GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 882

transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:10:27 PM | message detail
stay tuned for my analysis!

short version: I think Sonic overlaps with Nintendo and that he gets the benefit of the doubt against less iconic characters; against Link, he's got literally nothing working in his favour.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:11:33 PM | message detail
Ah, so you think it's possible Link SFFs Sonic? I suppose it's possible. I'm not entirely convinced that the overlap causes SFF, but we'll see! If we get Luigi > Sonic, I'll be fine with that though!
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:13:08 PM | message detail
I mentioned this in my writeup!

I don't know about "SFF" as that implies a wicked beatdown, but I've never trusted a single Nintendo/Sonic match ever since Mario/Shadow.
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xyzzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/16/2010 7:13:13 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #050
You think Link is going to crush Sonic harder than usual? Any particular reason?


Same reason Snake collapses against Nintendo. Link will probably SFF Sonic.
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Ulti is the authority on birth control because his shirt has the power to impregnate any woman that looks at it for too long. -TimJab
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/16/2010 7:13:40 PM | message detail
I think Sonic has less Nintendo overlap than Mega Man X, let alone Mega Man. Couple that with anti-votes and a Sonic 4 re-boost and Sonic may beat Mario to be the third character to hit 40% on Link.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:13:58 PM | message detail
Same reason Snake collapses against Nintendo.

Yeah, he really collapsed in the Battle Royale.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
XxSoulxX | Posted 3/16/2010 7:14:43 PM | message detail
Link will SFF Sonic to the ground.
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Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename
charmander6000 | Posted 3/16/2010 7:16:00 PM | message detail
Not at night, Sonic has Europe and anti-Link Asia.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 197/240 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Sephiroth
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/16/2010 7:17:02 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #056
Same reason Snake collapses against Nintendo.

Yeah, he really collapsed in the Battle Royale.


Bandwagon Effect. But anyway, Link's goal here is to outdo Cloud's 2003 match.
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Has anyone really been far even as decided to use even go want to do look more like?
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:18:01 PM | message detail
Bandwagon Effect.

Based on what? Losing to Samus? If anything, he should have had a bandwagon effect against Samus, but he didn't.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 3/16/2010 7:19:49 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 3/16/2010 10:18:01 PM | #060
Bandwagon Effect.

Based on what? Losing to Samus? If anything, he should have had a bandwagon effect against Samus, but he didn't.


Outlasting Mario would be my guess. Didn't most people expect him to get booted out either first or second?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:20:27 PM | message detail
He got a bandwagon effect after the first day because he ended up getting semi-close to Sephiroth, but that shouldn't have mattered on the first day.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:21:40 PM | message detail
Leon's right, Snake's bandwagon effect would have been from the Mega Man match through the final. there was nothing particularly noteworthy about the BR until Sephiroth happened.
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xyzzy
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/16/2010 7:23:04 PM | message detail
Snake has more Nintendo overlap now than he did back then.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:24:43 PM | message detail
Snake overlaps with everything, apparently.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
charmander6000 | Posted 3/16/2010 7:26:32 PM | message detail
I still don't understand to this collapse against Nintendo, so are you saying that characters like Fox and Pikachu rSFF Snake?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 197/240 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Sephiroth
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:27:32 PM | message detail
No, the only thing that people could point to and say Snake "collapses" against Nintendo are Snake/Yoshi, Snake/Samus, and Snake/Pikachu. Two of those happened in the sprite round, and Samus SFFing Snake is lawl.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:28:34 PM | message detail
I believe in the Samus thing. dunno about the Fox and Pikachu thing but it's a convenient way to excuse those performances.
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xyzzy
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:29:05 PM | message detail
that said, I don't think Snake is very much Nintendo anymore. at one point he was front and center, but as Brawl has become less and less relevant, Snake being in Brawl means less and less.
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xyzzy
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/16/2010 7:30:33 PM | message detail
The 'Snake collapses against Nintendo' thing came about when Snake was expected by nearly everyone to cruise over Samus in the finals of the 2k6 bracket after stomping Sonic and MM, and didn't.

People were high up on Snake and the time and really wanted to see him win in the finals (and it looked very possible after his dominance). Plus Samus had had some very underwhelming female bracket performances. Problem with that is that Samus beat Sonic worse than he did in 2k4, and the female bracket ended up being worth crap, so yeah. Shouldn't really have been the favorite, but he was, so people came up with 'Samus sapped his Brawl support'. Ever since that people have brought up that excuse, but so far I've never seen an example of it.

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:30:36 PM | message detail
I dunno. If you look at Samus/Sonic 2004 and Snake/Sonic 2006, you get around what Samus/Snake got. I suppose it's possible 2006 Sonic is stronger than 2004 Sonic, but I doubt it's by much. People expected Snake to win after 55% on Mega Man and Sonic as opposed to 55% on Zelda, but when that happened and we ended up with something that made no sense (Tifa and Zelda > Sonic, Mega Man, and Crono), I think people just overreacted.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:31:52 PM | message detail
just look at the unadjusted stats for the 2006 contest. the female side is *insane*, even if you adjust for Tifa.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:32:27 PM | message detail
Yeah, but that happens even if you make Snake and Samus equal.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/16/2010 7:33:15 PM | message detail
The female bracket had the same problem as the villains contest: everyone overperforms on Samus as everyone knows Samus is going to win.

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:33:45 PM | message detail
yep. 2006 is crazy in general, but it's made more crazy by the idea of Samus beating Snake when, by any reasonable projection, she should have lost like 53-47 at best.

that's cool though!
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:34:13 PM | message detail
Plus, whenever something happens that doesn't make sense, we're all out to make up some factor to explain it. We're going to end up with some nonsensical stuff in the stats this year, too, but there isn't gonna be a cut-and-dry explanation for it all.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:36:20 PM | message detail
hey, I've argued against the Zero Suit Samus thing for years and here we are today with Tifa doing it again without any good excuse!

but I dunno, the Brawl thing makes sense to me. do you remember how huge Brawl was in 2006? its hype alone let it get like 38% on the entire Mario series.

I was thinking about this while driving the other day -- is Pokemon now the 4th strongest series on this site? it has to be, right?
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:38:56 PM | message detail
Yeah, I remember how huge Brawl was.

And I don't know if I'd take over Pokemon over Smash Bros. at this point, but that'd be a good battle, I think.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
HaRRicH | Posted 3/16/2010 7:38:57 PM | message detail
I think Sonic will beat MMX's percentage. Link and Sonic don't generally share games, genres, systems, design, or history. Sonic 2 wasn't really SFF'd by SMW, Sonic wasn't bothered much by SMW and/or SMB3, and Sonic 3 bombing against SM/SMK was probably more of Sonic 3 sucking than them overlapping. Also, if Sonic IS Nintendo-based, I don't feel so bad about him standing up to Link after MMX did well enough and Sonic beat both Kirby and Ganondorf with room to spare this contest.

Link's clearly above Kirby and Ganon in Nintendo's totem-pole, but if Sonic's even in that category then he's proven once again he can hold his own now that we're back to one-on-one matches.
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Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart!
Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 3/16/2010 7:41:28 PM | message detail

From: transients | Posted: 3/16/2010 10:36:20 PM | #077
hey, I've argued against the Zero Suit Samus thing for years and here we are today with Tifa doing it again without any good excuse!

but I dunno, the Brawl thing makes sense to me. do you remember how huge Brawl was in 2006? its hype alone let it get like 38% on the entire Mario series.

I was thinking about this while driving the other day -- is Pokemon now the 4th strongest series on this site? it has to be, right?


Not necessarily. MM is a Noble Niner and we all know how his series performed. It's probably up there, but it could be close to the Big 3 or be below MGS and with a sizeable gap in the middle.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/16/2010 7:48:38 PM | message detail
It's a night match, and Sonic isn't the joke he was in four-ways. He will impress against Link.
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Not Wylvane
HaRRicH | Posted 3/16/2010 7:51:14 PM | message detail
I don't think Pokemon's in the top five biggest series. It very well could be, but there's something worth asking again: is Pokemon RBY bigger than the rest of the Pokemon series combined? GS got ~47% on MGS while RBY got ~53% with LoZ:OoT in the poll. DP lost easily to SMG and I don't think any other Pokemon-game is expected to be strong. Looking at the Character Battles, every RBY-Pokemon has done well and Red would probably beat any other Pokemon we've seen thus far too.

I know a lot of RBY-fans would support the Pokemon-series, but I don't think a lot of them would against other series with multiple incredibly loved games and I wonder how big the rest of the Pokemon fanbase is. I'm definitely taking the SSB-series and probably the MGS-series over the Pokemon-series. I'd also enjoy a Metroid-rematch, though not even Other M would let the series go 2-0 against Pokemon.
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Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart!
Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg
Ngamer64 | Posted 3/16/2010 7:52:19 PM | message detail
ATTN: Stats people

Our guest for tonight passed away in a terrible homework incident. So, would you like to come on the final episode of The Show for this season? IM me if you're interested.

ImNgamer

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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 3/16/2010 7:56:18 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | Posted: 3/16/2010 10:51:14 PM | #082
I don't think Pokemon's in the top five biggest series. It very well could be, but there's something worth asking again: is Pokemon RBY bigger than the rest of the Pokemon series combined? GS got ~47% on MGS while RBY got ~53% with LoZ:OoT in the poll. DP lost easily to SMG and I don't think any other Pokemon-game is expected to be strong. Looking at the Character Battles, every RBY-Pokemon has done well and Red would probably beat any other Pokemon we've seen thus far too.

I know a lot of RBY-fans would support the Pokemon-series, but I don't think a lot of them would against other series with multiple incredibly loved games and I wonder how big the rest of the Pokemon fanbase is. I'm definitely taking the SSB-series and probably the MGS-series over the Pokemon-series. I'd also enjoy a Metroid-rematch, though not even Other M would let the series go 2-0 against Pokemon.


Mudkip?
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voltch | Posted 3/16/2010 7:56:20 PM | message detail
come on non bad users, apply for this once in a year opportunity for greatness.
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Shakes Fist!
charmander6000 | Posted 3/16/2010 7:57:30 PM | message detail
Match CXXI: (1) Link vs. (1) Sonic the Hedgehog

Last Round

Link – 71.13%
Luigi – 28.87%

Sonic the Hedgehog – 54.61%
Kirby – 45.39%

Analysis

As much as some people wanted to see a Mario/Sonic match that is not going to happen with Link in the way. An interesting fact is that this is the first contest in which Mario and Sonic are on the same half of the bracket. Anyway this is the match where we’ll see whether it was Sonic rebounding from his terrible performances in previous contests or whether Sonic was lucky in terms of bracket placement in that he didn’t run into a stronger character.

Sonic’s 35% against Sephiroth last contest was pretty terrible which suggests that Link has a chance at breaking 70% should Sonic be as weak as he was in the previous contest. After watching Sonic go through this division I do feel that Sonic has rebounded a bit and given that this is a night match which means like against Ganondorf Sonic gets the support of Europe while Asia’s hate weakens Link.

Unless some kind of SFF occurs I think Sonic has a great chance at avoiding getting doubled. This contest hating blowouts and Zelda characters not performing up to par probably helps Sonic’s case. I’m glad to see that Sonic is still above the Nintendo near-elites, but I want to see him in action against the Square near-elites in the next contest.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Link > Sonic the Hedgehog

charmander6000’s Prediction: Link wins, 65.89% - 34.11%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 197/240 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Sephiroth
HaRRicH | Posted 3/16/2010 7:58:50 PM | message detail
Our guest for tonight passed away in a terrible homework incident. So, would you like to come on the final episode of The Show for this season? IM me if you're interested.

If it's tomorrow night or later, I'll be available.
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Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart!
Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg
Ngamer64 | Posted 3/16/2010 7:59:35 PM | message detail
It's RIGHT NOW.

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You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed!
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/16/2010 8:04:29 PM | message detail
Mudkip?

Eh, probably not Mudkip, I'll stand corrected there...but MMX didn't do a lot better on Red this year than Mudkip in 2008, Red's got RBY-power on his side, and we haven't seen Mudkip one-on-one yet so considering he runs off of some joke-power I wonder if he still holds up as well.
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Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart!
Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg
HaRRicH | Posted 3/16/2010 8:05:18 PM | message detail
Oh, sorry N, I'm with the family and without my mic. Best of luck finding another.
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Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart!
Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg
Ngamer64 | Posted 3/16/2010 8:05:45 PM | message detail
Hop on AIM so we can set this up HaR! Just use meebo.com if you don't have it installed!

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You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed!
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Ngamer64 | Posted 3/16/2010 8:06:07 PM | message detail
Noooooooooooooooo

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You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 8:06:26 PM | message detail
I'll do it if you don't mind a repeat guest.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
voltch | Posted 3/16/2010 8:08:13 PM | message detail
nooooooooooooooooo
Well I guess if leon repeats then It's Squallid Snake time, with more Squalling love and Zell hype, or Seifer, or Laguna.
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Shakes Fist!
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 8:08:54 PM | message detail
I should do this.

too bad I don't have a mic!
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xyzzy
voltch | Posted 3/16/2010 8:09:49 PM | message detail
noooooooooo

Tranny showing interest but no mic...noooooo

How can we have the HM/Tranny combo I've been waiting for.
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Shakes Fist!
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 8:11:13 PM | message detail
HM's off cosplaying in Akihabara right now anyway
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xyzzy
voltch | Posted 3/16/2010 8:13:00 PM | message detail
For real?
I might bump into him then.
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Shakes Fist!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/16/2010 8:26:28 PM | message detail
I'm all for having Leon on again. He's a fun dude.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"We're only gonna score 17 points?" -LOL Tom Brady
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/16/2010 8:26:34 PM | message detail
http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/6774/linkvsmario6.jpg
http://img694.imageshack.us/img694/9009/linkvmario.jpg
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Has anyone really been far even as decided to use even go want to do look more like?