GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 902
Heroic Common Sense | Posted 7/23/2010 7:24:19 PM | message detail |
Always wanted to make a stats topic with this account. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. --- ,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸, "I have no problem swallowing... so yeah." -Menji76 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/23/2010 7:25:01 PM | message detail |
C'mon, contest announcement! --- "That's crazy. I could never do something like that." "It's not a question of can or can't. There are some things in life you just do." |
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/25/2010 10:54:41 AM | message detail |
Anti-purge edition --- "That's crazy. I could never do something like that." "It's not a question of can or can't. There are some things in life you just do." |
Lopen | Posted 7/25/2010 11:07:53 AM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #003 That's the best thing ever. Why did you have to go and stop it. A purge before post 3 would've been amazing --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
vcharon | Posted 7/25/2010 8:16:42 PM | message detail |
Kitana
and Sonya would be fine I think. I'm skeptical of Mileena and Baraka
somewhat. Kung Lao is fairly memorable I think and would do fine,
probably better than Liu since people generally like him more. --- :> |
vcharon | Posted 7/25/2010 8:19:05 PM | message detail |
Oh,
and I have to believe Shao Kahn would be fairly good in this as well.
I'm literally shocked he failed to make the villains contest over all
that fodder. --- :> |
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/25/2010 8:23:11 PM | message detail |
Sonya Blade would do fine as long as she got a picture of Bridgette Wilson. Mmmm-hmmm. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
charmander6000 | Posted 7/25/2010 8:23:54 PM | message detail |
Well
before we try and get half the cast in we should start and focus on one
character, even if the NRT doesn't side with us we could always create
a nomination topic. --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
vcharon | Posted 7/25/2010 8:25:17 PM | message detail |
I'm planning to rally in Johnny if he can't secure a spot in this. I think he's the best candidate and has the most appeal. --- :> |
HaRRicH | Posted 7/25/2010 8:30:00 PM | message detail |
I
can't really support a Johnny-nomination since I never liked playing as
him much, but I do think MK could use another rep (Raiden or Reptile,
preferably). I could get behind Sonya on a personal level, but... http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1788 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2038 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2513 ...there's not a pretty picture painted there for her. --- Nominate EPONA for Character Battle 9: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/55150177 |
UItimaterializer | Posted 7/26/2010 1:42:24 AM | message detail |
Raiden was always my second favorite behind Sub Zero. Scorpion 3, Sonya 4, then who cares. --- There are two types of people: Those who love Portal, and those who haven't played it yet. |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/26/2010 2:00:32 PM | message detail |
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/23/2010 10:25:01 PM | message detail C'mon, contest announcement! I think there might actually be another Character Battle this year. The Character Battle that got delayed last year (due to GameSpot's contest) ended up being held at the beginning of this year. So there might be another one soon to make up for the lack of a contest last year. However, the nomination phase needs to start very soon, no later than the first week of August if the contest is going to start in early/mid September. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
charmander6000 | Posted 7/26/2010 3:05:37 PM | message detail |
We might get a contest, but I don't think it'll be a Character Battle. --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 7/26/2010 3:18:03 PM | message detail |
I predict we'll get another character contest before the end of the year. The twist is that the characters will all be female villains! --- Not Wylvane |
HaRRicH | Posted 7/26/2010 7:21:59 PM | message detail |
I'm
not feeling another contest this year, sadly...from GameFAQs. Think
there's much of a shot with GameSpot returning this year though? They
figured out a lot of things that went wrong last year quick, and they
could pretty easily start over from a much better perspective now. We
still need to see Snake/Link and Sonic/MC too, damn you! --- Nominate EPONA for Character Battle 9: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/55150177 |
vcharon | Posted 7/26/2010 7:25:02 PM | message detail |
I'd prefer not, those are just a joke. --- :> |
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/26/2010 8:36:08 PM | message detail |
Ugh, I didn't like GameSpot's contest at all. Rounds are way too long. --- http://img.imgcake.com/ultigardenpngba.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 7/26/2010 8:53:14 PM | message detail |
Yeah,
having a ton of matches simultaneously running for a week is not
exciting. I'd rather not see another one, but if there were one, I'd
like to see Link that contest as he deserves. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
red sox 777 | Posted 7/26/2010 8:53:48 PM | message detail |
That should say "I'd like to see Link win that contest" --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 7/26/2010 8:54:22 PM | message detail |
Problems
like round length can be fixed. If they fix the problems they had last
time, I think it could be pretty interesting. Consering the all the
trouble the contest caused, I'm not sure if they want to do another
one, though. --- "Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!" "Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me." |
HaRRicH | Posted 7/26/2010 9:23:03 PM | message detail |
The
said they would look into changing the formats for perhaps other
contests and understood their format was a problem. The same goes for
the lengths of the rounds. Correct those two pre-contest problems and
apply your during-contest lessons learned through-out last year, and
GameSpot would be able to have a successful comeback. --- Nominate EPONA for Character Battle 9: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/55150177 |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 7/27/2010 2:03:06 PM | message detail |
From: Team Rocket Elite | #020 Considering the attention the Gamespot contest got, I wouldn't count out another one. It's not like it was too much worse than our 2002 contest. And I wouldn't put money on Link, even if Gordon turns out not to have a bandwagon again. I'm one of those who believes Mario would beat Link on Gamespot (and that was before Mario outdid Link against Gordon), and even if not, Snake shouldn't have much problem. And let's not rule out the possibility of Gordon support keeping strong next contest. Don't get me wrong, Link is a contender to win, but I'd consider Snake to be the favorite next contest. Then again, with MGS4 having come and gone, who knows what will happen. --- Not Wylvane |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/27/2010 2:30:09 PM | message detail |
Next several days worth of polls: 7/28/2010 - I don't know. Probably an original poll idea. 7/29/2010 - Which search engine do you most often use? 7/30/2010 - What kind of Internet connection do you have? 7/31/2010 - Which scheduled August release are you most looking forward to? 8/1/2010 - Have you ever shoplifted a video game? Apart from the poll on July 21st, I haven't been able to figure out what the poll questions would be for every poll starting with the poll on July 20th. Damn polls with original questions. I'm looking forward to the poll on July 30th though. Should be some extreme trend changes (not quite as bad as the Soda poll) because Cable internet will collapse hard overnight. I'm basing this off of something I found out from a guy on another forum (he was from Germany) where he's never heard of Cable internet being available in Germany (it's mostly all DSL connections). If my guess is correct about DSL being the dominant form of internet outside the US/Canada, then Cable internet will collapse hard overnight. Also, it would be good to see what US states have the highest percentage of dial-up users. Probably the states that are more rural (such as Kansas) than more densely populated states like New Jersey or Rhode Island. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
red sox 777 | Posted 7/27/2010 2:40:53 PM | message detail |
How are you predicting these? --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/27/2010 2:45:16 PM | message detail |
How are you predicting these? Well, take a look at this poll: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2290 Take close note of this line: See other results for this poll: 1/11/01 10/18/01 10/4/02 11/27/03 7/10/04 4/3/05 7/30/10 It links to a poll that has not been run yet, although it does mean that Bacon has inputted that poll into the database so it can be run on the appropriate day. By taking advantage of that, all I have to do is use a download manager to download all of the poll result pages (excluding contest polls) to my computer as an HTML file. Then I use my computer's search feature to search for terms like "7/30/10" and "8/1/10" and see what results turn up. Any results that turn up will have to be viewed in my browser so I can see the poll question. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
red sox 777 | Posted 7/27/2010 2:48:31 PM | message detail |
Oh, good find. Didn't know Bacon decided on the polls so far in advance. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 7/27/2010 2:51:06 PM | message detail |
From: -LusterSoldier- | #023 This should include a ROM/emulator/torrent option. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/27/2010 2:54:01 PM | message detail |
Well,
I don't know what the options will be. The only thing that I can use
that trick for is finding out the poll questions of future polls, and
it doesn't work when there is an original poll question. I can't use
the trick to figure out what the options will be, but it seems safe to
assume the same options from last time will be used again. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
ZenOfThunder | Posted 7/27/2010 4:43:44 PM | message detail |
*snore* *tag* --- (|| ' ' ||) ~Zen . /|_|\ Freak out in a Moonage Daydream, oh yeah... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/27/2010 9:00:49 PM | message detail |
Ooh, nice poll. --- http://img.imgcake.com/ultigardenpngba.png |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/27/2010 9:06:13 PM | message detail |
Wow,
strange poll. "Pokemon vs. Digimon" had a hard time just trying to lead
at the freeze, when I was probably expecting it to have an easier time
winning this poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
aerithmetic | Posted 7/27/2010 9:06:41 PM | message detail |
Kinda
interesting how it has FF vs. Tales.. I guess when I think about it,
Tales is the biggest non Square RPG series.. kinda sad. --- http://i31.tinypic.com/xmmjh0.gif http://i32.tinypic.com/2vtpbna.gif http://i27.tinypic.com/2gwb79h.gif http://i28.tinypic.com/2r3ld2r.gif |
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/27/2010 9:06:45 PM | message detail |
Pokemon vs. Digimon more like GameFAQs users with bad taste once again gross --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Dr_Football | Posted 7/27/2010 9:07:15 PM | message detail |
Final Fantasy doing its damnedest to carry Tales --- http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png http://img.imgcake.com/drfootballpngru.png |
HaRRicH | Posted 7/27/2010 9:21:24 PM | message detail |
It'll be interesting to see how close Pokemon (and Digimon.....) stays to FF (and Tales.....) by the end of this poll. Also, SF/MK is the only answer here, people. --- Nominate EPONA for Character Battle 9: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/55150177 |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/27/2010 9:22:30 PM | message detail |
Pokemon vs. Digimon is just dying here. It has dropped about 2% since the board vote. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
special_sauce | Posted 7/27/2010 9:29:43 PM | message detail |
Sonya Blade would do fine as long as she got a picture of Sephiroth. Mmmm-hmmm. fix'd --- The return of...Me_Pie_Three Kevin Butler is God. |
special_sauce | Posted 7/27/2010 9:30:43 PM | message detail |
which makes me think - what would happen if there were NO PICTURES in the contest I think Zelda would beat Link --- The return of...Me_Pie_Three Kevin Butler is God. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/27/2010 9:31:00 PM | message detail |
From: special_sauce | #037 Bridgette Wilson > Sephiroth --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
vcharon | Posted 7/27/2010 9:31:06 PM | message detail |
MK vs. SF is the only one of these with any feasible chance of every happening, probably. Be ashamed if you don't vote for it. --- :> |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/28/2010 4:12:41 AM | message detail |
I was silly and I voted for Metroid vs. Castlevania. The fallout from finishing a 2nd playthrough of Metroid Prime last Sunday is still with me I guess. |
vcharon | Posted 7/28/2010 4:35:58 AM | message detail |
Final Fantasy still working that night vote magic. --- :> |
Denzokuken | Posted 7/28/2010 8:02:30 AM | message detail |
Tales must really suck hard if it's dragging down FF to... this. --- I've never had a signature before... then Dr_Football looked, narrowed his eyes, and I had one. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/28/2010 9:09:50 AM | message detail |
Either that, or people played Dissidia and don't want another game like that. But the fact that Marvel vs. DC is right up there fighting for the lead tells me one thing: Fictional characters contest! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/28/2010 9:19:49 AM | message detail |
Marvel vs. DC just took the lead back. Considering how easily Marvel vs. DC is winning the US, it is a lock to win this poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
red sox 777 | Posted 7/28/2010 9:26:12 AM | message detail |
Nintendo vs. Square would be over 50% here. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
red sox 777 | Posted 7/28/2010 9:34:13 AM | message detail |
Also,
as far as a fictional characters contest goes, I think this says good
things about the video game characters. If Batman/Darth Vader/Spiderman
were on Link's level, Marvel vs. DC should be blowing away Final
Fantasy vs. Tales here (it's Tales). That it's not suggests Nintendo
and Square are substantially stronger than Marvel and DC here- although
it is true the poll is asking about a video game featuring these
characters, so it's not entirely fair. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
LOLContests | Posted 7/28/2010 9:54:21 AM | message detail |
Also,
as far as a fictional characters contest goes, I think this says good
things about the video game characters. If Batman/Darth Vader/Spiderman
were on Link's level, Marvel vs. DC should be blowing away Final
Fantasy vs. Tales here (it's Tales). That it's not suggests Nintendo
and Square are substantially stronger than Marvel and DC here- although
it is true the poll is asking about a video game featuring these
characters, so it's not entirely fair. I concur. My first instincts were that this did not look good for Fictional Characters. Or maybe it's just that we've been overhyping comic book characters and/or no one really cares about the specific companies that they're from, and the movies/merchandise make up virtually all of their fanbase. At the very least, comic book (as opposed to comic book films) heavy characters like Gambit should be taking a hit from this poll. Geolocation does imply that there will be some pretty fun vote trends though, in regards to comic book characters. --- "Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 7/28/2010 10:06:13 AM | message detail |
Final Fantasy is always going to be the second strongest brand name around here, no matter what. Plus, Marvel and DC themselves are essentially one entry anyway. It's not like Marvel + DC is going to be substantially stronger than Marvel or DC on their own, I think. --- "That's crazy. I could never do something like that." "It's not a question of can or can't. There are some things in life you just do." |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/28/2010 10:17:04 AM | message detail |
Looks like Pokemon vs. Digimon is comfortably winning in the UK, nice. --- Final Fantasy XIII review: http://www.gamefaqs.com/console/ps3/review/R140434.html You're pretty good, Dr_Football. |