010 6:39:08 AM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #033
Tomorrow's poll will be "Which scheduled October release are you most looking forward to?". I find it strange that it will be run tomorrow, because those types of polls are almost always ran on the last day of a month. Most of the polls listed here were on the last day of a month:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?search=Which+scheduled

The fact it isn't being ran on the last day of this month would potentially suggest a series polls that are related to this contest. I doubt they are vote-ins, so I don't know what it could be.


Very interesting find. This should keep this topic abuzz for awhile.

Time to speculate on what polls Bacon's going to run, and if this will do with the things that Bacon says will keep people coming back.
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Wylvane
KJ456 is a horrible user.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/26/2010 6:44:57 AM | message detail
How do you find out what tomorrow's poll will be?
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*is Dranze*
Dr. Football swept me.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/26/2010 6:50:40 AM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #035
How do you find out what tomorrow's poll will be?


He has a script that will download every poll every day or something, then he searches the polls for tomorrow's date to see if anything pops up in the Other Results part.

For example, after downloading and searching the polls, he finds tomorrow's date here or one of the other October polls:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3622

Luster's definitely dedicated, even though it probably doesn't take too much work.
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Wylvane
Epop_Salesman is a horrible user.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/26/2010 7:42:57 AM | message detail
He has a script that will download every poll every day or something, then he searches the polls for tomorrow's date to see if anything pops up in the Other Results part.

I use a download manager to download every poll, not a script. In order to cut down on the number of polls I download to my computer, I ignore all contest matches and other polls that I know for sure will never be re-run in the future.

This trick allows me to figure out what a future poll will be if the poll question is exactly the same as a poll that was ran in the past. It will not work with original polls.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
red sox 777 | Posted 9/26/2010 3:59:37 PM | message detail
So it looks like we're not getting a bracket until tomorrow. Let's have a stats topic poll now that the bracket is imminently approaching: what game are you taking to win the contest?

My vote: Super Smash Bros. Melee
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/26/2010 4:04:50 PM | message detail
Brawl. Did it last contest, doing it again this contest.
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Wylvane
Colonel Alloy is a horrible user.
charmander6000 | Posted 9/26/2010 4:08:27 PM | message detail
Brawl

With an epic TP > FFX upset

Another question, what's the strongest game that wasn't in last contest, but is eligible for this one?

I feel that it's going to be Modern Warfare 2, I can't really think any other games that might beat it; maybe Mario Kart DS
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Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats
Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru.
Denzokuken | Posted 9/26/2010 4:09:17 PM | message detail
pokemon g/s/c/
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I've never had a signature before... then Dr_Football looked, narrowed his eyes, and I had one.
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 9/26/2010 4:10:44 PM | message detail
Pokemon GSC at the moment. I might switch to SSBB, though.
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"Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!"
"Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me."
LOLContests | Posted 9/26/2010 4:22:35 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
LOLContests | Posted 9/26/2010 4:24:21 PM | message detail
Melee at the moment. G/S/C is a lot more tempting than I thought a while ago I didn't realize until I checked just recently how bad FFX (and by extension the two Smash games which are linked to it) did on OoT in its two matches prior to the final.
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"Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka
Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest!
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 9/26/2010 4:26:29 PM | message detail
not sure

but It'll probably be a game released between 2000-2004
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~ Ange
Haguile | Posted 9/26/2010 4:29:52 PM | message detail
Pokemon feels tempting, but if it underperformed I would be so mad at myself for picking it over Brawl/Meele/FFX.
HaRRicH | Posted 9/26/2010 4:51:26 PM | message detail
SSBB's my pick for the contest with probably Modern Warfare 2 being the strongest newcomer...unless another handheld LoZ-game wants to shock or Wii Sports wants a good argument to beat Super Mario Galaxy here, neither of which I'm taking. Either way, I doubt MW2 is much/any stronger than MW1 was, much like the Halo games.
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Nominate Epona, please.
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 9/26/2010 5:03:17 PM | message detail
Super Smash Bros. Brawl, unfortunately
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/26/2010 5:05:34 PM | message detail
G/S/C is classic Pokefear, I think. I really doubt HG/SS is going to boost it to victory here either. I think everyone was just really impressed with how much it resisted LFF against RBY. It got 46.67% on MGS1, and I'm not taking MGS1 to beat FFX, Brawl, or Melee, personally.
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Support Barret Wallace (Final Fantasy VII) for Character Battle IX!
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/26/2010 5:08:50 PM | message detail
im late to the party, someone link me to the bracket <_<?
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My God, did that predict good!
Dr_Football-l-l it no goin' and you tell me do things, I done runnin'...