GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 890

TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/19/2010 9:02:33 PM | message detail
Only a fool trusts his life to a weapon

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Vincent, Kirby, Missingno, Charizard, et al group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters recently.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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Good luck Freeman! Be Adequate!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/19/2010 9:05:29 PM | message detail
Bayonetta vs. These Two
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/19/2010 9:05:47 PM | message detail
Mario > Samus > Snake > Sephiroth

All is right with the world.
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Not Wylvane
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 3/19/2010 9:05:51 PM | message detail
Bayonetta's ass > Link
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"Why did you come with me?" "Only because I wanted to go with you."
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/19/2010 9:05:51 PM | message detail
So Link vs. Cloud

what a great final

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4
charmander6000 | Posted 3/19/2010 9:05:53 PM | message detail
At this rate Samus will finish ahead of Snake after 12 hours.

Early Mario/Snake predictions anyone >_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Cloud Strife
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/19/2010 9:06:02 PM | message detail
Cloud takes the lead by the 15 minute mark and never looks back.
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http://i43.tinypic.com/24y7282.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/19/2010 9:06:06 PM | message detail
I was quite wrong about Link not SFFing Mario (darn you Link), but it seems I was quite right about this match. I'd have liked to have those reversed.
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Mustache...and Green...
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/19/2010 9:06:27 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #003
Mario > Samus > Snake > Sephiroth

All is right with the world.


Mario should be behind all three of em in the final stats.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/19/2010 9:06:37 PM | message detail
So Dr Football wins Guru and Palmer wins the contest, right?
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Not Wylvane
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/19/2010 9:06:43 PM | message detail
24 hours of Link dominating Cloud tomorrow

yaaaaaaaay
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Thank you for assuming the party escort submission position
Jman_maximum | Posted 3/19/2010 9:06:55 PM | message detail
Mario is the weakest of them IMO
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/19/2010 9:06:59 PM | message detail
So Link vs. Cloud

what a great final


It will be great after Cloud wins.

Bandwagon vote and all.
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
Kotetsu534 | Posted 3/19/2010 9:06:59 PM | message detail
1430 vote at the freeze, Snake leading by 74. Cloud seemed to be doing better in the last minute, but the next update is crucial. Cloud can be pretty happy with that, I think.

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Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XIII
xp1337 | Posted 3/19/2010 9:07:02 PM | message detail
47.41% at the freeze. This is well beyond my wildest expectations.

Now to just make sure this isn't the greatest joke in the world and it turned out Cloud won the board vote or some similarly crazy thing. (I assume nothing!)
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k10 (267/318) Link v Mario
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/19/2010 9:07:06 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #005
So Link vs. Cloud

what a great final


...let's not even start this. This is a LESS EXPECTED result than Snake with 60%.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
red sox 777 | Posted 3/19/2010 9:07:08 PM | message detail
74 votes at the freeze

1. Link
2. Cloud
3. Samus
4. Snake
5. Sephiroth
6. Mario

Missingno is completely legit and Crono would actually get 47% on Sephiroth. Just wait a couple more years, and my greatest upset of 7 years will come to fruition. Yes, this is true. It is not false. Really.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
DidYouMWISMe | Posted 3/19/2010 9:07:17 PM | message detail
It's bizarre that Sephiroth's lost all kinds of strength that Cloud hasn't lost, though.
...I'll have to think as to why that is.
Master Moltar | Posted 3/19/2010 9:07:19 PM | message detail
So who are you taking over Sephiroth next contest?
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Cloud (290/352)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/19/2010 9:07:32 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #009
Mario should be behind all three of em in the final stats.


Stats have Pikachu even with Sephiroth and above Squall, so I can live with that!
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Not Wylvane
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/19/2010 9:07:35 PM | message detail
...let's not even start this. This is a LESS EXPECTED result than Snake with 60%.

really

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4
HaRRicH | Posted 3/19/2010 9:07:41 PM | message detail
For what it's worth, Samus is Nintendo, so her doing better with the Power Hour than Solid isn't exactly shocking.

Still, damn Solid, you're not looking so hot right now. You can do this!
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Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart!
Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/19/2010 9:07:47 PM | message detail
52.5% aint enough to hold the lead, Mr. Snake! Oh well, nice knowing you anyways.

So would you pick Mario/Samus over Sephiroth now? Mario over Cloud? I actually now think that Cloud would win by a VERY slight amount over Mario, and any amount of Mario game fuel could tip the scales in the plumber's favor. Just like in 2002!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/19/2010 9:07:55 PM | message detail
Well, all that's left is for the Squall > Sephiroth bandwagon next year!
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Haguile | Posted 3/19/2010 9:07:56 PM | message detail
Snake? Snake? SNAAAAAAAAAAAAAAKE!
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B8 Liar Game
vcharon | Posted 3/19/2010 9:08:08 PM | message detail
Curiosity got the best of me.

Wow at you people already giving up on Snake when he's in the lead, after he kicked Sephiroth's ass pretty much from start to finish. It isn't like he crushed Sephiroth for a few hours and then just held on. Jesus Christ and people call me negative.
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:>
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/19/2010 9:08:20 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #021
...let's not even start this. This is a LESS EXPECTED result than Snake with 60%.

really


Absolutely. Not many (any?) people expected Cloud with 47.5% at the freeze.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/19/2010 9:08:20 PM | message detail

From: DidYouMWISMe | #018
It's bizarre that Sephiroth's lost all kinds of strength that Cloud hasn't lost, though.
...I'll have to think as to why that is.


As the main character, Cloud represents FF7. As more of a fan favorite, Sephiroth needs more recency to stay relevant. Thus, he falls off at a faster rate than Cloud.

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4
xp1337 | Posted 3/19/2010 9:08:38 PM | message detail
Missingno is completely legit and Crono would actually get 47% on Sephiroth.

Best. Character. Contest. Ever.

I almost have to reconsider my position on Missingno over this!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k10 (267/318) Link v Mario
Cecil XIX | Posted 3/19/2010 9:08:38 PM | message detail
Yeah, let's not give up on someone when they're still in the lead!
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Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1
Congrats to Krahenprophet for his well-deserved victory.
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 3/19/2010 9:08:48 PM | message detail

From: DidYouMWISMe | #018
It's bizarre that Sephiroth's lost all kinds of strength that Cloud hasn't lost, though.
...I'll have to think as to why that is.


Because Cloud is the main character and Sephiroth is an NPC.

Really, it's amazing that Sephiroth was able to be the clear cut number three on the site for as long as he has.
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"Why did you come with me?" "Only because I wanted to go with you."
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/19/2010 9:08:54 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #026
Wow at you people already giving up on Snake when he's in the lead, after he kicked Sephiroth's ass pretty much from start to finish. It isn't like he crushed Sephiroth for a few hours and then just held on. Jesus Christ and people call me negative.


Cloud rises at LEAST 5-6% from the board vote every match.
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http://i43.tinypic.com/24y7282.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
voltch | Posted 3/19/2010 9:09:21 PM | message detail
dude, no, the rat being so high is just wrong, if it was ZARD I could live with it, but not pikachu, lightball+timid nature is what i generally used with him, it still sucks.
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Shakes Fist!
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 3/19/2010 9:09:30 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #026
Curiosity got the best of me.

Wow at you people already giving up on Snake when he's in the lead, after he kicked Sephiroth's ass pretty much from start to finish. It isn't like he crushed Sephiroth for a few hours and then just held on. Jesus Christ and people call me negative.


He's not even ahead by a hundred votes at cloud's worst hour.

Snake is going to get eaten alive a bit later.
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/19/2010 9:09:45 PM | message detail

From: Master Moltar | #019
So who are you taking over Sephiroth next contest?


I thought about that. I'd easily take Mario and Samus over him. I think the lowest I'd go would actually be Mega Man. He almost did it once, after all!

Too bad all the other Square near-elites would get SFFed by him, but even without SFF I don't think they could do it. Mega Man... maybe.
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Not Wylvane
red sox 777 | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:08 PM | message detail
Seriously though, Snake still beats Mario easy, weird Brawl SFF notwithstanding. The bandwagon didn't materialize, we're only at 1430 votes at the freeze (compare with Sephiroth/Missingno). 45% or whatever he ends with on Cloud is substantially better than Mario could do, and Cloud should be able to give us a respectable showing on Link tomorrow.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:11 PM | message detail
SNAAAAAAAAAKE
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Master Moltar | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:12 PM | message detail
yesssssssssssss
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Cloud (290/352)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:12 PM | message detail
WOAH

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4
Cyclo_Reaper | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:18 PM | message detail
what
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http://i43.tinypic.com/24y7282.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:18 PM | message detail
XD Cloud won the board vote.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:23 PM | message detail
XD delayed board vote?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 325/384 - Today's Winner: Cloud Strife
vcharon | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:29 PM | message detail
Now to act all shocked and surprised.

Children.
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:>
xp1337 | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:29 PM | message detail
Cloud went down?

Oh damnit no, I was kidding before!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k10 (267/318) Link v Mario
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:35 PM | message detail
SUPER SAIYAN SNAKE, defying the CLOUD's BOARD VOTE, WTF.
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Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times"
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:36 PM | message detail
LMAO

Cloud won the ****ing board vote.

Cloud. Won. The board vote.
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Not Wylvane
chocoboslayer | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:37 PM | message detail
!
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PotD's OFFICIAL King of Games!™
The Choco. The Cream of Yuna Fanboyism.
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:40 PM | message detail
God damnit Snake
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"Why did you come with me?" "Only because I wanted to go with you."
red sox 777 | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:41 PM | message detail
Wait, Cloud won the board vote?

???

Snake always wins indeed.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
DidYouMWISMe | Posted 3/19/2010 9:10:42 PM | message detail
...This...


...This match is making no sense.