GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 905

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/2/2010 12:15:29 PM | message detail
We always make a new one at 400 during contest season, so hi there.

I estimate we hit #1000 during, oh..... the fourth round this coming contest.



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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Biolizard28 | Posted 9/2/2010 12:16:20 PM | message detail
I demand an ASCII tag when the time comes.
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 12:16:52 PM | message detail
Hopefully we'll get a good result for topic 1000!
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/2/2010 12:26:59 PM | message detail

From: Biolizard28 | #002
I demand an ASCII tag when the time comes.


No worries, bro.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/2/2010 12:46:26 PM | message detail
I demand half the 1000 topic being dedicated to whining about said ASCII tag.

I also hope Bacon throws a curveball and as part of the board update changes the topic limit from 500 to something like 5000.
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Wylvane
Weakupedia is a horrible user.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/2/2010 12:59:10 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #005
I demand half the 1000 topic being dedicated to whining about said ASCII tag.

I also hope Bacon throws a curveball and as part of the board update changes the topic limit from 500 to something like 5000.


402 will always be the best topic, because it happened on LUEshi's birthday during a Yoshi match.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 9/2/2010 1:29:08 PM | message detail
I also hope Bacon throws a curveball and as part of the board update changes the topic limit from 500 to something like 5000.

That is a very extreme change. Even changing the post limit for topics from 500 posts to 1000 posts would be helpful for topics like this. Less topics would have to be made in the future.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/2/2010 1:35:13 PM | message detail
Thanks for that, Luster.
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Dr_Football Factor'd
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 5:28:09 PM | message detail
Oh snap
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about PW/Jecht
HaRRicH | Posted 9/2/2010 5:39:37 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #005
I demand half the 1000 topic being dedicated to whining about said ASCII tag.


You got it!
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/2/2010 5:49:38 PM | message detail
There's been ASCII tags since 402, but I guess Leon wasn't around for those to whine about it for hundreds of posts.

Anyway, best 500 since the last time I told everyone to play EarthBound.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 5:50:52 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #011
There's been ASCII tags since 402, but I guess Leon wasn't around for those to whine about it for hundreds of posts.


I was, actually.

But I didn't.

Thanks for singling me out though.
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Lucid Faia | Posted 9/2/2010 5:51:21 PM | message detail
Luster is the king of ridiculous observations.

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/2/2010 5:53:01 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #012
I was, actually.

But I didn't.

Thanks for singling me out though.


Fair enough. I will now look up the topic and list every person I saw whining about it. Gimme a few minutes.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 5:53:49 PM | message detail
You can stop acting like you're the better person in this silly nonsense any time you feel like.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
HaRRicH | Posted 9/2/2010 6:08:04 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #015
You can stop acting like you're the better person in this silly nonsense any time you feel like.


Bingo. I think you'll find me in your search, but I stayed out of most of that topic.
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Nominate EPONA here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/55150177
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 9/2/2010 6:15:12 PM | message detail
If we're gonna make plans for two-or-so months in advance, the best thing to do would be to just flood Part 1000 and end it quickly. Everyone is gonna get their post(s) in there anyway, so just Deathmatch it, let it end in 10 minutes, and go back to our nerdy discussions. Beats getting hot over nothin.
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UItimaterializer | Posted 9/2/2010 6:17:56 PM | message detail
Might have missed one or two people and didn't read beyond topic 403:

HATERS GONNA HATE

YoAriel33
MyWorldIsZelda (Heroic Mario)
HoorayProxies (ExplicitContent)
FastFalcon05
NClark128
janembaman
Yesmar
creativename
Big Bob
THEJackSparrow (Leon)
Smurf

yoblazer is really the only surprise among that group of people. Everyone else on there has been known for excess whining at some time or another. Me, XIII, Mega and Chris posted most of the LUEshis.

The other thing I realized when reading 402 is I really miss 15 minute updates.

From: HaRRicH | #016
Bingo. I think you'll find me in your search, but I stayed out of most of that topic.


You posted nothing I would consider "whining".
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A Very Obvious Match: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2122
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 6:19:45 PM | message detail
Fun Fact: Nobody cares anymore
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UItimaterializer | Posted 9/2/2010 6:22:25 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #017
If we're gonna make plans for two-or-so months in advance, the best thing to do would be to just flood Part 1000 and end it quickly. Everyone is gonna get their post(s) in there anyway, so just Deathmatch it, let it end in 10 minutes, and go back to our nerdy discussions. Beats getting hot over nothin.


haha wut


Anyway something else interesting from that topic: People were arguing about whether or not an ASV existed, and ExTha and BT were telling everyone they were silly for not thinking a Nintendo character would win that time period.
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Lucid Faia | Posted 9/2/2010 6:22:54 PM | message detail

From: UItimaterializer | #018
The other thing I realized when reading 402 is I really miss 15 minute updates.


I still remember the old Ngamer update topics.

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The Ohio State Buckeyes
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UItimaterializer | Posted 9/2/2010 6:23:49 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #015
You can stop acting like you're the better person in this silly nonsense any time you feel like.


No "acting" needed, bud. Only a very select group of people made themselves look stupid that day, and they're the same types who go to parties, get mad when other people are having fun and use that as an excuse not to party anymore.
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UItimaterializer | Posted 9/2/2010 6:24:35 PM | message detail
It's kind of upsetting Bacon is so settled on 5 minute updates. 15 minutes is the perfect storm, and it's the closest our polls have ever come to watching real sports.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 6:24:38 PM | message detail
Everyone involved in 402 was stupid.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about PW/Jecht
charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2010 6:25:58 PM | message detail
Anyway something else interesting from that topic: People were arguing about whether or not an ASV existed, and ExTha and BT were telling everyone they were silly for not thinking a Nintendo character would win that time period.

While Day/Night vote existed since the first games contest the ASV took a while to form, though IIRC it existed since the 2k5 contest.
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Haste_2 | Posted 9/2/2010 6:27:05 PM | message detail
What I miss is the REAL time updates...heh...

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UItimaterializer | Posted 9/2/2010 6:27:24 PM | message detail
Did you just call yourself stupid?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 6:27:29 PM | message detail

From: UItimaterializer | #023
15 minutes is the perfect storm, and it's the closest our polls have ever come to watching real sports.


If you consider "chess" real sports, then sure.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 6:27:45 PM | message detail

From: UItimaterializer | #027
Did you just call yourself stupid?


Am I part of "everyone?"
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about PW/Jecht
redrocket | Posted 9/2/2010 6:28:14 PM | message detail
Have you played Mother 3 Ulti? I don't remember seeing you write about it...


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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/2/2010 6:28:15 PM | message detail
I love chess, but I didn't mean sports in the physical sense. Just the whole tension part of it, like watching playoff baseball or hockey.
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LOLContests | Posted 9/2/2010 6:28:19 PM | message detail
Yesmar | Posted 10/23/2006 1:18:58 PM | message detail
Go Yoshi!!


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&_&
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Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/2/2010 6:28:45 PM | message detail
I have not, but I really need to get on that. KP has been hounding me for months.
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voltch | Posted 9/2/2010 6:30:32 PM | message detail
awww come on leon/ulti, we all CS&D ers here, no time to war between ourselves.
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Nyoro~n
Haste_2 | Posted 9/2/2010 6:31:49 PM | message detail
I was involved in 402, so everybody knows.

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"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 6:32:53 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #031
I love chess, but I didn't mean sports in the physical sense. Just the whole tension part of it, like watching playoff baseball or hockey.


Eh, you get tension with 5 minute updates, just in shorter bursts. I still remember watching Dante/Ryu during the Gold Medal Hockey game!
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"Not until the end. Always."
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/2/2010 6:33:23 PM | message detail
I think everyone got mad because it was the first ASCII stats topic or something. I did a couple since and no one minded, I don't think.
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voltch | Posted 9/2/2010 6:34:09 PM | message detail
12 hours was great, dunno if i'd want 128 games in 12 hours though.
64 games seems like a beter number for decade.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 6:34:54 PM | message detail
I wouldn't mind 64 games, but Bacon seems enamored with 128 entrant contests, so I doubt that changes.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 9/2/2010 6:36:20 PM | message detail
Usually a silly match has to happen before Leon/Ulti argument.

*joke character is wining*
Ulti: XD This is awesome
Leon: I don't think so
Ulti: LOL you don't like fun things, such a lamer
Leon: Oh, so I don't like the same things as you I don't like fun things!? I'm out of here.
Ulti: XD it's "arbitrary time/post", gotta go kiddies <3
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 6:37:07 PM | message detail
I won't have anyone talk about me in the past tense!
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HaRRicH | Posted 9/2/2010 6:42:34 PM | message detail
Leonhart wasn't about to be referred to in the past tense, guys.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 6:42:57 PM | message detail
That's it! I'm outta here!
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voltch | Posted 9/2/2010 6:46:37 PM | message detail
DMC 3
DMC 3
DMC 3

now how many tough games can shadow of the colossus beat?
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Nipaa~
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 6:47:47 PM | message detail

From: voltch | #044
now how many tough games can shadow of the colossus beat?


Well, it can beat Gears of War!
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voltch | Posted 9/2/2010 6:50:12 PM | message detail
Gears 2 to replace GoW...and still get crushed.
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mii~
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/2/2010 6:50:21 PM | message detail

From: voltch | #044
DMC 3
DMC 3
DMC 3

now how many tough games can shadow of the colossus beat?


Zero.
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"Ulti makes everything better." -PrinceReva
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/2/2010 7:02:18 PM | message detail
Seriously though, I'm gonna list the x-stat rankings of every game that qualifies for this one from the 2009 Games Contest (Let me know if I miss one or add one that doesn't belong):

3. Brawl - 41.68
4. Melee - 41.33
6. TP - 38.69
11. FFX - 37.30
14. G/S/C - 35.33
15. MGS4 - 35.02
16. KH1 - 34.94
17. RE4 - 34.49
18. MGS3 - 34.27
19. KH2 - 34.00
27. FFIX - 30.62
28. HL2 - 30.22
29. Oblivion - 30.15
30. Fallout 3 - 29.65
31. FFXII - 29.16
32. ToS - 29.10
33. GoW - 28.98
34. Majora's Mask - 28.87
36. Wind Waker - 28.73
37. WoW - 28.65
39. MGS2 - 28.15
40. San Andreas - 28.11
43. Diablo 2 - 27.12
44. Vice City - 26.97
46. Halo - 26.30
47. Halo 2 - 26.13
48. CoD4 - 25.84
49. Portal - 25.82
50. KotOR - 25.67
51. Metroid Prime - 25.59
52. GTAIV - 25.37
54. BioShock - 24.68
55. GTA3 - 24.21
56. SotC - 24.10
57. Okami - 23.83
58. Halo 3 - 23.82
64. Super Mario Galaxy - 22.89
70. Left 4 Dead - 20.89
71. D/P - 20.43
73. Morrowind - 20.34
74. GeoW - 19.92
75. Disgaea - 19.64
77. Paper Mario - 18.55
83. PW:AA - 17.46
85. Chrono Cross - 17.36
86. Mass Effect - 16.89
89. SFIV - 15.70
90. Persona 4 - 15.70
94. FE - 15.11
95. Perfect Dark - 14.93
96. LBP - 14.73
102. TF2 - 13.24
104. Silent Hill 2 - 12.26

Man, look at that stretch from 14-19 and 27-58 where all but 6 games in that stretch qualify, and 27 beats 58 with 61.10%. That's a pretty tight group. New games have always been that way in both Games Contests we've had. All but 13 are 20% or more on OoT as well.
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voltch | Posted 9/2/2010 7:04:51 PM | message detail
if G/S/C hasn't improved i'll be shocked.
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voltch | Posted 9/2/2010 7:08:10 PM | message detail
lol, at how crap halo 3 and SMG.
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Nipaa~