GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 893

LeonhartFour | Posted 3/20/2010 9:14:33 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #192
LOL Sandal

Will that hold, even with adjustments?


Sandal is fixed since he was in Link's half. Doesn't matter what Cloud does.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/20/2010 9:14:36 PM | message detail
You know what's awesome?

We'll actually have adjustments and (somewhat) relevant statistics to discuss in the off-season. Should be the best offseason since 2006!
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
creativename | Posted 3/20/2010 9:14:39 PM | message detail
red sox and Hochi are easily the stars of this topic.

The rest of you are plain inferior. As are we all.
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gamefaqscontests.com
gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/20/2010 9:14:51 PM | message detail
I like how Link vs Cloud is going to become Mario vs Crono indirectly.

The only other redeeming possibility is Link proceeding to crush Cloud so hard that Charizard ends up on the Top 10! We need the big three Pokemon in the Top 10!
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Not Wylvane
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:15:04 PM | message detail
Well, Sandal's behind Link/Luigi. But even a generous increase for Luigi leaves Sandal under 10%.
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Mustache...and Green...
Master Moltar | Posted 3/20/2010 9:15:15 PM | message detail
link what a beast
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Link > Cloud (322/384)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
zenk123 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:15:24 PM | message detail
23.64 Terra Branford
22.81 Kefka
22.61 Zack Fair
18.72 Yuna
18.44 Ken


hahaha

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too lazy to come up with a signature
charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:15:44 PM | message detail
Link over 58%

Take that Crono!
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/20/2010 9:15:50 PM | message detail
Link slowing down already.

He can't even break 60% on the Power Hour! What a weakling!
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Not Wylvane
LordTMax | Posted 3/20/2010 9:16:01 PM | message detail
632 lead for Link
GG
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Close Enough
Gamefaqs mods:"No, we moderate random posts for fun."
love0vs0hate | Posted 3/20/2010 9:16:10 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3856&region=DE
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Vote for CATS!!!
PSN- BeaverMoose
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/20/2010 9:16:16 PM | message detail
Link had 59.12% at the 15 minute mark in 2006. Link is still underachieving by 1%
paraboxx | Posted 3/20/2010 9:16:20 PM | message detail
And here I thought a 1v1 would give us better x-stats than the 4-ways. LOfreakinL.
love0vs0hate | Posted 3/20/2010 9:16:26 PM | message detail
Heil Link
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Vote for CATS!!!
PSN- BeaverMoose
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/20/2010 9:16:33 PM | message detail
Seriously, unless Link really steps it up soon, Crono might win this match.
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Not Wylvane
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 3/20/2010 9:16:38 PM | message detail
i love you hochi
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"Why did you come with me?" "Only because I wanted to go with you."
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 3/20/2010 9:16:41 PM | message detail
Damn, someone voted for Link in the Philippines. A shutout would've been nice.
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 3/20/2010 9:16:46 PM | message detail
so who is responsible for the bracket being this fubar?

Zard or Missingno?
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
voltch | Posted 3/20/2010 9:16:49 PM | message detail
alright, who's staying here for the off-season?
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Shakes Fist!
charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:17:04 PM | message detail
And here I thought a 1v1 would give us better x-stats than the 4-ways. LOfreakinL.

Another reason why four-ways are better.

>_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/20/2010 9:17:25 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #205
Well, Sandal's behind Link/Luigi. But even a generous increase for Luigi leaves Sandal under 10%.


Uh.... I guess Luigi 2003 wasn't behind SFF?
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"How's this for a headline? 'French Fries' " -James French, Last Words
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/20/2010 9:17:34 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
338----1------------100.00
337----0------------0.00
336----0------------0.00
335----0------------0.00
334----0------------0.00
333----1------------100.00
332----0------------0.00
331----0------------0.00
330----2------------100.00
329----0------------0.00
328----0------------0.00
327----2------------100.00
326----1------------100.00
325----1------------100.00
324----2------------100.00
323----0------------0.00
322----2------------50.00
321----4------------75.00
320----5------------80.00
319----4------------75.00
318----7------------85.71
317----8------------75.00
316----9------------100.00
315----8------------87.50
314----16----------87.50
313----12----------66.67
312----12----------66.67
311----21----------90.48
310----19----------89.47
309----22----------81.82
308----27----------85.19
307----17----------100.00
306----21----------90.48
305----17----------88.24
304----24----------87.50
303----25----------88.00
302----35----------88.57
301----45----------95.56
300----31----------87.10
299----39----------92.31
298----49----------91.84
297----55----------81.82
296----53----------88.68
295----65----------86.15
294----52----------92.31
293----56----------76.79
292----72----------90.28
291----46----------86.96
290----51----------96.08
289----64----------78.13
288----70----------78.57
287----74----------89.19
286----58----------84.48
285----74----------70.27
284----62----------82.26
283----81----------76.54
282----82----------74.39
281----74----------86.49
280----98----------81.63
279----80----------63.75
278----87----------77.01
277----105--------67.62
276----109--------74.31
275----112--------69.64
274----114--------72.81
273----90----------71.11
272----121--------68.60
271----135--------69.63
270----129--------65.89
269----131--------65.65
268----155--------77.42
267----131--------69.47
266----125--------72.80
265----151--------71.52
264----153--------69.93
263----170--------70.59
262----139--------55.40
261----181--------64.64
260----161--------64.60
259----139--------71.22
258----165--------69.09
257----171--------60.23
256----150--------60.67
255----179--------68.72
254----163--------59.51
253----158--------70.25
252----160--------60.00
251----183--------56.28
250----165--------56.97
249----173--------63.01
248----155--------58.06
247----168--------56.55
246----183--------51.91
245----149--------56.38
244----165--------62.42
243----131--------51.91
242----173--------56.07
241----158--------55.70
240----161--------52.17
239----145--------52.41
238----147--------55.10
237----166--------56.02
236----175--------53.71
235----162--------46.30
234----138--------58.70
233----153--------54.25
232----154--------53.25
231----145--------53.10
230----183--------46.45
229----158--------47.47
228----120--------48.33
227----162--------54.94
226----159--------45.91
225----153--------41.83
224----162--------54.94
223----147--------50.34
222----156--------47.44
221----154--------46.75
220----172--------38.37
219----171--------42.69
218----121--------42.98
217----142--------51.41
216----117--------41.03
215----128--------39.06
214----141--------41.13
213----145--------42.76
212----161--------44.10
211----120--------43.33
210----127--------47.24
209----121--------41.32
208----143--------42.66
207----118--------36.44
206----134--------38.06
205----140--------42.14
204----122--------39.34
203----134--------39.55
202----126--------33.33
201----154--------45.45
200----134--------27.61
199----132--------29.55
198----122--------36.07
197----137--------34.31
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/20/2010 9:17:40 PM | message detail
196----103--------31.07
195----135--------30.37
194----127--------37.80
193----124--------34.68
192----129--------38.76
191----109--------33.94
190----119--------35.29
189----105--------38.10
188----106--------30.19
187----107--------28.97
186----115--------31.30
185----110--------39.09
184----97----------17.53
183----85----------27.06
182----111--------27.03
181----92----------23.91
180----108--------28.70
179----125--------30.40
178----102--------27.45
177----116--------21.55
176----110--------28.18
175----101--------26.73
174----92----------28.26
173----94----------20.21
172----85----------25.88
171----100--------30.00
170----100--------31.00
169----100--------32.00
168----101--------20.79
167----90----------23.33
166----69----------28.99
165----119--------22.69
164----97----------18.56
163----86----------25.58
162----87----------20.69
161----80----------22.50
160----99----------20.20
159----91----------31.87
158----101--------16.83
157----89----------26.97
156----95----------20.00
155----107--------21.50
154----102--------23.53
153----84----------16.67
152----81----------30.86
151----101--------18.81
150----94----------23.40
149----87----------26.44
148----92----------14.13
147----96----------17.71
146----82----------23.17
145----104--------18.27
144----88----------18.18
143----91----------20.88
142----97----------17.53
141----97----------29.90
140----82----------24.39
139----78----------17.95
138----108--------18.52
137----71----------18.31
136----84----------25.00
135----85----------27.06
134----83----------20.48
133----78----------23.08
132----81----------20.99
131----86----------22.09
130----82----------19.51
129----91----------15.38
128----85----------23.53
127----78----------23.08
126----93----------18.28
125----103--------17.48
124----68----------25.00
123----89----------11.24
122----98----------18.37
121----74----------21.62
120----76----------15.79
119----86----------16.28
118----100--------18.00
117----83----------22.89
116----98----------14.29
115----79----------13.92
114----96----------20.83
113----68----------19.12
112----96----------11.46
111----92----------13.04
110----78----------16.67
109----88----------10.23
108----73----------12.33
107----91----------13.19
106----93----------9.68
105----81----------8.64
104----84----------15.48
103----84----------17.86
102----100--------8.00
101----86----------12.79
100----71----------1.41
99------75----------10.67
98------86----------8.14
97------92----------6.52
96------65----------6.15
95------73----------2.74
94------82----------3.66
93------64----------1.56
92------71----------2.82
91------70----------2.86
90------76----------5.26
89------70----------1.43
88------81----------4.94
87------58----------3.45
86------82----------2.44
85------56----------1.79
84------64----------3.13

82------75----------2.67

79------49----------2.04
78------49----------2.04

71------36----------2.78

69------49----------2.04

65------26----------3.85

45------10----------10.00

39------6------------16.67
38------6------------16.67

31------7------------42.86

Omitted scores got it wrong.

Cloud wasn't quite as dominant as Link. Just under 40% had him getting to the finals. Unlike Link, there were a couple people near the top who thought someone would upset Cloud but the brackets at the very top knew Cloud would come through. Cloud's prediction percentage is erratic near the top since there are so few brackets in each tier. It starts to stabilze around 300 at a high 80 prediction percentage. From there is the usual slow decline.
red sox 777 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:17:56 PM | message detail
Uh, of course Crono will win this match. Crono not winning this match would be a colossal failure considering he's projected to 47% on Sephiroth, Sephiroth didn't face Cloud, and Mario did face Link.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/20/2010 9:18:00 PM | message detail

From: Shoenin_Kakashi | #218
so who is responsible for the bracket being this fubar?

Zard or Missingno?


The most hilarious thing is, Missingno is probably one of the more consistent characters in this entire damn contest compared to stuff like Snake's run and Link SFFing half the bracket.
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Not Wylvane
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/20/2010 9:18:41 PM | message detail
8 people fell off the Top 50 this time SergeantMuffin, Iamthekuzalol, mazoku4, RikkuRikkuRikku, ChumpMoney, Semifinal and RappinHobo9292 did not have Cloud winning.

Everyone on the Top 50 has Link winning so this is the final list of people who fell off the Top 50.

Congrats to everyone who made the final Top 50 list!
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:19:35 PM | message detail
The most damaging SFF matches from a X-stat perspective are Link/Mario and Mario/Mega Man. Mega Man/Hayabusa is obviously bad but only affects four characters and you can make what you will of Mario/Charizard. The bottom half is pretty clean - there's Missingno and Vincent in Jenova and that's about it.
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Mustache...and Green...
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/20/2010 9:19:57 PM | message detail

From: Shoenin_Kakashi | #218
so who is responsible for the bracket being this fubar?

Zard or Missingno?


Charizard, Missigno and Tifa are the main offenders. Link/Mario and Mario/Mega Man didn't help things.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/20/2010 9:20:02 PM | message detail
Another reason why four-ways are better.

>_>


No. Just... No.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
creativename | Posted 3/20/2010 9:20:15 PM | message detail
This is the first time ever I'm rooting for Link to finish as high as possible, so I can win the Oracle. My pick is 57.15%.

I'm not liking my chances so far. Even with Link's FF7 trends, he's actually up against FF7 this time. Don't expect Cloud to rise much - think he'll fall more before he rises too - but, he should rise at least a bit by the finish due to the overnight vote.
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gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/20/2010 9:20:20 PM | message detail
Oh ****, a Crono gain!
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Not Wylvane
charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:20:24 PM | message detail
Crono with the cut.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
red sox 777 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:20:28 PM | message detail
The stats are actually decently good this year. The main problem is day/night effects, and SFF as usual. There's little evidence that bandwagons really did a huge amount this year- certainly a lot less than with the 4-way contests.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/20/2010 9:20:34 PM | message detail
Second Half Stats

Cloud Strife – 50.00%
Solid Snake – 47.91%
Samus Aran – 47.19%
Sephiroth – 45.07%
Pikachu – 42.93%
Missingno – 42.48%
Crono – 42.24%
Yoshi – 41.19%
Tifa Lockhart – 39.52%
Squall Leonhart – 39.12%
Auron – 37.71%
Princess Zelda – 34.12%
Ryu – 34.02%
Dante – 33.78%
Vincent Valentine – 33.66%
Commander Shepard – 33.47%
Zero – 32.66%
Aerith Gainsborough – 31.95%
Fox McCloud – 31.59%
Big Daddy – 31.26%
Sub-Zero – 30.85%
Jill Valentine – 30.65%
Captain Falcon – 30.07%
Gordon Freeman – 30.07%
Leon Kennedy – 29.34%
Riku – 28.58%
Ness – 28.53%
Tidus – 28.47%
Ridley – 28.28%
Princess Peach – 28.11%
Chris Redfield – 28.01%
Terra Branford – 27.76%
Jecht – 27.48%
Protoman – 26.49%
Phoenix Wright – 26.00%
Ezio Auditore da Firenze – 25.85%
Darth Revan – 25.61%
Marth – 25.42%
Roxas – 25.27%
Akuma – 25.03%
Ratchet – 24.10%
Soap MacTavish – 23.91%
Vault Boy – 23.00%
Heavy – 21.75%
Ramza Beoulve – 21.54%
Marcus Fenix – 21.44%
Banjo – 21.39%
Balthier Bunansa – 21.11%
Simon Belmont – 20.83%
Axel – 20.70%
Lloyd Irving – 20.69%
Sackboy – 20.65%
The Prince of Persia – 20.11%
Niko Bellic – 20.10%
Geno – 20.07%
Travis Touchdown – 20.01%
Jak – 19.26%
Kratos Aurion – 18.76%
Captain MacMillan – 17.92%
Wander – 17.36%
Yuri Lowell – 16.84%
Ellis – 16.21%
Eddie Riggs – 15.23%
Guybrush Threepwood – 15.19%
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/20/2010 9:20:40 PM | message detail
Also Pikachu
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/20/2010 9:21:19 PM | message detail
Hey sox, what does Crono/Vincent give us here?
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http://i43.tinypic.com/24y7282.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
voltch | Posted 3/20/2010 9:21:21 PM | message detail
12 hours really did end up having a bigger effect than we thought.
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Shakes Fist!
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:21:25 PM | message detail
Oh, and Snake/rat, of course. Not sure how I forgot about that.
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Mustache...and Green...
charmander6000 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:22:04 PM | message detail
I see nothing wrong with Tifa's performance.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Link
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/20/2010 9:22:12 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #234
Second Half Stats

Pikachu – 42.93%
Missingno – 42.48%
Crono – 42.24%
Yoshi – 41.19%
Tifa Lockhart – 39.52%
Squall Leonhart – 39.12%
Auron – 37.71%
Princess Zelda – 34.12%
Ryu – 34.02%
Dante – 33.78%
Vincent Valentine – 33.66%


Best contest ever.
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Not Wylvane
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/20/2010 9:22:14 PM | message detail
I'm liking the Zero/Ryu/Dante trio

Zero
Leon

Ryu
Dante

Who wins assuming no sprite rounds?
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/20/2010 9:23:11 PM | message detail
Protoman – 26.49%
Phoenix Wright – 26.00%


Eagerly awaiting Board 8's bitter tears
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
red sox 777 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:23:41 PM | message detail
Hey sox, what does Crono/Vincent give us here?

Let's see.....Cloud wins with 52.28%.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
SnoicFactor | Posted 3/20/2010 9:23:41 PM | message detail
so its just clink now right? Rip clinkeroth
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Sonic_Factor
The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/20/2010 9:23:49 PM | message detail
Yeah it looks pretty bad for Sephiroth but then going and losing pretty cleanly to Snake kind of justifies it, Maybe there's a percent or so there that she overperformed by, but eh...

I mean what are you going to argue there, REVERSE SFF?
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 3/20/2010 9:24:02 PM | message detail
of those 4, its RYE-YOO winning probably.

DANTA would be 2nd and ZELLLLLLLLLLLLOOOOOOOOOOOO would be 3rd.
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/20/2010 9:24:05 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #242
Protoman – 26.49%
Phoenix Wright – 26.00%


Eagerly awaiting Board 8's bitter tears


Finishing less than half a percent ahead of Phoenix Wright is not bragging grounds.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
red sox 777 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:24:59 PM | message detail
Cloud is winning in 3 continents already.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
paulg235 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:25:08 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #247
Finishing less than half a percent ahead of Phoenix Wright is not bragging grounds.


Not to mention Zelda got SFF'ed against Samus, so when adjusted...
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The Gamer In Me
"paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane
xp1337 | Posted 3/20/2010 9:25:11 PM | message detail
From: red sox 777 | #243
Hey sox, what does Crono/Vincent give us here?

Let's see.....Cloud wins with 52.28%.


yessssssss

Cloud's got this.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k10 (331/384) Link v Cloud