GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 885
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/17/2010 7:58:20 PM | message detail |
Also known as Palmer's Victory Tour!™ Final Fantasy 7 to lose 24 consecutive hours to characters other than Link! ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Poll Start Times*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Vincent, Kirby, Missingno, et al group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters recently. The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- I'll attract the enemy with my *human* call.... I'M SO WASTED, I'M SO WASTED!! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/17/2010 8:02:33 PM | message detail |
Cloud > Samus, Snake > Sephiroth --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/17/2010 8:04:03 PM | message detail |
Snake to make Sephiroth look worse than Pikachu! --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/17/2010 8:04:34 PM | message detail |
Samus to make Cloud look worse than Jill! --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png I'm sorry, but calling Charizard A Pokemon is calling The Fonz a Fonz. - Haguile |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/17/2010 8:04:58 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #003 Oh man, ExTha would implode and explode at the same time. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/17/2010 8:05:50 PM | message detail |
Link to make all of them look worse than Alucard! Just as planned. --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/17/2010 9:11:55 PM | message detail |
Continuing
from the last topic, I've been drinking the Snake>Seph koolaid for a
while now and this result is exactlty what I expected. Sephiroth has
looked a lot worse than Cloud this contest. --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:12:16 PM | message detail |
Gonna get ugly, but at least Samus is doing a lot better than in 2004. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png I'm sorry, but calling Charizard A Pokemon is calling The Fonz a Fonz. - Haguile |
voltch | Posted 3/17/2010 9:12:24 PM | message detail |
All part of the plan- Lightning, FFXIII. --- Shakes Fist! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/17/2010 9:12:33 PM | message detail |
From: EternalxCourage | #497 Actually, if you look at 2006, that's the conclusion you'd come to. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Meeks54 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:12:53 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #007 Snake fell of a cliff this contest. --- DO YOU REALIZE THAT JACK BAUER JUST KILLED 3 MEN WHILE HANDCUFFED, BAREHANDED, DISEASED, DRUGGED AFTER HAVING A NEEDLE STUCK IN HIS NECK??? |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:13:03 PM | message detail |
Feeling better about Sephiroth > Snake. Damn you Tifa causing me to doubt you. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 245/288 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Sephiroth |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/17/2010 9:13:20 PM | message detail |
Tag --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
paraboxx | Posted 3/17/2010 9:13:29 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3852®ion=EUR A chilling vision of things to come. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/17/2010 9:13:30 PM | message detail |
Man what were you people expecting. It's Cloud. --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
voltch | Posted 3/17/2010 9:13:39 PM | message detail |
Tifa is actually a man. --- Shakes Fist! |
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/17/2010 9:13:44 PM | message detail |
Samus
doing better than in 2004 isn't exactly stellar. Cloud is antivoted
even more these days (and he was antivoted quite a bit then), and there
didn't use to be a Power Hour back then. Samus should really be doing
better considering all the intangibles. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
Meeks54 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:13:45 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #010 If you are drunk, sure. If you are not, you'd see that Samus mauled Snake. --- DO YOU REALIZE THAT JACK BAUER JUST KILLED 3 MEN WHILE HANDCUFFED, BAREHANDED, DISEASED, DRUGGED AFTER HAVING A NEEDLE STUCK IN HIS NECK??? |
voltch | Posted 3/17/2010 9:14:24 PM | message detail |
since when is this dood! back on my screen? --- Shakes Fist! |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:14:45 PM | message detail |
Cloud showing the doubters that he is still Cloud Strife. Anyways, Samus and Snake really aren't the best characters to bandwagon. The kind of people bandwagons would attract to take down Cloud and Sephiroth would already vote for Snake or Samus over them anyway. Bandwagons thrive with weaker characters, or with situations in 4-ways where you can get people to change their vote strategically. In last year's final, I'm convinced most of Snake's bandwagon was Cloud and Crono fans who gave up on their character beating Link and voted Snake to see if he could pull it off. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
paulg235 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:14:45 PM | message detail |
From: Meeks54 | #011 But these was a chopper which he grabbed to keep him alive. Now he just needs to pull himself up to the inside of it. --- The Gamer In Me My Signature's broken, just like your front door. |
creativename | Posted 3/17/2010 9:14:51 PM | message detail |
You know, although I always root for the FF7 guys, I"m quite disappointed in the Nintendrones here. I mean Cloud cuts already? That's just pathetic by them! --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/17/2010 9:14:56 PM | message detail |
To
be fair, we don't really have a good read on Sephiroth. He's had, what,
a match with Marth? Other than that, his other three matches are a
little iffy due to the SFF situation and, you know, Missingno, and
before that he's been in four-ways. So who the hell knows where this guy is? --- Not Wylvane |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:14:58 PM | message detail |
Man what were you people expecting. It's Cloud. Man what were you people expecting. It's Sephiroth. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 245/288 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Sephiroth |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/17/2010 9:15:03 PM | message detail |
Score-Brackets-% Right 258----1------------100.00 257----0------------0.00 256----0------------0.00 255----0------------0.00 254----0------------0.00 253----1------------100.00 252----1------------100.00 251----1------------100.00 250----2------------100.00 249----1------------100.00 248----1------------100.00 247----6------------100.00 246----2------------100.00 245----3------------100.00 244----9------------100.00 243----3------------100.00 242----13----------100.00 241----8------------87.50 240----12----------100.00 239----16----------100.00 238----20----------100.00 237----28----------100.00 236----25----------100.00 235----24----------100.00 234----45----------100.00 233----43----------97.67 232----42----------95.24 231----55----------100.00 230----52----------96.15 229----46----------97.83 228----60----------96.67 227----44----------95.45 226----38----------94.74 225----46----------95.65 224----56----------94.64 223----51----------88.24 222----58----------100.00 221----71----------92.96 220----60----------95.00 219----62----------95.16 218----84----------86.90 217----84----------85.71 216----86----------93.02 215----99----------87.88 214----103--------91.26 213----115--------86.09 212----138--------85.51 211----114--------91.23 210----126--------84.13 209----127--------88.98 208----161--------83.23 207----171--------84.80 206----158--------87.97 205----188--------86.17 204----202--------84.65 203----213--------80.28 202----178--------86.52 201----191--------83.25 200----218--------90.37 199----205--------83.90 198----225--------78.22 197----260--------80.77 196----237--------85.23 195----216--------80.09 194----289--------78.55 193----260--------79.62 192----262--------77.86 191----266--------84.21 190----275--------80.36 189----275--------76.36 188----265--------76.98 187----279--------76.34 186----254--------77.17 185----293--------74.06 184----266--------69.17 183----288--------73.96 182----293--------73.04 181----267--------72.28 180----255--------68.63 179----244--------60.25 178----251--------64.54 177----260--------68.46 176----262--------58.78 175----248--------63.71 174----256--------65.23 173----248--------64.92 172----281--------59.79 171----258--------64.34 170----219--------61.64 169----272--------54.78 168----225--------53.33 167----228--------65.79 166----215--------56.28 165----241--------50.21 164----227--------44.93 163----238--------51.26 162----225--------47.56 161----216--------51.85 160----198--------51.52 159----208--------54.33 158----190--------43.68 157----197--------42.13 156----186--------37.10 155----208--------43.75 154----196--------40.31 153----190--------33.16 152----179--------40.78 151----173--------34.68 |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/17/2010 9:15:08 PM | message detail |
150----173--------38.73 149----171--------33.33 148----164--------34.15 147----191--------35.08 146----165--------30.30 145----162--------36.42 144----194--------31.96 143----139--------30.94 142----161--------27.95 141----147--------34.69 140----130--------20.00 139----160--------26.88 138----152--------20.39 137----130--------33.08 136----131--------24.43 135----129--------24.81 134----130--------20.77 133----150--------26.00 132----129--------27.13 131----140--------26.43 130----118--------25.42 129----137--------21.90 128----132--------21.21 127----128--------21.09 126----140--------20.71 125----130--------20.00 124----117--------18.80 123----121--------18.18 122----151--------19.87 121----97----------21.65 120----110--------17.27 119----117--------11.11 118----133--------12.03 117----104--------15.38 116----118--------12.71 115----105--------12.38 114----107--------14.02 113----110--------14.55 112----123--------9.76 111----119--------10.92 110----111--------10.81 109----124--------9.68 108----100--------6.00 107----115--------11.30 106----121--------7.44 105----103--------8.74 104----102--------3.92 103----105--------8.57 102----129--------6.98 101----112--------8.93 100----114--------8.77 99------93----------5.38 98------119--------6.72 97------104--------0.96 96------95----------1.05 95------98----------4.08 94------106--------6.60 93------101--------4.95 92------86----------1.16 91------102--------1.96 90------103--------2.91 89------91----------8.79 88------107--------0.93 87------87----------1.15 86------103--------2.91 85------79----------3.80 84------69----------1.45 ... 82------89----------1.12 ... 80------84----------3.57 ... 78------62----------1.61 77------54----------3.70 ... 73------63----------3.17 ... 71------42----------2.38 ... 69------54----------3.70 68------49----------2.04 ... 57------28----------3.57 ... 44------13----------7.69 Omitted scores got it wrong. At Round 5, the prediction percentage of even Noble Nine members start to wane. Just under half the brackets had Mario winning the match. The top tiers still do really well. Excluding the one 241 bracket that got the match wrong, prediction percentage stays above 90 down to the 224 brackets. The prediction percentage slowly fades from there. 1 person fell off the Top 50 this time. This is the first time since Charizard's last match. GreatGen did not have Mario winning the match. They didn't have Charizard beating Bowser so I'm not sure who they thought would win this one. --- Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/17/2010 9:15:18 PM | message detail |
Ha, nice stall, Samus. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
paulg235 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:15:18 PM | message detail |
2 Vote Cut --- The Gamer In Me "paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/17/2010 9:15:30 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #007 OH YEAH but for real, its all over but the crying for Karma Hunter :/ --- This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/17/2010 9:15:54 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #024 Except Sephiroth has looked like ass fall contest. Cloud's doubling of Ryu>anything Samus did. --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
paraboxx | Posted 3/17/2010 9:16:58 PM | message detail |
Samus
doing better than in 2004 isn't exactly stellar. Cloud is antivoted
even more these days (and he was antivoted quite a bit then), and there
didn't use to be a Power Hour back then. Samus should really be doing
better considering all the intangibles. On the other hand, all Samus has going for her right now is Other M hype. Which there doesn't seem to be much of. (The most I've seen is people whining about her voice actress.) |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:17:10 PM | message detail |
Except Sephiroth has looked like ass fall contest. Cloud's doubling of Ryu>anything Samus did. Cloud was nowhere near doubling Ryu. Also Samus was pretty impressive this contest, unlike Snake. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 245/288 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Sephiroth |
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 3/17/2010 9:17:14 PM | message detail |
Sephiroth
is worth around 46-47% on Cloud. Snake is maintaining at his 2008's
level if you extrapolate Zero through his division. (Snake scored 67%
on Zero in 2008, Snake scored 66% on Zero this year through
Auron/Squall). I would take 2010 Zero > 2008 Zero tbh. Plus, with the Missingno backlash and Snake likely being more bandwagon worthy than Samus, welcome to the main event of this contest. --- Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times" |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/17/2010 9:17:22 PM | message detail |
So how long will Samus last until Cloud finally overtakes her? --- Not Wylvane |
Meeks54 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:17:29 PM | message detail |
From: Not_Wylvane | #023 We've had a great read on Snake however. Awful board vote. Dies in the day. Would have been utterly crushed by Pikachu in a day match, and had an outside show to lose a 24 hour match to the rat. This is the stuff of being Clinkiroth? --- DO YOU REALIZE THAT JACK BAUER JUST KILLED 3 MEN WHILE HANDCUFFED, BAREHANDED, DISEASED, DRUGGED AFTER HAVING A NEEDLE STUCK IN HIS NECK??? |
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/17/2010 9:17:40 PM | message detail |
Man you people act like I even believe Samus is on Snake's level of strength! I wouldn't take Samus > Seph! There are other factors to consider of course, all of which can be found in my one-of-a-kind Crew Writeup available where all Analysis Crew writeups are sold --- http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:17:50 PM | message detail |
15, maybe 20 more minutes, I think. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png I'm sorry, but calling Charizard A Pokemon is calling The Fonz a Fonz. - Haguile |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/17/2010 9:18:02 PM | message detail |
unlike Snake. PIKACHU MATCH IS LEGIT --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/17/2010 9:18:20 PM | message detail |
And Cloud got 66% on Ryu. That's close enough for a doubling. --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/17/2010 9:18:26 PM | message detail |
Sephiroth has no chance aainst Snake tomorrow. Not after how bad he did against Tifa |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/17/2010 9:18:28 PM | message detail |
Man. MWC, you need to stop getting suspended. This place is too fun with you in it. --- I am the dragon of blood, a relentless prince of pain Renouncing God on his throne, my blood is forever stained. |
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/17/2010 9:18:47 PM | message detail |
Actually, if you look at 2006, that's the conclusion you'd come to. Erm...Snake was 3% weaker than Samus, and Seph was 2% weaker than Cloud? o.O --- The ultimate Snow fanboy - Curt Yeah...it probably is. But I've got to do something, right? |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:18:50 PM | message detail |
Only a cut of 2- Samus wants to stay in the lead longer than Pikachu did. I figure Cloud is still worth 52-53% on Sephiroth, so if he finishes with 55% here, Sephiroth would have 52-53% in his place. I don't think the day/night thing really matters much, all 4 of the characters in today's match have fairly balanced trends between the 2 halves. The 12-hour format does matter, in that less time hurts FFVII substantially regardless of which half it is, but both these matches are 12 hours. So since I think Snake and Samus are pretty close this year, I'll go with Sephiroth getting 52%ish today. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:19:17 PM | message detail |
PIKACHU MATCH IS LEGIT Oh you believe that? Nevermind then guess I don't need to convince you. >_> --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 245/288 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Sephiroth |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:20:25 PM | message detail |
....ha. Very nice. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png I'm sorry, but calling Charizard A Pokemon is calling The Fonz a Fonz. - Haguile |
Master Moltar | Posted 3/17/2010 9:20:33 PM | message detail |
all hail the queen fighting on bravely --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Cloud > Samus (242/288) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/17/2010 9:20:34 PM | message detail |
What a stallfest. --- Not Wylvane |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/17/2010 9:20:36 PM | message detail |
Samus not going down without a fight. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
Janus5000 | Posted 3/17/2010 9:20:37 PM | message detail |
Hahahaha, gain of one. Well played, Samus. --- http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/17/2010 9:20:39 PM | message detail |
1 vote gain! --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |