GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 882
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:10:27 PM | message detail |
stay tuned for my analysis! short version: I think Sonic overlaps with Nintendo and that he gets the benefit of the doubt against less iconic characters; against Link, he's got literally nothing working in his favour. --- xyzzy |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:11:33 PM | message detail |
Ah,
so you think it's possible Link SFFs Sonic? I suppose it's possible.
I'm not entirely convinced that the overlap causes SFF, but we'll see!
If we get Luigi > Sonic, I'll be fine with that though! --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:13:08 PM | message detail |
I mentioned this in my writeup! I don't know about "SFF" as that implies a wicked beatdown, but I've never trusted a single Nintendo/Sonic match ever since Mario/Shadow. --- xyzzy |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/16/2010 7:13:13 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #050 Same reason Snake collapses against Nintendo. Link will probably SFF Sonic. --- Ulti is the authority on birth control because his shirt has the power to impregnate any woman that looks at it for too long. -TimJab |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/16/2010 7:13:40 PM | message detail |
I
think Sonic has less Nintendo overlap than Mega Man X, let alone Mega
Man. Couple that with anti-votes and a Sonic 4 re-boost and Sonic may
beat Mario to be the third character to hit 40% on Link. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:13:58 PM | message detail |
Same reason Snake collapses against Nintendo. Yeah, he really collapsed in the Battle Royale. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
XxSoulxX | Posted 3/16/2010 7:14:43 PM | message detail |
Link will SFF Sonic to the ground. --- Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/16/2010 7:16:00 PM | message detail |
Not at night, Sonic has Europe and anti-Link Asia. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 197/240 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Sephiroth |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/16/2010 7:17:02 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #056 Bandwagon Effect. But anyway, Link's goal here is to outdo Cloud's 2003 match. --- Has anyone really been far even as decided to use even go want to do look more like? |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:18:01 PM | message detail |
Bandwagon Effect. Based on what? Losing to Samus? If anything, he should have had a bandwagon effect against Samus, but he didn't. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 3/16/2010 7:19:49 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 3/16/2010 10:18:01 PM | #060 Outlasting Mario would be my guess. Didn't most people expect him to get booted out either first or second? --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:20:27 PM | message detail |
He
got a bandwagon effect after the first day because he ended up getting
semi-close to Sephiroth, but that shouldn't have mattered on the first
day. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:21:40 PM | message detail |
Leon's
right, Snake's bandwagon effect would have been from the Mega Man match
through the final. there was nothing particularly noteworthy about the
BR until Sephiroth happened. --- xyzzy |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/16/2010 7:23:04 PM | message detail |
Snake has more Nintendo overlap now than he did back then. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:24:43 PM | message detail |
Snake overlaps with everything, apparently. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/16/2010 7:26:32 PM | message detail |
I still don't understand to this collapse against Nintendo, so are you saying that characters like Fox and Pikachu rSFF Snake? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 197/240 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Sephiroth |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:27:32 PM | message detail |
No,
the only thing that people could point to and say Snake "collapses"
against Nintendo are Snake/Yoshi, Snake/Samus, and Snake/Pikachu. Two
of those happened in the sprite round, and Samus SFFing Snake is lawl. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:28:34 PM | message detail |
I believe in the Samus thing. dunno about the Fox and Pikachu thing but it's a convenient way to excuse those performances. --- xyzzy |
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:29:05 PM | message detail |
that
said, I don't think Snake is very much Nintendo anymore. at one point
he was front and center, but as Brawl has become less and less
relevant, Snake being in Brawl means less and less. --- xyzzy |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/16/2010 7:30:33 PM | message detail |
The
'Snake collapses against Nintendo' thing came about when Snake was
expected by nearly everyone to cruise over Samus in the finals of the
2k6 bracket after stomping Sonic and MM, and didn't. People were high up on Snake and the time and really wanted to see him win in the finals (and it looked very possible after his dominance). Plus Samus had had some very underwhelming female bracket performances. Problem with that is that Samus beat Sonic worse than he did in 2k4, and the female bracket ended up being worth crap, so yeah. Shouldn't really have been the favorite, but he was, so people came up with 'Samus sapped his Brawl support'. Ever since that people have brought up that excuse, but so far I've never seen an example of it. --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:30:36 PM | message detail |
I
dunno. If you look at Samus/Sonic 2004 and Snake/Sonic 2006, you get
around what Samus/Snake got. I suppose it's possible 2006 Sonic is
stronger than 2004 Sonic, but I doubt it's by much. People expected
Snake to win after 55% on Mega Man and Sonic as opposed to 55% on
Zelda, but when that happened and we ended up with something that made
no sense (Tifa and Zelda > Sonic, Mega Man, and Crono), I think
people just overreacted. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:31:52 PM | message detail |
just look at the unadjusted stats for the 2006 contest. the female side is *insane*, even if you adjust for Tifa. --- xyzzy |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:32:27 PM | message detail |
Yeah, but that happens even if you make Snake and Samus equal. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/16/2010 7:33:15 PM | message detail |
The
female bracket had the same problem as the villains contest: everyone
overperforms on Samus as everyone knows Samus is going to win. --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:33:45 PM | message detail |
yep.
2006 is crazy in general, but it's made more crazy by the idea of Samus
beating Snake when, by any reasonable projection, she should have lost
like 53-47 at best. that's cool though! --- xyzzy |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:34:13 PM | message detail |
Plus,
whenever something happens that doesn't make sense, we're all out to
make up some factor to explain it. We're going to end up with some
nonsensical stuff in the stats this year, too, but there isn't gonna be
a cut-and-dry explanation for it all. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 7:36:20 PM | message detail |
hey,
I've argued against the Zero Suit Samus thing for years and here we are
today with Tifa doing it again without any good excuse! but I dunno, the Brawl thing makes sense to me. do you remember how huge Brawl was in 2006? its hype alone let it get like 38% on the entire Mario series. I was thinking about this while driving the other day -- is Pokemon now the 4th strongest series on this site? it has to be, right? --- xyzzy |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 7:38:56 PM | message detail |
Yeah, I remember how huge Brawl was. And I don't know if I'd take over Pokemon over Smash Bros. at this point, but that'd be a good battle, I think. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
HaRRicH | Posted 3/16/2010 7:38:57 PM | message detail |
I
think Sonic will beat MMX's percentage. Link and Sonic don't generally
share games, genres, systems, design, or history. Sonic 2 wasn't really
SFF'd by SMW, Sonic wasn't bothered much by SMW and/or SMB3, and Sonic
3 bombing against SM/SMK was probably more of Sonic 3 sucking than them
overlapping. Also, if Sonic IS Nintendo-based, I don't feel so bad
about him standing up to Link after MMX did well enough and Sonic beat
both Kirby and Ganondorf with room to spare this contest. Link's clearly above Kirby and Ganon in Nintendo's totem-pole, but if Sonic's even in that category then he's proven once again he can hold his own now that we're back to one-on-one matches. --- Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart! Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 3/16/2010 7:41:28 PM | message detail |
From: transients | Posted: 3/16/2010 10:36:20 PM | #077 Not necessarily. MM is a Noble Niner and we all know how his series performed. It's probably up there, but it could be close to the Big 3 or be below MGS and with a sizeable gap in the middle. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/16/2010 7:48:38 PM | message detail |
It's a night match, and Sonic isn't the joke he was in four-ways. He will impress against Link. --- Not Wylvane |
HaRRicH | Posted 3/16/2010 7:51:14 PM | message detail |
I
don't think Pokemon's in the top five biggest series. It very well
could be, but there's something worth asking again: is Pokemon RBY
bigger than the rest of the Pokemon series combined? GS got ~47% on MGS
while RBY got ~53% with LoZ:OoT in the poll. DP lost easily to SMG and
I don't think any other Pokemon-game is expected to be strong. Looking
at the Character Battles, every RBY-Pokemon has done well and Red would
probably beat any other Pokemon we've seen thus far too. I know a lot of RBY-fans would support the Pokemon-series, but I don't think a lot of them would against other series with multiple incredibly loved games and I wonder how big the rest of the Pokemon fanbase is. I'm definitely taking the SSB-series and probably the MGS-series over the Pokemon-series. I'd also enjoy a Metroid-rematch, though not even Other M would let the series go 2-0 against Pokemon. --- Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart! Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg |
Ngamer64 | Posted 3/16/2010 7:52:19 PM | message detail |
ATTN: Stats people Our guest for tonight passed away in a terrible homework incident. So, would you like to come on the final episode of The Show for this season? IM me if you're interested. ImNgamer --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 3/16/2010 7:56:18 PM | message detail |
From: HaRRicH | Posted: 3/16/2010 10:51:14 PM | #082 Mudkip? --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
voltch | Posted 3/16/2010 7:56:20 PM | message detail |
come on non bad users, apply for this once in a year opportunity for greatness. --- Shakes Fist! |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/16/2010 7:57:30 PM | message detail |
Match CXXI: (1) Link vs. (1) Sonic the Hedgehog Last Round Link – 71.13% Luigi – 28.87% Sonic the Hedgehog – 54.61% Kirby – 45.39% Analysis As much as some people wanted to see a Mario/Sonic match that is not going to happen with Link in the way. An interesting fact is that this is the first contest in which Mario and Sonic are on the same half of the bracket. Anyway this is the match where we’ll see whether it was Sonic rebounding from his terrible performances in previous contests or whether Sonic was lucky in terms of bracket placement in that he didn’t run into a stronger character. Sonic’s 35% against Sephiroth last contest was pretty terrible which suggests that Link has a chance at breaking 70% should Sonic be as weak as he was in the previous contest. After watching Sonic go through this division I do feel that Sonic has rebounded a bit and given that this is a night match which means like against Ganondorf Sonic gets the support of Europe while Asia’s hate weakens Link. Unless some kind of SFF occurs I think Sonic has a great chance at avoiding getting doubled. This contest hating blowouts and Zelda characters not performing up to par probably helps Sonic’s case. I’m glad to see that Sonic is still above the Nintendo near-elites, but I want to see him in action against the Square near-elites in the next contest. charmander6000’s Bracket: Link > Sonic the Hedgehog charmander6000’s Prediction: Link wins, 65.89% - 34.11% --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 197/240 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Sephiroth |
HaRRicH | Posted 3/16/2010 7:58:50 PM | message detail |
Our
guest for tonight passed away in a terrible homework incident. So,
would you like to come on the final episode of The Show for this
season? IM me if you're interested. If it's tomorrow night or later, I'll be available. --- Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart! Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg |
Ngamer64 | Posted 3/16/2010 7:59:35 PM | message detail |
It's RIGHT NOW. --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
HaRRicH | Posted 3/16/2010 8:04:29 PM | message detail |
Mudkip? Eh, probably not Mudkip, I'll stand corrected there...but MMX didn't do a lot better on Red this year than Mudkip in 2008, Red's got RBY-power on his side, and we haven't seen Mudkip one-on-one yet so considering he runs off of some joke-power I wonder if he still holds up as well. --- Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart! Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg |
HaRRicH | Posted 3/16/2010 8:05:18 PM | message detail |
Oh, sorry N, I'm with the family and without my mic. Best of luck finding another. --- Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart! Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg |
Ngamer64 | Posted 3/16/2010 8:05:45 PM | message detail |
Hop on AIM so we can set this up HaR! Just use meebo.com if you don't have it installed! --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
Ngamer64 | Posted 3/16/2010 8:06:07 PM | message detail |
Noooooooooooooooo --- You should search B8 for The Show, hosted by Ng & Ed! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/16/2010 8:06:26 PM | message detail |
I'll do it if you don't mind a repeat guest. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
voltch | Posted 3/16/2010 8:08:13 PM | message detail |
nooooooooooooooooo Well I guess if leon repeats then It's Squallid Snake time, with more Squalling love and Zell hype, or Seifer, or Laguna. --- Shakes Fist! |
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 8:08:54 PM | message detail |
I should do this. too bad I don't have a mic! --- xyzzy |
voltch | Posted 3/16/2010 8:09:49 PM | message detail |
noooooooooo Tranny showing interest but no mic...noooooo How can we have the HM/Tranny combo I've been waiting for. --- Shakes Fist! |
transients | Posted 3/16/2010 8:11:13 PM | message detail |
HM's off cosplaying in Akihabara right now anyway --- xyzzy |
voltch | Posted 3/16/2010 8:13:00 PM | message detail |
For real? I might bump into him then. --- Shakes Fist! |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/16/2010 8:26:28 PM | message detail |
I'm all for having Leon on again. He's a fun dude. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "We're only gonna score 17 points?" -LOL Tom Brady |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/16/2010 8:26:34 PM | message detail |
http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/6774/linkvsmario6.jpg http://img694.imageshack.us/img694/9009/linkvmario.jpg --- Has anyone really been far even as decided to use even go want to do look more like? |