GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 868
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/8/2010 2:24:38 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #349 I did it manually when I had to. It wasn't hard. There's probably some way to do it in Photoshop, but whatever! --- http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg best sig bet EVER |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/8/2010 2:25:01 PM | message detail |
LOL that's awesome. Just needs their names. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.· Writhe in my cage of torment, my friend. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/8/2010 2:25:29 PM | message detail |
Thought names were optional. Eh, I'll submit a names version just in case. --- http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg best sig bet EVER |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/8/2010 2:25:53 PM | message detail |
Just worried I'll be off by a pixel or two, and you know how that means hell on earth to some people. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.· Currently Playing: Umineko, BioShock, Mario 64 DS, Emerald 386, Dissidia |
HaRRicH | Posted 3/8/2010 2:30:43 PM | message detail |
Fire silhouettes? Give 'em names and I'm okay with it! --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/8/2010 2:41:46 PM | message detail |
Polygonal Lasso Tool! Stats topic, you rock. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ http://img6.imageshack.us/img6/6259/1246921928837.jpg |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/8/2010 2:42:09 PM | message detail |
Also, what is Mario's most recent appearance? --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ All you love is a lie. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/8/2010 2:43:40 PM | message detail |
NSMB Wii, probably. --- http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg best sig bet EVER |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/8/2010 2:45:02 PM | message detail |
And his first game? And for Link, it would be.... Zelda 1 and Brawl? --- I've been burned so bad, but I still play with fire. Sometimes naked truth is what I don't believe in. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/8/2010 2:45:29 PM | message detail |
Donkey Kong. Zelda 1 and Spirit Tracks. --- http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg best sig bet EVER |
paulg235 | Posted 3/8/2010 2:45:49 PM | message detail |
Yeah, it's NSMBW. M&S at the winter olympics, if you count spin-off's. --- The Gamer In Me "Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:25:19 PM | message detail |
I
checked again, and it turns out that L-Block actually exceeded Zero's
percentage on HK-47 slightly, whereas I'd said last night that he was
1% below Zero's mark. Here are some extrapolations, assuming Charizard
ends with 61%. Assuming a constant HK-47 and Zero from 2007 to 2010, Charizard gets 55.64% on Auron. Assuming a constant HK-47 from 2005 to 2010, Charizard gets 59.12% on pre-KH2 Sora. Assuming a Kratos 2006 = Kratos 2010, Charizard gets 47.12% on Ryu. Assuming Duke 2008 = Duke 2010, Charizard gets 30.63% on Link. Assuming Isaac 2003 = Isaac 2010, and there was zero SFF in Samus/Isaac, Charizard gets 40.00% on Samus. Charizard has exceeded 60% here, so I think he's a slight favorite for next round. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:28:44 PM | message detail |
Assuming a constant HK-47 and Zero from 2007 to 2010, Charizard gets 55.64% on Auron. what have we created --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:30:41 PM | message detail |
Ha, here's a fun one. Assuming that Char/Auron relationship is right, and Crono beats Auron in 2k10 exactly as badly as he did in 2k6, Charizard > Missingno. if Missingno beats Sephiroth, we might have an argument for Kratos > Sephiroth --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:32:27 PM | message detail |
Oh yeah, there's this one too: Assuming Revan = HK-47, Charizard gets 56.97% on Squall. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/8/2010 3:32:33 PM | message detail |
But Alucard beat Kratos that one time, which would mean Alucard is stronger than Seph- ...the plan. --- http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg best sig bet EVER |
Biolizard28 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:36:54 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #365 Auron > Squall confirmed who's your daddy --- It may be insulting, but it's the truth! Now this is entertainment! |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/8/2010 3:37:22 PM | message detail |
Alucard beat Kirby, who beat Sonic kinda, who beat Crono, who beat Mario. Alucard = low NNers COMFIRMED, THE PLAN IS IN ACTION --- Good luck Freeman! Be Adequate! |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:37:53 PM | message detail |
Another
one: Assuming 2003 Tails = 2010 Tails (2003 was also a very bad year
for Sonic characters), Charizard gets 50.02% on 2003 Auron. It's hard
to tell how strong Auron was in 2003 since he got fed to Cloud, but
considering how strong Square was in general that year, that looks
pretty good for Charizard. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
HaRRicH | Posted 3/8/2010 3:38:36 PM | message detail |
The
Plan will be executed perfectly in the final raw x-stats. The only way
he could look better is if he faced Link in R1 instead of R2. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:39:25 PM | message detail |
Thrall vs. Magus in a day match who ya got --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:42:05 PM | message detail |
And
I think I've convinced myself that Charizard should be the favorite,
when you add HG/SS to the top of all those extrapolations (not that
Charizard is really worth 55%+ on Auron or Squall, but you can have a
lot of leeway for flaws coming from day/night effects, etc. and still
have Charizard > Bowser). --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:45:35 PM | message detail |
Charizard
> Bowser requires Kratos > Sora. Tails and Duke > Frog, too,
unless it's really close. That's all I need to know. --- Mustache...and Green... |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/8/2010 3:45:52 PM | message detail |
jeez, the next 4 match are gonna be so damn boring.. --- hmmmmmmmm |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:47:47 PM | message detail |
Not with HG/SS, and definitely not once you take day/night trends into account. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
Biolizard28 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:48:27 PM | message detail |
From: RPGuy96 | #373 SFF match. **** happens. --- It may be insulting, but it's the truth! Now this is entertainment! |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:49:30 PM | message detail |
*hypes the miniscule chance of a Samus/Snake semi-final* --- Currently Playing: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Ocarina of Time, Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn |
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:54:22 PM | message detail |
Kratos
was above 47% until the ASV; he does a fair bit better in a full day
match. Bowser/Sora and Charizard/Kratos would still be comparable, and
you still have to deal with the fact that Sora beats Kratos easily. HG/SS can spin things, I agree. We'll see what Jecht can do against Zelda. But I don't see any reason to give Charizard favorite status for beating a joke who's looked pretty bad for two rounds. --- Mustache...and Green... |
Draco1214 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:57:13 PM | message detail |
Charizard > Bowser requires Kratos > Sora. After how ass Sora's looked, I wouldn't be surprised. --- No match for KrahenProphet's extreme Guru skills. |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/8/2010 3:57:19 PM | message detail |
That joke is a contest winner.Say what you want but that will never change. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/8/2010 4:11:14 PM | message detail |
http://img31.imageshack.us/img31/4657/linkvsmario.jpg http://img532.imageshack.us/img532/6016/linkvsmario2.jpg http://img202.imageshack.us/img202/4127/linkvsmario3.jpg --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "We're only gonna score 17 points?" -LOL Tom Brady |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/8/2010 4:13:25 PM | message detail |
The
Link name is a bit hard to read in all three. Link's picture in the
second one is a bit fuzzy so it doesn't look that good. Mario can't win
so I guess the third one can work. --- Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/8/2010 4:21:46 PM | message detail |
The box art itself is fuzzy, so that can't be helped: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/e/e6/Zelda_Legend_2010.jpg I'll mess with the effects to see if I can make Link's name a little more legible. --- Has anyone really been far even as decided to use even go want to do look more like? |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/8/2010 4:33:59 PM | message detail |
After how ass Sora's looked, I wouldn't be surprised. First off, Sora got the short stick this contest: Having all night matches sounds tailor-made for Sora to look bad. Also, Kratos got 61% on TAILS. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/8/2010 4:36:54 PM | message detail |
All the 1 seeds have had all night matches. Sora was flat-out not deserving of a 1. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ http://img175.imageshack.us/img175/7315/ocelotpartycd1.gif |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/8/2010 4:43:01 PM | message detail |
All the 1 seeds have had all night matches. Sora was flat-out not deserving of a 1. That works too. Also, when will we start having full-day matches? The quarterfinals? --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/8/2010 4:53:22 PM | message detail |
The box art itself is fuzzy This work?: http://www.zeldacapital.com/cutenews/data/upimages/zeldawii.jpg --- Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST |
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/8/2010 5:12:12 PM | message detail |
I'll say this again because nobody responded. Um? Worst logic? Because I thought an unknown character who resembled a character that 60-40ed a character that was even with Zelda in lol-4ways? You guys have been using crappy 4 way logic the entire contest. I had already pointed out that if Altair didn't whip Kirby that Ezio had no chance of beating Zelda (since there was never a good read on Simon Belmont). Zack was handicapped by the picture, admittedly he had never had a 1v1 match before so his strength was completely theoretical. Other than that I've only been toting Sonic as being stronger than Mega Man based on his recent performances. You guys forget that Mega Man has always been good at blowouts against clearly weaker opponents (hell he got 68% against Yoshi, and pretty much the only non n9 breaker that has ever stood up to him was Sora (for many reasons which aren't worth explaining here). Other than that he routinely pastes people before falling apart against stronger opposition (read falling apart as not being as strong as his blowouts suggest). I mean Yoshi has always been pretty much of equal strength to Luigi (as evidenced by most of his matches) and Mega Man posted a 68% on him only a year before Sonic beat Luigi with 60%, he then struggled to barely beat Sonic by not even a full percentage. You can claim SFF -- but Sonic would have just as much reason to SFF Luigi at this point as MM would to SFF Yoshi. The reaity is that MM is great at blowouts, but his strength is always over-estimated because of them. Mega Man has no chance against Mario. --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
KommunistKoala | Posted 3/8/2010 5:14:28 PM | message detail |
From: EternalxCourage | Posted: 3/8/2010 8:12:12 PM | #388 there's a reason nobody responded you know --- http://img685.imageshack.us/img685/1157/neverforgetlined.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/8/2010 5:17:50 PM | message detail |
I'm
sorry Curt, but your logic is more like wishful thinking. Megaman >
Mario has a higher chance of happening than Ezio > Zelda ever did. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/8/2010 5:20:09 PM | message detail |
People didn't respond for a reason, Curt. And I think we're overrating the effect of the match on the release date thing a bit too much. Why do we believe it makes a huge difference? Because of Mario/Cloud? There were more factors that went into that match than Sunshine being released on that day, and we don't even know how much of an effect it had. We don't know how close that match is without it. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/8/2010 5:27:21 PM | message detail |
Red
you were there talking about how Ezio had a chance if Altair impressed
against Vivi. Ultimately Ezio was an unknown and I was banking on him
being stronger than he was. He didn't fall apart completely (he did
decently against Zelda), but with that in mind you can't compare Mega
Man vs. Mario to Zelda vs. Ezio considering, as I said, Ezio was an
unknown. Either way that's not my point here. Mostly the second
paragraph is what I want to call attention to. Mega Man has always been
a blowout machine. He just comes short in the big matches (read coming
short as not living up to what his strength is based on the blowouts). --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
EternalxCourage | Posted 3/8/2010 5:28:00 PM | message detail |
Also
I don't see the reason why people didn't respond. It's not like I am
saying there was sound stats behind Ezio > Zelda or Zack > Mega
Man. I'm saying I went on a hunch. --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/8/2010 5:29:34 PM | message detail |
And
I'll explain why. You're stating a ton of assumptions that have not
been backed up with evidence and go against linearity, the foundation
of all of our analysis of these contests since 2003. Linearity has been
an amazingly good assumption, and while it's not perfect, it's almost
always is quite close to reality. There are some systematic cases where
it fails to a large degree- most notably SFF and LFF. Your arguments,
however, are based on ideas that no one here has accepted before, and
are given without much evidence. It would be like me insisting to you all that Chrono Trigger characters are strong against characters they overlap with a lot and weak against characters with whom they have very little overlap (most notably Sonic characters). It's a theory I've had since 2005, but I still have no evidence for it, and wouldn't expect people to believe it just because I say so. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/8/2010 5:29:56 PM | message detail |
You
know, it's strange how evenly trended L-Block was this year. That thing
used to be all over the place, but not this year. In a night match
against HK-47 and Isaac, and now in a day match against Charizard, not
much shifting at all. --- Squall Leonhart is the worst Final Fantasy character ever created. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/8/2010 5:31:11 PM | message detail |
From: Team Rocket Elite | #387 Sweet. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.· "Oh that the world were more like Ulti." -Meeks |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/8/2010 5:31:17 PM | message detail |
And
yeah, I did say that Zelda > Ezio was not a complete lock. I don't
think it was even now, given what we had seen in the first round. MM
> Mario still has a much higher chance than that upset ever did. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/8/2010 5:36:56 PM | message detail |
Not
only Mario/Cloud, but also Master Chief/Sub-Zero was infamous for being
a close match where the winner had a game released right on the day of
the match. |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/8/2010 5:37:50 PM | message detail |
I'd probably still take Sub-Zero over Master Chief so I'm not sure if that made much of a difference. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 125/152 - Today's Winners: Sora and Kratos |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/8/2010 5:38:40 PM | message detail |
This Mega Man > Mario hype has to be a joke or something, because no one is that stupid. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.· If anyone is fit to shine, it is I. |
