GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 870

UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/9/2010 9:06:16 PM | message detail
QCF QCF P



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, Missingno etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/9/2010 9:06:30 PM | message detail
FALCON KICK

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best sig bet EVER
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/9/2010 9:08:51 PM | message detail
Z Z P

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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
You can't hide forever!
The Real Truth | Posted 3/9/2010 9:10:33 PM | message detail
SHOW ME YOUR PUBES
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 3/9/2010 9:11:28 PM | message detail
YES
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:11:56 PM | message detail
For your light? Don't lose sight of it.

...What?
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
charmander6000 | Posted 3/9/2010 9:25:50 PM | message detail
Cloud is rocking right now, he could push for 65% by the end of the hour.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 133/168 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Ryu
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:26:02 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger seems to have done well with sprites.

I dunno. Frog faced Snake. I dunno if I'd blame Link/Magus on Magus's sprite as much as I'd blame it on Link's, if I'd blame that on the sprite at all. We got Mario/Crono twice in the sprite round, and I don't think it affected much.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/9/2010 9:26:15 PM | message detail
although Sephiroth has an indirectly worse board vote.

Cloud's board vote seems to be worse than Sephiroth's, by looking at both of their round 1 matches. Sephiroth was about 1.5% higher than Cloud at the board vote in round 1 and Marth should be stronger than Ridley.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:27:05 PM | message detail
Oh, and Vincent and Auron still got 45%+ on Crono in the sprite round in their matches despite Vincent looking awful in that pic.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/9/2010 9:27:14 PM | message detail
Tag
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/9/2010 9:27:28 PM | message detail
Sephiroth is lucky FF13 came out.
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"I have no problem swallowing... so yeah." -Menji76
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:27:43 PM | message detail
Oh wait, and when Vincent beat Crono, Crono had a sprite.

When Crono won, it wasn't a sprite round! Coincidence?
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/9/2010 9:27:49 PM | message detail

From: Fayt_Esteed | #011
Tag


XFDDDDDDD YES HAAHA OH MAN xfdxfdfxxdfdxfdfxXDXD *died*
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"Like, he thinks about Starcraft while having sex (his girlfriend said it was the best ever, so he must've been doing something right)." -G0EMON
-hotdogturtle-- | Posted 3/9/2010 9:27:54 PM | message detail
whose your favorite character mines captain falcon
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whose your favorite character mines captain falcon
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/9/2010 9:28:04 PM | message detail
Cloud's only doing 3.7% worse now then he did against Ridley. He could still approach 70%. Which is fine by him. Falcon would wreck Ridley. I was still hoping for 70% though. I suppose even Link with all his flopping this contest may still have a chance at beating him.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/9/2010 9:28:57 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #008
Chrono Trigger seems to have done well with sprites.


Because the CT cast exists ONLY in one game where they're given sprites and nothing but. Cloud's popularity is chiefly FFVII and could be lightly peppered with a bit of KH and KHII. Now, I doubt these sprite pics hurt the new FF characters significantly, but there's no reason to believe it does any favors for them. Chain of Memories is the weakest game any of them has been in, and none of their fans know them as sprites first. CT is the opposite.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/9/2010 9:29:09 PM | message detail
That sprite is from Resident Evil Gaiden.

And considering that's (probably) the most obscure Resident Evil game... Things WILL get ugly for Leon.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:30:07 PM | message detail
Hey, don't quote me as having said that! That's libel!
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/9/2010 9:30:09 PM | message detail
There is non-sprite stuff in CT.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·
A tear is only water. A sigh is only air.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:30:41 PM | message detail
And when Cloud beat Link, it was BATCLOUD vs. Wind Waker Link. I don't really think that design hurts him all that much.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
-hotdogturtle-- | Posted 3/9/2010 9:31:04 PM | message detail
Cloud is gaining percentages each update.
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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/9/2010 9:31:20 PM | message detail
So what you're saying is make a lot of sprite Cloud pics for his match with Samus?

Can do!

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best sig bet EVER
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:32:25 PM | message detail
Man, Cloud was able to get 60% on Samus in 2004 with an Ehrgeiz pic!

And I'd say Ehrgeiz is probably more obscure than Chain of Memories, if I had to guess.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Japago | Posted 3/9/2010 9:32:28 PM | message detail
Where do you guys think Cloud ends up? Captain Falcon probably got the biggest boost from Brawl. Man, I still remember the time he got nearly tripled by Crono. What kind of boost does that give Captain Falcon since then?

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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/9/2010 9:32:31 PM | message detail
That's what happens when you're Cloud and facing a strong board vote character. But that last update was not as good as the previous ones. How awesome would it be if CF stalled out the hour at 62.5%?
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/9/2010 9:33:30 PM | message detail
I predict Cloud ends up with 67.5%. Which is disappointing.
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/9/2010 9:35:45 PM | message detail
Falcon is down to 3.5% better than Ridley.

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best sig bet EVER
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/9/2010 9:35:53 PM | message detail
Quick, someone find numbers that predict Samus to 60/40 Cloud!
Jill > Link!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/9/2010 9:37:23 PM | message detail
Cloud probably gets up to around 64% by the end of this hour.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 3/9/2010 9:38:37 PM | message detail
Over 70% in Europe now. Just shy of 90% in Asia.
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/9/2010 9:40:58 PM | message detail
Quick, someone find numbers that predict Samus to 60/40 Cloud!

That's not even a challenge. This match and Falcon 2k6 says that Samus gets 70% on Cloud.
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Mustache...and Green...
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:42:43 PM | message detail
Chart from yesterday's match:

Time | Jecht | Zelda | Votes
0:05 | 38.05% | 61.95% | 870
1:00 | 39.62% | 60.38% | 8670
2:00 | 40.78% | 59.22% | 7323
3:00 | 40.86% | 59.14% | 6799
4:00 | 40.23% | 59.77% | 7196
5:00 | 39.51% | 60.49% | 7320
6:00 | 39.18% | 60.82% | 6985
7:00 | 38.71% | 61.29% | 6430
8:00 | 41.58% | 58.42% | 5828
9:00 | 39.65% | 60.35% | 5241
10:00 | 41.25% | 58.75% | 4856
11:00 | 41.96% | 58.04% | 4440
12:00 | 41.72% | 58.28% | 3780

Zelda does a little better in the middle of the match and at the very beginning overall, and Jecht finishes with some good hours.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/9/2010 9:54:30 PM | message detail
Weird how we go from days of Cloud doubling Sonic to doubling... Captain Falcon
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/9/2010 9:54:30 PM | message detail
This match and Falcon 2k6 says that Samus gets 70% on Cloud.
But, but... that means Jill > Jay Solano!!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:54:59 PM | message detail

From: The n00b Avenger | #034
Weird how we go from days of Cloud doubling Sonic to doubling... Captain Falcon


Hey, I'd take Falcon > Sonic! Why not?
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:57:22 PM | message detail
Nice 5%+ jump for Cloud from the freeze to the end of the Power Hour (barring some percentage slice out of nowhere from Captain Falcon, who knows!).
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 3/9/2010 9:58:11 PM | message detail
Man... Samus has been more impressive than Cloud.

Uhhhh.. anybody else feeling the semifinal to watch is Samus/Cloud instead of Snake/Seph all of a sudden?

Okay that might be crazytalk but jesus.. I'd take Subby over Falcon without even thinking about it.
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CBVIII: 89/105 - 136 pts, tied for 290th
Day Pick: Zelda Night Pick: Cloud
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:59:12 PM | message detail
Uhhhh.. anybody else feeling the semifinal to watch is Samus/Cloud instead of Snake/Seph all of a sudden?

No.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/9/2010 9:59:14 PM | message detail
Cloud actually looks *overrated* at the moment. He's gotten 3 night matches in a row.

...yeah.

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best sig bet EVER
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 9:59:38 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #040
Cloud actually looks *overrated* at the moment. He's gotten 3 night matches in a row.

...yeah.


And guess when he gets to face Samus!

...Yeah.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
Haguile | Posted 3/9/2010 10:00:59 PM | message detail
It would be awesome if Falcon managed to avoid doubling...But that's impossible.
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JechtFAQS.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/9/2010 10:01:38 PM | message detail
The full-on FFXIII boost just hasn't kicked in yet because people are still too busy playing it.

Obv.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/9/2010 10:10:40 PM | message detail
13 consecutive percentage gains
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 10:11:48 PM | message detail
Against Chris, Cloud finished every hour at a higher percentage than he began the hour with. I dunno if he'll be able to pull that off against Falcon because of the morning, but I miss Cloud bein' like this!
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
ffmasterjose | Posted 3/9/2010 10:29:30 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/images/cb8/cb8-108.jpg

Oh god Leon. It's like whoever made that picture purposely wanted to piss all over what little chance he had to win that match. Well I'm about to get eliminated in the Guru >_>

Still votin' for Leon and hoping for the upset....but uh...yeah >_>

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145/168 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VIII
NP: Cloud Strife > Riku | Dante > Leon Kennedy
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/9/2010 10:32:19 PM | message detail
71.64% for Cloud there. Nice.
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Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/9/2010 10:35:18 PM | message detail
Took a while for Cloud to finally get above a 70% update.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/9/2010 10:36:50 PM | message detail
Falcon down to 3.2% better than Ridley at this pint in time
-hotdogturtle-- | Posted 3/9/2010 10:43:56 PM | message detail
You don't mean that Cloud had over 70% of the total votes, do you?
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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC