GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 876

LeonhartFour | Posted 3/13/2010 9:29:01 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #398
Kirby just went up after the board vote.

Let me repeat that. KIRBY. Went up. After the BOARD VOTE.


...And? He finished less than 1% away from where he started against Vivi after the freeze.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 9:29:06 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #395
And yeah, most people won't even have a bracket to vote for in Bowser/Charizard. Only 25% of brackets have Bowser even getting there, I'd imagine less than 20% even have him winning.


Hmm, okay, yeah. Forgot about this.

Everyone has a Mario/MM bracket, though, so that still stands.

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EternalxCourage | Posted 3/13/2010 9:29:14 AM | message detail
Guys seriously this percentage is going to go up a lot for Sonic as the day goes on. It's not an ASV, but then when night time hits too his percentage is going to skyrocket. I would be very surprised for Sonic not to hit 58% at this point.

Sonic was never weak. You guys just obviously have no idea how 4 ways affects each individual character. You guys can make guesses and say you made educated adjustments -- but they were just guesses. You get lucky. But really you can't draw much of anything from 4 ways.
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creativename | Posted 3/13/2010 9:29:41 AM | message detail
This is a pretty unimpressive performance by Sonic. Obviously there's no bandwagon here, and Kirby isn't really a near-elite. Even giving him a classic strength of 32% (on the high end of his range), him at 46% puts Sonic under 35%, which I'd say is the Crono/Vincent/Squall level.

I'd take Sonic over Squall, but looks like it would be close.

Perhaps Sonic will rise (or drop), but I don't think it would be that much, since it's a weekend match
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 9:29:57 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #401
...And? He finished less than 1% away from where he started against Vivi after the freeze.


There's your answer.

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charmander6000 | Posted 3/13/2010 9:30:06 AM | message detail
Which shows me that Board 8 is STILL bracket voting and that Mega Man and Charizard are going to be hurting in the early vote. Man.

Bowser/Charizard will not have a bracket vote because nobody has the winner in that match.
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Character Battle VIII - 157/192 - Today's Winners: Link and Sonic
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/13/2010 9:30:11 AM | message detail
Maybe the morning board vote is different than the Power Hour. The very idea that people would bracket vote in this situation and still keep Pikachu ahead of Snake for 20 minutes is disheartening. Bracket voters should be dead by now, and they'll be unquestionably dead for Snake/Seph.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/13/2010 9:30:16 AM | message detail

From: LinkMarioSamus | #390
but a major Mario release did nothing for Mario before or after its release.


That's because he's ****ing Mario. Every single gamer in the world have made up their minds about Mario several years ago, and no new game is gonna change your mind about that.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 9:30:19 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3303&type=2&seconds=60&max=0

Sonic won the board vote against Kirby last time too. Brackets!
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
vcharon | Posted 3/13/2010 9:30:22 AM | message detail
Big percentage hacking for Kirby now.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 9:30:35 AM | message detail
gat damn brackets

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paraboxx | Posted 3/13/2010 9:30:46 AM | message detail
Next year, God damnit. Next year...

Bayonetta will be worthless next year unless she gets a sequel. Don't think sales were good enough for one, either.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/13/2010 9:30:57 AM | message detail
I would be very surprised for Sonic not to hit 58% at this point.

I'd be surprised if he did.

But if Sonic finishes with less than 55%, then what's your excuse, Curt?
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
voltch | Posted 3/13/2010 9:31:00 AM | message detail
what would kirby need to get for Tifa/Vincent to be the favourites against sonic?
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 9:31:10 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #407
Maybe the morning board vote is different than the Power Hour. The very idea that people would bracket vote in this situation and still keep Pikachu ahead of Snake for 20 minutes is disheartening. Bracket voters should be dead by now, and they'll be unquestionably dead for Snake/Seph.


Like char said, no one thought Snake would lose. Sonic...already lost, in 2k8. People were worried.

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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/13/2010 9:31:33 AM | message detail
Oh yeah how do you think Bayonetta would fare on this site? It's been getting very good reception so far (including perfect scores at Edge and Famitsu, not exactly the easiest thing to do), but then again there's the fact that action games aren't very popular here.

Also, there's the hilarious fact that on this site, all but two of the games that got a perfect score from Edge are sure to lose to two games that got a 6/10 from Edge. For the key:

Melee and FFX got a 6/10 from Edge.
Gran Turismo, Halo, Half-Life 2, Halo 3, Orange Box, Galaxy, LBP, GTAIV, and Bayonetta got 10/10.
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 9:31:52 AM | message detail
...which means that I should stop hyping Mega Man

LOL JUST KIDDING GUYS MARIO WINS WITH 70%

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EternalxCourage | Posted 3/13/2010 9:31:56 AM | message detail
But Sonic still made a gain. This is just early voting. Probably people that didn't make it for the opening of the poll. I guarantee that Sonic ends above 55%
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/13/2010 9:31:58 AM | message detail
Sonic doesn't have a bad board vote though. He really doesn't. It's certainly not FFVII levels.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/13/2010 9:32:37 AM | message detail

From: EternalxCourage | #418
But Sonic still made a gain. This is just early voting. Probably people that didn't make it for the opening of the poll. I guarantee that Sonic ends above 55%


And if he doesn't?

Man, quit dodging the question.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/13/2010 9:32:57 AM | message detail
And honestly, I'd find it refreshing if the board was still bracket voting. It kinda illustrates that not all of us keep these long numbered lists of favorite character rankings and will never, ever vote out of order.
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vcharon | Posted 3/13/2010 9:33:11 AM | message detail
I'll still support Bayonetta in the NRT if she's there (I would assume so), but I think she'd be weaker next year than this year unless a quick sequel is on the way.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 9:33:21 AM | message detail
I'll guarantee that Sonic doesn't break 57%. I'd be 99% confident that he doesn't break 56%.

Would go with 53% as an estimate for Sonic's end percentage at the moment.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/13/2010 9:33:30 AM | message detail
I don't really have an excuse. I'm surprised he's leading by this much this early to be quite honest. Sonic should go up, but if he doesn't he's probably weaker than Mega Man. It's hard to say though.
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Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/13/2010 9:33:35 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #387
Hyrule Division X-Stats Seeding

(1) Link (0)
(16) Sandal (-7)

(8) Amaterasu (-2)
(9) Captain John Price (-5)

(5) Pokemon Trainer Red (0)
(12) Thrall (+4)

(4) Alucard (+4)
(13) Meta Knight (+1)

(6) Revolver Ocelot (+6)
(11) Weighted Companion Cube (-4)

(3) Luigi (0)
(14) The Boss (+1)

(7) Magus (+2)
(10) Shadow the Hedgehog (+2)

(2) Mega Man X (+11)
(15) Nathan Drake (-13)

Looks like Drake was in the right match, just with the wrong seed!


Ama/Price, Ocelot/WCC, Magus/Shadow, Red/Alucard, and Luigi/X all would've been good matches.
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Not Wylvane
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 9:33:38 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #420
And honestly, I'd find it refreshing if the board was still bracket voting. It kinda illustrates that not all of us keep these long numbered lists of favorite character rankings and will never, ever vote out of order.


This makes absolutely no sense.

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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/13/2010 9:33:55 AM | message detail

From: paraboxx | #411
Next year, God damnit. Next year...

Bayonetta will be worthless next year unless she gets a sequel. Don't think sales were good enough for one, either.


It sold 1.1 million copies and Kamiya was talking about a spin-off. And we've all seen how new characters from Kamiya-directed video games can do!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 9:34:30 AM | message detail
Bayonetta shipped 1.1 million copies.

Sales were...quit a bit less than that.

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EternalxCourage | Posted 3/13/2010 9:34:32 AM | message detail
I wasn't dodging. This topic moves fast, genius. I was posting that already when you posted the question.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/13/2010 9:34:41 AM | message detail
Speaking of Ocelot/WCC, would anyone have taken Ocelot to win that match? Does he get 55%+ indirectly on The Boss?
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/13/2010 9:35:18 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #426
Bayonetta shipped 1.1 million copies.

Sales were...quit a bit less than that.


You shut your god damn mouth about Bayonetta KP or I swear to god I will find you and make you love it.
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creativename | Posted 3/13/2010 9:35:20 AM | message detail

From: voltch | #2054
what would kirby need to get for Tifa/Vincent to be the favourites against sonic?


Depends on where you peg Kirby. And we still don't really know how strong Tifa is exactly. She is, and will remain, a partial mystery.

But if you peg Kirby at 32% and Vincent at 35%, then Vincent would be project to get 54.29% on Kirby. Obviously other people's estimates may vary.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/13/2010 9:35:25 AM | message detail
And the two games that got a perfect score from Edge that stand a chance at defeating Melee and FFX are Mario 64 and Ocarina of Time.

Final Fantasy VII, Metal Gear Solid, Resident Evil 4, and GoldenEye could only manage 9/10, MGS4, GTAIII, SotN, Super Metroid, and God of War got 8/10, and Chrono Trigger, StarCraft, and Fallout 3 got 7/10.

Many of them have been redeemed by the very same magazine, but wowzers. But to make you guys happy, they gave Star Fox 64 a 9/10 from what I remember!
red sox 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 9:35:34 AM | message detail
I vote out of order all the time. Like last year, I didn't cast a single vote for Link, despite him being 1st among my preferences for 4 out of 6 matches.

Round 1: Zidane
Round 2: Zack
Round 3: Zack
Round 4: Zack
Round 5: Crono
Round 6: Crono
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
vcharon | Posted 3/13/2010 9:35:40 AM | message detail

From: EternalxCourage | #424
I don't really have an excuse. I'm surprised he's leading by this much this early to be quite honest. Sonic should go up, but if he doesn't he's probably weaker than Mega Man. It's hard to say though.


Probably?

He is.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 9:35:40 AM | message detail
Red got 39% on X. WCC got 36% on Luigi.

Ocelot wins that rather easily, but hey, he is Ocelot. He's only one step below Liquid in being really weird!

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EternalxCourage | Posted 3/13/2010 9:35:52 AM | message detail
Really? After that huge gain how confident are you? Because, like I said, Kirby is still getting the early nintendo vote. As the day goes on Sonic is going to keep getting stronger.
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Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/13/2010 9:36:20 AM | message detail
Bayonetta was going to be fodder anyways.
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Character Battle VIII - 157/192 - Today's Winners: Link and Sonic
voltch | Posted 3/13/2010 9:36:34 AM | message detail
man Tifa sure is mysterious given the number of matches she's had and I'd place kirby below bowser, though....above sora?
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/13/2010 9:36:36 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #426
This makes absolutely no sense.


Really? It just means much of the board is interested in seeing their bracket do well. I like Kirby more than Sonic, but I've got a shot at money and a leaderboard finish. I obviously voted Sonic, and I wasn't in anguish about it or anything. Most people would have done the same. I can even understand bracket voting when money is no longer at stake. People spend a lot of time on their brackets and want to see them do well. A lot of times, that desire outweighs the desire to back a character they like slightly more.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/13/2010 9:37:07 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #436
Red got 39% on X. WCC got 36% on Luigi.

Ocelot wins that rather easily, but hey, he is Ocelot. He's only one step below Liquid in being really weird!


Yeah, I'm just saying that would've been a huge upset, pre-contest. I'd imagine the vast majority of the board would've picked the Cube.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 9:37:10 AM | message detail

From: EternalxCourage | #435
Really? After that huge gain how confident are you? Because, like I said, Kirby is still getting the early nintendo vote. As the day goes on Sonic is going to keep getting stronger.


The early vote on a weekend is Europeland. Kirby is getting killed in Europe. As the day goes on North America becomes more prominent.

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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/13/2010 9:37:23 AM | message detail

From: LinkMarioSamus | #431
Resident Evil 4 could only manage 9/10, SotN, and God of War got 8/10, and Chrono Trigger got 7/10


Tough crowd
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/13/2010 9:38:15 AM | message detail
And I very, very rarely vote out of order myself. The two characters in the poll would have to be very close in my preferred order of characters and the match would have to be a pretty wide margin for me to vote for the character I didn't prefer (Like...I'd probably vote for Phoenix against Snake even though I prefer Snake).
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 9:38:40 AM | message detail
No one on the board should care about their bracket if they're doing poorly. Just call it a wash, try again next year, and hope something crazy happens to make the contest interesting.

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EternalxCourage | Posted 3/13/2010 9:39:25 AM | message detail
The early vote on a weekend is Europeland. Kirby is getting killed in Europe. As the day goes on North America becomes more prominent.

Uh? What? Why would it not be just as prominent in NA considering it's Saturday and most people are at home at 12 on a saturday?

Anyway, you guys think that because he has a higher NA percentage right now means it will stay that way? Of course he's doing better with the early vote in NA because that's most of the board vote and Nintendo support. As the day goes on his % will get worse and worse in NA just like in most matches.
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creativename | Posted 3/13/2010 9:39:27 AM | message detail
The early vote, especially on weekends, isn't the Power Hour. That only applies at night. So one wouldn't expect a prolonged overperformce by Kirby beyond maybe the first 5 minutes. So there's no reason to expect Kirby to somehow drop off big time after the early vote.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/13/2010 9:39:29 AM | message detail
As the day goes on Sonic is going to keep getting stronger.

Kirby should get stronger as the day goes on, because once most of the UK is asleep (Sonic has almost 70% there), Kirby will start cutting percentage.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 9:39:31 AM | message detail
I simplify things by making my bracket follow exactly who I want to vote for in all possible upset cases!

This has only ever worked in one year, but that year was AMAZING.

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/13/2010 9:40:03 AM | message detail
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