GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 875

ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/11/2010 11:23:23 PM | message detail
Late night cannot come soon enough...


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, Missingno etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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"I beat him, and he says lightyears measure distance, not time. ..Dammit, Brock is on another planet." - SEP
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/11/2010 11:23:51 PM | message detail
At the time 23:23,
if Missingno still has the lead...
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The Real Truth | Posted 3/11/2010 11:44:58 PM | message detail
lol sephiroth (I voted for him)
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Denzokuken | Posted 3/12/2010 12:36:22 AM | message detail
Shall I give you despair?
xp1337 | Posted 3/12/2010 12:36:52 AM | message detail
I wish Seph would just take the lead quick and not look back. =(

I can watch the match for another 3 hours or so, but I'll miss everything from about 6:30 AM EST on, so I don't want it to end up that I miss some epic struggle. =(

However, if I must miss that in return for a Sephiroth victory, I shall take it.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k10 (155/184) Sephiroth v Crono
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/12/2010 12:37:37 AM | message detail
Tag
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 3/12/2010 12:38:10 AM | message detail
Lead change at the 4:00 AM update. Book it.
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CBVIII: 93/110 - 152 pts, tied for 309th
Night Pick: Sephiroth Day Pick: Tifa
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 3/12/2010 12:38:58 AM | message detail
This is becoming disappointing.
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teh_kyle00 | Posted 3/12/2010 12:39:55 AM | message detail

From: Denzokuken | #004
Shall I give you despair?


What do you cherish most?
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/12/2010 12:40:56 AM | message detail
Lead change at the 4:00 AM update. Book it.

Would be better to see it happen at 4:05 AM, because that was when Solid Snake took the lead over L-Block in round 3 of the 2007 contest.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/12/2010 12:41:12 AM | message detail
Never thought I'd see the day when everyone was rooting for Sephiroth.
vcharon | Posted 3/12/2010 12:41:29 AM | message detail
He's just going to have to make bigger gains that this. These are his prime hours. If he can't start totally dominating I give him no chance come sunup.
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:>
Calintares | Posted 3/12/2010 12:41:50 AM | message detail
What do you cherish most?

the Item in the sixth slot.

and your Hall of Fame data
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/12/2010 12:42:51 AM | message detail

From: Hochimihnister | #011
Never thought I'd see the day when everyone was rooting for Sephiroth.


Most of this topic is, but that's far from everyone. I think Missingno is a definitive favorite on the board, especially among the non-regulars.
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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/12/2010 12:42:56 AM | message detail
It's because all of the MissingNo. supporters are sleeping. The only guys left are the ones who really want to see this comeback.
teh_kyle00 | Posted 3/12/2010 12:43:26 AM | message detail

From: Calintares | #013
What do you cherish most?

the Item in the sixth slot.

and your Hall of Fame data


Missingno loves to have the honor of taking that away.

I'm gonna stop quoting advent children sephiroth now.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 3/12/2010 12:43:51 AM | message detail

From: vcharon | #012
He's just going to have to make bigger gains that this. These are his prime hours. If he can't start totally dominating I give him no chance come sunup.


Consistent 55%+ updates isn't domination in a close match? lol.
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CBVIII: 93/110 - 152 pts, tied for 309th
Night Pick: Sephiroth Day Pick: Tifa
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 3/12/2010 12:44:18 AM | message detail
Most of this topic is, but that's far from everyone. I think Missingno is a definitive favorite on the board, especially among the non-regulars.

Yeah, I think I'm one of the few regulars in this topic who is still pro MN. Oh well I suppose.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/12/2010 12:45:05 AM | message detail
Most of this topic is, but that's far from everyone. I think Missingno is a definitive favorite on the board, especially among the non-regulars.

I am supporting Missingno.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
vcharon | Posted 3/12/2010 12:45:34 AM | message detail
The regulars are gone and most of them support Missingno. This is the late night team, few in numbers and Sephy supporting.
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:>
vcharon | Posted 3/12/2010 12:46:22 AM | message detail
Another stall. The ralliers can feel him close and are trying to turn him away.
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:>
teh_kyle00 | Posted 3/12/2010 12:46:25 AM | message detail
Spehiroth just cut that lead to 139 votes with that last update O_O
Janus5000 | Posted 3/12/2010 12:47:35 AM | message detail
Except for the part where that was pretty much all Sephy falling off, but no one ever likes those details.
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vcharon | Posted 3/12/2010 12:50:21 AM | message detail
Eh, details. That site is slow and I usually am not looking at it. I admit I make that mistake sometimes.

But there are rally topics on all the chans. I don't want to sift through too much of the garbage but 4chan and 7chan both have topics on the first few pages.
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:>
Denzokuken | Posted 3/12/2010 12:51:02 AM | message detail
calling it; under 100 next update.
Shinra Reborn | Posted 3/12/2010 12:51:50 AM | message detail
Whoo, more cuts!
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/12/2010 12:51:51 AM | message detail
4chan doesn't even have close to the influence that they'd like you to believe.
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teh_kyle00 | Posted 3/12/2010 12:52:01 AM | message detail

From: Denzokuken | #025
calling it; under 100 next update.


I will totally do nothing exciting if you're right >_>
Shinra Reborn | Posted 3/12/2010 12:56:15 AM | message detail
Almost....there....
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If you see this account...I'm not at home!
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/12/2010 12:56:29 AM | message detail
We should compare the number of posts we get in close matches or strange matches versus boring ones.
Lead is at 66. 4:05 looks like a good time for a lead change.
Denzokuken | Posted 3/12/2010 12:56:31 AM | message detail
make your time Missingno.
teh_kyle00 | Posted 3/12/2010 12:56:39 AM | message detail
Is my math terrible, but is seph only down by 66?
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 3/12/2010 12:57:01 AM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #010
Lead change at the 4:00 AM update. Book it.

Would be better to see it happen at 4:05 AM, because that was when Solid Snake took the lead over L-Block in round 3 of the 2007 contest.


Looks like this may come true unless Seph pulls out one of the most massive night vote updates ever.
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CBVIII: 93/110 - 152 pts, tied for 309th
Night Pick: Sephiroth Day Pick: Tifa
paulg235 | Posted 3/12/2010 12:57:08 AM | message detail
66 votes left, and I have to go. Darn it.
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My Signature's broken, just like your front door.
vcharon | Posted 3/12/2010 12:57:13 AM | message detail

From: KleenexTissue50 | #027
4chan doesn't even have close to the influence that they'd like you to believe.


Not really, but that topic had over 200 replies when I saw it. Obviously some of them might have voted for Sephiroth, but let's pretend the topic gets 400 replies and 300 of them vote Missingno. Then, possibly, they have changed the outcome of a match.
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:>
xp1337 | Posted 3/12/2010 12:57:22 AM | message detail
From: teh_kyle00 | #032
Is my math terrible, but is seph only down by 66?

No, the lead is indeed 66 right now.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k10 (155/184) Sephiroth v Crono
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/12/2010 1:00:19 AM | message detail
Looks like this may come true unless Seph pulls out one of the most massive night vote updates ever.

I have my doubts that he could cut 67 votes on the next update.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
vcharon | Posted 3/12/2010 1:01:12 AM | message detail
The time is at hand.
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:>
Shinra Reborn | Posted 3/12/2010 1:01:20 AM | message detail
LEAD CHANGE IMMINENT
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~+~The Choco~+~
If you see this account...I'm not at home!
Denzokuken | Posted 3/12/2010 1:01:51 AM | message detail
On your knees Missingno. He wants you to beg for forgiveness.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 3/12/2010 1:01:54 AM | message detail
Well, he tried his damndest to prove me right!
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CBVIII: 93/110 - 152 pts, tied for 309th
Night Pick: Sephiroth Day Pick: Tifa
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/12/2010 1:01:54 AM | message detail
Just 18 more votes. I wonder how difficult Missingno. will make it to take them from it.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
Denzokuken | Posted 3/12/2010 1:02:31 AM | message detail
This will also be the first time that Missingno has dropped the lead since taking it I think.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 3/12/2010 1:03:10 AM | message detail
Is the updater.. not updating for anyone else?
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CBVIII: 93/110 - 152 pts, tied for 309th
Night Pick: Sephiroth Day Pick: Tifa
Mumei | Posted 3/12/2010 1:03:48 AM | message detail
No, it also isn't working for me.

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teh_kyle00 | Posted 3/12/2010 1:04:48 AM | message detail

From: DaruniaTheGoron | #044
Is the updater.. not updating for anyone else?


I got the update that has seph behind by 18 votes....
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/12/2010 1:04:53 AM | message detail
must be a glitch OMG ROFLXD
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/12/2010 1:05:09 AM | message detail
Seph at 49.97%
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/12/2010 1:05:10 AM | message detail
Looks like I could step in and start manually tracking them.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/12/2010 1:05:26 AM | message detail
It's been GLITCHED! According to the updater, the match is over and MissingNo. has won!