GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 894

TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/21/2010 1:43:20 PM | message detail
Maybe if we're REALLY lucky, we won't have 4ways/era bracket >_<
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Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/21/2010 1:43:49 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #400
His only competition has gotten weaker over the years, while Link is staying steady.

Snake is currently closer to Link this year than Mario was to Sephiroth in 2k5. That doesn't look steady to me.


Link looking weaker this final match is same reason he looked weaker in 2003... people are anti voting him cuz they're sick of him winning every year. He's obviously stronger then this.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/21/2010 1:44:11 PM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #401
Maybe if we're REALLY lucky, we won't have 4ways/era bracket >_<


What, we want Galaxy to be humiliated fairly? At least in 2009, we can blame Pokemon and Brawl!
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FFI3_Lightning | Posted 3/21/2010 1:44:56 PM | message detail
The best way to advertise is to release big games. Link has one coming up Cloud doesn't.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/21/2010 1:45:12 PM | message detail
He's obviously stronger then this.

No, he isn't. If he's getting anti-champion votes, then this is part of his intrinsic strength now. And the first four rounds all pointed to Link having lost a step. For some reason, we decided to forget about that after he SFF'd Sonic and Mario.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/21/2010 1:45:30 PM | message detail
lol anti-voting, Link is just weaker like Ganondorf and Zelda.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/21/2010 1:45:37 PM | message detail
Oh, and Alucard = Captain Falcon has predicted this match rather closely, I might add! It'll be a little off, but still.
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FFI3_Lightning | Posted 3/21/2010 1:46:22 PM | message detail

...but it lost to freaking VICE CITY in the most favorable match for it in the whole damn universe. It's a weak, weak, weak game.


sorry i misunderstood.
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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/21/2010 1:47:33 PM | message detail
Link looking weaker this final match is same reason he looked weaker in 2003... people are anti voting him cuz they're sick of him winning every year. He's obviously stronger then this.

Unless those anti-voter plan to stop after this match, they are now a part of Link's strength or I guess weakness. If anything, more people getting on the anti-voting wagon will weaken Link even further.
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FFI3_Lightning | Posted 3/21/2010 1:47:36 PM | message detail
Link looking weaker this final match is same reason he looked weaker in 2003..

Cel shaded Link.
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vcharon | Posted 3/21/2010 1:47:43 PM | message detail

From: FFI3_Lightning | #404
The best way to advertise is to release big games. Link has one coming up Cloud doesn't.


Oh please, "has one coming up" as in "announced for whenever" hardly even counts.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/21/2010 1:47:52 PM | message detail
Vice City isn't weak, sure it should be stronger all things consider, but it isn't some fodder game.
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FFI3_Lightning | Posted 3/21/2010 1:54:02 PM | message detail
Oh please, "has one coming up" as in "announced for whenever" hardly even counts.

I was referring to Next Years contest. The new zelda would be out by then, it will significantly boost Link depending on how influential it can be for a new generation of fans.
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BFarmer1980 | Posted 3/21/2010 1:55:14 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #378
However, I really don't think that banning Link or any other N9 member is a good solution. I really think that this contest can be made much fresher and more interesting by taking the simple step of grouping the N9 in one bracket from the start, along with 7 other characters who can give them some good competition. This way, the uber-fans still get their matchups, the N9 still likely has a representative in the final four (and, if they don't, we really have something to talk about), and there are three fresh faces in the semi-finals to make things more interesting at the end. Maybe I'm missing something, but this seems like such an obvious fix to the domination of a few key characters over the last 8 years that I'm exceedingly shocked that it hasn't already been implemented

This is the worst idea i have ever seen. So we have part of a bracket that people care about, and part of a bracket that doesn't matter at all.

THERE IS NOTHING WRONG WITH THE CURRENT FORMAT. WE DO NOT NEED TO REMOVE ANYONE AS THE FIELD IS SO TIGHTLY GROUPED NOW THAT IT DOESN'T MATTER


I can't say I agree with your reasoning here. The assumption that the one part of the bracket is the only one that would be cared about is to assume that there's no interest in any characters outside of the N9, a stereotype that's pretty easily refuted by the level of "meh" that this year's final vote has receive. Sure, there are plenty of votes, but how many people are voting for one character or the other despite caring little about either? The evidence of that attitude can be identified based on the cross-section of opinions seen on this forum today.

I also fail to see how the field is tightly grouped. A simple look over the 8 year history of the contest seems to overwhelmingly indicate otherwise. The trending of the final fours over the 8 year period is pretty clear, despite the joke fluke of a couple of years ago.

Also, if you'll recall and reread the first sentence of mine that you quoted, you'll see that I stated that I don't think it's a good idea to eliminate anyone one from the field. The all-caps, screaming tirade of your second sentence seemed to imply that I suggested banning characters. If I mistook your intent, I apologize.

I'd say that's a rather short-sighted and over-exaggerated viewpoint, but you're certainly welcome to it. :-)
Denzokuken | Posted 3/21/2010 1:56:43 PM | message detail
For once Cloud may be getting antivoted less than his opponent then... I'm so proud of you gamefaqs, you've come a long way.
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vcharon | Posted 3/21/2010 1:59:31 PM | message detail
I'm also not really seeing how suddenly you guys are saying people are anti-voting Link; it's not happening, period. Link would have shown signs of weakness if he was truly being anti-voted (like for example, Cloud is). Instead, he promptly crushed Sonic and Mario worse than either of them had ever been beaten before. As for his first matches, again not a sign of Link weakness. That's how the contest is now, the days of regularly getting 80% are over and will never return.
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Xeybozn | Posted 3/21/2010 1:59:48 PM | message detail
Hypothetical scenario: Zelda Wii is as badly received as Sonic '06. Which characters would you take to beat Link?
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Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/21/2010 2:00:04 PM | message detail

From: Xeybozn | #417
Which characters would you take to beat Link?




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charmander6000 | Posted 3/21/2010 2:01:00 PM | message detail
A bad game does not make you weaker, it just doesn't boost you that much.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/21/2010 2:03:04 PM | message detail
As for his first matches, again not a sign of Link weakness.

Link failed to meet expectations based on previous years' Links every time. Plus, we're looking at Snake and Samus at 44-45% on Link. I don't think they boosted that much. There's only so much of that you can blame on Cloud, too.
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Hvv0l24n9 | Posted 3/21/2010 2:04:50 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #397
Cloud isn't really any further away from Link in strength than he's ever been, by the way. Possibly indirectly he's gotten weaker, but I firmly believe no one else could have help Link in check this way. Granted he's winning comfortably, but Link has destroyed every other opponent he's had this year, except Cloud.


This. If we're taking out Link due to this gap, well we might as well take out Cloud. Didn't he beat Snake with 52% or something? The only way anyone besides Link beats him is anti-votes coupled with bandwagoning. And it didn't help this year. Yeah, I know you all don't believe the bandwagon, but I definitely think it was present. Just not strong enough.

And I really have to question if you people really think a FFVII remake wouldn't boost Cloud greatly...seriously.
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vcharon | Posted 3/21/2010 2:06:20 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #420

Link failed to meet expectations based on previous years' Links every time. Plus, we're looking at Snake and Samus at 44-45% on Link. I don't think they boosted that much. There's only so much of that you can blame on Cloud, too.


Very few characters met expectations in blowouts.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/21/2010 2:06:26 PM | message detail
Link is being anti-voted a lot, but it doesn't matter. He's too far ahead of everyone else to ever lose a normal 1v1 again. Retire him.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/21/2010 2:07:04 PM | message detail
I'm not even talking about blowouts against fodder. I don't even care about what he got on Thrall. What he got on Alucard was a lot less than should have been expected based on previous years.
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creativename | Posted 3/21/2010 2:07:39 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #1854
You're just being ignorant on purpose at this point.


Saying Link is 99% to win is being utterly detached for reality, and there's absolutely no excuse for being ignorant of this.

I said it before: People are being ignorant of reality and history when they make these foolishly overconfident statements for, as irriadin said with wisdom, posturing purposes. For god's sake's L-Block won a contest. L-BLOCK. "All logic" points to Link winning easily next year - but these contests are inherently unpredictable, and often defy "all logic".

Whatever agenda people have, people can argue it without making statements that are flat-out stupid, and untrue to anyone who can process logic.

Seriously, I can't believe anyone with any common sense or understanding of logic at all would be arguing this.

From: Denzokuken | #2055
For once Cloud may be getting antivoted less than his opponent then... I'm so proud of you gamefaqs, you've come a long way.


Well not really. Cloud almost certainly gets his typical anti-FF7 votes - even though Link displayed FF7 trends sometimes, it's Cloud showing the FF7 trends in this match clearly. Any Link anti-votes are easily offset by Cloud hate, as evidenced by the Power Hour and Cloud's typical rise to heaven since.

Cloud was maybe benefitting from Link anti-votes for all of the first minute maybe - he was at 44% there, higher than the rest of the board vote and Power Hour. But of course, even that is much lower than what he'll finish with.
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vcharon | Posted 3/21/2010 2:08:54 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #424
I'm not even talking about blowouts against fodder. I don't even care about what he got on Thrall. What he got on Alucard was a lot less than should have been expected based on previous years.


Based on what everyone else did though, Link ends up as far ahead of everyone as he always was.
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creativename | Posted 3/21/2010 2:10:05 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #2104
I'm not even talking about blowouts against fodder. I don't even care about what he got on Thrall. What he got on Alucard was a lot less than should have been expected based on previous years.


This actually is would be explained a lot by the night match. Link would've gotten absolute minimum 1.25% higher in a 24 hour match against those guys, perhaps even pushing 2% higher.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/21/2010 2:10:44 PM | message detail
Are you not looking at the stats? Link is not as far away from everyone as he use to be.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/21/2010 2:12:18 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #422
For god's sake's L-Block won a contest. L-BLOCK.


Yes in a 4-way contest, which has been proven to increase randomness and the potency of bandwagons/joke characters.

Please stop bringing up this point in your already flawed argument.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/21/2010 2:13:28 PM | message detail
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vcharon | Posted 3/21/2010 2:13:44 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #428
Are you not looking at the stats? Link is not as far away from everyone as he use to be.


Don't you mean everyone else is just closer to him? I'm not talking about "Link beats everyone by more than ever", I'm talking about Link being ahead of the next guy in the x-stats by the same margin he typically is. The field has just compacted itself a little bit, that's all.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/21/2010 2:14:02 PM | message detail
Considering Missingno almost had this contest in reach I don't think you could just go lol four-ways.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/21/2010 2:15:01 PM | message detail
Don't you mean everyone else is just closer to him?

No, I mean that Link got weaker this year.
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vcharon | Posted 3/21/2010 2:15:09 PM | message detail
Joke strength isn't a threat to Link, Missingno. proved it. It was put in a winnable situation against the most anti-voted character in existence and failed.
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creativename | Posted 3/21/2010 2:17:05 PM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #2109
Yes in a 4-way contest, which has been proven to increase randomness and the potency of bandwagons/joke characters.

Please stop bringing up this point in your already flawed argument.


Right. MY argument is flawed. Incredible. The lack of awareness of contest history is astounding.

A cameo in Kingdom Hearts was alone enough to beat Link. Cloud is going to hold him to under 54% in a year in which FF7 looked like absolute ass.

Link should at least stay stable, likely boost based on Zelda Wii - Cloud should continue to drop. "Should". Should does not always happen.

People want Link out of the main bracket, fine - rally for that. No problem. I don't have a problem with the agenda as much as with what absolutely dumbass things people are saying to support it. People don't need to make embarrassingly ignorant statements trying to support this idea.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/21/2010 2:17:54 PM | message detail
So, the threat was there or can we go lol expected final despite Cloud having to claw his way through two matches?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/21/2010 2:31:08 PM | message detail
Link ends up as far ahead of everyone as he always was.

The last time we ended up with multiple non-Cloud/Sephiroth characters at over 40% on Link was 2002, so make of that what you will.
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shadow8021 | Posted 3/21/2010 2:36:39 PM | message detail
"It was put in a winnable situation against the most anti-voted character in existence..."

Funny, I don't remember Missingno taking on Master Chief...
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Calintares | Posted 3/21/2010 2:37:08 PM | message detail
What would you take Snake to get against Link this year? do you take his value through Cloud at face value?
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Karma Hunter | Posted 3/21/2010 2:40:20 PM | message detail
His Smash support would've been sapped to a good degree, but I'd take Snake to easily stay above 40% in this match.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/21/2010 2:42:16 PM | message detail
What would you take Snake to get against Link this year? do you take his value through Cloud at face value?

I don't see why not. Thrall and Alucard told us that Link was weaker, but then we got impressed by his ability to lay down the SFF hammer against Luigi, Sonic, and Mario (maaaybe X, not sure). I'm sure if Cloud had faced Riku, Squall, and Sephiroth instead of Falcon, Samus, and Snake we'd be more in awe of his power too.
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vcharon | Posted 3/21/2010 2:42:42 PM | message detail
He'd probably cling to just above 40% I think. Cloud/Link is an eternal battle with a lot of people fiercely supporting each of them. Even with his bandwagon effect post-Sephiroth victory, Snake couldn't beat Cloud or even make it that interesting beyond the first few hours. If he had ran into Link instead of Cloud, then yeah I could see Link approaching 60% put being held under it by Snake fans.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/21/2010 2:44:33 PM | message detail
But the fact that someone is breaking 40% at all on Link is pretty impressive. Even in 2004, when Crono may have been the #4 guy in the Noble Nine, he couldn't even get that close to it on Link.
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FFI3_Lightning | Posted 3/21/2010 2:45:04 PM | message detail
Looking back at Link/Cloud in 06...

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2566

Same % and on the eve of TP. I would say Link has only gotten slighty weaker.
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vcharon | Posted 3/21/2010 2:48:53 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #443
But the fact that someone is breaking 40% at all on Link is pretty impressive. Even in 2004, when Crono may have been the #4 guy in the Noble Nine, he couldn't even get that close to it on Link.


I thought it was agreed this was just a different site now. The days of the Noble Nine beating down fodder with 85+% are gone and won't be coming back. It's only natural they'd do slightly worse on midcarders, upper midcarders, etc. That isn't a sign of Link being weaker or vulnerable at all though, which was the basis of this argument to begin with. People still want to say "anything can happen", but I don't believe it for one minute. Link is still on a plateau all by himself and he's not going to be approached.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/21/2010 2:51:28 PM | message detail
This has nothing to do with fodder. Snake isn't fodder.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/21/2010 2:52:08 PM | message detail
And arguing "this is a different site now" isn't an excuse for Link not doing as well relative to the rest of the field.
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vcharon | Posted 3/21/2010 2:55:17 PM | message detail
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irriadin | Posted 3/21/2010 2:55:29 PM | message detail
So if Link is on a tier to himself, what excludes Cloud Strife from being lumped into the "too strong for the normal bracket" group? A bandwagoned Snake couldn't bring the match close, apart from the first few hours. Samus was looking really good throughout the contest, yet she lost decisively. The ONLY outside shot at Cloud (apart from Link, obviously) is Mario.
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vcharon | Posted 3/21/2010 2:56:22 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #447
And arguing "this is a different site now" isn't an excuse for Link not doing as well relative to the rest of the field.


The point is he still is beating Cloud by about the same percentage as he ever has. I don't view it as Link being weaker, I just view it as several characters (like Snake) being stronger. Just because Snake is stronger doesn't equate to him beating Link or Link being weaker.
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