GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 893

LeonhartFour | Posted 3/20/2010 10:07:17 PM | message detail

From: Cyclo_Reaper | #395
A bracket with the winner predetermined is NOT a good bracket.


The odds Cloud loses 1-on-1 aren't THAT much worse, honestly. He just beat his best competition by over 5000 votes.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Dr_Football
charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:07:26 PM | message detail
A bracket with the winner predetermined is NOT a good bracket.

Something about the path being better than the destination or something...

If you don't like the final stay until the semi-finals then leave.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/20/2010 10:07:50 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #401
The odds Cloud loses 1-on-1 aren't THAT much worse, honestly. He just beat his best competition by over 5000 votes.


He would be the favorite, but he is vulnerable and CAN be beaten. The same can't be said for Link.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/20/2010 10:07:59 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #386
Is Link invincible? Actually, for practical purposes, I'd agree. But Link is *not* the reason this bracket was bad.


I do agree that I'd much rather have a well-constructed bracket than merely have Link be removed.

The big problem is that we aren't going to get a carefully constructed bracket. We saw that when we got this bracket, with fodder four-packs, Link getting a bunch of SFF matches, and all the wasted potential as characters like Vincent, Crono, and Tifa were flat-out wasted. The format was awesome, but the bracket was horrible.

I don't have any confidence that Bacon will work to make the second one better. I still think he should just have a couple of us regulars set it up for him for the price of not being able to compete for prizes, but that will probably never happen for reasons that have been gone over many times.
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Not Wylvane
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/20/2010 10:08:20 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #402
A bracket with the winner predetermined is NOT a good bracket.

Something about the path being better than the destination or something...

If you don't like the final stay until the semi-finals then leave.


You can have both a good journey and a good destination. You don't need to settle for one or the other.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/20/2010 10:08:21 PM | message detail
If you want to remove Link, make all matches be worth the same amount of points. Because it's absolutely ridiculous to let the winner be completely up to chance, instead of rewarding skilled bracketmaking.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/20/2010 10:08:21 PM | message detail
He would be the favorite, but he is vulnerable and CAN be beaten

Well, at least we can make ourselves think so anyway.
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"I couldn't stand a Dr_Football without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
creativename | Posted 3/20/2010 10:08:24 PM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #1901
This match only about 500 ahead of Cloud/Snake at this point in time. We might only be able to barely break 130000 at best here.


Site traffic has probably dropped quite a bit from back in the day. Nobody really uses FAQs anymore.

The younger crowd isn't very likely to come to this site - the site's probably been trending older and older over the years.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:08:44 PM | message detail
It's not a world-ending thing if he is in, but why bother?

Why bother having Cloud, Snake, Samus, Sephiroth and Mario if we're going to think like that?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
red sox 777 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:08:58 PM | message detail
The sub-1% chance that Link will lose in the next ten years is not worth 70 boring matches and the lack of an exciting final match.

Sub-1%? Link has lost 25% of all character battles. And 70 boring matches? First off, I like seeing Link blast characters into oblivion, it's something I hadn't even gotten to see since 2004. By taking out Link, you get realistically one more good semifinal match, at the expense of a truly great contest.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/20/2010 10:09:47 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #408
Site traffic has probably dropped quite a bit from back in the day. Nobody really uses FAQs anymore.

The younger crowd isn't very likely to come to this site - the site's probably been trending older and older over the years.


I'd blame it on a lack of interest in the contests as well. We already saw bracket numbers divebomb.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/20/2010 10:10:04 PM | message detail
He would be the favorite, but he is vulnerable and CAN be beaten. The same can't be said for Link.

Link is not that much higher than Cloud than Cloud is over Snake. If Cloud can be beaten, at worst Link isn't too far off for being beatable.
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Dr_Football punted my bracket across the field.
Congrats to Dr_Football for winning the Character Battle 8 Guru Contest!
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/20/2010 10:10:21 PM | message detail
This is the most embarassing discussion I've ever been involved in in these topics. The fact that anyone would argue against this motion is disgusting.

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Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/20/2010 10:11:04 PM | message detail
Wikis > FAQs these days. I definitely relied more on the Fallout 3 and ME1/2 Wikis than the FAQs here!
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Not Wylvane
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/20/2010 10:11:19 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #411
I'd blame it on a lack of interest in the contests as well. We already saw bracket numbers divebomb.


If the board the last couple days is any indication, people are tired of seeing Link always winning. For example, you'd lose interest in the NFL if you knew who would win the super bowl even before the season started... so why even bother following it? same thing here, and till Link is removed, I can see the interest waning.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:11:20 PM | message detail
This is the most embarassing discussion I've ever been involved in in these topics. The fact that anyone would argue against this motion is disgusting.

I know arguing the most popular character out of a contest is pretty embarassing.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/20/2010 10:11:24 PM | message detail
I'm not arguing that Link shouldn't be retired. I'd be fine with him being removed and placed in a bonus match. Heck, I'd almost prefer it.

I just don't think having Link in the bracket means you have a bad bracket.
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Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 3/20/2010 10:11:28 PM | message detail
Wow, I guess the Ganon and Zelda indicators were right after all, and Link just SFFed his side like crazy.
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.
creativename | Posted 3/20/2010 10:12:33 PM | message detail
Actually I think the vast majority thoroughly enjoy matches like Link vs. AiAi and Link vs. CATS, and LoZ Adventure. And of course Snake Tanner - who doesn't think Snake Tanner was absolutely awesome?
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/20/2010 10:12:57 PM | message detail
I've said it before and I'll say it again, the only people that care about the finals in a regular, Link-filled bracket, are people who take the superficial aspects of this contest too seriously. I think I speak for everyone here when I say that the biggest draw for us at least, is the competitiveness and stat discussion. Remove Link and Cloud, then you have a final which is a literal tossup, eliminating 3/4 of eligible brackets even though many of those people were the far more skilled bracket makers.

This is not a good time to remove Link because we do NOT have a clearly defined pecking order. A debated final would be no more interesting than a debated quarter or semi-final. But having that debated match in the semi-final doesn't reward dumb luck over bracket skill.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/20/2010 10:13:21 PM | message detail
This is the most embarassing discussion I've ever been involved in in these topics. The fact that anyone would argue against this motion is disgusting.

Eh, I've been caught up in the ****storm that the Vincent/Guybrush match started, which was worse IMO.
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paraboxx | Posted 3/20/2010 10:13:46 PM | message detail
Link is not that much higher than Cloud than Cloud is over Snake. If Cloud can be beaten, at worst Link isn't too far off for being beatable.

Yes, both characters have to get weaker before they can be beaten. But Cloud has reasons to get weaker. He hasn't had a lead role in a game since the turn of the century. The same cannot be said about Link.
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/20/2010 10:13:57 PM | message detail
so turtle is saying having a debated winner of the contest is a bad thing...

...lol wut
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 3/20/2010 10:14:18 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #413
This is the most embarassing discussion I've ever been involved in in these topics. The fact that anyone would argue against this motion is disgusting.


Agree.

You guys are embarrassing.
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Dr Football may not have beaten the Dant-A-Meter, but he did win the Guru!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/20/2010 10:14:40 PM | message detail
And what's with this Cloud invincibility thing? He's 2% away from Snake/Samus, but Mario has consistantly proven himself to be stronger than both of them. I think Mario wins a rematch with Cloud.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:14:48 PM | message detail
Yes, both characters have to get weaker before they can be beaten. But Cloud has reasons to get weaker. He hasn't had a lead role in a game since the turn of the century. The same cannot be said about Link.

It's pretty clear that Link got weaker this year.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/20/2010 10:15:11 PM | message detail

From: paraboxx | #422
Link is not that much higher than Cloud than Cloud is over Snake. If Cloud can be beaten, at worst Link isn't too far off for being beatable.

Yes, both characters have to get weaker before they can be beaten. But Cloud has reasons to get weaker. He hasn't had a lead role in a game since the turn of the century. The same cannot be said about Link.


Eh, that's not true. I think this Link is weaker. After all, Snake and Samus are going to be worth 40%+ on him rather easily by the time this is said and done. That hasn't happened since 2002.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...Dr_Football."
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:15:19 PM | message detail
All of this discussion is for naught anyway.

Lightning's going to storm (HA HA HA) the contest next year.
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rpgking17 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:15:19 PM | message detail
These contests are fun. Period. It's not like people get hurt when we have them. I mean, what do we lose? The usual "do you own ___ console" and "what is your favorite breakfast cereal" polls that nobody cares about?
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/20/2010 10:15:59 PM | message detail
Link hasn't had a mainline Zelda since 2006, and TP was nowhere near as big as OoT.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/20/2010 10:16:02 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #417
I'm not arguing that Link shouldn't be retired. I'd be fine with him being removed and placed in a bonus match. Heck, I'd almost prefer it.

I just don't think having Link in the bracket means you have a bad bracket.


Definitely agree with this. Link isn't the reason this bracket is bad. We can have a great bracket with Link in it. You just have to avoid giving him SFF matches and instead put non-Nintendo characters against him that you'd want to see good barometers on. I think Link vs Master Chief, for instance, would be a pretty enlightening match. Link vs X or Link vs Luigi is just a waste. Only SFF matches Link should be having is the first round or two against Nintendo fodder and the final rounds when it's kinda unavoidable.

But again, good luck getting Bacon to do that much work on the bracket!
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Not Wylvane
Dr Football Factor'd.
creativename | Posted 3/20/2010 10:16:36 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #2054
Wikis > FAQs these days. I definitely relied more on the Fallout 3 and ME1/2 Wikis than the FAQs here!


Indeed. I think a major reason people come here is that they've been a part of the community for a while. Because there's easier formats than FAQs out there, mainly wikis, which can also be visual (maps etc. ... pretty pictures FTW!).

The one thing FAQs would be good for is older and obscure games, which don't have wikis. But of course the demand isn't high for that, which is the reason the supply ain't high.
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paraboxx | Posted 3/20/2010 10:16:50 PM | message detail
It's pretty clear that Link got weaker this year.

Ehh, maybe. (It'll be clearer in about 23 hours.) But will Link have a new game next year? What about Cloud?
red sox 777 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:17:10 PM | message detail
I think Bacon likes seeing SFF matches for whatever reason. I can't see how else the Jenova Division could have happened.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:17:24 PM | message detail
The last two months have been fun and I don't see how removing Link would make those two months that more fun.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/20/2010 10:17:57 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #434
I think Bacon likes seeing SFF matches for whatever reason. I can't see how else the Jenova Division could have happened.


I think Bacon is secretly a closet SC2K4 fanboy.
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"I can set you free, Dr_Football."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/20/2010 10:18:16 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #435
The last two months have been fun and I don't see how removing Link would make those two months that more fun.


By giving us actual debate over the most important match of the contest, maybe?
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:19:27 PM | message detail
There would have been no debate, everyone would have taken Cloud.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:19:48 PM | message detail
By giving us actual debate over the most important match of the contest, maybe?

So Cloud becomes the overall one seed and goes up against Solid Snake in the final.

Oh wait we already saw that.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/20/2010 10:20:26 PM | message detail
I think there would have been some people take Mario to beat Cloud, but I don't think it would have been any more entertaining than Cloud/Snake or Cloud/Samus was. It would've basically been the same thing the third match in a row.
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"I can set you free, Dr_Football."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:21:18 PM | message detail
Removing Link is the wrong thing to do. I mean, for us, the bracket making, stat watching club, maybe it's good, but 58% of people on the site want to vote for Link here. It doesn't make sense to listen to the vocal minority when most people are against the idea. He's popular, people want to vote for him, and he only takes up what... seven matches? Who cares?
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:21:40 PM | message detail
Pre-contest no one would have taken Cloud to lose to anybody (besides those couple of gurus) and don't even bother to deny that.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/20/2010 10:21:51 PM | message detail
While Link is pretty weak relative to his usual strength now, the problem is he won't be this weak next year unless Zelda Wii turns out to be a complete joke on the level of Sony's 2006 E3 conference.

Eh, if Zelda Wii turns out to be another Wind Waker-type game that polarizes the fanbase, then maybe it is feasible for Link to fall. But then the big problem is that Cloud and Snake aren't going to get many more new games to help them, while Mario and Samus will still get their everliving **** SFFed out of them.

The potential is there for Link to be taken out. The problem is that our current crew don't have the intangibles in their favor to take him out.
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Not Wylvane
Dr Football Factor'd.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/20/2010 10:22:20 PM | message detail
Give Link a bracket half with some lower tier NNers and high-tier elits. Stick Samus/Snake/Cloud/Mario in the bottom half and let them duke it out.

Link

Ryu/Dante/Zero/Leon

Mega Man/Sephiroth/Auron/Squall

Crono/Tifa/Sonic/X


Cloud/Pikachu/Bowser/X

Mario

Snake/Vincent/Charizard/Luigi

Samus/Ganondorf/Zelda

Or something like that as your divisions. Great bracket preserving a bunch of our clusters of characters.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
RevolverSaro | Posted 3/20/2010 10:22:33 PM | message detail
Quick question. is there any scenario where Palmer doesn't win?  I mean, everyone on the leader board has Link winning. So even if Link loses, would he still win?
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:22:42 PM | message detail
KH3 + SSB4 + Chrono 3 = Victory!
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/20/2010 10:22:48 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #442
Pre-contest no one would have taken Cloud to lose to anybody (besides those couple of gurus) and don't even bother to deny that.


I had Snake > Cloud in my bracket.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/20/2010 10:23:05 PM | message detail

From: RevolverSaro | #445
Quick question. is there any scenario where Palmer doesn't win?  I mean, everyone on the leader board has Link winning. So even if Link loses, would he still win?


A Cloud winner would win.

But that's a moot point.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:23:42 PM | message detail
So even if Link loses, would he still win?

Probably not, I think someone has enough points to overtake him.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
PiGuy96 | Posted 3/20/2010 10:23:51 PM | message detail
Snake went from 43% to 48% on Cloud - Cloud's definitely going to be vulnerable next year assuming KH3 or whatever doesn't come out. (Which I think is a pretty safe assumption.) Is Link going to beatable? Almost certainly not. If Link were replaced by LeChuck (awesome idea, Wyvlane), we'd have gotten X/Luigi and X/Sonic, and then a Mario/Cloud finals. That's a pretty decent step up from the current setup.
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