GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 876

Denzokuken | Posted 3/13/2010 3:43:35 AM | message detail
I like how when people make excuses for Snake's bomb they seem to have conveniently forgotten it was a night match. Goodness knows what Pikachu would have done during the ASV...

Anyway, Link is doing great here. Strange trends though. Has someone discovered that he had a cameo in FF7 or something? At this rate he might not even break 60% on Cloud during the board vote.
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 3:53:38 AM | message detail
Everyone agrees that in this contest everyone is anti-voted.
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 3/13/2010 5:14:23 AM | message detail
I have Sephiroth > Snake (and expect that to play out), but I don't think there's any denying Snake's 67% on Fox is a better read than his 55% on Pikachu.

C'mon and make your spread, Weegie!

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Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XIII
The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/13/2010 5:43:43 AM | message detail
Someone should suggest Bacon to set up some kind of way to keep track of the votes per specific picture the voter generated in these rounds with multiple pictures to see if we can get a concrete data on the difference a picture makes
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 5:51:12 AM | message detail
So Link got 70%- dignity saved. But he better hope he isn't getting much SFF on Luigi at all, because if he is, well, that would be bad.

The Alucard/Falcon comparison is favorable to Link because Link/Alucard was a night match while Cloud/Falcon was a day match. Based on last year, Alucard is probably around Falcon's ceiling, though after he beat Riku easily I can see Alucard = Falcon. So based on that, Link is deserved the heavy favorite, and probably gets 54-55ish.

The thing is that I don't trust Cloud and Sephiroth to get blowouts. Now, I know that's a line of argument that I'm normally very much against, but it's a bit different here as we have a clear reason why it would be so (the anti-votes). I suppose even considering that Link should still be a heavy favorite, but we need to entertain the upset to make the contest endgame fun, and Link sure is playing along.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/13/2010 5:54:28 AM | message detail

From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | #200
Damn you Nintendo fanboys.Also really low prediction for Tifa.I guess most people had Gordon winning.


Yeah, damn Nintendo fanboys voting for the Nintendo option over the other Nintendo option!

Seriously, it's a travesty that Luigi isn't wasting Link's Hyrulian ass right now. Go kart > horses, *****.

Plus, Mr. L is the only good thing Super Paper Mario has. Now if only he had it as his main pic. If he's 12% ahead of expectations of Yoshi, it's clearly that pic at work, so if Mr. L was the only pic instead of having a 1/5 chance of appearing, Luigi would be tripling Link! Trust me, the math behind this is flawless.

As for Kirby/Pikachu... I think Kirby would win both the board and the overall vote, since the board has a bit of an anti-Pokemon edge to it and Kirby just damn appeals to everyone not named ertyu. But you'd bet my ass I'd be voting Pikachu that match! Battle of my Smash regulars, which should show how much of a casual ***** I am!

Anyway, with Link, Cloud, and Sephiroth being anti-voted... Mario > Samus finals, baby! Samus gets 60% at the end of the Power Hour and Cloud won't be able to crush it into a win! Link anti-votes catch up to him and Mario rSFFs Link! Snake and Sephiroth have no chance against Steroid Samus! The only two N9ers to never lose to non-N9ers rightfully take their place in the finals! Mario 60-40's Samus again and becomes the new King!

It's coming, *****es.
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Not Wylvane
vcharon | Posted 3/13/2010 6:09:21 AM | message detail
Anti-Pokemon? This board? Have you been here these last few weeks?

Not that I'm whining about it this time, but seriously Pokemon has been all over this board lately.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/13/2010 6:09:22 AM | message detail
I like how when people make excuses for Snake's bomb they seem to have conveniently forgotten it was a night match. Goodness knows what Pikachu would have done during the ASV...

It still doesn't matter. How Snake performs during the sprite round isn't indicative of his true strength. It's like looking at Sephiroth/Missingno and saying Sephy's in trouble because it looks like he gets less than 55% on Yoshi.

Wait...Less than 55% on Yoshi, you say?

Squall got 57-58% on Yoshi in 2008...So if he can just get past Snake...

So you're tellin' me there's a chance? YEAH

http://www.radioactive-software.com/images/DumbAndDumber2.gif
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
vcharon | Posted 3/13/2010 6:13:55 AM | message detail
About the only useful and true thing to take from Missingno. is Sephiroth > Crono > Yoshi, but beyond that it means nothing and isn't indicative of how close in strength they are.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 6:19:20 AM | message detail
I hope Yoblazer is right about Sonic/Kirby. I think the strength gap is just too big here, but that would be a terrific result.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
GrapefruitKing | Posted 3/13/2010 6:20:04 AM | message detail
Cloud/Falcon was a day match

no
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 11th
Today's prediction: Link - 69.28% Status: Good
red sox 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 6:20:55 AM | message detail
Oops, meant to say Cloud/Falcon was a night match. The argument works with a night match in any case, since Falcon would have done better in the day.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
red sox 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 6:31:10 AM | message detail
We've got 3 potentially exciting matches ahead of us: Sonic/Kirby, Mario/Megaman, and Bowser/Charizard. 3 good matches in 36 hours!
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/13/2010 6:41:17 AM | message detail
Too bad the second half is weak, with only Snake/Squall being potentially interesting!
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Not Wylvane
vcharon | Posted 3/13/2010 6:42:22 AM | message detail
Mario/Mega Man is supposed to be competitive? lolz
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 6:43:46 AM | message detail
Hey how many pics are there?I saw it change!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
vcharon | Posted 3/13/2010 6:44:58 AM | message detail
5 pics each match.
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 7:00:08 AM | message detail
5?Hot damn.So in the final there will be like 10 pics?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 7:03:51 AM | message detail
Also no-one can complain about pic factor.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
HaRRicH | Posted 3/13/2010 7:09:20 AM | message detail
Link's doing better than when I left last night, but man...either Link or GameFAQs just isn't the same, and there's an argument for both. It's still hard not to give him the benefit of the doubt though, especially with the Alucard/CF-comparisons and Missingno out of the contest.

I have to miss the first bit of Sonic/Kirby, but I fully expect Kirby to start with the lead...maybe even a sizable one. Sonic should fight through the board-vote pretty quickly afterward though, and ultimately Kirby would be impressive if he outdid Ganondorf by 2+%. I don't see him winning, though he's got a rightful shot since I didn't see him doing it last year either....
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Picking Auron > Squall was dumb, but not as dumb as thinking I could beat Leonhart!
Keep on smilin'! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/8863/72571365.jpg
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/13/2010 7:19:04 AM | message detail
I hope you guys are ready for the Blue Blur to own Kirby!
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Thank you for assuming the party escort submission position
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/13/2010 7:22:00 AM | message detail

From: vcharon | #215
Mario/Mega Man is supposed to be competitive? lolz


My thoughts to the letter. Mega Man rSFFing Mario or whatever is a complete joke.
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A Very Obvious Match: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2122
charmander6000 | Posted 3/13/2010 7:23:05 AM | message detail
Match CXIV: (1) Sonic the Hedgehog vs. (3) Kirby

Last Round

Sonic the Hedgehog – 57.18%
Ganondorf – 42.82%

Kirby – 57.63%
Vivi – 42.37%

Analysis

As chaotic as some people thought this division would have been it didn’t really turn out that way. Outside of Liquid Snake flopping I don’t think any of the results in this division were that surprising. Sonic seems set to win the entire division, especially after his performance last round, but there are some people that think Kirby has a decent chance at the upset. I think the board knows my opinion of Kirby’s chance in this match, but it doesn’t hurt for me to have it on record.

As much as you want to downplay Sonic’s performance last round you can’t really deny that Sonic is stronger than Ganondorf. The only argument a person could have is that Zelda characters are weaker this year given the performances of Zelda and Link in this contest. Still using Ken and Akuma there is only so much Ganondorf can drop without stretching it. At the same time Kirby’s performance against Vivi would mean that should Kirby win by any significant amount it would be likely that Vivi would be stronger than Ganondorf.

The main argument for Kirby was that in the previous contest Kirby was able to defeat Sonic without any prior warning in earlier rounds. This sounds more like wishful thinking than anything else. Kirby also seems weaker this year given his performances. The round before he defeated Sonic he put up a decent performance against Dante, a character that would have likely put up a similar if not better performance against Vivi in this contest.

While Sonic had the smaller advantages against Ganondorf last round and Kirby has those advantages this round. I wouldn’t be surprised if Sonic had a better performance this round. Kirby has to be one of the most overrated characters in the bracket. The guy may have strength, but he is nowhere near near-elite and he’s definitely not beating Sonic given Sonic Team’s performance in this contest compare to last contest.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Sonic the Hedgehog > Kirby

charmander6000’s Prediction: Sonic wins, 57.74% - 42.26%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 157/192 - Today's Winners: Link and Sonic
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 7:23:34 AM | message detail
Hey UltimaterializerX I saw in another topic that Samus and Mario can beat Snake 1vs1.For Mario I agree but even Samus can beat him?Man...
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
charmander6000 | Posted 3/13/2010 7:24:36 AM | message detail
Mega Man doesn't need to rSFF to win, he just needs to be stronger.

On that note I have Mario winning 54/46. I don't think there will be much SFF in that match.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 157/192 - Today's Winners: Link and Sonic
voltch | Posted 3/13/2010 7:26:39 AM | message detail
Samus/MegaMan i kinda want to see now, just to see where the third tier of the NN stands against the middle tier.
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Shakes Fist!
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 8:02:55 AM | message detail
I'm really hoping that GameFAQs newfound and awesome hatred of boring predictable results translates into success for Kirby, Mega Man, or Charizard.

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vcharon | Posted 3/13/2010 8:05:14 AM | message detail
Mega Man has no chance in hell. Mario with 60%+ I'm guessing.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 8:06:38 AM | message detail
Haven't been paying much attention to the results, have you?

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vcharon | Posted 3/13/2010 8:07:35 AM | message detail
We'll see who hasn't soon enough.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 8:10:31 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 8:10:57 AM | message detail
No, it's you. Even if you assume that Mario is gonna bust out some weird form of SFF like Mario/Samus, let's look at how that match compares to this one. Mario 2k5 is stronger than Mario now. Anti-blowout GameFAQs is in full swing. It's a night match. There shouldn't be nearly as much SFF between Mario and Mega Man as Mario and Samus. And Mega Man has been performing at or close to Samus 2k5 levels.

60% would be absolutely ridiculous. And this all assumes there's going to be SFF, and I don't think there will be. Stronger guy wins.

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red sox 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 8:11:00 AM | message detail
Mario with 60% isn't impossible, it just requires a lot of SFF. I can also see Megaman winning, but not with more than around 52%. So, given this sort of situation, I have to pick Mario- there's just a much wider range of possible outcomes with Mario winning. This is the same as my reasoning for Sephiroth/Snake- I can see Sephiroth winning with 55%+, but it's hard to see Snake winning with more than 51%.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/13/2010 8:11:11 AM | message detail
I have that guy on ignore, so it looks like KP is just arguing with himself. This is kinda funny!
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Thank you for assuming the party escort submission position
red sox 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 8:12:13 AM | message detail
I'm astonished Ulti actually made a post agreeing with him on something.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 8:12:21 AM | message detail
I can't see Mario winning with more than 55%.

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best sig bet EVER
vcharon | Posted 3/13/2010 8:12:43 AM | message detail
Wow, and what exactly did I ever do to this random guy? Geez people.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/13/2010 8:30:56 AM | message detail
I can't see Mario winning with more than 55%.

Really?

Maybe if we assume that there is no chance for SFF.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 157/192 - Today's Winners: Link and Sonic
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 8:31:36 AM | message detail
55% would be with the SFF. MM has performed a lot better than 45% on Mario so far.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/13/2010 8:36:30 AM | message detail
I just hope voters kind of assume Mario is the obvious winner and they anti-vote him. That'd be pretty awesome.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
charmander6000 | Posted 3/13/2010 8:36:38 AM | message detail
Link caused Mega Man to more than 55/45 himself in 2004. You kind of have to assume that with Mario already getting at least 52% on Mega Man getting 55% is possible.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 157/192 - Today's Winners: Link and Sonic
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/13/2010 8:40:37 AM | message detail
Overlap between Zelda and Mega Man is worse than Mario and Mega Man, and we have precedent for it.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2441

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3279
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3300

And that assumes that Mario is stronger. If he's not stronger, he's not going to win, and it is very possible.

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red sox 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 8:44:14 AM | message detail
Megaman/Yoshi suggests the overlap between MM and Mario is pretty heavy too. I think this SFF probably won't materialize for the reason that Megaman is too close in strength to Mario, but it could.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
charmander6000 | Posted 3/13/2010 8:44:57 AM | message detail
Overlap between Zelda and Mega Man is worse than Mario and Mega Man, and we have precedent for it.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2441


Tells us nothing


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3279
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3300


Not really sure what to bring out of this. Didn't Mario perform better in the third round with Luigi when removing Zelda and Mudkip?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 157/192 - Today's Winners: Link and Sonic
vcharon | Posted 3/13/2010 8:45:44 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #240
I just hope voters kind of assume Mario is the obvious winner and they anti-vote him. That'd be pretty awesome.


Worked like a charm today >_>
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/13/2010 8:45:55 AM | message detail
Didn't Mario perform better in the third round with Luigi when removing Zelda and Mudkip?

Yeah, because he got more SFF on Luigi and less LFF. He can SFF Weegi a lot harder than he can Zelda and Mudkipz.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
charmander6000 | Posted 3/13/2010 8:48:09 AM | message detail
I know, I'm just saying that Mario and Zelda have more overlap than MMX and thus we really can't take anything from MMX in those matches.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 157/192 - Today's Winners: Link and Sonic
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/13/2010 8:48:47 AM | message detail
MMX is a somewhat different beast than Mega Man anyway because he at least has somewhat of a Playstation fanbase, even though I'd imagine the majority of it is SNES.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
red sox 777 | Posted 3/13/2010 8:50:15 AM | message detail
Honestly, I think MMX may have benefitted from Mario being the obvious favorite in round 2 (and to a lesser extent in round 3). When Link and Zack were added to the picture and Mario was fighting for his life, X couldn't keep up anymore. Incidentally, I think X actually did worse in that match than he did against Link this year- surprising given that Mario should have been LFFing Link.
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2010 Extrapolated Standings: Crono gets 46.85% on Sephiroth.
All you need now is KH3 or SSB4, Crono. Then your quest shall be fulfilled!
charmander6000 | Posted 3/13/2010 8:52:38 AM | message detail
Nice morning vote Link. Didn't seem him break 71% there.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 157/192 - Today's Winners: Link and Sonic