GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 906
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/10/2010 5:26:56 PM | message detail |
Nominate: http://www.gamefaqs.com/pc/971618-umineko-no-naku-koro-ni ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· Hey, it's that dog! |
RustyMrSaturn | Posted 9/10/2010 5:27:48 PM | message detail |
the only reason i'd nominate it is to see it get absolutely get CRUSHED in vote-ins --- "You are a tremendous gamer Rusty." - PartOfYourWorld RUSTY ~ your messiah |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/10/2010 5:30:29 PM | message detail |
A good reason! --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://i188.photobucket.com/albums/z277/raptorlc/srsly.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/10/2010 7:45:38 PM | message detail |
Ratchet & Clank: Up Your Arsenal is a much better choice. --- Support Squirtle (Pokemon R/B/Y) for Character Battle IX! http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/8463/banner2squirtle.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 9/10/2010 7:49:49 PM | message detail |
Ratchet and Clank would also be weak but would be much less exciting because it wouldn't be nearly as weak as Umineko. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/10/2010 7:50:52 PM | message detail |
Ratchet & Clank and "Not exciting" don't mix! --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 9/10/2010 7:53:11 PM | message detail |
Man, I refuse to nominate Umineko......but I'll take joy out of SSBM/FFX/something I like putting up 90%+ on it. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
red sox 777 | Posted 9/10/2010 7:54:33 PM | message detail |
On
the other hand, if it gets placed against Brawl, I wouldn't know how to
vote. Anti-vote Brawl? Anti-vote Umineko? I can't choose. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/10/2010 8:03:44 PM | message detail |
Go for the all-time blowout record like a true stat nerd. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
GreatWallofUK | Posted 9/11/2010 9:16:40 PM | message detail |
And it is time. The contest season has officially begun, and as such, my triumphant return to the Contest stats topic. Been a while all. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/11/2010 9:35:05 PM | message detail |
Sure, whatever. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
red sox 777 | Posted 9/11/2010 9:35:18 PM | message detail |
Crono would blast Sonic to smithereens now......with blasting to smithereens meaning 53-55%. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2010 9:36:48 PM | message detail |
Not sure I agree with that! Why not? Or does the board still think Sonic would easily lose to Vincent/Squall/Auron? --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/11/2010 9:37:24 PM | message detail |
In
2008, you had Sonic getting 46.15% on Auron while Crono narrowly edged
Vincent. Squall's already proven to be 52%~ on Auron, and Vincent
should be right around there. Although it's unfortunate that we don't have a real read on Crono 2010 because Sonic did look a little better, for what it's worth. --- http://img.imgcake.com/ultigardenpngba.png |
vcharon | Posted 9/11/2010 9:37:32 PM | message detail |
I
don't think Sonic could seriously challenge Crono at this point, but
that's just how I feel about it. I'd take Vincent, Squall and Auron all
over him for sure. I'd have to really think on a rematch with Tifa, it
would be much, much closer this time. --- :> |
red sox 777 | Posted 9/11/2010 9:38:09 PM | message detail |
Why not? Or does the board still think Sonic would easily lose to Vincent/Squall/Auron? Why wouldn't he? Because he put up 54% on Kirby? --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2010 9:39:18 PM | message detail |
I
consider Sonic/Crono/Vincent/Squall/Auron/Tifa to be roughly equal to
each other with the top getting less than 55% on the bottom. --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/11/2010 9:39:18 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #013 ...What compelling evidence does Sonic have for winning that match? 54.62% on Kirby? Not to say he wouldn't, but 2010 didn't do him much favor. A little, but not much. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
GreatWallofUK | Posted 9/11/2010 9:39:21 PM | message detail |
Ignoring the top 6 Crono MM Sonic More importantly though. Dark Link Crono MM Sonic. Put him in. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/11/2010 9:39:42 PM | message detail |
darn it, red sox beat me to it --- Support Barret Wallace (Final Fantasy VII) for Character Battle IX! http://img687.imageshack.us/img687/3834/banner1barret.jpg |
vcharon | Posted 9/11/2010 9:40:57 PM | message detail |
It
could easily be argued Sonic and Kirby somewhat share a fanbase, so you
can't take that Kirby match and assume much from it. I'd still take the
three guys to beat Sonic with 52%+ and Tifa/Sonic to be near 50/50. --- :> |
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2010 9:41:24 PM | message detail |
Dark Link Crono MM lol, I almost want Dark Link in the next bracket so he can flop based on some of these predictions. --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
GreatWallofUK | Posted 9/11/2010 9:41:37 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #020 For what it is worth, you gave the exact % |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/11/2010 9:42:36 PM | message detail |
From: GreatWallofUK | #023 Well, I almost made red sox's post word for word until I decided to look up the exact percentage and add another line or two at the end. Freaky. --- Support Otacon (Metal Gear Solid) for Character Battle IX! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/1950/banner4otacon.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 9/11/2010 9:42:53 PM | message detail |
Yeah,
after thinking about it, Zelda fans aren't that robotic. Otherwise
Ganondorf would be stronger. One word can make a world of difference-
see Liquid Snake and Solid Snake. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
vcharon | Posted 9/11/2010 9:43:12 PM | message detail |
For what it's worth, I might would gamble on Dark Link > Sonic. --- :> |
GreatWallofUK | Posted 9/11/2010 9:44:00 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #022 I'd put him in a match with anyone not named CLink and not think twice about it. |
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2010 9:45:38 PM | message detail |
I'd put him in a match with anyone not named CLink and not think twice about it. I hope you enjoy all the red in your bracket then. --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
GreatWallofUK | Posted 9/11/2010 9:50:39 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #028 I did not say I would take him to win. But I would put him against #3 (whoever the hell it is) and say he absolutely hangs right with them. Especially if #3 is Samus. I guess you could argue is #3 was Mario that he would not worry about Sff or anything, but with how much Samus gets owned by SFF when she meets anything Zelda.... I'd take Dark Link in that match. |
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2010 9:55:09 PM | message detail |
Again... I hope you enjoy all the red in your bracket then. --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
vcharon | Posted 9/11/2010 9:56:11 PM | message detail |
Uh... I think #3 is almost surely Snake at this point. --- :> |
GreatWallofUK | Posted 9/11/2010 10:03:34 PM | message detail |
From: vcharon | #031 I'd argue everyone who voted for Snake should go pull a Paul Pierce. In addition, I would argue that since almost all of Snake's power is from Brawl that Mario and Samus Sff him and take him out easy. I'd argue that new mainline games beat the hell out of a PSP game that no one played who would not vote for him anyway. But most important, I'd argue (read pray) that the voters are not ******** enough to vote for Solid again were he to meet the supremely superior Sephiroth. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/11/2010 10:04:23 PM | message detail |
why are you upset about this --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/11/2010 10:06:34 PM | message detail |
Dark Link > Sonic is a lock, not a gamble. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://img.imgcake.com/foolmoron/90f92d70b61d547a40640e1zp7.jpg |
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2010 10:07:22 PM | message detail |
In
addition, I would argue that since almost all of Snake's power is from
Brawl that Mario and Samus Sff him and take him out easy. Ulti is that you? --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2010 10:08:07 PM | message detail |
Dark Link > Sonic is a lock, not a gamble. A lock for loss points. --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
GreatWallofUK | Posted 9/11/2010 10:09:22 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #035 If Ulti agrees with that, all the better. I do believe it was only myself, Red Sox, I think Ulti, and someone else I don't know who were convinved that RBY would be a top 10 game, where as most of this topic (you included almost sure) laughed at that. How does #3 taste? |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/11/2010 10:11:59 PM | message detail |
I thought very highly of RBY, I just thought higher of the original MGS. --- "If you'd actually read the Bill of Rights you'd see that 'Freedom of Speech' applies to the government, not here." -CJayC |
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2010 10:13:11 PM | message detail |
Before or after its round one match? And just because you get something right does not make you immune on getting something wrong. --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
GreatWallofUK | Posted 9/11/2010 10:14:04 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #038 The original MGS is either 11 or 12 (I would guess, the top 10 is easy, the next ones are really difficult.) So you are not far off there. Hell, let's have fun. Rank the next games in line after the top 10. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/11/2010 10:15:27 PM | message detail |
Guess who got Sonic > Crono, Sub-Zero > Master Chief, Hayabusa > Master Chief, and SSBM winning Division 128 right? And also guess who picked Tetris > Legend of Zelda, Sonic 2 > Mario World, and had never picked L-Block to advance past a single round in either 4-way Character Battle? Hint: It's the same person! --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/11/2010 10:15:42 PM | message detail |
MWC's working hard to fill the gap left by BT. One Snake-doubter leaves, another Snake-doubter returns. --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg Nominate EPONA here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/55150177 |
GreatWallofUK | Posted 9/11/2010 10:16:05 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #039 Way before. Like when it was announced we were having it before. I said it would be top 5 since the beginning, even I did not think it would be as high as it was though, had you told me it would be stronger than CT or Melee I would have laughed at you. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/11/2010 11:33:48 PM | message detail |
From: HaRRicH | #042 You people and your doubting of OUR the Michael W Clark. Anyway, a theory: Mega Man's sprite, not Pikachu or Crono's, is the strongest sprite round force on this site. Thoughts? --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "I am mentally incapable of reading because I have ADD." -Albion |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/11/2010 11:53:47 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #044 Did him a lot of good against Sephy, Vercetti, Zero, Sonic, Sora, Samus, and the WCC. The Hayabusa match is because Hayabusa's sprite is so terribly bad. Seriously, is that the reason you brought that up? Because there's no reason to think that otherwise. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/12/2010 12:11:23 AM | message detail |
On
a side note, I'm not sure if I should be proud or not that I could
think of all of Mega Man's sprite matches without looking them up. --- Support Morrigan Aensland (Darkstalkers) for Character Battle IX! http://img713.imageshack.us/img713/9302/banner5morrigan2.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/12/2010 12:12:12 AM | message detail |
Oh, and Mega Man had several sprite pics against Mario, too. So I guess I forgot one. Oh well. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/12/2010 5:19:56 AM | message detail |
Even Turtle made an accurate bold prediction or two, so let's not get carried away here. Dark Link will be strong because he's one of the most memorable boss battles in OoT, not because he's a dark Link. I have a feeling Dark Samus would bomb because nobody here gives a **** about MP2 or 3 (hell, they barely give a **** about MP1 as is), but Dark Link has OoT, and that alone should make him a solid midcarder and perhaps more. The sad thing is if Dark Link ever does make the contest and kicks ass, people will blame it on being a Link clone rather than, you know, Dark Link's actual strength. Don't think I'd pick him to beat Sonic, though. Sonic may be sinking, but he's not fallen off the map yet. I could see it being close, even artificially close (where normally DL shouldn't be that close, but weird circumstances in the vein of Samus/Tifa or Mario/Charizard make the match closer than it should be), but I don't think DL would take it. --- Wylvane mas369 is a horrible user. |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 9/12/2010 5:46:06 AM | message detail |
From: GreatWallofUK | #037 I do believe it was only myself, Red Sox, I think Ulti, and someone else I don't know who were convinved that RBY would be a top 10 game I'm insulted... --- -.- |
GreatWallofUK | Posted 9/12/2010 6:58:44 AM | message detail |
From: nintendogirl1 | #049 You are not as bolstrous with your picks as myself and Rd Sox are N Girl, so it makes sense I would forget you said it. |