GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 880
charmander6000 | Posted 3/15/2010 7:57:24 PM | message detail |
Match CXIX: (1) Solid Snake vs. (2) Squall Leonhart Last Round Solid Snake – 55.20% Pikachu – 44.80% Auron – 48.19% Squall Leonhart – 51.81% Analysis The only 2 seed to make it out of round 2 has made it to round 4, but this is the end of the line for Squall. With Snake/Squall quickly becoming the new Snake/Knuckles like with previous years I don’t see a reason to expect the match to go any differently than before other than a couple of percent change. Now had this been the sprite round we could have had an interesting match on our hands. Since the last time they met Snake has received Brawl and Metal Gear Solid 4 and as seen by his performance in 2008 those games did help him in terms of strength so one would expect Snake to perform better against Squall. On the other hand Snake hasn’t looked that great in this contest suggesting a slight deflation from his high in 2008. You could blame it on anti-blowout GameFAQs, but if that’s the case then Snake shouldn’t exactly blow Squall out either. I wouldn’t be surprised if Snake has returned to around his 2006 level and that the match will be a repeat of their encounter in that year. It’s hard to tell where Squall currently ranks, but given his non-Terra match he seems to be around where he was in previous years. Expect a decent performance by Squall that will likely make people more comfortable with Sephiroth over Snake. charmander6000’s Bracket: Solid Snake > Squall Leonhart charmander6000’s Prediction: Solid Snake wins, 57.83% - 42.17% --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 181/224 - Today's Winners: Samus and Cloud |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/15/2010 7:58:24 PM | message detail |
Squall
looked alright against Auron, but I think I would take Vincent over him
now, whereas I would have done the opposite before the contest. The
Terra match was bad no matter how you slice it (well, maybe not,
depending on how high you're willing to put HG/SS boosted Charizard). --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 7:59:19 PM | message detail |
We
don't even know what the Terra match was worth, and we've seen a lot of
top tier guys have bad matches against characters we used to think were
pretty weak (like Cloud against Ridley), so I dunno. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/15/2010 8:03:02 PM | message detail |
From: TheKoolAidShoto | #176 mc is a girl. I can guarantee this. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ http://img.imgcake.com/mjpop.gif |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 8:04:47 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #204 Jesus H. Christ, why was this such a big ****ing deal --- Thank you for assuming the party escort submission position |
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/15/2010 8:05:04 PM | message detail |
Ok
hold on. How in the world has Cloud looked weaker this year? Aside from
the 12 hour format inflating fodder level characters, he's pushing 66%
on RYU. The same Ryu that just beat Dante, and was worth 32% on Base
Link in 2006. The same Ryu that just got SF4, TVC and will soon have
SSF4. Link wouldn't even do this well against Ryu. If anything FFXIII has given Cloud enough of a boost to be stronger than Link. Squall is going to impress against Snake. And Snake wasn't stronger in the 4 ways than he was in 06, it was just a format that worked to his benefit. Nothing more nothing less. He's proven that he is weaker this year already. Also comparing Pikachu to Charizard is just foolish. Pikachu would NEVER beat Bowser -- let alone by 5%. --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/15/2010 8:09:41 PM | message detail |
32%
on BL you say? So based on that, Cloud gets roughly 47% on BL- the Link
that he beat with 51% once- now. That means he gets roughly 44% on Link
2004, who may as well be equal to Link 2008. Add on 1% since he'd do
better against Ryu in a 24-hour match if you like. That's 45% on Link
2008, and it'd be the worst he's ever done against Link, including his
match on the day Twilight Princess and the Wii were released. Of
course, Link has looked a step weaker too this year. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/15/2010 8:09:51 PM | message detail |
Keep
in mind that Dante was worth 36% on base Link in 2006. Now I know 'lol
2006' but if they've dropped there's just as much reason for Link to
drop. Also Ryu is more relevant right now than he has ever been in
these contests. So if anything he's gotten stronger or at least stayed
constant. --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 8:11:01 PM | message detail |
Keep in mind that Dante was worth 36% on base Link in 2006. No, he wasn't. He's 39.73% on Samus that year. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/15/2010 8:11:12 PM | message detail |
Dante was NOT worth 36% on Link in 2006. Dante was extrapolated through Yoshi, who lost to Snake in the sprite round. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/15/2010 8:11:15 PM | message detail |
Right
-- Link has looked weaker, but Ryu has looked stronger than ever. So I
would take Dante's 36% on BL to be more accurate. I think it's probably
more of a middle ground, but at 34% that still makes Cloud look
stronger than Link in 2006, and Link this year has definitely looked
weaker than Link of 2006. --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/15/2010 8:11:54 PM | message detail |
Ok
hold on. How in the world has Cloud looked weaker this year? Aside from
the 12 hour format inflating fodder level characters, he's pushing 66%
on RYU. The same Ryu that just beat Dante, and was worth 32% on Base
Link in 2006. The same Ryu that just got SF4, TVC and will soon have
SSF4. Link wouldn't even do this well against Ryu. If anything FFXIII has given Cloud enough of a boost to be stronger than Link. Or maybe Ryu weakened during the contest. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/15/2010 8:13:50 PM | message detail |
No, he wasn't. He's 39.73% on Samus that year. So he was worth more like 34% on Base Link even after Yoshi overperformed on Snake in the sprite round? Well then......all the worse. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/15/2010 8:14:36 PM | message detail |
Oh
wtf. Man I was reading those wrong. There goes my arguments for Cloud.
:( Didn't realize that the X-stats had Link at 56. Why the hell would
they do that? Lol. Oh well. I can still hope for Cloud. This is still an impressive performance to me in 12 hours and based on how the night vote is going it would be probably 2 or 3% higher if given 24 hours. I still say that Cloud has a good shot at Link. --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/15/2010 8:16:11 PM | message detail |
Yeah,
it's kind of confusing. Base Link is Link 2003, but Link has been quite
a bit stronger ever since 2004. I generally assume Link was constant
from 2004 through 2008. --- 2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth. All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled! |
LOLContests | Posted 3/15/2010 8:17:03 PM | message detail |
I don't believe any of this whole "anti-blowout" theory. The reason we haven't seen as many blowouts is because: A) Clinkeroth is getting anti-voted, and thus removing the most powerful group of characters from the equation. And besides Thrall, none of them have faced fodder characters anyway, and would not have broken 80% even if they weren't being anti-voted. B) Due to vote-ins, the lower seeds have been much stronger than normal. While there is fodder in this bracket, it is just by chance not going up against the big guys. There's only been 1 80%+ match, but other than that how many matches were even expected to break that number and didn't? Link Vs. Thrall, and Vincent Vs. Guybrush, but that's it. --- *bark*--Amaterasu Yesmar |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 8:17:46 PM | message detail |
There's
only been 1 80%+ match, but other than that how many matches were even
expected to break that number and didn't? Link Vs. Thrall, and Vincent
Vs. Guybrush, but that's it. Cloud/Ridley was. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 8:17:59 PM | message detail |
Good god, Ryu is holding on for dear life to that 34%. What's better, 32% on Link or 34% on Cloud? --- Thank you for assuming the party escort submission position |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 8:18:24 PM | message detail |
From: TheKoolAidShoto | #218 I'd call it a push. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 8:19:58 PM | message detail |
We
have to settle the Ryu/MMX/Dante debate, since appearently they are the
three strongest non-n9, non-Nintendo/Square characters in this contest. --- This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss |
LOLContests | Posted 3/15/2010 8:20:12 PM | message detail |
So
he was worth more like 34% on Base Link even after Yoshi overperformed
on Snake in the sprite round? Well then......all the worse. I would adjust Yoshi more than 2% on BL due to the Sprite Round. The X-Stats from 2006 are borked anyway, since its based off of a ridiculous Samus ranking of 46 on BL. --- *bark*--Amaterasu Yesmar |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 8:20:33 PM | message detail |
From: TheKoolAidShoto | #220 Don't leave Zero out of that equation, son! --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 8:22:55 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #222 Yeah, he's pretty close too. Hmm...Zero > Sub-Zero? --- This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 8:24:07 PM | message detail |
Indubitably! It's only natural for Zero to be higher than Sub-Zero, ho ho ho. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 8:27:53 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #224 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hU1I-dURJvM#t=49s --- Good luck Freeman! Be Adequate! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 8:35:51 PM | message detail |
So who wins the board vote? Snake's board vote certainly ain't what it used to be, but Squall's has never been that good either. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 3/15/2010 8:37:26 PM | message detail |
we're all just going to refrain from voting because none of the contestants are Pokemon --- For your health. http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/15/2010 8:39:25 PM | message detail |
From: TheKoolAidShoto | #225 XFD At any rate, I think it's safe to say that Squall will be beating his 2006 result. Snake has looked weaker this year, and at best is at his 2006 level. At worst, he's at Mega Man's level. --- "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 8:40:59 PM | message detail |
I
think it's possible that, in 2006, Snake may have been benefiting from
bracket voting and seeding. I've speculated for a while that it was a
big reason Sora got 45%+ on Mega Man, especially after his mega-bomb
against Bowser, same with Dante against Vincent in 2005, and it may
have been why Falcon looked so bad against Crono in 2006. Not that I'm trying to make excuses, but I think Squall can outdo his 2006 number easily if that were true. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 8:42:10 PM | message detail |
And Cloud finally hits 66%. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 8:44:26 PM | message detail |
Well at least Ryu avoided the doubling. I'll take what I can get >_> --- This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/15/2010 8:49:49 PM | message detail |
Come on Ryu, pull Cloud under 66% here. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 8:56:00 PM | message detail |
Oh hey, did you guys notice that Bacon posted the first competition on the "GameFAQs Competitions" board? A gaming limerick competition, if any of you guys are so inclined. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 8:56:56 PM | message detail |
65.99% for Cloud, you can do it Ryu --- Currently NOT on the CBVIII Leaderboard v_v Dante > Cloud: ITS NOT HAPPENING |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/15/2010 8:57:36 PM | message detail |
Oh hey, did you guys notice that Bacon posted the first competition on the "GameFAQs Competitions" board? Yes, I know about it. I'm not participating in it, because poetry just isn't my thing. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
Master Moltar | Posted 3/15/2010 9:00:13 PM | message detail |
Solid Snake 76.47% 13 Squall Leonhart 23.53% 4 TOTAL VOTES 17 --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Squall (194/240) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 9:00:17 PM | message detail |
Vote Accepted Solid Snake 75% 6 Squall Leonhart 25% 2 TOTAL VOTES 8 Oh brother. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
paulg235 | Posted 3/15/2010 9:00:19 PM | message detail |
Solid Snake 70.59% 24 Squall Leonhart 29.41% 10 TOTAL VOTES 34 Ouch --- The Gamer In Me My Signature's broken, just like your front door. |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/15/2010 9:00:25 PM | message detail |
Solid Snake 77.78% 7 Squall Leonhart 22.22% 2 TOTAL VOTES 9 Snake > Link --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 197/240 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Sephiroth |
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/15/2010 9:00:30 PM | message detail |
snakes gunnin' for ya, Seph. --- http://i44.tinypic.com/166hz0l.gif Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 9:00:35 PM | message detail |
Yep, Snake wins the board vote. Gross. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 3/15/2010 9:00:38 PM | message detail |
all aboard the Snake > Seph train choo choo --- Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 13th Today's prediction: Cloud - 63.63% Status: meh |
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/15/2010 9:00:53 PM | message detail |
Oh god a not completely pathetic Snake super early vote thanks guys You made my night :3 --- http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
Gaddswell | Posted 3/15/2010 9:00:55 PM | message detail |
Solid Snake 64.12% 109 Squall Leonhart 35.88% 61 TOTAL VOTES 170 Pika looks so good right now. --- http://fc93.deviantart.com/fs40/f/2009/026/9/3/Ike_Climbers1_by_MGSFan4ever.png Thanks Anagram! |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 9:01:14 PM | message detail |
"This is Snake. I'm done here" --- Good luck Freeman! Be Adequate! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 9:01:21 PM | message detail |
If Snake breaks 60%, he had better beat Sephiroth! That's all I'm gonna say! --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/15/2010 9:01:39 PM | message detail |
Leon what is wrong with you we want Snake to do as well as possible this means nothing for Squall and everything for him --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
Master Moltar | Posted 3/15/2010 9:01:46 PM | message detail |
get ready Seph Snake coming --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Squall (194/240) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/15/2010 9:01:49 PM | message detail |
by him I mean Snake --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZrSUvrXRc4 |
RockMFR 5 | Posted 3/15/2010 9:01:53 PM | message detail |
booooring --- Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0 |