GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 886

pjbasis | Posted 3/18/2010 4:12:54 AM | message detail
So...


Squall = Sephiroth?
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/18/2010 4:38:31 AM | message detail
I didn't expected such a low difference.I thought 55-45.Oh well seems Cloud shall win.Now the match is the most important for the contest.It decides who wins.But it is really important for me too because if Sephiroth does it this is the first time ever that I will finish in the leaderboard.Hope Sephiroth can do it.If not well...that is okay I think.Now if only Mario could beat Link...
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Gooper Blooper | Posted 3/18/2010 4:57:53 AM | message detail
http://i10.photobucket.com/albums/a135/Kracko/DramaticDisappointment.gif

So Samus kept it close in the dead hours but fell away later, huh? That sucks.

So the battle against CLinkeroth begins with a disappointing loss.

Status Quo - 1
Upset Trains - 0
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
Denzokuken | Posted 3/18/2010 5:08:08 AM | message detail
Cloud well above 52% and still rising... you know (don't laugh), this isn't all that bad all things considered. We already know how many factors he's got against him, and considering we did just see Charizard put up 46% on Mario, it lessens the blow slightly. FF7 is weaker, no doubt about it, but not quite as weak as this match suggests.
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/18/2010 5:10:34 AM | message detail
Maybe all the Noble 9 have dropped in strength?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 3/18/2010 5:13:17 AM | message detail
"FF7 is weaker, no doubt about it, but not quite as weak as this match suggests."

That's going to really ruin future contests though as it truly will become Nintendo and Snake FAQs.

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Can't think of a good sig.
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/18/2010 5:13:53 AM | message detail
Samus and Snake have clearly risen; Cloud, Sephiroth, Crono, and Sonic have dropped; the jury is still out on Mario and Mega Man; and it doesn't matter about Link, because he has to drop a very long way to bring anyone near him again.
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/18/2010 5:14:42 AM | message detail
Wow, Samus held on pretty good. She's even still winning in the US. Definitely like Snake later today.
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Mustache...and Green...
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/18/2010 5:20:48 AM | message detail
I just realized that something fishy went on with Sephiroth/MissingNo. night. That poll was about 2000 votes ahead of this one from all of 12-5 AM, and from 5-8 so far that poll has been gaining like crazy and now has 4000 more votes.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/18/2010 5:32:30 AM | message detail
Man, looks like Mario would be a lock over Sephiroth/Cloud. Shame he got wasted against Link, and the far weaker Snake took his place.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
charmander6000 | Posted 3/18/2010 5:33:52 AM | message detail
I wouldn't call Mario a lock, but had he been in this match defeating Cloud again would be pretty priceless.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 245/288 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Sephiroth
vcharon | Posted 3/18/2010 5:38:14 AM | message detail
I'm not sure how people think Mario could do any better than Samus here, sounds like more speculation than anything. We aren't seeing the blowouts we used to, so I'd say that yeah all the Noble Nine have fallen in strength. Some have just fallen a bit further than some.

As for Snake, last year was probably his peak. Considering his story is over according to his own creator, he's got nowhere to go but down. Even Crono has a better chance of increasing in strength if you really believe Kojima's claims that Snake is done.
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 3/18/2010 5:48:57 AM | message detail
...How the hell has Samus weakened? She's never looked this good, Cloud weakening or not, and her performance on Zelda relative to their last match shows that she's boosted from the last 1 on 1 contest by a considerable margin.

Cloud has gotten weaker, but Samus has gotten stronger.

Generally I'd say:

Boosted:
Mario
Samus
Mega Man(slightly)

The same:
Crono
Link

Weakened:
Cloud
Sephiroth
Sonic
Snake?

Snake's a guess for now but 2008 was surely his peak anyway so...
vcharon | Posted 3/18/2010 5:56:39 AM | message detail
So Mario had to boost to beat Charizard? Really?
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 3/18/2010 6:01:47 AM | message detail
That was rSFF with a side helping of bandwagon.

There's a reason that match was an anomaly. Mario got weaker, Charizard got stronger, but only for that match. Charizard overperforms against Nintendo characters I'd say, because who DOESN'T love Charizard?

And ultimately, how much a character is liked is responsible for who gets the SFF advantage-why do you think Link destroyed Sonic as badly as he did? Lots of people know both of them, but who actually likes Sonic more than Link anymore? Now, if you put Charizard in that match...
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 3/18/2010 6:02:53 AM | message detail
Charizard is on an incredible high because he's Nintendo and because of the new Pokemon games out. That should be obvious.

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Can't think of a good sig.
vcharon | Posted 3/18/2010 6:04:09 AM | message detail
I'm still not seeing any evidence of a Mario boost (especially if you want to say Mega Man boosted at the same time).
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/18/2010 6:23:55 AM | message detail
It's hard to prove anything with Mario, his only normal match was against Big Boss and even then we don't know much.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 245/288 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Sephiroth
charmander6000 | Posted 3/18/2010 6:29:24 AM | message detail
Match CXXIV: (1) Solid Snake vs. (1) Sephiroth

Last Round

Solid Snake – 59.17%
Squall Leonhart – 40.83%

Sephiroth – 56.26%
Tifa Lockheart – 43.74%

Analysis

Like I said the current match will give us some information about what will happen in this match. What prompted the warning flags was Sephiroth’s performance against Tifa in the previous round. While information on Tifa is rather scarce a lot of people don’t really expect her to be the much stronger than Vincent or Squall. Is Sephiroth in trouble or did fans support Tifa because they knew that Sephiroth was going to easily win and they went overboard while doing it?

Well based on the Cloud/Samus match it seems that Sephiroth is looking a lot better now. Cloud is currently defeating Samus rather easily and while Sephiroth is slightly weaker than Cloud based on this contest it seems that Samus was more impressive than Snake. His steroid run of the previous contest seems to have died down and between those two characters I would take Samus to win. Either way I feel that Sephiroth would outperform Samus in this match which means Snake is in a bit of trouble.

The only way I can see Snake pulling off the upset is if Sephiroth has dropped independently of Cloud which I find hard to believe. Still Tifa’s match last round does make me nervous, but I feel that match is not very trustworthy, but I guess this match will either prove that right or wrong. Like the current match Solid Snake may start off with the lead, but Sephiroth will come back to take the lead and never look back.

As you can tell I wrote that with the notion that Cloud was going to crush Samus overnight and as you can see that didn’t happen. I don’t have much time, but I would take Samus to defeat Snake in a match and while this seems like I’m coming up with excuses I’ve always felt that way pre-contest. If Snake does pull off the win I feel it would be because of people anti-voting due to Cloud’s win just 12 hours before this match.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Sephiroth > Solid Snake

charmander6000’s Prediction: Sephiroth wins, 50.62% - 49.38%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 245/288 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Sephiroth
Lightning Strikes | Posted 3/18/2010 6:30:16 AM | message detail
It just seemed like a logical conclusion after his performance on Mega Man and the latter's performances. He has had NSMBW and Bowser's Inside Story, both popular games which were really well received, and hype for SMG2 is high. We'll see how he does on Link, as I doubt the SFF will be too severe.

As I said before Charizard was an anomaly.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/18/2010 6:33:55 AM | message detail
Man, we're close to the days of breaking Clinkeroth even.

I guess we're out of Link killers.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
charmander6000 | Posted 3/18/2010 6:35:15 AM | message detail
Clinkeroth was broken before it even started.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 245/288 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Sephiroth
vcharon | Posted 3/18/2010 6:35:43 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
vcharon | Posted 3/18/2010 6:36:11 AM | message detail
Dark Link can be your savior if you would only let him.
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 3/18/2010 6:37:15 AM | message detail
That's not the point char

Of course that match's legitimacy is debatable anyway.

Calling it now: Sephiroth wins convincingly, next year Mario and/or Samus beat Cloud and/or Sephiroth. Then get SFF'd in the bonus round against Link >_>
charmander6000 | Posted 3/18/2010 6:37:27 AM | message detail
Link vs. Dark Link Finals

Link - 92.62%
Dark Link - 7.38%

lol x-stats
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 245/288 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Sephiroth
charmander6000 | Posted 3/18/2010 6:38:46 AM | message detail
Instead of a bonus poll we should have a third place poll.

Mario vs. Cloud/Sephiroth/Solid Snake would be cool.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 245/288 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Sephiroth
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/18/2010 6:41:18 AM | message detail
Hey, didn't get crushed by Cloud. Link > Cloud now more than ever.

Everybody put on your headbands and get ready for some Solid Snake action.
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Thank you for assuming the party escort submission position
HaRRicH | Posted 3/18/2010 6:46:16 AM | message detail
Instead of a bonus poll we should have a third place poll.

Mario vs. Cloud/Sephiroth/Solid Snake would be cool.


I would actually really enjoy that. I still also hope for the multi-way poll with Link/Ganon/Zelda/Midna/Tingle/contest runner-up though, just to see if Link could still do it.

If we had Mario VS whoever else loses in the semi-final though, would you count it as a real match? LoZ:OoT > FF7 is treated pretty much as fact, but it's worth bringing up since it's not officially a contest match anymore. I imagine if it falls within the lines of the x-stats, people would call it legit...but if it strays very much, some hell would break out in arguments.
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Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart!
Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 3/18/2010 6:51:25 AM | message detail
This better not end up as another Link vs Snake on roids repeat. >_>

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Can't think of a good sig.
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/18/2010 7:03:51 AM | message detail
Anyway...

Cloud beasting. Might hit 53%. I wasn't here for the night vote, but what the heck happened? Cloud was winning updates in the first hour; something fishy about her staying close.
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The ultimate Snow fanboy - Curt
Yeah...it probably is. But I've got to do something, right?
red sox 777 | Posted 3/18/2010 7:07:23 AM | message detail
Whoa, Samus hung on until 3 AM? That's.......really amazing. 53% for Cloud makes Snake's chances this afternoon look a lot better than 55% for Cloud here would.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/18/2010 7:13:23 AM | message detail
Well considering the difference between Snake and Samus was bigger than the difference between Seph and Cloud in 05, I would assume that Seph will put up the same numbers as Cloud here -- and since it's a more favorable time it's likely that he'll outperform Cloud on Snake.

Or, if you're really looking at something loopy -- Seph could pull the upset over Cloud.
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The ultimate Snow fanboy - Curt
Yeah...it probably is. But I've got to do something, right?
Denzokuken | Posted 3/18/2010 7:13:46 AM | message detail
European DST factor guys, Samus essentially got an extra power hour.
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/18/2010 7:17:12 AM | message detail
This match makes me feel approximately 3x more confident in Snake.

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4
vcharon | Posted 3/18/2010 7:19:14 AM | message detail

From: EternalxCourage | #283
Well considering the difference between Snake and Samus was bigger than the difference between Seph and Cloud in 05, I would assume that Seph will put up the same numbers as Cloud here -- and since it's a more favorable time it's likely that he'll outperform Cloud on Snake.

Or, if you're really looking at something loopy -- Seph could pull the upset over Cloud.


Snake is stronger than Samus. You're deluding yourself into believing something ridiculous, again.
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Denzokuken | Posted 3/18/2010 7:19:21 AM | message detail
I would lol so hard now if Seph just ran away with it and it was never close past the first hour.
Gooper Blooper | Posted 3/18/2010 7:22:54 AM | message detail
Mario beating Cloud again despite EVERYTHING that's happened since 2002 would be THE best result possible.

Unless Mario could beat Link and claim his rightful place as the top Nintendo character. How the hell is he playing second fiddle to anyone? You'd think the IT'S FREAKING MARIO Factor would kick in on this sort of occasion.
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/18/2010 7:25:56 AM | message detail
I suggest the bonus poll would be Pikachu vs Charizard.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
vcharon | Posted 3/18/2010 7:26:38 AM | message detail
Missingno. vs. L-Block
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Achromatic | Posted 3/18/2010 7:27:50 AM | message detail
Missingno vs ? Block
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Winner of two Mafia Player of the Year Boardys
Sir Chris
HaRRicH | Posted 3/18/2010 7:31:18 AM | message detail
Just put every Pokemon and Pokemon-character into a poll and watch how much Missingno wins by.
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Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart!
Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg
HaRRicH | Posted 3/18/2010 7:34:05 AM | message detail
I hate I'm going to miss the first several hours of Solid/Seph...but I have growing confidence in Solid at this point. Give me seven-to-three odds for him. I wonder if there's any chance he could hold a lead the entire match, even if it's wire-to-wire...!
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Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart!
Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg
tgs2 | Posted 3/18/2010 7:34:40 AM | message detail
Just put the starters against each other.

Since the bonus match is probably going to be about the winner, just throw Tingle against Link.
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You may take Mr. Rogers down, but I will be back and become more powerful than you ever imagine
"tgs is taking it alone"
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/18/2010 7:34:51 AM | message detail
Charizard would win.Hey about the poll can I see how my country voted?It is a small one.I mean I see that they have voted for Cloud for example but I can't see how.Can I do that?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
vcharon | Posted 3/18/2010 7:35:59 AM | message detail
Missingno. would have too much of an unfair advantage with something like that I think. I'd be curious to see joke vs. joke, to see if there's even any contest.

Snake leading the entire match is plausible, I think.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/18/2010 7:36:32 AM | message detail
So....

Next year: Samus vs. Cloud in a day match, who ya got?
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
I'm sorry, but calling Charizard A Pokemon is calling The Fonz a Fonz. - Haguile
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/18/2010 7:40:14 AM | message detail
Or better yet! Other M wins GotY in Europe and Asia, Samus vs. Cloud who ya got?
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
I'm sorry, but calling Charizard A Pokemon is calling The Fonz a Fonz. - Haguile
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/18/2010 7:40:25 AM | message detail
*in a night match
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
I'm sorry, but calling Charizard A Pokemon is calling The Fonz a Fonz. - Haguile
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/18/2010 7:46:36 AM | message detail
Wow, Samus actually held on for awhile and still made this respectable. Great work, Aran.

If only she faced Sephiroth instead!
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Not Wylvane