GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 875

LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/12/2010 9:06:37 AM | message detail
Big Daddy 38.9% 382
Tifa Lockheart 61.1% 600
TOTAL VOTES 982

Yeah, Big Daddy > Freeman in this contest right after Freeman swipes the floor with him would be weird. Of course you guys are saying that Big Daddy is a day character, which means...uh oh.
Denzokuken | Posted 3/12/2010 9:07:08 AM | message detail
Doesn't Tifa have a pretty good board vote compared to the rest of the FFVII crew?

That is bizarre. When I saw her with 69% I was like 'holy'...maybe a little quick lol. I thought she was going to gun for over 70% for a few seconds.
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/12/2010 9:07:25 AM | message detail

From: LinkMarioSamus | #351
Yeah, Big Daddy > Freeman in this contest right after Freeman swipes the floor with him would be weird. Of course you guys are saying that Big Daddy is a day character, which means...uh oh.


He's got nearly 42% in NA now. He could easily finish over 40%... Gordon actually gained from the board vote vs. Tifa.
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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/12/2010 9:08:27 AM | message detail
Sephiroth stood over MissingNo., panting heavily and staring in frustration at this enemy who had cut him so much and who just wouldn't seem to die. But Sephiroth had saved his best for the end. He unleashed cut after cut of unrelenting fury upon the glitch, and not even Crono's sword or Yoshi's tricks were enough to fight back.
Finally, an exhausted Sephiroth gazed in wonder upon a dying MissingNo., and prepared to attack with a final, fatal blow.
"Wait..." MissingNo. panted, "Please..."
Sephiroth noticed that a piece of paper was making its way out of the wounded pixels.
"What is this?" Sephiroth paused for a second.
But that time was all it took. The entire world went white. And when Sephiroth could see again, the glitch and everything around him was gone. Everything except a sheet of paper.
Curious, Sephiroth picked it up. The top was addressed to Link.
On it, in a handwritten scrawl, Sephiroth saw the words, "Application for inclusion into your Noble Nine".
Sephiroth howled in agony while Link silently looked on from above.
ToadYoshi | Posted 3/12/2010 9:09:49 AM | message detail
60% on Big Daddy = Top 10 talent confirmed.

Heck, even if she breaks 70% I'd still take NN minus Crono, I'd still take Vincent, and Squall over her, and probably Auron.

In other news, how about Big Daddy. This places him at solid midcarder level, maybe even on the upper end of the midcard pack.

Big Daddy v. Altair who ya got.
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voltch | Posted 3/12/2010 9:10:40 AM | message detail
well Big Daddy, I kinda want to see more of you in the future, fairly good run for a western dude.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/12/2010 9:11:30 AM | message detail
I had a feeling I should have taken Daddy to do better than Gordon. He's got a pic advantage and is completely unhated against a character who might draw some ire, especially after last night. Daddy is very worthy intrinsically, though, as well he should be.
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Lopen | Posted 3/12/2010 9:11:46 AM | message detail
So are people still saying MissingNo. would beat Seph in the day? I'd have to assume when Sephiroth kept going up significantly with the morning people gave up on that. 3841 votes, and all that.
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Lopen | Posted 3/12/2010 9:12:10 AM | message detail
Also obligatory "hail Sephiroth"
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/12/2010 9:12:30 AM | message detail
sephiroth sucks

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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/12/2010 9:12:52 AM | message detail
40% on Tifa aint **** to sneeze at. Yay western characters!
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/12/2010 9:13:12 AM | message detail
Wow, Big Daddy > Gordon

That should be like... against the law or something
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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/12/2010 9:13:47 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
170----2------------100.00
169----1------------100.00
168----1------------100.00
167----3------------100.00
166----2------------100.00
165----4------------100.00
164----5------------100.00
163----5------------100.00
162----13----------100.00
161----10----------100.00
160----14----------100.00
159----21----------100.00
158----24----------100.00
157----36----------100.00
156----39----------100.00
155----27----------100.00
154----54----------100.00
153----48----------95.83
152----50----------96.00
151----66----------98.48
150----69----------97.10
149----63----------90.48
148----74----------98.65
147----65----------95.38
146----76----------88.16
145----81----------93.83
144----98----------91.84
143----106--------97.17
142----102--------90.20
141----147--------91.16
140----130--------91.54
139----134--------88.81
138----167--------83.83
137----181--------86.74
136----226--------88.50
135----228--------86.40
134----238--------84.45
133----249--------83.94
132----329--------86.02
131----309--------82.52
130----329--------85.11
129----357--------83.75
128----380--------85.79
127----427--------83.37
126----419--------84.49
125----475--------84.63
124----445--------82.47
123----456--------81.36
122----465--------84.95
121----516--------83.72
120----459--------83.01
119----483--------80.54
118----509--------81.93
117----519--------80.73
116----497--------83.90
115----506--------83.00
114----496--------80.65
113----489--------80.78
112----498--------80.32
111----451--------80.04
110----431--------77.49
109----454--------76.21
108----450--------79.78
107----435--------77.70
106----418--------78.95
105----405--------75.80
104----397--------72.80
103----392--------77.04
102----361--------72.85
101----354--------73.16
100----324--------74.07
99------344--------75.00
98------372--------69.35
97------334--------73.05
96------294--------69.73
95------309--------74.76
94------318--------67.30
93------257--------65.76
92------291--------68.04
91------264--------67.42
90------271--------62.36
89------255--------64.71
88------227--------61.23
87------232--------64.22
86------240--------59.17
85------216--------61.57
84------212--------65.57
83------221--------54.30
82------242--------60.74
81------218--------62.84
80------205--------59.02
79------174--------52.30
78------176--------55.68
77------173--------58.96
76------165--------53.33
75------150--------58.00
74------178--------53.37
73------145--------50.34
72------131--------45.04
71------121--------50.41
70------114--------55.26
69------113--------51.33
68------105--------50.48
67------101--------47.52
66------105--------50.48
65------90----------47.78
64------105--------45.71
63------88----------43.18
62------61----------42.62
61------60----------46.67
60------56----------41.07
59------50----------42.00
58------68----------36.76
57------42----------40.48
56------36----------38.89
55------34----------38.24
54------22----------36.36
53------28----------21.43
52------21----------23.81
51------23----------30.43
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/12/2010 9:13:52 AM | message detail
50------21----------33.33
49------19----------21.05
48------17----------41.18
47------14----------35.71
46------8------------12.50
45------11----------27.27
44------13----------23.08
...
42------7------------14.29
...
39------7------------28.57
38------5------------20.00
...
36------7------------14.29
...
34------5------------40.00
33------5------------20.00
...
28------3------------33.33
...
26------4------------25.00
...
23------11----------9.09
...
18------10----------10.00
17------8------------12.50
...
15------11----------18.18
...
5--------5------------20.00
...
3--------21----------14.29

Omitted scores got it wrong.

You would never guess how badly Missingno. scared everyone and how close the match was from looking at the prediction percentage for the match. Everyone in the Top 261 had Sephiroth winning. It isn't until the -38 before the prediction percentage dips below 90. The prediction percentage also fades away fairly slowly. It's a really normal looking chart.

No one fell off the Top 50. This actually wouldn't change even if Missingno. won. No one within 6 points of getting onto the Top 50 had Missingno. winning. Everyone on the Top 50 would stay in the same spot just with 4 less points.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/12/2010 9:13:53 AM | message detail
ouch. Why is Tifa getting wasted against Seph???

You're right, Tifa is wasted. But at least she got to look good for three rounds before being slaughtered. Vincent, on the other hand... got to bump off one of the biggest pieces of uber-fodder before running into Sephiroth in round 2.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/12/2010 9:15:18 AM | message detail
Sephiroth vs. Tifa is like

nuke gamefaqs and start over level of bad characters in the poll

And it's an SFF match

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Gooper Blooper | Posted 3/12/2010 9:15:44 AM | message detail
Great end to the Missingno fanfic. He's a tricky one, that glitch.

Also we need Big Daddy vs. Sub-Zero to settle the best western character title once and for all.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/12/2010 9:17:24 AM | message detail

From: Gooper Blooper | #367
Great end to the Missingno fanfic. He's a tricky one, that glitch.

Also we need Big Daddy vs. Sub-Zero to settle the best western character title once and for all.


Daddy has been looking good, but I doubt voters would be kind to him against Sub-Zero. From the looks of it, Daddy/Master Chief would have been an incredible upset, though.
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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/12/2010 9:17:41 AM | message detail
Thank you Gooper.
I also apologie to Haguile for ending it, but since he wasn't here from 2 AM until the end of the match I figured I may as well.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/12/2010 9:17:48 AM | message detail
For some reason, I could never bring myself to pick Daddy > Gordon.
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/12/2010 9:17:55 AM | message detail
So Missingno could have nuked the entire leaderboard probably two more times if it kept winning. Amazing.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/12/2010 9:18:34 AM | message detail
I wonder if anyone had the foresight to only pick Missingno twice.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/12/2010 9:18:43 AM | message detail
It's a good ending, so I doubt Haguile will mind much (someone's saved all of those, right?).

And I think Big Daddy may be overperforming some here. GameFAQs is *not* going to be happy with FF7 characters anytime soon.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/12/2010 9:19:10 AM | message detail
I wonder if anyone had the foresight to only pick Missingno twice.

Applekidjosh did.

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/12/2010 9:19:25 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #372
I wonder if anyone had the foresight to only pick Missingno twice.


Heroic Palmer.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/12/2010 9:19:31 AM | message detail

From: Gooper Blooper | #367
Great end to the Missingno fanfic. He's a tricky one, that glitch.

Also we need Big Daddy vs. Sub-Zero to settle the best western character title once and for all.


Vault Boy would whip both IMO.
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Denzokuken | Posted 3/12/2010 9:20:22 AM | message detail
And I think Big Daddy may be overperforming some here. GameFAQs is *not* going to be happy with FF7 characters anytime soon.

Yes, I think Seph/Missingno is slightly affecting this match. I just cannot take BD > Gordon, they met last year and it was an easy win for Gordon. Bioshock 2 can't be that big of a boost.
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/12/2010 9:20:49 AM | message detail
Day match + pic advantage is giving Big Daddy an advantage here, obviously.

Finally this one for the Samus > Cloud backers: Zelda vs. Ryu who've you got?
MegatokyoEd | Posted 3/12/2010 9:21:26 AM | message detail
Big Daddy is winning in Florida.
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/12/2010 9:21:31 AM | message detail
I don't know if I'd ever want to pick another FPS-character over Gordon now that Orange Box has come out and given him a presence on consoles...if HL2:E3 hits hard everywhere too, that'd seal it.

However, Big Daddy's proving to be a worthy contender. They'd have a good match now that BS2 is out.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/12/2010 9:21:44 AM | message detail
BD's performance here basically says that Ness would give Gordon the fight of his life, and considering Gordon looks to be exactly as strong as he was last year while a 3D Earthbound remake has notably not been released, I find this hard to believe.

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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/12/2010 9:22:02 AM | message detail
Tifa wins this update.

Bring the daddy below the freeman please.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/12/2010 9:22:04 AM | message detail
Valve is *definitely* doing Portal 2/Episode 3 in a box.... right?
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/12/2010 9:22:34 AM | message detail
Pretty sure Portal 2 is a standalone game.

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creativename | Posted 3/12/2010 9:22:44 AM | message detail

From: Lopen | #1758
So are people still saying MissingNo. would beat Seph in the day? I'd have to assume when Sephiroth kept going up significantly with the morning people gave up on that. 3841 votes, and all that.


People really get hung up on these things. Missingo wouldn't have come remotely close to winning a single hour against Sephiroth if the match kept going. He would've stalled Sephiroth's %age gains for a while but that's it. Sephiroth owned the daylight hours. From 7am-9am he got 54.73%. You don't go from getting 45% on Sephiroth in the morning to winning hours - it doesn't happen.

Big swings from morning % to ASV % tend to happen in situations favorable to that occurring - which means weak ASV competition. Sephiroth is not weak ASV competition. Small %age cuts is the best Missingo could've realistically hoped for with the ASV in a 24 hour match.
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/12/2010 9:22:58 AM | message detail
Theoneabove all nice.It seems a lot of B8's are writers...
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/12/2010 9:23:40 AM | message detail
Missingno wouldn't beat Seph in the day *now*. He didn't even win the US. When I made that claim he was winning the US by a good bit.

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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/12/2010 9:24:48 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #370
For some reason, I could never bring myself to pick Daddy > Gordon.


My Gordon fanboyism would be too much to let me pick that :/
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/12/2010 9:25:40 AM | message detail
Yeeeeah the board at least definitely wasn't happy with FF7.

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Lopen | Posted 3/12/2010 9:28:16 AM | message detail
Yeah well... Creativename was obviously right there. I'd been saying that about people calling for heads with California in the past... reason the % is so high there is because it's skewed further in range of the DSV while the ASV/pre-ASV is happening-- it applies many times over in this situation.

Yeeeeah the board at least definitely wasn't happy with FF7.

What else is new.
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creativename | Posted 3/12/2010 9:29:24 AM | message detail
Bid Daddy being around Freeman's level isn't surprising, we don't need to rationalize this by saying it's an overperformance. Tifa should rise with the DSV, but the ASV will hurt, so I don't know if she'll finish higher or lower than where she is, but it shouldn't move by more than a point either way.

I could certainly see Big Daddy beating Freeman. This is a guy who got 53% on Peach, he isn't strong at all.

From: KamikazePotato | #1907
Missingno wouldn't beat Seph in the day *now*. He didn't even win the US. When I made that claim he was winning the US by a good bit.


But it was pretty clear at the time this is exactly what was going to happen. I said at like 6am that Seph's US %age would skyrocket and he'd clean house with the morning vote. His US % was at like 47% at the time - hochi was questioning the US's tastes because of it :) But that's entirely due to the early vote, it's not his "natural" US % at all. His natural US % is likely not much different than his overall %.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/12/2010 9:29:24 AM | message detail
For reasons that both confuse and anger me, Tifa always has a great board vote.

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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/12/2010 9:30:34 AM | message detail
I refuse to believe that Big Daddy>Freeman.
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medicority | Posted 3/12/2010 9:30:35 AM | message detail
TJF maybe
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/12/2010 9:33:21 AM | message detail
I've never actually tried to write a fanfic before. We read a lot of stories and similar things, so we can pick it up pretty quickly.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/12/2010 9:33:33 AM | message detail
I said at like 6am that Seph's US %age would skyrocket and he'd clean house with the morning vote. His US % was at like 47% at the time - hochi was questioning the US's tastes because of it :)

It was almost 48% by then.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/12/2010 9:35:51 AM | message detail
I'd consider Big Daddy > Gordon Freeman, mainly because I can't expect much from a guy who only got 53% on Princess Peach.
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Lopen | Posted 3/12/2010 9:38:04 AM | message detail

From: Fayt_Esteed | #397
I'd consider Big Daddy > Gordon Freeman, mainly because I can't expect much from a guy who only got 53% on Princess Peach.


This, yeah.

The only people upset at FF7 are the tools who say "OMG FF7 WINZ ALL THE TIME," and the more hardcore 4chan "LULZ JOKEZ" folk, who were probably already voting against FF7 at every turn anyway.

Daddy beating Gordon wouldn't surprise me. Ness vs Peach would be a nailbiter of a match I think.
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creativename | Posted 3/12/2010 9:39:44 AM | message detail
Here's the posts I made at 5am -
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/detail.php?board=8&topic=53869587&message=593189747
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/detail.php?board=8&topic=53869587&message=593189947

Everything pretty much went according to The Plan :) Sephiroth ended up a point or two lower than most in the Oracle had him finishing with (consensus was 54.29%), but the trends in the match were basically textbook. Sephiroth sucks horribly in the Power Hours, then starts reaming MN up the you know what. Daylight is no different as Seph continues indefinitely climbing in %, as always.

Trend-wise no surprises. People must've loved the early part of the match though, I'm sure that was fun - although from skimming some posts it seems people were aware that MN wasn't really doing enough to win. Whether Sephiroth would actually take the morning vote, was the only real question, and it would've been quite the surprise if he didn't. It was conceivable that MN would get the morning, but, a stretch.

Huge props to the glitch though - he looks to be at bare minimum 35% on Sephiroth without any bandwagoning, and that's a ridiculously conservative number. It'd say he's at maybe around 40% on Seph without any joke stuff.

Also I don't think he's truly a "joke" entirely - I'd say pseudo-joke.

One thing I do wonder is, if they had a match next year, who'd win - Charizard or Missingo?
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/12/2010 9:40:20 AM | message detail
I'd still take 53.25% on Peach in a day-match over 54.36% on Ness in a night-match though.
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