GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 866

UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/6/2010 10:16:13 AM | message detail
I casts the spells that makes the peoples fall down.



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, Missingno etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·
If anyone is fit to shine, it is I.
RustyWheelGator | Posted 3/6/2010 10:16:48 AM | message detail
*falls down*
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why did Mario have to leave Yoshi at the entrance of castles?
yoshi told mario that he wanted to smoke a blunt and he'll meet up with him later - RustyMrMokka
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/6/2010 10:17:02 AM | message detail
Thank god it's finally almost over.
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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 10:20:45 AM | message detail
Vivi > Black Mage

Fighter > Black Mage

Thief > Black Mage

Red Mage > Black Mage

Garland > Black Mage

Do you get the idea that I think Black Mage is overrated yet?
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 3/6/2010 10:21:59 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #004
Garland > Black Mage


ok, wat
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This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss
RustyWheelGator | Posted 3/6/2010 10:22:34 AM | message detail
Black Mage > Squall
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"IF YOU CLOSE YOUR EYES
DKC2 being fodder becomes clear!"
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 10:22:41 AM | message detail
Bikke > Both, for what it's worth
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 11:33:32 AM | message detail
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hmmmmmmmm
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:34:00 AM | message detail
I hope Kirby wins, but I don't really expect him to come that close. We'll know if Kirby has a chance by the end of the first freeze. If he's behind after 5 minutes, forget it.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/6/2010 11:34:55 AM | message detail
http://i946.photobucket.com/albums/ad309/AzricFFF/baconcrap.jpg

oh god *falls over*
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 11:35:10 AM | message detail
Kirby went even with Bowser and Luigi in the ASV after getting beat pretty badly up to then. And it makes sense that he has pseudo Smash trends (strong power hour and ASV)- most of his strength does come from Smash, after all.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
XxSoulxX | Posted 3/6/2010 11:36:30 AM | message detail
No it doesn't. Bowser is unplayable in both Smash games, and the Mario franchise is much more popular than Smash.
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Good Times,
Great Memories
voltch | Posted 3/6/2010 11:36:34 AM | message detail
Black mark on the Black Mage's CV this is.
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Shakes Fist!
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 11:36:51 AM | message detail
And I think Kirby's chances are really low after the way we just saw Sonic tear apart Bacondorf. Yeah, it's Bacondorf at night, but it was also 57%. I'll be happy with Kirby if he breaks 45%.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:37:29 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #011
Kirby went even with Bowser and Luigi in the ASV after getting beat pretty badly up to then. And it makes sense that he has pseudo Smash trends (strong power hour and ASV)- most of his strength does come from Smash, after all.


Mario Party's ASV is surprisingly weak though. Missingno beat Yoshi pretty handily with it the other day, after all.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 11:37:37 AM | message detail
No it doesn't. Bowser is unplayable in both Smash games, and the Mario franchise is much more popular than Smash.

Kirby is the one with pseudo-Smash trends, not Bowser.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:38:02 AM | message detail
Well, not "weak," per se. Just very average. Mario Party is all morning vote.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/6/2010 11:38:26 AM | message detail
Bowser is unplayable in both Smash games

<_< What? Bowser is playable in Melee.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
XxSoulxX | Posted 3/6/2010 11:38:36 AM | message detail
Oh, ok.
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"Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 11:38:42 AM | message detail
Mario Party's ASV is surprisingly weak though. Missingno beat Yoshi pretty handily with it the other day, after all.

And Pokemon's ASV is quite strong. Kirby's ASV is on par with them or a bit stronger, looking at that Missingno match.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:38:55 AM | message detail
"Unplayable" meaning terrible in that sense.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:39:38 AM | message detail
And Pokemon's ASV is quite strong. Kirby's ASV is on par with them or a bit stronger, looking at that Missingno match.

I'm just saying that beating Mario Party with the day vote isn't anything special. Zero was below 45% on Luigi before the day vote came. He gained more on Weegi than Kirby did during the day.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
XxSoulxX | Posted 3/6/2010 11:39:52 AM | message detail
I liked playing as Bowser just because of his shell spin move. But if you were playing it seriously, Bowser is really low on the list.
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"Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 11:39:56 AM | message detail
it's a weekend match, so the match should be decided in the first hour I'd imagine.
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hmmmmmmmm
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/6/2010 11:40:41 AM | message detail
"Unplayable" meaning terrible in that sense.

Oh. Then again, it's not as if Kirby was great in Melee, either.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:59:19 AM | message detail
Fact/Fiction: Mario triples Ike
Fact/Fiction: Mega Man breaks 70% on Hayabusa
Fact/Fiction: Matches this boring shouldn't take place in the third round or later of a contest
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Janus5000 | Posted 3/6/2010 12:05:15 PM | message detail
Fact. Ike probably barely outdoes Falco.
Fiction. Snake might be able to crush Hayabusa, but Mega Man doesn't seem to have quite the pseudo-SFF potential and Hayabusa can't be too much of a slouch.
Fact. We especially need more exciting matches that involve Clinkeroth. And ideally awesome upsets.
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 12:05:46 PM | message detail
fiction
fiction
fact
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hmmmmmmmm
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/6/2010 12:10:03 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #026
Matches this boring shouldn't take place in the third round or later of a contest


This is more like second round of past contests, since we've got an extra round this time.
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http://www.gamestop.com/gs/landing/ffxiii/events/ff13_opening.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 12:12:03 PM | message detail
Nevertheless, characters had to win two matches to get to this point. If you win two matches and then get less than 30%, there was some bad imbalance in your fourpack!
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:25:48 PM | message detail
lol at people thinking Kirby still has a chance, Sonic is going to expose him.

Nevertheless, characters had to win two matches to get to this point. If you win two matches and then get less than 30%, there was some bad imbalance in your fourpack!

Like Albion said the first round doesn't really count. Adding 64 characters significantly weakens the bracket so this is like the second round.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 109/136 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Kirby
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:27:38 PM | message detail
Like Albion said the first round doesn't really count. Adding 64 characters significantly weakens the bracket so this is like the second round.

Yeah, but you can still balance things enough to where you don't end up with fodder winning two matches.

Although really, Ike and Hayabusa aren't fodder. Ike just so happens to be getting fed to an SFF match and Hayabusa loses his cool design in the sprite round, so we didn't do too badly, I guess. It's not like Neku or somebody made round three.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:28:52 PM | message detail
The weakest characters left are Jecht and Big Daddy IMO.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 109/136 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Kirby
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 3/6/2010 1:29:06 PM | message detail
tidus has been in every contest since 2002 and has never made the third round. Jecht is doing it it his first year.

Worst 4-pack this year?
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This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss
charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:30:43 PM | message detail
I think the contest hates FFX except for Auron.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 109/136 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Kirby
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:31:26 PM | message detail
Jecht vs. Big Daddy: Who you got?

Tidus and Knuckles have never made the third round. Tidus has been in every contest. Knux has been in every contest but one.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:31:31 PM | message detail
Probably. The only competition is Big Daddy's, and I take Ness over Jecht's entire fourpack.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:32:59 PM | message detail
Big Daddy > Jecht without looking back. Anyone who takes Phoenix > Ness is blinded by fanboyism.

...I would probably take Phoenix > Ness in my bracket.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:33:33 PM | message detail
Who's the weakest character ever to win two matches in one contest, I wonder? Hmmm...Robotnik?
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:34:13 PM | message detail
Oh boy, Phoenix vs. Ness: A character I love against a character I love to pick against.

That probably wouldn't end well for me.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:35:33 PM | message detail
Actually, thinking about it. I'd give Phoenix a slight chance in a night match just because Ness's night vote is so bad. I think Phoenix could make it to the morning with the lead. I just don't know that he could HOLD IT.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:36:38 PM | message detail
Was that on purpose?
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:38:46 PM | message detail
Who's the weakest character ever to win two matches in one contest, I wonder? Hmmm...Robotnik?

I think so unless you think Jecht loses to him.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 109/136 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Kirby
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:40:24 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #043
Who's the weakest character ever to win two matches in one contest, I wonder? Hmmm...Robotnik?

I think so unless you think Jecht loses to him.


Jecht vs. Sin: Who wins?
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:41:55 PM | message detail
....I...I....

I think Sin SFFs Jecht.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:42:15 PM | message detail
Probably a 50/50 match

>_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 109/136 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Kirby
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:43:47 PM | message detail
So what does this tell us about Soni/Kirby?53-47 for Sonic?Less?More?Sonic loses?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 3/6/2010 1:44:44 PM | message detail
Phoenix Wright vs. Master Hand would be a fun match.
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:45:36 PM | message detail
Phoenix Wright vs. Tabuu

Anybody have the guts to take Tabuu?
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:50:48 PM | message detail
I would hope not. I would hope most people wouldn't vote for Tabuu.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"