GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 879

voltch | Posted 3/15/2010 9:19:25 AM | message detail
Cloud must have clouded Ryu's judgement.
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Shakes Fist!
Gooper Blooper | Posted 3/15/2010 9:19:31 AM | message detail
...I meant we knew Scorpion's opponents were lackluster. Dunno what I wasl taking about there.
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Denzokuken | Posted 3/15/2010 9:20:04 AM | message detail
I'd be more distressed at how close Ryu is going to be to Captain Falcon.

Or more excited. Falcon is actually legit after all!


I think weaker opponents percentages are very inflated against Cloud. His fanbase and anti-fanbase are tailor-made to make stronger opponents look worse, and weaker opponents look better.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/15/2010 9:20:43 AM | message detail

From: Gooper Blooper | #448
Charizard's the best thing since ever. Missingno was fun and he broke the Nine, but he only advanced twice...

Maybe Scorpion cleaning out his half of his division. Maybe. But there we knew he had little chance.

Charizard scored the lowest 1v1 prediction percentage of all time yesterday. I think that clinches it.


I think it's being overlooked just how amazing Charizard's run is. Crushed America, beat Kratos, defeated a former champ, and then easily beat Bowser to win his division, all while being the huge underdog.

Missingno may have killed the Noble Nine and got closer to Seph than even Mario or Samus could, but Charizard had one of the best runs of all these contests. Great job, 'Zard.
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Not Wylvane
Kotetsu534 | Posted 3/15/2010 9:20:59 AM | message detail
Cometh the Proud Clod.

It's not even that great a performance; it's just, not disappointing!

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Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XIII
CP724 | Posted 3/15/2010 9:21:05 AM | message detail
Captain Falcon>>>>Leon
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derp
creativename | Posted 3/15/2010 9:21:39 AM | message detail

From: Karma Hunter | #2204
Hey, Cloud rising this much post-board vote shows that the intensity of the antivotes is retained even in a day match! That's good for Snake!


Actually it perfectly displays how the opposite is true. In a night match Snake could lead or tie for a full hour. In the day he might not lead for a full minute.

In a night match the anti-Cloud+Seph momentum can last a while. Here it's completely torn to shreds in two updates.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 9:22:58 AM | message detail
ugh terrible result/Cloud fans are the worse ugh

**** this, I'm gonna go play TvC and own noobs with Ryu/Viewtiful Joe
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OH YEAH!
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/15/2010 9:23:08 AM | message detail
Considering where Cloud is liable to end up and the trend against every character scoring huge blowouts, I'd venture to call this impressive if he can keep up the pressure. Link got, what, 67% on MMX in a night match?
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creativename | Posted 3/15/2010 9:23:47 AM | message detail
Charizard is overshadowed in this very contest by Missingo. Missingno's run certainly caused much more excitement.

From: Denzokuken | #2253
I'd be more distressed at how close Ryu is going to be to Captain Falcon.

Or more excited. Falcon is actually legit after all!


I think weaker opponents percentages are very inflated against Cloud. His fanbase and anti-fanbase are tailor-made to make stronger opponents look worse, and weaker opponents look better.


Cloud would've easily smashed 70% against Falcon in a day match.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/15/2010 9:24:36 AM | message detail
Almost another percent! This is Cloud Strife. Let it be pronounced to the masses of characters clamoring for a fight: He'll get far closer to Link than you'll ever get to him.

Based on last contest, Alucard = Falcon may actually be pretty reasonable. Alucard only won with 55.5% with Diddy in the poll, which became 61% when Diddy was replaced with Pikachu. In that case, Link/Cloud would be projected to go around 54-46 since Link was handicapped by a night match with Alucard.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/15/2010 9:25:04 AM | message detail
And Jesus Christ, Cloud is still making huge ****ing gains.

You know, creative does have a good point about anti-votes meaning more in the night, where there's fewer votes. Cloud's looking like his old self here in the day, and this actually is the first time we've seen any of the big three in the day. If Link had a day match, he'd easily break 80% on Thrall, maybe even 85%.

Night votes are what are really hurting the big three. They get much of their strength from day-time voters, while characters like Samus are still incredibly strong in the night.

This means that Samus may yet still have a chance at Cloud since it's a night match, so we'll have the pansy Cloud of the first three rounds instead of the Cloud-level Cloud of today. On the converse, Snake is completely ****ed against Sephiroth.
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Not Wylvane
Gooper Blooper | Posted 3/15/2010 9:28:58 AM | message detail
Let it be pronounced to the masses of characters clamoring for a fight: He'll get far closer to Link than you'll ever get to him.

yayyyyy

no changes ever huzzaaaaah
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Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/15/2010 9:29:54 AM | message detail
Am I missing something? Didn't Cloud go down in percentage that last update?
creativename | Posted 3/15/2010 9:29:55 AM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #2302
If Link had a day match, he'd easily break 80% on Thrall, maybe even 85%.


85% is certainly too high. But yes he'd have done much better. Link is actually fairly unbalanced even normally - he always rises a lot after noontime. Add in anti-votes and the difference would be greater. 82+% is likely a safe bet for a 24-hour match.

This means that Samus may yet still have a chance at Cloud since it's a night match, so we'll have the pansy Cloud of the first three rounds instead of the Cloud-level Cloud of today. On the converse, Snake is completely ****ed against Sephiroth.
This is pretty much what I've been saying. I mostly agree. Samus has an outside shot - although again I expect the daylight to end her chances. But Snake is going to have a very tough time against Sephiroth in the day, I don't know if he can even lead for more than a couple updates - maybe.
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voltch | Posted 3/15/2010 9:30:40 AM | message detail
IT'S NOT FAIR WHY DO WEAK TEAMS NEVER WIN THE PREMIERSHIP!!!!!
Why can't AFC wimbledon ever be allowed to win the premiership?
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Shakes Fist!
Denzokuken | Posted 3/15/2010 9:30:52 AM | message detail
Cloud is just taking a swig of Hi-Potion. He'll be back next update.
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/15/2010 9:33:18 AM | message detail
I'm telling you, Samus/Cloud and Snake/Sephiroth will both have low votals because of March Madness. I think that that will hurt the FFVII slightly more than the Nintendo fanbase, but that's just a gut feeling and I have no idea why.
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/15/2010 9:34:54 AM | message detail
The idea that Cloud wouldn't be getting similar percentage jumps in the Power Hour isn't just revisionist history, it's demonstrably untrue. Thirty minutes in from the freeze last round, in the middle of the Power Hour, Cloud put jumped ~3% against Falcon. Thirty minutes in today, Cloud's jumped... ~3%. What people are marveling at is the absolute percentage, nothing more.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 9:37:48 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #445
And to think some people voted Laguna Loire over him in the NRT!


I still stand by my decision.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/15/2010 9:37:51 AM | message detail

From: TheOneAboveAll | #468
I'm telling you, Samus/Cloud and Snake/Sephiroth will both have low votals because of March Madness. I think that that will hurt the FFVII slightly more than the Nintendo fanbase, but that's just a gut feeling and I have no idea why.


How exactly would a night match lose votals due to basketball during the day again ... ?
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voltch | Posted 3/15/2010 9:38:13 AM | message detail
March madness will boost square cos n00bs don't know how to bea the FFXIII bosses so they come on gamefaqs and vote for Cloud in the process.
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Shakes Fist!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 9:38:16 AM | message detail
Oh, and better luck next year, Samus.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/15/2010 9:38:59 AM | message detail
Actually, I'm wrong about that. There are no games during Samus/Cloud. But I can guarantee that Snake/Sephiroth will have very low votals and that the semis and finals will have very weak day votes, meaning a very weak ASV.
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Cloud > Link?
I just realized, that's a Sunday match.
Weekend ASV strikes again!
voltch | Posted 3/15/2010 9:39:18 AM | message detail
Zell is Blonde, Zell to be near elite, gg everyone else.
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Shakes Fist!
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/15/2010 9:40:00 AM | message detail
To note, this is still a far cry from what Cloud has gotten in previous years. If this was (somehow) a Round 1 match, people would be very disappointed.

It just looks less crappy in comparisan to letting Falcon get 30% on you. Probably still decently out of Samus' reach, but he (and the other two in Clinkeroth) have undoubtedly fallen off some this year.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 9:41:08 AM | message detail
Yeah, Clinkeroth appears to have lost a step this year, but they can afford to lose a step and still beat even the next strongest 55/45, at least Link and Cloud can anyway.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 9:41:31 AM | message detail
Vaan is blonde, Vaan is near-elite, gg everyone else.

oh wait

and at least Ryu is maintaining 35%+ here. Bow out gracefully, world warrior.
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OH YEAH!
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/15/2010 9:41:44 AM | message detail
Now Samus vs. Sephiroth...that would be very doable!

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Iamthekuzalol | Posted 3/15/2010 9:42:01 AM | message detail
Another percentage dropped? First hour being Cloud's best hour in a day match?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3847&region=USXCA

California ASV, here we go.
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Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times"
creativename | Posted 3/15/2010 9:42:44 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #2356
To note, this is still a far cry from what Cloud has gotten in previous years. If this was (somehow) a Round 1 match, people would be very disappointed.

It just looks less crappy in comparisan to letting Falcon get 30% on you. Probably still decently out of Samus' reach, but he (and the other two in Clinkeroth) have undoubtedly fallen off some this year.


I agree. Samus could well hold Cloud to say 52%. Missingo held Seph to under 53%, and I expect Cloud/Samus to be pretty similar.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 9:43:05 AM | message detail
Varia Division Stats

Samus Aran – 50.00%
Princess Zelda – 36.15%
Sub-Zero – 32.69%
Jill Valentine – 32.48%
Tidus – 30.17%
Jecht – 29.12%
Phoenix Wright – 27.55%
Ezio Auditore da Firenze – 27.39%
Roxas – 26.77%
Ratchet – 25.54%
Heavy – 23.04%
Simon Belmont – 22.07%
The Prince of Persia – 21.31%
Niko Bellic – 21.30%
Travis Touchdown – 21.20%
Eddie Riggs – 16.14%

Jecht denied, Crybaby prevails!

And no chart until we get the missing updates supplied.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 9:43:41 AM | message detail
Do the Midgar division Leon >_>
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OH YEAH!
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/15/2010 9:43:51 AM | message detail
Phoenix Wright – 27.55%
Ezio Auditore da Firenze – 27.39%

yes

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 9:43:55 AM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #483
Do the Midgar division Leon >_>


Workin' on it!
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
voltch | Posted 3/15/2010 9:43:58 AM | message detail
but isn't this people have been clamouring for years? for cli keroth to lose a few steps so that the rest of the field can catch up?
They might not be there yet, but its a start.
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Denzokuken | Posted 3/15/2010 9:44:40 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3847&region=PH

if only the Philippines got as many votes as the USA...if only.
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/15/2010 9:44:41 AM | message detail

From: voltch | #486
but isn't this people have been clamouring for years? for cli keroth to lose a few steps so that the rest of the field can catch up?
They might not be there yet, but its a start.


Yeah, this year is a step in the right direction! Actually, Missingno losing may be a blessing. That probably speeds up the process a lot faster.

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aj8OjPKN9B4
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/15/2010 9:45:17 AM | message detail
Tag Team Endgame 4-Pack

Crono/Samus
Link/Yoshi

Cloud/DK
Snake/Ryu
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/15/2010 9:46:30 AM | message detail
For those matchups to be fair you would need to switch out Yoshi and DK with like...Guybrush and Lloyd

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 9:46:44 AM | message detail
Preliminary Midgar Division Stats

Cloud Strife – 50.00%
Ryu – 35.60%
Dante – 35.35%
Leon Kennedy – 30.70%
Captain Falcon – 30.07%
Riku – 28.58%
Ridley – 28.28%
Chris Redfield – 28.01%
Vault Boy – 24.07%
Balthier Bunansa – 22.09%
Axel – 21.66%
Sackboy – 21.60%
Ramza Beoulve – 21.54%
Kratos Aurion – 19.63%
Captain MacMillan – 17.92%

Ha, this ends up not making Chris look so bad. RE5 boost indeed. Oh, and Leon's pic factor, of course.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/15/2010 9:47:44 AM | message detail
Alright, now the Ryu anti-voting is over and Ryu can go up now!
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/15/2010 9:47:53 AM | message detail
Cloud has hit the brick wall finally. He is struggling (if even making an attempt) to increase his percentage.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 9:47:56 AM | message detail
Leon Kennedy – 30.70%
Captain Falcon – 30.07%


Falcon...you're smalltime
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voltch | Posted 3/15/2010 9:48:23 AM | message detail
the whole capcom squad just looks terrible thanks to cloud.
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Shakes Fist!
red sox 777 | Posted 3/15/2010 9:49:29 AM | message detail
I don't really think so, anymore. Voters are smart- even if Link is their favorite character, if you put two characters they like against Link and give Tanner to help Link, I think a large number of them will defect. I could see Link/Guybrush losing pretty easily to Crono/Samus or Megaman/Snake. Remember, Link isn't even the favorite character of most Link voters in any given 1v1 match, he just has to be preferred to the other character in the poll.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/15/2010 9:49:34 AM | message detail
Yeah, I see Ryu/Dante/Leon, three of my fave characters in a row, then ugh stupid Zack Fair wannabe/emo kid on top ugh

Well at least Ryu is keeping this respectable.
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OH YEAH!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/15/2010 9:50:29 AM | message detail
Varia Division X-Stats Bracket

(1) Samus Aran (0)
(16) Eddie Riggs (-5)

(8) Ezio Auditore da Firenze (-6)
(9) Roxas (-4)

(5) Tidus (-1)
(12) Simon Belmont (+3)

(4) Jill Valentine (+5)
(13) The Prince of Persia (+3)

(6) Jecht (+8)
(11) Heavy (+1)

(3) Sub-Zero (+10)
(14) Niko Bellic (-6)

(7) Phoenix Wright (-4)
(10) Ratchet (-4)

(2) Princess Zelda (+8)
(15) Travis Touchdown (-8)

Yeah, the seeding in this division was really off!
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Denzokuken | Posted 3/15/2010 9:50:43 AM | message detail
Cloud is the best
Denzokuken | Posted 3/15/2010 9:50:54 AM | message detail
^truth