GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 888

BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/18/2010 9:19:17 PM | message detail

From: DidYouMWISMe | #440
Crono still looks half-decent. Guess that means that Sephiroth and Sonic are the only failures of the Noble NIne this year.

Sephiroth's year wasn't really a failure though. He lost to another NN member, which is acceptable assuming we allow NN values to fluctuate. It was a terrible failure for the prestige of Clinkeroth, sure, but Sephy's still quite strong and I can't think of anyone outside the upper half of the NN who'd beat him.


I would take Mega Man in a rematch. It would at least be a close match, unless it was the sprite round. In which case Mega Man gets 55%
---
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/18/2010 9:19:22 PM | message detail
what does everyone think of Snake v Cloud now

---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/18/2010 9:19:36 PM | message detail
The final's going to be a massacre.
---
Not Wylvane
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:19:40 PM | message detail

From: Lieutenant Kettch | #441
Big Boss has legitimate strength. Kratos is obviously overrated a lot by the Pokemon release though.


Yeah he's a bit overrated, but I have a tough time thinking of a stronger western character then Kratos now.. and this was before God of War 3 released.
---
http://i43.tinypic.com/24y7282.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
LordTMax | Posted 3/18/2010 9:20:08 PM | message detail
Link is a Tank!
---
Close Enough
Gamefaqs mods:"No, we moderate random posts for fun."
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 3/18/2010 9:20:15 PM | message detail

I would take Mega Man in a rematch. It would at least be a close match, unless it was the sprite round. In which case Mega Man gets 55%


See this stuff is why next year is going to be so much fun.

Let's get Sephiroth a Mega Man - Mario - Samus - Snake gauntlet next year somehow and watch him come out on top.
---
"Why did you come with me?" "Only because I wanted to go with you."
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/18/2010 9:20:17 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
290----1------------100.00
289----0------------0.00
288----0------------0.00
287----0------------0.00
286----0------------0.00
285----1------------100.00
284----1------------0.00
283----1------------0.00
282----2------------100.00
281----1------------0.00
280----1------------0.00
279----6------------33.33
278----2------------50.00
277----3------------33.33
276----9------------22.22
275----3------------0.00
274----13----------15.38
273----7------------57.14
272----12----------41.67
271----16----------25.00
270----20----------35.00
269----28----------28.57
268----25----------32.00
267----24----------29.17
266----45----------35.56
265----42----------26.19
264----40----------27.50
263----55----------32.73
262----50----------36.00
261----45----------44.44
260----58----------34.48
259----42----------33.33
258----36----------27.78
257----44----------31.82
256----51----------33.33
255----44----------31.82
254----55----------40.00
253----65----------40.00
252----55----------30.91
251----58----------37.93
250----71----------29.58
249----68----------36.76
248----80----------30.00
247----81----------40.74
246----88----------23.86
245----95----------34.74
244----111--------30.63
243----96----------21.88
242----99----------27.27
241----95----------40.00
240----125--------29.60
239----142--------33.10
238----131--------24.43
237----155--------25.16
236----161--------18.01
235----157--------31.85
234----147--------27.21
233----162--------24.69
232----180--------27.78
231----170--------23.53
230----163--------19.02
229----202--------24.75
228----202--------24.26
227----176--------28.98
226----212--------25.47
225----212--------20.28
224----219--------22.83
223----220--------25.91
222----215--------21.40
221----217--------19.82
220----211--------26.54
219----239--------19.25
218----204--------23.53
217----224--------21.88
216----190--------23.16
215----217--------23.04
214----255--------21.18
213----227--------27.75
212----201--------17.91
211----168--------24.40
210----232--------19.83
209----214--------22.90
208----195--------10.77
207----197--------23.35
206----215--------22.33
205----200--------16.00
204----215--------22.79
203----217--------20.74
202----184--------22.83
201----220--------16.36
200----196--------19.90
199----219--------21.00
198----187--------15.51
197----187--------18.18
196----164--------26.83
195----200--------19.00
194----187--------16.04
193----185--------18.38
192----194--------19.59
191----194--------19.07
190----159--------17.61
189----179--------16.76
188----189--------15.87
187----176--------16.48
186----152--------15.13
185----169--------17.16
184----159--------25.79
183----142--------22.54
182----161--------21.12
181----157--------21.66
180----173--------15.61
179----185--------18.38
178----157--------18.47
177----158--------16.46
176----159--------17.61
175----151--------19.21
174----141--------14.89
173----143--------16.78
172----135--------20.00
171----154--------16.23
170----151--------14.57
169----164--------18.29
168----150--------14.00
167----140--------14.29
166----128--------21.09
165----176--------15.91
164----132--------17.42
163----140--------10.00
162----137--------13.14
161----123--------19.51
160----146--------10.27
159----109--------14.68
158----145--------12.41
157----127--------19.69
156----123--------15.45
155----140--------16.43
154----133--------11.28
153----116--------18.97
152----113--------16.81
151----115--------10.43
150----124--------16.13
149----116--------23.28
148----127--------15.75
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/18/2010 9:20:21 PM | message detail
147----128--------16.41
146----111--------16.22
145----130--------13.08
144----128--------14.84
143----108--------13.89
142----111--------14.41
141----124--------10.48
140----107--------18.69
139----94----------22.34
138----128--------10.94
137----94----------14.89
136----104--------12.50
135----101--------14.85
134----93----------13.98
133----98----------15.31
132----95----------11.58
131----103--------15.53
130----88----------10.23
129----105--------15.24
128----104--------12.50
127----94----------12.77
126----118--------11.86
125----105--------9.52
124----85----------12.94
123----108--------17.59
122----115--------9.57
121----78----------8.97
120----79----------10.13
119----94----------11.70
118----120--------10.83
117----98----------9.18
116----109--------9.17
115----81----------9.88
114----103--------9.71
113----73----------17.81
112----95----------6.32
111----102--------12.75
110----87----------8.05
109----97----------15.46
108----80----------8.75
107----102--------12.75
106----97----------8.25
105----88----------13.64
104----93----------16.13
103----85----------12.94
102----106--------9.43
101----87----------8.05
100----79----------15.19
99------79----------13.92
98------90----------10.00
97------96----------12.50
96------78----------15.38
95------72----------9.72
94------85----------11.76
93------73----------15.07
92------74----------9.46
91------80----------11.25
90------83----------13.25
89------74----------8.11
88------88----------13.64
87------72----------18.06
86------85----------8.24
85------60----------13.33
84------65----------10.77
83------67----------10.45
82------77----------9.09
81------73----------13.70
80------73----------1.37
79------59----------18.64
78------57----------14.04
77------50----------6.00
76------58----------6.90
75------50----------2.00
74------44----------9.09
73------59----------6.78
72------58----------10.34
71------38----------7.89
70------44----------6.82
69------52----------7.69
68------44----------11.36
67------44----------6.82
66------45----------15.56
65------27----------11.11

63------32----------6.25

61------27----------7.41
60------30----------3.33
59------24----------4.17
58------29----------3.45
57------27----------7.41

53------16----------6.25
52------11----------9.09

50------11----------9.09
49------10----------10.00

23------10----------10.00

16------5------------20.00
15------10----------10.00

Omitted scores got it wrong.

Top tiers did better than others but they still didn't do so well. Some people saw this result coming but a lot of people didn't. Only 346 out of the top 1032 got the match right. The remaining -14 bracket once again gets the match right, though. The prediction percentage actually floats around 30 for a while before fading.

Getting Round 5 matches wrong hurts a lot. 33 people fell off the Top 50 today. Luigi_Galaxy, KadenceInc, AccelACE, GoldSlime35, captaincanadian, Dark_Spiral, CloudOfKH, FireLaserBeam, LegendaryGeno, Heroic_Laguna, superstarkyle, Seang1978, Zylothewolf, nintendogirl1, Saxophoninator, Agent_M, Iubaris, ranapuer, Topstorm87, Gavin_Sykes, PukeInMyPot, Wolf_Kenri, WiggumFan267, Quasar_In_Space, Pyramid_Hat, DaemonDragon, fr0g804, Safer_777, demphra, TheOlympicHero, linkhatesganon, Naomi_Diamond and cyanlce did not have Solid Snake winning the match.

2 people managed to build up enough points in previous matches to survive getting the match wrong. ExThaNemesis and sonic_nhl also didn't have Solid Snake winning but hang on in 49th and 50th place.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/18/2010 9:20:31 PM | message detail
JESUS CHRIST LINK
---
Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 9:20:32 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #452
what does everyone think of Snake v Cloud now


Should be a good one. Snake leading for the first 15-ish hours is almost assured, I think. It's just a matter of whether or not he can survive the ASV.
---
Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/18/2010 9:20:37 PM | message detail
Snake probably wins. His performance against Seph isn't impressive enough to take Cloud, especially in a 24 hour match but bandwagoning should give him the extra push to beat our hero.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/18/2010 9:20:49 PM | message detail
Going by all the Cloud/Seph matches, pretty sure he's still the statistical favourite. I think Snake will wind up around where Samus was
---
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
tgs2 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:21:09 PM | message detail
Oh God. Link really is going to double Mario isn't he?
---
You may take Mr. Rogers down, but I will be back and become more powerful than you ever imagine
"tgs is taking it alone"
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 9:21:18 PM | message detail
Link, you simply amaze me sometimes.
---
Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
red sox 777 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:21:37 PM | message detail
Over 61%, just like that, with another update in the mid-60s. Can Link match his 65% on Mario from last year? It's still unlikely, but beginning to look possible.
---
2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/18/2010 9:21:59 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #452
what does everyone think of Snake v Cloud now


I call Snake the favorite; dunno what this has to do with the other semifinal, other than it looking as though Link can hit 60% on whoever he pleases at this point (assuming no huge bandwagon or anti-voting).
---
Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
DidYouMWISMe | Posted 3/18/2010 9:22:06 PM | message detail
Yeah he's a bit overrated, but I have a tough time thinking of a stronger western character then Kratos now.

Allow me to imitate a Krogan for you.
"Shepard."
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/18/2010 9:22:15 PM | message detail
Oh God we're in for another dull 24 hour finale, aren't we?

Wheeeeee
---
All abord the "Snake > Cloud" train!
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53966881
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/18/2010 9:22:19 PM | message detail
Link is going to freaking murder Cloud or Snake.

Like, it's not even going to be close.
---
Not Wylvane
LordTMax | Posted 3/18/2010 9:22:55 PM | message detail
So wait, Is link even stronger from last time?
---
Close Enough
Gamefaqs mods:"No, we moderate random posts for fun."
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 3/18/2010 9:23:08 PM | message detail
And see this is why Seph losing is so frustrating. GameFAQs will gladly anti-vote the guy who has never won a main contest to hell and back, but when the green elf comes into the picture the v-chip they all have in their brains that prevents them from thinking for themselves turns on.
---
"Why did you come with me?" "Only because I wanted to go with you."
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:23:11 PM | message detail

From: DidYouMWISMe | #467
Yeah he's a bit overrated, but I have a tough time thinking of a stronger western character then Kratos now.

Allow me to imitate a Krogan for you.
"Shepard."


As much as I love Shepard, he is overrated cuz of pokemno just like Kratos is; He got about 40% on Pikachu who then went and got 55% on Snake, who then went and got 53% on Seph. He's a mid carder, but he's not beating Zero, let alone Vincent like the stats say.
---
http://i43.tinypic.com/24y7282.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
red sox 777 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:23:28 PM | message detail
I'm not sure why people were expecting 40% though. Link has faced Mario 7 times, and Mario has never broken 38%. Last year he did the worst he's ever done against Link excepting the Battle Royale.
---
2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:23:29 PM | message detail
After the hardcore SFF on Sonic, this is unfortunate but not unexpected. Link is nuts.
---
Mustache...and Red...
DidYouMWISMe | Posted 3/18/2010 9:23:42 PM | message detail
See this stuff is why next year is going to be so much fun.

2K11 will kick ass...

...So long as it's a Linkless bracket.
You can keep everyone else. Just get rid of Link. Retire him to the hero's quarters or something. Give him a trophy and say future contests are for the right to be called 2nd best.
LordTMax | Posted 3/18/2010 9:23:49 PM | message detail

From: SecksThaNemesis | Posted: 3/18/2010 9:23:08 PM | #471
And see this is why Seph losing is so frustrating. GameFAQs will gladly anti-vote the guy who has never won a main contest to hell and back, but when the green elf comes into the picture the v-chip they all have in their brains that prevents them from thinking for themselves turns on.


I instantly believe Link is the best character ever.
---
Close Enough
Gamefaqs mods:"No, we moderate random posts for fun."
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/18/2010 9:23:59 PM | message detail

From: LordTMax | #470
So wait, Is link even stronger from last time?


The Link Android Army is built in a Twilight realm of Hyrule, increasing in population every year.
---
This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss
LOLContests | Posted 3/18/2010 9:24:09 PM | message detail
Anti-voting is part of Sephiroth's natural strength. Who do you think the people who are anti-voting Sephiroth would vote for if they weren't anti-voting Sephiroth? Sephiroth? I

Not necessarily. Weaker characters probably do better with anti-votes than stronger characters, since the stronger a character is the more likely it is that the anti voter would be a fan of them anyway. Normally, if someone sees a character they don't know versus a character they do, they will vote for the character that they do know, but with someone who is anti-voted that changes. If Snake is going up against Guybrush and a Seph anti-voter knows Snake but doesn't really care about him, but has no idea who Guybrush is, they'll vote for Snake. If it's Guybrush Vs. Seph however, a Seph anti-voter will vote for Guybrush to a much larger degree than these current results would imply.

And it works in reverse too. Against Link, Seph probably does better than Snake, since people who are anti-voting him now would flock away to someone that they actually care about.

Anti votes are a part of character's natural strength if you're dealing with characters that are close to them in popularity, I guess but not when dealing with characters on the extremities.

And Sephiroth's underperformed all contest

Couldn't that point to anti-votes?
---
"Here you go, Sagat. I owe you. If I hadn't met you, I might've become you. "--Ken Masters
Yesmar
voltch | Posted 3/18/2010 9:24:21 PM | message detail
if we drop him a tier, next contest season, Mario/Samus/Snake/Sephiroth could be great, heck if cloud also drops down a tier, then we've got a perfect setup for interesting matches, VII's dropping fast, so there's still time for that five pack to do something good.
Now if Sonic overboosts from a good sonic 4, that's asking for too much.

The only problem here is link, he pretty much has to go through a few of these guys and carve them a new one, unless we get champion earns the right to defend in a championship match and the final is to choose the number 1 contender.
---
Shakes Fist!
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/18/2010 9:24:42 PM | message detail
Commander Shepard is one of my most anticipated characters for the next contest. Guy should be interesting (and he kicks ass, so he'd better win some matches!).

---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/18/2010 9:25:30 PM | message detail
Imagine if Snake beats Cloud and that theory of Nintendo characters leeching Snake's Brawl fanbase is true. Link may break 60% on Snake in that situation.

What did Link get on uber-Snake in 2008?
---
Not Wylvane
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/18/2010 9:26:10 PM | message detail
Yeah, if Snake manages to lead Link for more than 5 minutes I will be heartily impressed.

---
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4
red sox 777 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:26:10 PM | message detail
62% breached with another 65%+ update. 65% is really looking possible now......
---
2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
voltch | Posted 3/18/2010 9:26:12 PM | message detail
Shephard vs Altair plz.
---
Shakes Fist!
LordTMax | Posted 3/18/2010 9:26:48 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | Posted: 3/18/2010 9:26:10 PM | #482
Yeah, if Snake manages to lead Link for more than 5 minutes I will be heartily impressed.


Inb4 6 hour lead than fail in the morning like last time.
---
Close Enough
Gamefaqs mods:"No, we moderate random posts for fun."
red sox 777 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:26:50 PM | message detail
Link got 55% on Snake last year.
---
2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/18/2010 9:27:03 PM | message detail
Whoops, I made a slight error in those stats. For whatever the reason, I miscalculated Vincent!

Fourth Quarter Stats

Solid Snake – 50.00%
Sephiroth – 47.04%
Pikachu – 44.80%
Missingno – 44.33%
Crono – 44.08%
Yoshi – 42.99%
Tifa Lockhart – 41.24%
Squall Leonhart – 40.83%
Auron – 39.35%
Vincent Valentine – 35.13%
Commander Shepard – 34.94%
Zero – 34.08%
Aerith Gainsborough – 33.34%
Fox McCloud – 32.97%
Big Daddy – 32.62%
Gordon Freeman – 31.38%
Ness – 29.77%
Princess Peach – 29.34%
Terra Branford – 28.97%
Protoman – 27.65%
Darth Revan – 26.73%
Marth – 26.53%
Akuma – 26.12%
Soap MacTavish – 24.95%
Marcus Fenix – 22.38%
Banjo – 22.32%
Lloyd Irving – 21.59%
Geno – 20.95%
Jak – 20.10%
Yuri Lowell – 17.57%
Ellis – 16.92%
Guybrush Threepwood – 15.85%
---
Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
DidYouMWISMe | Posted 3/18/2010 9:27:23 PM | message detail
As much as I love Shepard, he is overrated cuz of pokemno just like Kratos is; He got about 40% on Pikachu who then went and got 55% on Snake, who then went and got 53% on Seph. He's a mid carder, but he's not beating Zero, let alone Vincent like the stats say.

I'm calling this much for you.
Around the time Mass Effect 3 comes out, Shepard's going to be a serious threat to the lower-most portions of the NN and by far the strongest western character on the field.

I'll definitely consider taking post ME3 Shepard over the likes of Crono and Sonic. It'd be a risky pick, but a risk I'd take. Definitely post-ME3 Shepard over anyone not Noble Nine, with the possible exceptions of the likes of Pikachu (if this newfound Pokemon craze is legit) or a Nintendo SSBB-infused stalwart.

And of course I'm assuming ME3 will be awesome. But this is Bioware we're talking about. That assumption is safe.
voltch | Posted 3/18/2010 9:27:48 PM | message detail
Guybrush>nathan drake in 08.
---
Shakes Fist!
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:27:50 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #487
For whatever the reason, I miscalculated Vincent!


Vincent Valentine – 35.13%
Commander Shepard – 34.94%


You were just trolling me, weren't you? <_<
---
http://i43.tinypic.com/24y7282.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
shadow8021 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:27:54 PM | message detail
Snake and Samus have showed this year that Cloud or Sephiroth winning a bracket without Link is not a sure thing anymore. I realize that Link brings in a ton of votes, but the man is just way too strong nowadays. The elf should be retired (at least for a while). God help anyone who faces Link after the new Zelda achieves maximum hype levels...
---
WE ARE...
voltch | Posted 3/18/2010 9:28:37 PM | message detail
Even with ME the commander ain't taking down the capcomers.
---
Shakes Fist!
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:29:13 PM | message detail
The highest I'd peg Shepard off of ME3 is higher mid card... maybe around Leon level. I can't see him ever getting stronger then that, though.
---
http://i43.tinypic.com/24y7282.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/18/2010 9:29:31 PM | message detail
2011

Shepard > Link

aw yeah
---
Not Wylvane
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/18/2010 9:30:21 PM | message detail
CHRIST
---
Not Wylvane
DidYouMWISMe | Posted 3/18/2010 9:30:58 PM | message detail
The highest I'd peg Shepard off of ME3 is higher mid card... maybe around Leon level. I can't see him ever getting stronger then that, though.

You're underestimating how insanely awesome ME3 will be.
And if Bioware handles its Cerberus network right, the constant ME2 updates with new kickass content will help Shepard, too.

Enough to beat Ryu? Hell, I don't know. But I'm hoping ME3 is great enough to warrant its possibility.
red sox 777 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:30:59 PM | message detail
Still not slowing down. Link is the new Cloud in rising from the board vote.
---
2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
LordTMax | Posted 3/18/2010 9:31:09 PM | message detail
LOL @ People thinking ME 2 was even good.
anyway Link is powering through this.
---
Close Enough
Gamefaqs mods:"No, we moderate random posts for fun."
charmander6000 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:31:12 PM | message detail
Mario is going to have to use that Asia vote at night...
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 261/320 - Today's Winner: Link
red sox 777 | Posted 3/18/2010 9:31:26 PM | message detail
Crono > Mario
---
2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!