GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 866

LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/6/2010 9:03:10 PM | message detail
Hayabusa should at least approach Cid's number, given how characters gain momentum as they moved through the contest and OMG HE JUST BEAT MASTER CHIEF HE MUST BE REALLY STRONG!!!
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:03:32 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #196
Mario got 82% against Ness and Falco. I fully expect this to be a tripling when all is said and done.


Ike would easily own either of them, so I don't see why people would expect the same kinda beating.

Looks like Ike is going up now, though.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/6/2010 9:03:48 PM | message detail
We can try to entertain ourselves during matches like these, but good matches are what bring out the best in us imo. See ya'll in 24.
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Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 9:04:41 PM | message detail
MM will be lucky to hit 45%, which he won't imo.
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hmmmmmmmm
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/6/2010 9:05:03 PM | message detail
Time for Bowser to show Sora who's boss (and rip up my bracket) at that point!
Lopen | Posted 3/6/2010 9:05:03 PM | message detail
Ike doin about what I expected.

Wonder if he goes up or down after the board vote. Instinct was down but after seeing Mario get the opening rush I'm not so sure!
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/6/2010 9:05:28 PM | message detail
Maybe the big sword bishie thing really does equal strength. Ike has one fewer Smash game than Falco, and Star Fox 64 would trounce any Fire Emblem game.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 3/6/2010 9:05:33 PM | message detail
oh Sora/Bowser is in 24 hours?
Noice, I thought it was in 2-3 days
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/6/2010 9:06:15 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #205
Maybe the big sword bishie thing really does equal strength. Ike has one fewer Smash game than Falco, and Star Fox 64 would trounce any Fire Emblem game.


Not so sure about that.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:06:22 PM | message detail
Mushroom Division Upper Half 5 minute stats!

Mario – 50.00%
Big Boss – 36.84%
Ike – 27.99%
Zidane Tribal – 27.12%
Prinny – 21.00%
Claptrap – 19.34%
Falco Lombardi – 18.96%
Miles Edgeworth – 17.52%
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CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:06:22 PM | message detail

From: Lopen | #206
Ike doin about what I expected.

Wonder if he goes up or down after the board vote. Instinct was down but after seeing Mario get the opening rush I'm not so sure!


I'm pretty sure that Ike is going to go up. The board is Mario crazy
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/6/2010 9:06:33 PM | message detail
Plus Falco is a popular tournament favorite in both Melee and Brawl while Ike has never been a tourney favorite.

Of course, we have the fact that Ike got a 4 seed while Falco got a 16 seed, lol.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/6/2010 9:06:41 PM | message detail
Although Ike is one of them "Smash guys," so Mario should theoretically beat up on him from the end of the Power Hour onwards.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:06:55 PM | message detail
Chaos Division Lower Half

Kirby – 50.00%
Rikku – 42.47%
Vivi Orunitia – 42.37%
Altair – 37.46%
Donkey Kong – 37.04%
GlaDOS – 31.60%
Liquid Snake – 30.63%
Fawful – 21.00%

Liquid, Liquid, Liquid.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/6/2010 9:07:10 PM | message detail
Star Fox 64 would trounce any Fire Emblem game.

Yeah. I can't expect much from any FE game in a game contest.
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ZFS | Posted 3/6/2010 9:07:11 PM | message detail
Ike's doing pretty good here considering it's Mario. Makin' Zidane look better!

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study the past if you would define the future
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:07:55 PM | message detail
Ike is Brawl though, so his trends might not be as exaggerated as Melee's.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/6/2010 9:08:01 PM | message detail
Hahaha @ GlaDOS > Liquid.

How glorious.
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Not Wylvane
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/6/2010 9:08:09 PM | message detail
Yesterday's match confirmed Vivi>Tidus>Rikku in my mind. Vivi did the same against Kirby in a day match that Rikku did in a night match, and Tidus got like...49% on Vivi back in 07.

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Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 9:09:11 PM | message detail
i predict an ike plunge in %
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hmmmmmmmm
XxSoulxX | Posted 3/6/2010 9:09:24 PM | message detail
Of course, we have the fact that Ike got a 4 seed while Falco got a 16 seed, lol.

Ike has to deal with... Marth? Roy?

Falco has to deal with Fox, Wolf, and Krystal.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/6/2010 9:09:30 PM | message detail
I predict an ike cut

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Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/6/2010 9:10:02 PM | message detail
We need to get Slippy and Peppy in now.
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Not Wylvane
Lopen | Posted 3/6/2010 9:10:08 PM | message detail
Eh Ike has reasons to get SFFed less than a Star Fox character. Fire Emblem is really a very "unNintendo" kinda Nintendo game.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/6/2010 9:10:11 PM | message detail
close enough

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Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 9:10:13 PM | message detail
i win!
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hmmmmmmmm
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/6/2010 9:10:19 PM | message detail
So much for that Ike cut.
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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:10:37 PM | message detail
Mario/Falco should theoretically have the same trends (It was even a Sunday night match), and here's what that one looked like:

Time | Mario | Falco | Votes
0:05 | 80.47% | 19.53% | 1280
1:00 | 80.35% | 19.65% | 9911
2:00 | 80.65% | 19.35% | 6537
3:00 | 80.32% | 19.68% | 4801
4:00 | 81.08% | 18.92% | 3732
5:00 | 81.14% | 18.86% | 3123
6:00 | 82.55% | 17.45% | 2819
7:00 | 81.23% | 18.77% | 2610
8:00 | 82.80% | 17.20% | 2919
9:00 | 81.99% | 18.01% | 3503
10:00 | 81.59% | 18.41% | 4395
11:00 | 80.61% | 19.39% | 5147
12:00 | 80.83% | 19.17% | 5447
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:10:38 PM | message detail
Ike!

Dammit, Ike's cape is totally cooler than Mario's cape. He should be able to get cape rSFF!
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Mustache...and Green...
NachoSwordsman | Posted 3/6/2010 9:10:42 PM | message detail
Rofl @ Ike
VeryInsane | Posted 3/6/2010 9:10:42 PM | message detail
More like lol @ Rikku > Vivi. >.>
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:10:44 PM | message detail
I guess the board did liked Ike.
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Character Battle VIII - 117/144 - Today's Winners: Mario and Mega Man
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/6/2010 9:11:12 PM | message detail
LOL, Mario went up. He'll probably go up overnight as he's doing better in Europe and getting blown out in Asia.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/6/2010 9:12:00 PM | message detail
Assume this ends at 25%.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3695

What does Ike get on Mega Man X based off of Falco?

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ZFS | Posted 3/6/2010 9:12:02 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3830&region=ASI

Haha, good grief.

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study the past if you would define the future
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:12:09 PM | message detail
I just noticed that Kriby only had 31% of Brackets... who was the heavy bracket favorite? Altair?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:13:00 PM | message detail

From: CronoBrokeNobl9 | #236
I just noticed that Kriby only had 31% of Brackets... who was the heavy bracket favorite? Altair?


Kirby probably was the overall favorite, but I imagine it was fairly split. Altair only had 55% of the brackets getting past round 1.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/6/2010 9:13:31 PM | message detail
Lol GLaDOS > Liquid Snake.

We should see a match featuring any two of these characters one day (again in some cases I suppose): Magus, Frog, Ridley, Master Chief, Gordon Freeman, Liquid Snake, Donkey Kong, Alucard, Tidus

Yeah, the chokey bunch. How about we rate all of them? I'd say:

Alucard
Tidus
Master Chief
Gordon Freeman
Ridley
Magus
Frog
Donkey Kong
Liquid Snake
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/6/2010 9:13:35 PM | message detail
I imagine Donkey Kong had a fair amount of brackets taking him to win the division.

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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/6/2010 9:13:40 PM | message detail
I just noticed that Kriby only had 31% of Brackets... who was the heavy bracket favorite? Altair?

Probably.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:13:52 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3829&region=US&map=1

WYOMING'D

And MONTANA'D apparently as well
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/6/2010 9:14:13 PM | message detail
Interesting how Rikku > Vivi in the x-stats because Vivi faced Kirby in the day while Rikku did it in the night.

It does make the x-stats look a bit iffier. Of course, you could attempt to get average differences between night and day matches and adjust the value accordingly, but that's way too much work and some characters won't have nearly enough data.

Probably still not as bad as LFF-laden four-way x-stats, but definitely not going to be too reliable for close matches where some characters may underperform. Vivi's crew would look better in a night match, and then we'd likely get Liquid > GlaDOS.

So yeah, lol x-stats.
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Not Wylvane
VeryInsane | Posted 3/6/2010 9:15:09 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #241
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3829&region=US&map=1

WYOMING'D

And MONTANA'D apparently as well




So that's where the Final Fantasy Fanboys live.
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 3/6/2010 9:15:20 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3830&region=ASI

I was under the assumption Asia loved FE and liked Ike?
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:15:50 PM | message detail
Top 10 Changes

Top 10 Smallest Night Vote Gaps
1. Pokemon Trainer Red – 29195 vs. Revolver Ocelot – 29013 (R1) – 182
2. Jecht – 26287 vs. Phoenix Wright – 23592 (R1) – 2695
3. Terra Branford – 27612 vs. Darth Revan – 23647 (R1) – 3965
4. Big Daddy – 25790 vs. Ness – 21649 (R2) – 4141
5. Jecht – 26156 vs. Ratchet – 20416 (R2) – 5740
6. Auron – 28175 vs. Zero – 21524 (R2) – 6649
7. Vivi Ornitier – 30113 vs. Donkey Kong – 23379 (R1) – 6734
8. Sonic the Hedgehog – 29904 vs. Ganondorf – 22394 (R3) – 7510
9. Roxas – 31010 vs. Heavy – 23427 (R1) – 7583
10. Auron – 29758 vs. Aerith Gainsborough – 21870 (R1) – 7888


Top 10 Most Impressive Night Losers
1. Revolver Ocelot (R1) – 29013
2. Darth Revan (R1) – 23647
3. Phoenix Wright (R1) – 23592
4. Heavy (R1) – 23427
5. Donkey Kong (R1) – 23379
6. Rikku (R1) – 22560
7. Ganondorf (R3) – 22394
8. Vault Boy (R1) – 21917
9. Aerith Gainsborough (R1) – 21870
10. Ness (R2) – 21649


Top 10 Least Impressive Night Winners
1. Big Daddy (R2) – 25790
2. Jecht (R2) – 26156
3. Jecht (R1) – 26287
4. Terra Branford (R1) – 27612
5. Auron (R2) – 28173
6. Ryu Hayabusa (R1) – 28553
7. Kefka (R1) – 28769
8. Pokemon Trainer Red (R1) – 29195
9. Auron (R1) – 29758
10. Sonic the Hedgehog (R3) – 29904


Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Missingno vs. Yoshi (R2) – 14.06%
2. Ryu Hayabusa vs. Master Chief (R2) – 15.87%
3. Vivi vs. Altair (R2) – 18.46%
4. Charizard vs. Kratos (R2) – 18.62%
5. Missingno vs. Crono (R1) – 21.94%
6. Jecht vs. Ratchet (R2) – 26.63%
7. Big Daddy vs. Ness (R2) – 27.52%
8. Sub-Zero vs. Roxas (R2) – 30.84%
9. Kirby vs. Vivi (R3) – 31.56%
10. Ike vs. Zidane Tribal (R2) – 35.57%

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Character Battle VIII - 117/144 - Today's Winners: Mario and Mega Man
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/6/2010 9:16:02 PM | message detail
Man, I can't wait for Mega Man to triple Ryu and make Master Chief look even worse for next year.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:16:07 PM | message detail
Asia can be explained by this:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3830&region=PH

Yikes.
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Mustache...and Green...
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/6/2010 9:16:12 PM | message detail
It still stuns me on how badly Ike does overnight. He was the #1 most requested character for Brawl in Japan!

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:17:14 PM | message detail
And based on this early performance, I believe it's safe to call for Crono > Mario! Based on Ike's current percentage, Mario gets 73.67% on Zidane, and Crono got 76.72% in 2005, adding up to a 55.79% victory for Crono!
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:18:38 PM | message detail
And when you remember that Mario is getting SFF on Ike at this moment, it's clear that in fact Crono would 60-40 Mario. As will become even more clear when Cloud fails to break Crono's percentage on Captain Falcon and the x-stats show us Crono > Link.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi