GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 889
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/19/2010 12:28:44 PM | message detail |
The
funny thing is that if Snake doesn't get bandwagoned past Cloud, the
bandwagon is likely going to turn into an anti-ff7 ****storm in stead
of adding to Cloud's power and Link will obliterate him. What should happen is Cloud will beat Snake, and then the bandwagoners on Snake's side switch to Cloud and Cloud beats Link again. You would think, with all the people hoping for a 'non boring' contest, would be content with Snake giving Cloud a good match and then rallying Cloud past Link. One would hope. One would be wrong. --- The ultimate Snow fanboy - Curt Yeah...it probably is. But I've got to do something, right? |
Swarles_Barkley | Posted 3/19/2010 12:29:24 PM | message detail |
Snake
has a better chance of winning the contest than Cloud does, but he also
has a better chance of failing to break 40% on Link. I wouldn't be
surprised if he did tbh --- Hello, Dexter Morgan |
TheSnowVilliers | Posted 3/19/2010 12:30:48 PM | message detail |
Uh...Snake
doesn't have a better chance of beating Link than Cloud does. Period.
Snake has a 0% chance. At least with a bandwagon/rally Cloud could do
it. Snake can't. --- The ultimate Snow fanboy - Curt Just make sure you know if you're hangin' on the cross, or bangin' in the nails. |
vcharon | Posted 3/19/2010 12:31:07 PM | message detail |
I
can't see anyone but Link winning the contest, and I think Cloud has a
better chance of doing better against Link based on his fanbase being a
lot further away from Link than Snake's is. --- :> |
Swarles_Barkley | Posted 3/19/2010 12:31:45 PM | message detail |
Cloud's
gonna get a bandwagon? There's a better chance of Snake getting 60%+ in
the finals than there is of Cloud getting a bandwagon. --- Hello, Dexter Morgan |
vcharon | Posted 3/19/2010 12:31:55 PM | message detail |
And
yeah, if Cloud could get the rallies and bandwagon effect he'd actually
have a chance. But he's never going to get that sort of support again. --- :> |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/19/2010 12:32:57 PM | message detail |
Well
before most people said Cloud/Sephiroth would be somewhere between
52-55% so Cloud does have a window of opportunity. Plus having the
night might help too. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 261/320 - Today's Winner: Link |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/19/2010 12:33:02 PM | message detail |
Cloud getting a bandwagon isn't completely
impossible, Link's had FFVII trends this contest. Just look at today-
he's going to end up like 7 points above where he was at the freeze. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/19/2010 12:34:29 PM | message detail |
Mario is trying his hardest to try and stay above 36%. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 261/320 - Today's Winner: Link |
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/19/2010 12:34:33 PM | message detail |
Man
Snake broke 45% on Link last year with that bandwagon. Fourways and all
that (plus that was one HELL of a bandwagon, I'd be stunned if it came
through like *that* again), but why are we so down on him breaking 40%?
=/ --- http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/19/2010 12:35:52 PM | message detail |
If Snake can beat Cloud, there's really no reason to think he won't break 40% on Link unless we think: A. Link breaks 60% on Cloud B. Snake's bandwagon/rallying/whatever magically disappears the moment he faces Link C. Link SFFs Snake --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
TheSnowVilliers | Posted 3/19/2010 12:35:54 PM | message detail |
My
point is this -- Snake beat Sephiroth with a bandwagon -- and it was
generally assumed beforehand that Snake was at least 5% or more weaker
than Seph (in 06 at least, and I mean Snake has been the beneficiary of
bandwagoning/rallying for the last couple of contests). Now take that
away and apply it to Cloud. If Snake can muster up about 5% in
rallying/bandwagoning...Maybe anti-champion + bandwagoning would
potentially propel Cloud above Link? --- The ultimate Snow fanboy - Curt Just make sure you know whether you're hangin' on the cross, or bangin' in the nails. |
Swarles_Barkley | Posted 3/19/2010 12:35:59 PM | message detail |
I'd sooner say Link would get a bandwagon than Cloud, honestly. FFVII always wins, right? --- Hello, Dexter Morgan |
Swarles_Barkley | Posted 3/19/2010 12:36:51 PM | message detail |
C. Link SFFs Snake ^ that --- Hello, Dexter Morgan |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/19/2010 12:37:13 PM | message detail |
Snake doesn't need a bandwagon to defeat Cloud though. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 261/320 - Today's Winner: Link |
Swarles_Barkley | Posted 3/19/2010 12:37:46 PM | message detail |
Snake doesn't need a bandwagon to defeat Cloud though. Yeah, he does. --- Hello, Dexter Morgan |
TheSnowVilliers | Posted 3/19/2010 12:38:18 PM | message detail |
Because it's a combination of a couple of things. 1) anti-FF voting helped Snake a lot, as well as bandwagoning in 4 ways being much much more effective. 2) 4 ways are completely unreliable in that sense. 3) Link is going to SFF Snake to a degree because a lot of his popularity boost came from SSBB. If Snake gets to the finals I think we're going to see the biggest blowout of any final. If Cloud makes it there we could see the same because of anti-Cloud bandwagoners that are disappointed he beat Snake. But there's that 1% possibility that maybe, just maybe, people could be smart enough to bandwagon Cloud for a completely unexpected result. --- The ultimate Snow fanboy - Curt Just make sure you know whether you're hangin' on the cross, or bangin' in the nails. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/19/2010 12:38:53 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #265 Why not? Do we think Cloud gets less than 53% on Sephy indirectly? Or do we think Snake is 3%~ stronger than Samus? Or do we think Snake beating Sephiroth wasn't some sort of bandwagon? I mean, it's possible Snake could have beaten him without one, but 53%? I dunno. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/19/2010 12:39:02 PM | message detail |
As
far as tonight goes, Snake is absolutely the favorite. Sephiroth never
won a single hour, and I think Snake even won the SNV comfortably.
Remember how much power L-Block and Snake both gained in the contest's
final 48 hours, and realize that Snake doesn't need that big a power
gain to win (he may not need one at all). I'm going with Cloud in the
Oracle only because I hate hedging my bets so close to the end; it's
not fun. All or nothing, so LET'S MOSEY. --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/19/2010 12:39:03 PM | message detail |
Snake doesn't need a bandwagon to defeat Cloud though. Yeah, he does. No he doesn't, Cloud wouldn't defeat Sephiroth by much more than what Snake did. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 261/320 - Today's Winner: Link |
vcharon | Posted 3/19/2010 12:39:15 PM | message detail |
People are just in denial. --- :> |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/19/2010 12:40:20 PM | message detail |
and I think Snake even won the SNV comfortably. Not comfortably. Though he never lost an hour, Sephiroth got over 49% the last three hours. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/19/2010 12:40:25 PM | message detail |
Why not? Do we think Cloud gets less than 53% on Sephy indirectly? Or do we think Snake is 3%~ stronger than Samus? Or do we think Snake beating Sephiroth wasn't some sort of bandwagon? I mean, it's possible Snake could have beaten him without one, but 53%? I dunno. Snake doesn't have a bandwagon right now. He's done nothing of note to get one. You can also add 56% against Tifa to the list of Cloud/Sephiroth failures. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 261/320 - Today's Winner: Link |
Swarles_Barkley | Posted 3/19/2010 12:41:12 PM | message detail |
Sephiroth probably gets 48% in a 24-hour match, and Snake probably already got bandwagoned there. Snake's not getting anywhere near Cloud without a bandwagon. --- Hello, Dexter Morgan |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/19/2010 12:41:28 PM | message detail |
He's done nothing of note to get one. What? Beating Sephiroth is nothing of note? Kirby did nothing of note before he beat Sonic, but hey. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/19/2010 12:42:32 PM | message detail |
Snake
needs some bandwagoning to make up for the 12 extra hours. It doesn't
matter that Sephiroth didn't win any hours, because: 1. Had the match been extended 12 hours, he would have won hours. 2. Any hour where Sephiroth is getting 49%, Cloud would get getting 52%+. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
TheSnowVilliers | Posted 3/19/2010 12:43:46 PM | message detail |
Guys it's pointless to argue against Snake or for FF7 on this board. I thought that was already established. Anyway, Cloud > Snake and Cloud > Link hopefully happens. It will probably be Cloud's last chance for a long time. Unless somehow Sony smartens up and actually taps into its biggest money making machine. --- The ultimate Snow fanboy - Curt Just make sure you know whether you're hangin' on the cross, or bangin' in the nails. |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/19/2010 12:48:34 PM | message detail |
Anyway, Cloud > Snake and Cloud > Link hopefully happens. I'd sooner bet on Cloud failing to be CB runner up fior the third contest in a row than bet on Cloud beating Link. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/19/2010 12:54:27 PM | message detail |
Snake
depriving Cloud of even his consolation #2 position for the third
contest in a row is something that fills me with such a bittersweet
feeling. Cloud missed out on being in the final in 2005 too thanks to
the ToC. Poor guy never can seem to catch a break. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
creativename | Posted 3/19/2010 12:56:11 PM | message detail |
Whoops, forgot to adjust the updater for 24 hour matches. As for Snake/Cloud, it's murky - Snake would've gotten about 52% in a 24 hour match. Which is damn good. In a 24 hour match I think Cloud gets like 53.50% on Samus. So the question is, does Seph 52/48 Samus? The better Seph does there the better for Snake. But while 53% on Samus is weak by Cloud's standards, it's still a powerhouse performance. I'm holding out hope for Cloud - but he needs Snake's strength to stay static. No bandwagon. If Snake boosts even a bit, that should be enough. And historically speaking, anytime Snake has need a boost against FF7, he's gotten one. His record against FF7 is pretty immaculate. Also if Snake needs any rallying, he shouldn't have trouble getting 1000 votes I'd guesstimate. Now in a 24 hour match that's going to be less than 1%, but, still highly significant if these two are in any way close - and they certainly seem to be close. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/19/2010 12:56:32 PM | message detail |
Why does Snake need a bandwagon? He already has an upset train! http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53966881 --- OH YEAH! |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/19/2010 12:58:27 PM | message detail |
The
nice thing about the rallying situation for Cloud is that Snake is
going to up big until deep into second half of the match, so Snake
ralliers won't realize they need to rally until much of the lead is
already gone and Cloud is making monster cuts. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
creativename | Posted 3/19/2010 12:59:29 PM | message detail |
And
sox was very right about Link getting close to 65% here. I'm quite
surprised. I really thought Mario would have a better showing than this. After seeing this, I think if Snake does make the finals, he's getting toasted. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/19/2010 1:01:17 PM | message detail |
You
expected any less?And do you know the worst?If Cloud wins and goes to
the final then the<FF VII ALWAYS WINS!>will be in it's peak and
Cloud will not even break 40%... --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
creativename | Posted 3/19/2010 1:07:22 PM | message detail |
It's
not really that people think they always win, so much as it is people
are just obsessively bitter towards that game and Cloud/Sephiroth and
to a lesser extent Vincent. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/19/2010 1:34:18 PM | message detail |
so Snake ralliers won't realize they need to rally until much of the lead is already gone and Cloud is making monster cuts. That's not necessarily true. If this match is within 51/49, you can bet Snake is going to get rallies. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/19/2010 1:34:54 PM | message detail |
And it may not even need to be that close. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
HaRRicH | Posted 3/19/2010 1:47:01 PM | message detail |
I
don't think Solid had much a bandwagon against Sephiroth, considering
the match before it featured him beating Squall for his fourth time.
That said, the troops will be rallied against Cloud. We shouldn't see
the same Solid we saw yesterday. It's a matter if that will be enough,
since red sox mentioned two important points: 1. Had the match been extended 12 hours, he would have won hours. 2. Any hour where Sephiroth is getting 49%, Cloud would get getting 52%+. I think Solid's taking it, but it's going to be a hell of a match and a rather defining one for our contests. This could be the most exciting semi-final match since Mario/Crono in 2002 AND/OR the most defining semi-final match since Link/Cloud in 2003. Thank the deities for one-on-one contests again. --- Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart! Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg |
HaRRicH | Posted 3/19/2010 1:54:36 PM | message detail |
Also, what's the word on the expected vote total today? --- Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart! Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/19/2010 1:55:52 PM | message detail |
Hard to say. I don't think there are any analogs to this poll, because lots of people probably thought it was a 12-hour poll. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/19/2010 2:05:57 PM | message detail |
Just at a glance, votals seem low, which is good. If Cloud wins, I'll need them to be as low as possible in the finals. --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Mumei | Posted 3/19/2010 2:10:34 PM | message detail |
They're
very low. Look at how many votes are coming in each update. This match
has pulled ~24,000 since noon; Sephiroth / Snake pulled ~45,000 in the
same period. --- "Luxe, calme et volupte." - Charles Baudelaire, The Invitation to the Voyage |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/19/2010 2:12:53 PM | message detail |
At a glance, I think we're headed for around 105-110k. That's pretty low, but there is the excuse of an SFF match. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
vcharon | Posted 3/19/2010 2:17:09 PM | message detail |
Link has a long climb to reach 65%; I doubt he makes it. --- :> |
KingBartz | Posted 3/19/2010 2:18:03 PM | message detail |
I believe by now THE PLAN has suceeded. Alucard > Sora, baby --- Contest bracket status: ELIMINATED |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/19/2010 2:18:37 PM | message detail |
Well,
you'd expect vote intake to be coming in somewhat slower than a 12 hour
day match because there are a good number of people who have already
voted. Still seems that we'll end up pretty low though. Cloud/Snake
should bring in the votes though. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Haguile | Posted 3/19/2010 2:21:58 PM | message detail |
Random question, that I just thought of. Phoenix with Hobo picture vs Edgeworth Who would you take? --- B8 Liar Game |
Lightning Strikes | Posted 3/19/2010 2:23:37 PM | message detail |
Predict it: 1) Ocarina of Time Link 8) NES Link 4) Link to the Past Link 5) Toon Link 3) CD-I Link 6) Red Link 2) Twilight Princess Link 7) Spirit Tracks Link |
Haguile | Posted 3/19/2010 2:25:04 PM | message detail |
1) Ocarina of Time Link 8) NES Link 4) Link to the Past Link 5) Toon Link 3) CD-I Link 6) Red Link 2) Twilight Princess Link 7) Spirit Tracks Link Ocarina>Nes Past>Toon CD-I>Red TP>ST Ocarina>Past CD-I>TP(upset pick) CD-I>Ocarina(super upset) --- B8 Liar Game |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/19/2010 2:29:30 PM | message detail |
From: KingBartz | #295 Pfft, the plan will have only succeeded once Link breaks 60% on Cloud/Snake! Alucard's going to look like a ****ing champion compared to the x-stats of his competition! There's a better chance of Guybrush Threepwood winning the 2011 Character Contest than there is Cloud or Snake winning this year's. Loser will have people rallying for Link to crush the winner, and either way that's awesome for me because I prefer Link to both these shmucks. --- Not Wylvane |