GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 872

Master Moltar | Posted 3/11/2010 9:16:55 AM | message detail
next
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Pikachu (138/176)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Gooper Blooper | Posted 3/11/2010 9:17:30 AM | message detail
Oh, a drop-off. Man, those are weird.
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:17:40 AM | message detail
You all think it is over?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/11/2010 9:17:47 AM | message detail
Auron: Wait Squall! I want this match to be close! Just a little longer.
Squall: I'm not your mother. Now give off my lap.
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Currently 38th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 9:17:48 AM | message detail
Oh, and I'm glad I just turned in a notebook yesterday, so I can afford to take a day off! My teacher obviously was thinking of me and this match when he made the due date!
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/11/2010 9:17:52 AM | message detail
Eh, well Auron does good enough just to make it close
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/11/2010 9:18:30 AM | message detail
Huh. About even then. Sephiroth should be about even too, so the day/night thing probably doesn't matter too much. Rallying is worth more in a match with fewer votes though.

I finally did an hourly trend chart for the vote-in poll, but only for Missingno:

1:00 | 18.39%
2:00 | 17.34%
3:00 | 16.08%
4:00 | 13.87%
5:00 | 13.47%
6:00 | 12.35%
7:00 | 15.28%
8:00 | 15.25%
9:00 | 14.02%
10:00 | 13.43%
11:00 | 14.60%
12:00 | 14.39%
13:00 | 15.54%
14:00 | 13.19%
15:00 | 15.00%
16:00 | 17.17%
17:00 | 16.61%
18:00 | 16.29%
19:00 | 15.83%
20:00 | 16.14%
21:00 | 14.73%
22:00 | 15.32%
23:00 | 15.90%
24:00 | 15.18%

Missingno really drops off after 3:00 AM there.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
ToadYoshi | Posted 3/11/2010 9:18:34 AM | message detail
Hey there Auron. Wrong way?

Also it's 50.9/49.1 in Auron's favor in NA right now. Probably won't be enough to get there.
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Guru contest: Burned by Zard
Yoshi > Missingno Believe!!
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/11/2010 9:19:01 AM | message detail
Auron: Now! This is it! Now is the time to choose! Die and be free of pain or live and fight your sorrow!

Squall: .... whatever


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I will bury you
Gooper Blooper | Posted 3/11/2010 9:19:26 AM | message detail
You all think it is over?

Not really, no. This is how everybody acts at the beginning of a match that isn't obvious.

Auron's obviously got a shot - he's still got 11 hours and 40 minutes to work with.

quick does california prefer one FF to another
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 9:19:32 AM | message detail
Chart from the night match:

Time | Snake | Pikachu | Votes
0:05 | 48.01% | 51.99% | 1304
1:00 | 52.23% | 47.77% | 9215
2:00 | 54.41% | 45.59% | 5817
3:00 | 55.49% | 44.51% | 4271
4:00 | 57.01% | 42.99% | 3187
5:00 | 55.89% | 44.11% | 2625
6:00 | 57.59% | 42.41% | 2511
7:00 | 54.43% | 45.57% | 3158
8:00 | 54.05% | 45.95% | 3743
9:00 | 55.71% | 44.29% | 3888
10:00 | 57.96% | 42.04% | 4217
11:00 | 56.63% | 43.37% | 4452
12:00 | 56.14% | 43.86% | 4264

Who cares about this thing? Squall time, baby!
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:19:49 AM | message detail
Auron is easily winning NA while being kileld in Asia and losing handily in Europe.

as long as he can keep close till the ASV, he should do well... and easily win SNV while Europe goes to bed.
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http://www.snescentral.com/0/8/1/0816/front.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/11/2010 9:20:19 AM | message detail
BANISHING BLADE
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Currently 38th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 9:20:20 AM | message detail
Not bad, Auron. Not bad.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 9:21:11 AM | message detail
And keep in mind that who the U.S. favors right now doesn't necessarily indicate who the U.S. will favor with the ASV. Roxas went from 35% in the U.S. to 40% with the ASV, after all.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/11/2010 9:21:12 AM | message detail
Auron isn't out of this yet!
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Not Wylvane
red sox 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:21:15 AM | message detail
Looking at that chart, Missingno needs 60%+, I'd say more like 62%+, in the power hour to fend off Sephiroth without rallying. With rallying, the game changes a lot of course.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/11/2010 9:21:26 AM | message detail
I'm expectin' a Squall spike on the next update, just to mess with us.
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Currently 38th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:21:30 AM | message detail
In the first hour Pikachu was leading?Man...
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
HaRRicH | Posted 3/11/2010 9:22:52 AM | message detail
Alright, it's still on then. Squall should do better with the ASV than the US/NA-numbers should right now thanks to his KH-influence, but KH hasn't been som impressive this contest too, not to mention Auron's in KH2 and they're both using KH-pictures, so...we'll see.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
red sox 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:22:59 AM | message detail
So anyways, I fully expect Missingno to be leading early tonight. But even if he's over 60% initially, Sephiroth supporters don't need to panic just yet.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/11/2010 9:23:06 AM | message detail
It really is interesting how much of a difference between Auron and Tidus there is

Tidus loses easily to Sub-Zero and gts slaughtered by Squall while Auron destroys Sub-Zero on three seperate occasions and is hanging with Squall
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 9:23:08 AM | message detail
Also: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3839&region=USXCA

Good game, Auron.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 9:25:23 AM | message detail
Hmmmm....
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/11/2010 9:25:24 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #121
Also: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3839&region=USXCA

Good game, Auron.


The laidback, "whatever" surfer attitude gets Cali's vote.
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Currently 38th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:25:25 AM | message detail
haha, squall is so toast
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http://www.snescentral.com/0/8/1/0816/front.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
Master Moltar | Posted 3/11/2010 9:25:31 AM | message detail
oh man
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Pikachu (138/176)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/11/2010 9:25:55 AM | message detail
This is Auron's story

AND SQUALL'S NOT IN IT
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Currently 38th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING
Gooper Blooper | Posted 3/11/2010 9:26:17 AM | message detail
Oh god here comes Auron
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 3/11/2010 9:26:27 AM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1vHRMeRszw4
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CBVIII: 92/109 - 144 pts, tied for 354th
Day Pick: Squall Night Pick: Sephiroth
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/11/2010 9:26:31 AM | message detail
Auron: Your pain shall be two-fold!

Squall: Bawwww! Rinoa I <3 you~!!!!


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I will bury you
paulg235 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:27:10 AM | message detail
Auron: So... how do we end this?
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The Gamer In Me
My Signature's broken, just like your front door.
HaRRicH | Posted 3/11/2010 9:27:47 AM | message detail
I wish I knew any of these characters' games well enough to pull some quotes out...whatever.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png
red sox 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:27:50 AM | message detail
Uh oh. No trends yet though, so Squall can take comfort in that as long as he has the lead.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:28:08 AM | message detail
So I am guessing this will be an awesome match.The best of round 3.Nice.I have Squall in my bracket but even if Auron wins I am okay with that.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/11/2010 9:28:41 AM | message detail
Looking at that chart, Missingno needs 60%+, I'd say more like 62%+, in the power hour to fend off Sephiroth without rallying.

That was what I was thinking. I'd say that Missingno probably needs to have 65% with the board vote alone just to have a chance at winning this one. 65% would amount to almost a 500 vote lead for Missingno, assuming the votals were around 1600 at the freeze. And I'm probably expecting high votals at the start of the next match.

So here's my benchmark goals for Missingno in order to survive the night vote:

12:05 AM: 500 vote lead
1:00 AM: 2000 vote lead
By 4:00 AM or earlier: 3000 vote lead
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
ToadYoshi | Posted 3/11/2010 9:29:54 AM | message detail
Auron on-pace to take the lead next update!

Though Leon is right, North America's trends now don't necessarily reflect their trends during the ASV. This could be a good one.
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Guru contest: Burned by Zard
Yoshi > Missingno Believe!!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/11/2010 9:30:33 AM | message detail
Squall: You don't stand a chance against me.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Gooper Blooper | Posted 3/11/2010 9:30:50 AM | message detail
whatever
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/11/2010 9:31:08 AM | message detail
I was really looking forward to playing FFXIII today.

****
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OH YEAH!
Magic8Squall | Posted 3/11/2010 9:31:33 AM | message detail
All signs point to Squall domination.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/11/2010 9:31:57 AM | message detail

From: Magic8Squall | #138
All signs point to Squall domination.


No bias here!
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OH YEAH!
Magic8Squall | Posted 3/11/2010 9:32:16 AM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #142
No bias here!


...Whatever.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:32:29 AM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #133
I wish I knew any of these characters' games well enough to pull some quotes out...whatever.


Squall: "..." or "Whatever"

He's a deep character.
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http://www.snescentral.com/0/8/1/0816/front.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
red sox 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:32:45 AM | message detail
That was what I was thinking. I'd say that Missingno probably needs to have 65% with the board vote alone just to have a chance at winning this one. 65% would amount to almost a 500 vote lead for Missingno, assuming the votals were around 1600 at the freeze. And I'm probably expecting high votals at the start of the next match.

So here's my benchmark goals for Missingno in order to survive the night vote:

12:05 AM: 500 vote lead
1:00 AM: 2000 vote lead
By 4:00 AM or earlier: 3000 vote lead


That seems about right. With rallying though, Missingno could win with only a peak lead of 2000 (maybe even less than that) by 4 AM.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
ToadYoshi | Posted 3/11/2010 9:33:43 AM | message detail
for what it's worth, Auron is up to 51.55% in NA. If that's indicative of NA's future trends, Auron could storm back and take this.
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Guru contest: Burned by Zard
Yoshi > Missingno Believe!!
Magic8Squall | Posted 3/11/2010 9:34:06 AM | message detail

From: CronoBrokeNobl9 | #144
Squall: "..." or "Whatever"

He's a deep character.


I'm more complex than you think.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
red sox 777 | Posted 3/11/2010 9:34:35 AM | message detail
Of course! Didn't you know that a character's depth is inversely proportional to the number of lines they have? That's why Link is such a wonderful literary character- because he has no visible lines at all, the player must infer all of them from context!
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/11/2010 9:35:31 AM | message detail
Oh god, what an assblowingly bad match. I've always hates these SFF close ones.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/11/2010 9:35:35 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #145
Of course! Didn't you know that a character's depth is inversely proportional to the number of lines they have? That's why Link is such a wonderful literary character- because he has no visible lines at all, the player must infer all of them from context!


Oh look, the Crono fanboy defending silent protagonists, who would have thought :p
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OH YEAH!