GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 866
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/6/2010 10:16:13 AM | message detail |
I casts the spells that makes the peoples fall down. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Poll Start Times*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, Missingno etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past. The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.· If anyone is fit to shine, it is I. |
RustyWheelGator | Posted 3/6/2010 10:16:48 AM | message detail |
*falls down* --- why did Mario have to leave Yoshi at the entrance of castles? yoshi told mario that he wanted to smoke a blunt and he'll meet up with him later - RustyMrMokka |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/6/2010 10:17:02 AM | message detail |
Thank god it's finally almost over. --- Not Wylvane |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 10:20:45 AM | message detail |
Vivi > Black Mage Fighter > Black Mage Thief > Black Mage Red Mage > Black Mage Garland > Black Mage Do you get the idea that I think Black Mage is overrated yet? --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 3/6/2010 10:21:59 AM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #004 ok, wat --- This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss |
RustyWheelGator | Posted 3/6/2010 10:22:34 AM | message detail |
Black Mage > Squall --- "IF YOU CLOSE YOUR EYES DKC2 being fodder becomes clear!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 10:22:41 AM | message detail |
Bikke > Both, for what it's worth --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 11:33:32 AM | message detail |
--- hmmmmmmmm |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:34:00 AM | message detail |
I
hope Kirby wins, but I don't really expect him to come that close.
We'll know if Kirby has a chance by the end of the first freeze. If
he's behind after 5 minutes, forget it. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/6/2010 11:34:55 AM | message detail |
http://i946.photobucket.com/albums/ad309/AzricFFF/baconcrap.jpg oh god *falls over* --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 11:35:10 AM | message detail |
Kirby
went even with Bowser and Luigi in the ASV after getting beat pretty
badly up to then. And it makes sense that he has pseudo Smash trends
(strong power hour and ASV)- most of his strength does come from Smash,
after all. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
XxSoulxX | Posted 3/6/2010 11:36:30 AM | message detail |
No it doesn't. Bowser is unplayable in both Smash games, and the Mario franchise is much more popular than Smash. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
voltch | Posted 3/6/2010 11:36:34 AM | message detail |
Black mark on the Black Mage's CV this is. --- Shakes Fist! |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 11:36:51 AM | message detail |
And
I think Kirby's chances are really low after the way we just saw Sonic
tear apart Bacondorf. Yeah, it's Bacondorf at night, but it was also
57%. I'll be happy with Kirby if he breaks 45%. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:37:29 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #011 Mario Party's ASV is surprisingly weak though. Missingno beat Yoshi pretty handily with it the other day, after all. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 11:37:37 AM | message detail |
No it doesn't. Bowser is unplayable in both Smash games, and the Mario franchise is much more popular than Smash. Kirby is the one with pseudo-Smash trends, not Bowser. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:38:02 AM | message detail |
Well, not "weak," per se. Just very average. Mario Party is all morning vote. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/6/2010 11:38:26 AM | message detail |
Bowser is unplayable in both Smash games <_< What? Bowser is playable in Melee. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
XxSoulxX | Posted 3/6/2010 11:38:36 AM | message detail |
Oh, ok. --- "Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 11:38:42 AM | message detail |
Mario Party's ASV is surprisingly weak though. Missingno beat Yoshi pretty handily with it the other day, after all. And Pokemon's ASV is quite strong. Kirby's ASV is on par with them or a bit stronger, looking at that Missingno match. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!! Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 4: Luigi |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:38:55 AM | message detail |
"Unplayable" meaning terrible in that sense. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:39:38 AM | message detail |
And Pokemon's ASV is quite strong. Kirby's ASV is on par with them or a bit stronger, looking at that Missingno match. I'm just saying that beating Mario Party with the day vote isn't anything special. Zero was below 45% on Luigi before the day vote came. He gained more on Weegi than Kirby did during the day. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
XxSoulxX | Posted 3/6/2010 11:39:52 AM | message detail |
I
liked playing as Bowser just because of his shell spin move. But if you
were playing it seriously, Bowser is really low on the list. --- "Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 11:39:56 AM | message detail |
it's a weekend match, so the match should be decided in the first hour I'd imagine. --- hmmmmmmmm |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/6/2010 11:40:41 AM | message detail |
"Unplayable" meaning terrible in that sense. Oh. Then again, it's not as if Kirby was great in Melee, either. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 11:59:19 AM | message detail |
Fact/Fiction: Mario triples Ike Fact/Fiction: Mega Man breaks 70% on Hayabusa Fact/Fiction: Matches this boring shouldn't take place in the third round or later of a contest --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Janus5000 | Posted 3/6/2010 12:05:15 PM | message detail |
Fact. Ike probably barely outdoes Falco. Fiction. Snake might be able to crush Hayabusa, but Mega Man doesn't seem to have quite the pseudo-SFF potential and Hayabusa can't be too much of a slouch. Fact. We especially need more exciting matches that involve Clinkeroth. And ideally awesome upsets. --- http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg Stay a while and breathe me in. |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 12:05:46 PM | message detail |
fiction fiction fact --- hmmmmmmmm |
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/6/2010 12:10:03 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #026 This is more like second round of past contests, since we've got an extra round this time. --- http://www.gamestop.com/gs/landing/ffxiii/events/ff13_opening.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 12:12:03 PM | message detail |
Nevertheless,
characters had to win two matches to get to this point. If you win two
matches and then get less than 30%, there was some bad imbalance in
your fourpack! --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:25:48 PM | message detail |
lol at people thinking Kirby still has a chance, Sonic is going to expose him. Nevertheless, characters had to win two matches to get to this point. If you win two matches and then get less than 30%, there was some bad imbalance in your fourpack! Like Albion said the first round doesn't really count. Adding 64 characters significantly weakens the bracket so this is like the second round. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 109/136 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Kirby |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:27:38 PM | message detail |
Like
Albion said the first round doesn't really count. Adding 64 characters
significantly weakens the bracket so this is like the second round. Yeah, but you can still balance things enough to where you don't end up with fodder winning two matches. Although really, Ike and Hayabusa aren't fodder. Ike just so happens to be getting fed to an SFF match and Hayabusa loses his cool design in the sprite round, so we didn't do too badly, I guess. It's not like Neku or somebody made round three. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:28:52 PM | message detail |
The weakest characters left are Jecht and Big Daddy IMO. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 109/136 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Kirby |
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 3/6/2010 1:29:06 PM | message detail |
tidus has been in every contest since 2002 and has never made the third round. Jecht is doing it it his first year. Worst 4-pack this year? --- This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:30:43 PM | message detail |
I think the contest hates FFX except for Auron. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 109/136 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Kirby |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:31:26 PM | message detail |
Jecht vs. Big Daddy: Who you got? Tidus and Knuckles have never made the third round. Tidus has been in every contest. Knux has been in every contest but one. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:31:31 PM | message detail |
Probably. The only competition is Big Daddy's, and I take Ness over Jecht's entire fourpack. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:32:59 PM | message detail |
Big Daddy > Jecht without looking back. Anyone who takes Phoenix > Ness is blinded by fanboyism. ...I would probably take Phoenix > Ness in my bracket. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:33:33 PM | message detail |
Who's the weakest character ever to win two matches in one contest, I wonder? Hmmm...Robotnik? --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:34:13 PM | message detail |
Oh boy, Phoenix vs. Ness: A character I love against a character I love to pick against. That probably wouldn't end well for me. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:35:33 PM | message detail |
Actually,
thinking about it. I'd give Phoenix a slight chance in a night match
just because Ness's night vote is so bad. I think Phoenix could make it
to the morning with the lead. I just don't know that he could HOLD IT. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:36:38 PM | message detail |
Was that on purpose? --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:38:46 PM | message detail |
Who's the weakest character ever to win two matches in one contest, I wonder? Hmmm...Robotnik? I think so unless you think Jecht loses to him. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 109/136 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Kirby |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:40:24 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #043 Jecht vs. Sin: Who wins? --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:41:55 PM | message detail |
....I...I.... I think Sin SFFs Jecht. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:42:15 PM | message detail |
Probably a 50/50 match >_> --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 109/136 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Kirby |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:43:47 PM | message detail |
So what does this tell us about Soni/Kirby?53-47 for Sonic?Less?More?Sonic loses? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 3/6/2010 1:44:44 PM | message detail |
Phoenix Wright vs. Master Hand would be a fun match. --- KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest. |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/6/2010 1:45:36 PM | message detail |
Phoenix Wright vs. Tabuu Anybody have the guts to take Tabuu? --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 1:50:48 PM | message detail |
I would hope not. I would hope most people wouldn't vote for Tabuu. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |