GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 872

red sox 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 1:27:14 PM | message detail
If Missingno's not leading at the freeze, he's going to absolutely pulverized. If he's not at 62% at the freeze, I'd call Sephiroth a favorite.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 1:28:09 PM | message detail
Missingno hasn't led at the freeze yet. I know Sephiroth's on an entirely different plane than Yoshi and Crono, but I want to wait about 15-20 minutes to see how it'll play out (unless Sephiroth's got like 55%+ at the freeze, otherwise it's over).
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/11/2010 1:29:54 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #301
If Missingno's not leading at the freeze, he's going to absolutely pulverized. If he's not at 62% at the freeze, I'd call Sephiroth a favorite.


I'd call Missingno a pretty huge favorite if he's got 60% at the freeze.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 1:30:51 PM | message detail
How long is suppossed the freeze to be?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 1:31:09 PM | message detail

From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | #304
How long is suppossed the freeze to be?


The first five minutes until the poll stops insta-updating.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/11/2010 1:32:53 PM | message detail
I mean seriously, sox, Pikachu had 52% at the freeze and Snake was barely able to turn 7%. If Missingno has 60% one update in, Seph has to turn 10 huge percentage points just to get things tied, and you KNOW people are gonna stay up and make that job even more difficult if Missingno has such an incredible start. Seph better at least 45% at the freeze, otherwise, I'm crapping bricks.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/11/2010 1:33:11 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #303
I'd call Missingno a pretty huge favorite if he's got 60% at the freeze.


IDK, I think Sephiroth can still Supervoa that lead, especially at night.
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Thank you for assuming the party escort submission position
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 1:33:17 PM | message detail
Ah nice.So you people try to see if Missingno is at 62%?Of course it will be.I mean the board will vote for it right?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 1:34:15 PM | message detail
Cloud swung more than 10% on Falcon, but of course, he was also winning easily at the freeze.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
charmander6000 | Posted 3/11/2010 1:37:15 PM | message detail
Where's charmander6000's analysis?

I knew I forgot something this morning.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 141/176 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Squall
charmander6000 | Posted 3/11/2010 1:37:24 PM | message detail
Match CX: (3) Auron vs. (2) Squall Leonhart

Last Round

Auron – 56.69%
Zero – 43.31%

Terra Branford – 35.48%
Squall Leonhart – 64.52%

Analysis

This match has received very little hype when you consider that this is one of the most anticipated matches of the entire contest. One reason could be that instead of having a relatively even split in bracket support this match is really lopsided in Squall’s favour. Another problem is that there aren’t any factors worth discussing that would favour one over the other. Even right now I’m reduced to nit-picking the previous two rounds and the performances of other characters related to these two guys.

In the first round Auron was able to perform as expected against Aerith, but as it was said before performing as expected isn’t enough to win over Squall. To add to things Final Fantasy VII hasn’t been looking that great this contest which doesn’t help Auron’s case. In the second round Auron actually underperformed against Zero, but at the same time it seems that Mega Man characters have rebounded a bit since their last contest.

Squall also performed as expected in the first round which keeps him at least constant with his 2007 performance. The second round had Terra not only avoiding SFF, but also putting up a decent performance against Squall. First failing to SFF an opponent does not imply that a character is weak, just ask Samus and second I think it’s safe to say that Dissidia played a large role in giving Old Final Fantasy characters a boost this contest. Bowser was able to cleanly defeat Sora earlier this round after letting Kefka put up decent numbers on him. On the other hand the match could mean bad things for Squall because of Sora, but it seems all things Kingdom Hearts related has taken a hit this year.

I don’t think the contest has changed anyone’s perception of this match. The match will be close unless SFF becomes a factor, but I don’t see Auron getting the extra strength to push him over the top. I feel that a lot of Auron’s support comes from the fact that he was able to easily defeat Sonic in the previous contest. Personally I think Squall could have done the same thing in that contest and the only reason he didn’t in 2007 was because of Brawl hype. Auron does have a chance for an upset, but right now I’m just not seeing it.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Squall > Auron

charmander6000’s Prediction: Squall wins, 52.11% - 47.89%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 141/176 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Squall
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 1:37:33 PM | message detail
Looks like Squall's tired of playing around with Auron.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
BDawg | Posted 3/11/2010 1:38:31 PM | message detail
FF7 board vote vs. joke vote, yeah the opening is gonna be ugly.
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Should I start running now?
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 1:43:34 PM | message detail
And I think this match confirms that the only reason Sonic beat Squall back in 2007 was the Brawl announcement.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/11/2010 1:44:51 PM | message detail
Put Squall, with this pic, in Snake's place last night. Would most people take Pikachu to win it?
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 3/11/2010 1:44:58 PM | message detail
Sonic would beat Squall if they were up tomorrow
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/11/2010 1:46:37 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #314
And I think this match confirms that the only reason Sonic beat Squall back in 2007 was the Brawl announcement.


I thought this was common knowledge by now!

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 1:47:14 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #315
Put Squall, with this pic, in Snake's place last night. Would most people take Pikachu to win it?


Never. I don't care if it was a guaranteed loss!

From: eaglesarebeasts | #316
Sonic would beat Squall if they were up tomorrow


It's possible. I won't deny that Sonic has looked better this year than the last two years, but back in 2007, I think Squall would have beat him.

If you assume Ken = Akuma, it predicts Sonic winning with 51.58%. Any extra weirdness with Bacondorf or anything like that, and it gets closer.

Sounds like a solid argument for Akuma > Ken to me though!
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
shane15 | Posted 3/11/2010 1:47:45 PM | message detail
So Squall continues on his quest of only losing once outside of the noble nine, and has the same record as Chrono,but doesn't get in.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 1:47:49 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #317
I thought this was common knowledge by now!


I think the Auron supporters' biggest argument was that Auron beat Sonic and Squall didn't, so I think there was still some skepticism about it.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/11/2010 1:48:43 PM | message detail
I still say Ken > Akuma, but only slightly because I'd take Squall over Ganondorf with a percentage either similar to or a bit larger than this one.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 1:49:26 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #321
I still say Ken > Akuma, but only slightly because I'd take Squall over Ganondorf with a percentage either similar to or a bit larger than this one.


Nah, I think Squall and Auron would beat Ganondorf pretty easily at this point. I wouldn't be surprised if they could both put up 55% on him. Vincent, too.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 1:50:09 PM | message detail
Speaking of which, Akuma = Ken projects Squall to beat Ganondorf with 55.78%.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/11/2010 1:50:18 PM | message detail
Auron was always a fine pick, and I'm actually surprised he didn't get more support, but Squall's near-win over Vincent in 2005 sealed this match for me right away. I figured if Squall can nearly equal the FFVII party badass, he can beat the X version, even if the X version is that game's strongest character.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/11/2010 1:50:50 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #322
Nah, I think Squall and Auron would beat Ganondorf pretty easily at this point. I wouldn't be surprised if they could both put up 55% on him. Vincent, too.


I'm in an elevator. Smiling at you.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 1:52:08 PM | message detail
Eh, I haven't been impressed with Ganondorf in a while. Nearly losing to Luigi in 2007 even without a bad pic was sign enough to me that he wasn't as strong as he used to be. I don't think that match is close, and Vinny won with 52.5%~ back in 2006 anyway.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/11/2010 1:56:45 PM | message detail
Monster update gives Squall 1000. SHOWDOWN in seven hours.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 1:57:46 PM | message detail
Whoa, Squall is really going now. He's gained over 100 votes the last two updates. 1000 vote lead broken.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 3/11/2010 1:58:22 PM | message detail
Monster indeed. That was what, almost double the amount of his next best update?
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 2:03:54 PM | message detail
I mean seriously, sox, Pikachu had 52% at the freeze and Snake was barely able to turn 7%. If Missingno has 60% one update in, Seph has to turn 10 huge percentage points just to get things tied, and you KNOW people are gonna stay up and make that job even more difficult if Missingno has such an incredible start. Seph better at least 45% at the freeze, otherwise, I'm crapping bricks.

Well, Sephiroth is going to be able to turn a lot more than Snake's 7%, by virtue of being Sephiroth. I think Crono/Vincent 2007 trends will be more or less applicable tonight, and Crono had 60% at the freeze in that one. Vincent turned 10% by noon. Just yesterday we saw Cloud turn 11% from the freeze to noon. I think Missingno's dropoff is going to be worse than Crono's if anything, based on the vote-in poll- even if he "loses" the first update to Crono, he'll still win the first hour over him considerably sans rallying, meaning that his first update relative to the rest of the match is probably better than Crono's.

Basically, if Missingno only has 60% at the freeze, I expect to see something like this for the hourlies without rallying:

1 AM 56%
2 AM 53%
3 AM 51%
4 AM 49%
5 AM 41%
6 AM 39%
7 AM 45%
8 AM 45%
9 AM 45%
10 AM 45%
11 AM 44%
12 PM 44%

Missingno can't win with that, without a lot of rallying.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
red sox 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 2:05:43 PM | message detail
Put Squall, with this pic, in Snake's place last night. Would most people take Pikachu to win it?

I don't think so. I'd probably take Crono over Snake in the sprite round, and since Crono and Squall are likely quite close, that probably extends to Squall too. Snake still ended up winning with over 55% too.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
charmander6000 | Posted 3/11/2010 2:06:59 PM | message detail
I find it funny that you think that Missingno can get 60% with the board vote and lose because lack of rallying.

What do you think got it at 60% in the first place?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 141/176 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Squall
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 2:11:51 PM | message detail
Auron is still ahead in USA.If it ends that way it will be the first match that one character wins in USA but loses...
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 2:12:55 PM | message detail
Auron's winning 38 of the 50 states as well. Squall's got California pretty easily though, so that helps him.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
charmander6000 | Posted 3/11/2010 2:13:04 PM | message detail
Heck does anyone think Crono or Yoshi can lead against Sephiroth in the first five minutes?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 141/176 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Squall
ffmasterjose | Posted 3/11/2010 2:13:05 PM | message detail
Originally I switched from Squall to Auron but I thought about it and decided to just go with which character I prefer more. Plus Final Fantasy VIII being a huge recent hit on PSN was just enough to tip the scale for me.

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153/180 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VIII
NP: Solid Snake > Pikachu | Squall Leonhart > Auron
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 2:13:58 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #335
Heck does anyone think Crono or Yoshi can lead against Sephiroth in the first five minutes?


No, probably not.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/11/2010 2:24:44 PM | message detail
Heck does anyone think Crono or Yoshi can lead against Sephiroth in the first five minutes?

I don't think they could quite pull it off.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
voltch | Posted 3/11/2010 2:26:02 PM | message detail
first 2 mins for sho' though.
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Shakes Fist!
red sox 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 2:26:03 PM | message detail
Crono could do it. Yoshi probably not.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
red sox 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 2:26:32 PM | message detail
But it has to be at night of course- neither of them manages it at the start of a day match.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 2:26:38 PM | message detail
Well, Crono and Vincent are on the same strength level (or close enough) and Yoshi's a step below. Vincent had 41.79% at the freeze. I know they have better board votes than Vincent, but I don't think it'd be good enough to get the lead on Sephiroth.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Biolizard28 | Posted 3/11/2010 2:26:56 PM | message detail
Well, THIS was embarrassing.

Exit guru, stage left.
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It may be insulting, but it's the truth!
Now this is entertainment!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 2:27:10 PM | message detail

From: Biolizard28 | #343
Well, THIS was embarrassing.

Exit guru, stage left.


Gone talkin' to a wall.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
red sox 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 2:31:13 PM | message detail
I find it funny that you think that Missingno can get 60% with the board vote and lose because lack of rallying.

What do you think got it at 60% in the first place?


It's not really the same thing. What gets Missingno a lead early is the hype and excitement that this match has been generating ever since Missingno beat Crono. Natural trends also play a huge part in it.

When I say "rallying," I mean for people to go out further, and bring people to the match on the day of the match. Though yes, Missingno will almost certainly get this too. The problem is that without it, and with only 60% at the freeze, Sephiroth probably wins with 52% or more, so that's already at least 2000 votes Missingno needs to rally- and the time of the match is not conducive to rallying for the reason that most people will be asleep for most of the match.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
charmander6000 | Posted 3/11/2010 2:41:29 PM | message detail
You're either overestimating Missingno's board vote and drop off, underestimating Sephiroth's board vote or secretly know a bunch of sites that are assembling people to vote right at the beginning of the match.

Why expect a serge of voters when they certainly weren't there against Crono and Yoshi?

Assuming no mass rallying at the start I expect Sephiroth to actually perform better during the board vote compare to what we are use to since there seems to be an anti-rallying group forming on this board.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 141/176 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Squall
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 2:42:44 PM | message detail
Looks like the California ASV is hard at work!
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/11/2010 2:44:12 PM | message detail
Hey Leon, can we get some updated half-division stats for this match? I'm curious as to how awesome Terra looks now!
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 3/11/2010 2:45:34 PM | message detail
Also, should be interesting to see Squall/Snake go at it again. I think Squall can get over 45% after that egg Snake laid last night. Meaning Mega Man likely beats Snake nowadays!
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 2:45:36 PM | message detail
Squall Leonhart – 50.00%
Auron – 48.39%
Zero – 41.92%
Aerith Gainsborough – 41.00%
Terra Branford – 35.48%
Darth Revan – 32.73%
Akuma – 31.99%
Marcus Fenix – 27.52%

Not really any different. It's less than .1% different than when I first posted these.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.