GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 866

TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/6/2010 11:37:16 PM | message detail
So is this Ike avoiding SFF becuase he has a bit of his own fanbase for FE and because maybe Mario did not gain so many fans from Brawl? Or should we assume that this should be uglier but we're just following this year's trend of not getting crazy blowouts.
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/6/2010 11:56:55 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
130----1------------100.00
129----0------------0.00
128----2------------100.00
127----3------------100.00
126----9------------100.00
125----12----------91.67
124----23----------95.65
123----21----------95.24
122----37----------100.00
121----47----------97.87
120----42----------90.48
119----52----------98.08
118----66----------93.94
117----80----------91.25
116----78----------89.74
115----86----------82.56
114----96----------84.38
113----110--------80.00
112----142--------73.94
111----154--------74.03
110----175--------71.43
109----229--------69.00
108----269--------61.34
107----284--------59.86
106----350--------57.71
105----409--------60.88
104----482--------61.20
103----511--------55.77
102----534--------50.56
101----587--------49.06
100----603--------43.95
99------675--------46.07
98------688--------45.78
97------735--------40.41
96------737--------42.74
95------729--------36.76
94------734--------35.29
93------760--------35.00
92------711--------31.93
91------707--------31.82
90------677--------30.13
89------690--------28.55
88------640--------27.19
87------634--------24.13
86------614--------22.80
85------575--------21.57
84------534--------18.91
83------531--------20.34
82------539--------19.11
81------479--------16.91
80------512--------16.60
79------417--------16.31
78------455--------16.26
77------415--------15.90
76------371--------12.94
75------381--------12.34
74------360--------12.50
73------336--------11.31
72------329--------7.60
71------326--------10.74
70------315--------11.75
69------286--------10.49
68------252--------7.14
67------208--------11.54
66------244--------8.20
65------212--------8.49
64------205--------6.83
63------187--------11.23
62------198--------9.60
61------147--------10.20
60------141--------3.55
59------154--------9.09
58------129--------6.98
57------104--------2.88
56------101--------6.93
55------81----------6.17
54------80----------6.25
53------68----------8.82
52------58----------1.72
51------58----------6.90
50------36----------5.56
49------42----------7.14
48------30----------6.67
47------23----------4.35
46------26----------0.00
45------18----------5.56
44------20----------5.00
43------17----------5.88
42------10----------10.00
41------10----------10.00
40------13----------0.00
39------9------------11.11
38------5------------20.00
37------10----------0.00
36------8------------0.00
35------5------------20.00
34------6------------0.00
33------4------------0.00
32------7------------0.00
31------3------------0.00
30------7------------0.00
29------2------------50.00
28------3------------0.00
27------7------------0.00
26------4------------0.00
25------3------------0.00
24------4------------25.00
23------11----------0.00
22------1------------0.00
21------5------------0.00
20------6------------0.00
19------6------------0.00
18------10----------0.00
17------7------------0.00
16------6------------0.00
15------10----------10.00

Everyone with a score of 14 or less got it wrong.

Nothing special today. Top tiers do well and prediction percentage fades as you go down.

2 people fell off the Top 50. LagunaticHigh and FF7Cloud_Strife didn't have Kirby winning.
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yzman | Posted 3/7/2010 12:22:13 AM | message detail

From: TheOneAboveAll | #301
So is this Ike avoiding SFF becuase he has a bit of his own fanbase for FE and because maybe Mario did not gain so many fans from Brawl? Or should we assume that this should be uglier but we're just following this year's trend of not getting crazy blowouts.




I don't understand. Mario is over 70%, how is this not a blowout?
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Mumei | Posted 3/7/2010 1:27:03 AM | message detail
It's not a blow-out relative to what we've seen in the past. On its own terms, it is.

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KingBartz | Posted 3/7/2010 1:35:11 AM | message detail
I call anything more than a tripling a blowout
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Contest bracket status: ELIMINATED
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/7/2010 4:07:12 AM | message detail
A tripling in round 3?Pathetic...
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/7/2010 5:40:37 AM | message detail

From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | #306
A tripling in round 3?Pathetic...


Good point, even for a contest like this. Yeah, in the magical, ****ed-up world of four-ways you can even expect to find triplings in the finals, but in 1v1's the only triplings that should be happening are huge SFF matches.

Hell, I think even Jecht and Big Daddy will escape being tripled, unless they're close to the likes of boosted Guybrush.
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Not Wylvane
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/7/2010 6:02:22 AM | message detail

From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | #306
A tripling in round 3?Pathetic...


Well Ike is clearly being SFFd here.
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Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/7/2010 6:05:27 AM | message detail
You're about to see a REAL tripling in 3 hours!
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/7/2010 6:11:30 AM | message detail
If Mega Man triples Hayabusa then I think it's safe to say that Hayabusa falls apart against decent opponents.
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Character Battle VIII - 117/144 - Today's Winners: Mario and Mega Man
Denzokuken | Posted 3/7/2010 6:17:33 AM | message detail
Crash Bandicoot isn't a decent opponent? :( haha, but actually his performance looks decent now Ryu beat Chief. I think Crash is a unique case in that he seems to be actually gaining in strength despite getting more and more irrelevant... I can't think of any other character who is showing this phenomenon.
charmander6000 | Posted 3/7/2010 6:31:40 AM | message detail
Match CII: (3) Mega Man vs. (7) Ryu Hayabusa

Last Round

Mega Man – 61.66%
Zack Fair – 38.34%

Ryu Hayabusa – 52.56%
Master Chief – 47.44%

Analysis

I guess Master Chief showed why he’s considered to be one of the biggest chokes in contest history. Hayabusa has come a long way from defeating Jill by 27 votes and being first round stepping stones for stronger characters. Of course with it being the sprite round Hayabusa gets to perform in his 8-bit glory. Mega Man on the other hand has looked really great over the past two rounds dispatching two Final Fantasy VII characters with decent strength.

Mega Man should have no problems winning this match, but I have a feeling that Mega Man has a great chance at scoring a higher win against Hayabusa compare to his first two round opponents. Zack Fair while a bit overrated based on the board’s standard is still a decent character. Even if he did pick up a little SFF against Yuna she is still a half decent character and I feel that last round was more Mega Man being strong rather than Zack being that weak. The board gave Cid a hard time in the first round, but in reality he only performed a couple of percent worse than Zack.

Hayabusa on the other hand seems to fall apart when confronted with stronger opponents. I’m still having trouble finding the relation between Solid Snake and Hayabusa besides both being badass, but why didn’t Master Chief capitalize on that? Either way I feel confident that this will be Mega Man’s easiest match especially with Hayabusa getting a sprite picture.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Mega Man > Master Chief

charmander6000’s Prediction: Mega Man wins, 65.27% - 34.73%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 117/144 - Today's Winners: Mario and Mega Man
red sox 777 | Posted 3/7/2010 8:43:23 AM | message detail
I don't understand this MM tripling talk. Hayabusa's not that weak; he beat Zero last year. Pit and Dedede or not, that was an impressive performance, and MM only got 62% on Zero last year, after SFF.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/7/2010 8:44:59 AM | message detail
Mega Man will triple Hayabusa because he's going to beat Mario with 58%

That's right

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Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/7/2010 8:45:58 AM | message detail
I expect MM to do well. He has a nice picture advantage.
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hmmmmmmmm
LOLContests | Posted 3/7/2010 8:48:29 AM | message detail
Hayabusa's not that weak.

Not that I think he'll get tripled, but Hayabusa looked pretty weak before he got a ninja picture.
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"How appropriate. You fight like a cow."--Guybrush Threepwood
Yesmar
LOLContests | Posted 3/7/2010 8:48:51 AM | message detail
Or weak enough to make a tripling feasible.
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"How appropriate. You fight like a cow."--Guybrush Threepwood
Yesmar
Biolizard28 | Posted 3/7/2010 8:48:57 AM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #307
Yeah, in the magical, ****ed-up world of four-ways you can even expect to find triplings in the finals, but in 1v1's the only triplings that should be happening are huge SFF matches.


Well... yeah.
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Now this is entertainment!
paulg235 | Posted 3/7/2010 8:49:33 AM | message detail
Mega Man will be within the mid-60's, think. He might double Ryu, but then I remember what Kirby did after beating MC. Ryu could get a small bandwagon that could make him look better than Zack.
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Biolizard28 | Posted 3/7/2010 8:50:56 AM | message detail
Also, I'm hoping for a monster performance from Mega Man today. I want that Zack domination not to be us overrating ZackFAQs. Of all the bottom rungs of the NN, Mega Man's the one I don't want to see fall off, and he's doing a good job of proving he's got gas left in the tank.
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who needs a dick when you're good at smash brothers - stingers
Now this is entertainment!
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/7/2010 8:51:46 AM | message detail
Mega Man will be lucky to get 70%, let alone a tripling. I'm expecting about a doubling here.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/7/2010 8:52:26 AM | message detail
Megaman > Mario would be so awesome. If MM doubles Hayabusa today, I want to see HYPE for that match.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/7/2010 8:52:43 AM | message detail
I have to agree with Paul. There has been more than one instance of a character defeating Master Chief one round and then looking good the round afterwards, only to disappoint in later contests. Aeris, StarCraft, Frog, Crono, maybe Sub-Zero, L-Block, Kirby...but I don't think anybody got a bandwagon in '09 from defeating a Halo game, right?
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/7/2010 8:52:46 AM | message detail
mm wont break 45% on mario
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hmmmmmmmm
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/7/2010 8:59:22 AM | message detail
lol if ryu gets high 30s
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hmmmmmmmm
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/7/2010 9:00:12 AM | message detail
Incoming tripling
Master Moltar | Posted 3/7/2010 9:00:13 AM | message detail
Mega Man 100%

5
Ryu Hayabusa 0%

0
TOTAL VOTES 5
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Mario > Ike (118/144)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
paulg235 | Posted 3/7/2010 9:00:22 AM | message detail
Mega Man 75%

21
Ryu Hayabusa 25%

7
TOTAL VOTES 28

BAHAHAHAHAHAA
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/7/2010 9:00:23 AM | message detail
Mega Man 100%

6
Ryu Hayabusa 0%

0
TOTAL VOTES 6

XD, exact same vote and result as last night
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/7/2010 9:00:38 AM | message detail
MEGA MAAAAAAAAAAAN

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GrapefruitKing | Posted 3/7/2010 9:00:39 AM | message detail
Woooo Mega Man board vote
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 16th
Today's prediction: Mega Man - 66.09% Status:
red sox 777 | Posted 3/7/2010 9:00:47 AM | message detail
Mega Man 71.88% 69
Ryu Hayabusa 28.13% 27
TOTAL VOTES 96

Watch out, Mario!
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/7/2010 9:00:52 AM | message detail
Mega Man > Link
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/7/2010 9:00:54 AM | message detail
mm going to die off so badly
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hmmmmmmmm
Denzokuken | Posted 3/7/2010 9:00:58 AM | message detail
beastly
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/7/2010 9:01:16 AM | message detail
32% already for Ryu H during the board vote; he'll easily avoid doubling at this rate
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http://www.gamestop.com/gs/landing/ffxiii/events/ff13_opening.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
GrapefruitKing | Posted 3/7/2010 9:01:22 AM | message detail
heh, when I refreshed he went from 73.5 to 67.5
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 16th
Today's prediction: Mega Man - 66.09% Status:
Master Moltar | Posted 3/7/2010 9:02:05 AM | message detail
ryu h sux against good competition re-confirmed
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Mario > Ike (118/144)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/7/2010 9:02:22 AM | message detail
Don't people like ninjas?
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/7/2010 9:02:28 AM | message detail
Megaman back over 70%!

HYPE
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/7/2010 9:02:30 AM | message detail
Mega Man > Mario

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GrapefruitKing | Posted 3/7/2010 9:02:30 AM | message detail
oh wow, back at 72%
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 16th
Today's prediction: Mega Man - 66.09% Status:
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/7/2010 9:02:41 AM | message detail
What a weird board vote. From 75 to 66 back to 73
meche313 | Posted 3/7/2010 9:02:46 AM | message detail
ouch. Somehow Mega Man has manage to impress in every single of his matches so far.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/7/2010 9:02:49 AM | message detail
Forget about the board vote: see you guys in the morning.
Ultimaphazon | Posted 3/7/2010 9:03:03 AM | message detail
O_O
Did Hayabusa win the early board vote
MM is just rising and rising now.
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CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/7/2010 9:03:19 AM | message detail
Woah, who exactly got the board vote? According to the updater, Ryu H was all the way up to 33.5% at the 1 minute mark, now he's down to 26%?
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http://www.gamestop.com/gs/landing/ffxiii/events/ff13_opening.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/7/2010 9:03:38 AM | message detail
No, I'm serious

Mega Man > Mario

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red sox 777 | Posted 3/7/2010 9:03:53 AM | message detail
Haha Zack may have been as strong as we thought he was. Let's do this Mario.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
paulg235 | Posted 3/7/2010 9:03:54 AM | message detail
Well, looks like it's official: Ryu Hayabusa sucks it up the moment the big boys show up.
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