GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 865

voltch | Posted 3/6/2010 9:11:15 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
GrapefruitKing | Posted 3/6/2010 9:11:59 AM | message detail
oh, thanks for spoiling the game
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 18th
Today's prediction: Kirby - 57.03% Status:
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:12:55 AM | message detail
Haha, Ganondorf wins Mexico again! Why do they love that guy there?

Because he's brown...?
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/6/2010 9:13:02 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
126----1------------100.00
125----0------------0.00
124----3------------66.67
123----4------------75.00
122----9------------100.00
121----13----------92.31
120----23----------95.65
119----21----------95.24
118----43----------86.05
117----50----------92.00
116----47----------87.23
115----53----------96.23
114----72----------83.33
113----86----------88.37
112----90----------80.00
111----104--------80.77
110----105--------80.00
109----124--------80.65
108----155--------80.00
107----172--------77.91
106----203--------75.86
105----269--------76.21
104----320--------74.38
103----337--------73.00
102----422--------71.33
101----489--------70.55
100----555--------72.07
99------605--------69.42
98------628--------65.76
97------682--------64.96
96------706--------63.46
95------747--------65.60
94------751--------62.98
93------830--------59.76
92------802--------59.73
91------799--------59.07
90------792--------57.58
89------789--------53.99
88------764--------50.79
87------743--------51.14
86------721--------47.30
85------687--------47.60
84------594--------44.44
83------631--------42.95
82------627--------37.32
81------558--------38.53
80------577--------35.36
79------493--------34.69
78------478--------30.54
77------451--------30.16
76------444--------31.31
75------409--------23.23
74------422--------29.15
73------385--------25.97
72------345--------19.13
71------354--------18.93
70------340--------17.94
69------299--------17.06
68------272--------18.38
67------218--------17.89
66------259--------13.90
65------226--------16.81
64------209--------14.35
63------205--------14.15
62------208--------10.10
61------163--------14.72
60------156--------16.67
59------157--------7.01
58------139--------7.91
57------107--------7.48
56------110--------10.00
55------89----------8.99
54------77----------1.30
53------70----------7.14
52------58----------3.45
51------57----------0.00
50------40----------10.00
49------44----------6.82
48------32----------6.25
47------21----------4.76
46------26----------0.00
45------18----------5.56
44------20----------0.00
43------18----------16.67
42------9------------0.00
41------11----------9.09
40------12----------0.00
39------11----------18.18
38------6------------16.67
37------10----------0.00
36------9------------11.11
35------3------------0.00
34------6------------0.00
33------3------------0.00
32------6------------0.00
31------5------------40.00
30------7------------0.00
29------1------------100.00
28------4------------25.00
27------6------------0.00
26------4------------0.00
25------5------------40.00
24------4------------0.00
23------12----------8.33
22------1------------0.00
21------5------------0.00
20------5------------0.00
19------6------------0.00
18------9------------0.00
17------7------------0.00
16------7------------14.29
15------10----------0.00
14------9------------11.11

Everyone with a score of 13 or less got it wrong.

Overall prediction percentage is a bit low for a member of the Noble Nine. The top tiers do pretty good but there were a fair number of people expecting Sonic to go down on this match. Prediction percentage fades as you go down the tiers as usual.

3 people fell off the Top 50. RPGuy96, GameBopAdv and Arvisk_Dremdaw did not have Sonic winning.

1 person got it wrong and survived. Former second place blitler built up enough of a lead in previous rounds that getting this match wrong didn't knock him off the Top 50.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:13:34 AM | message detail
Kirby won't be up on Sonic at all I think. He's probably not far above Bacondorf, if at all, and a day match will only do so much.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X
voltch | Posted 3/6/2010 9:14:23 AM | message detail
Replaying MGS4 recently I noticed why Altair demolished Liquid, solid Snake is sponsoring the Altair costume, so no wonder Altair could crush liquid, it was like seeing solid on liquid action.
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Shakes Fist!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/6/2010 9:14:52 AM | message detail
Man, I would have loved Ganon to win the Middle East.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/6/2010 9:15:54 AM | message detail
I dunno whether it goes "Wah wahhh" or "wah wah wah wahhh"...
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/6/2010 9:15:54 AM | message detail
More percentage for the Mage. If nothing else, at least this proves Vivi is a good bit better than every FFX guy minus Auron.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MegatokyoEd | Posted 3/6/2010 9:15:57 AM | message detail
Holy **** at Kirby's percentage in CA.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 9:16:49 AM | message detail
Sonic did 2.5% worse or so in NA than his final finish, so I think kirby will beat ganon's performance. Sonic should break 53 though.
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hmmmmmmmm
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:17:49 AM | message detail
Yeah, Sonic got less than 55% in the U.S., barely won in Canada...and got 70% in the UK.

Gotta love the Euro vote.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
Lopen | Posted 3/6/2010 9:18:10 AM | message detail

From: MegatokyoEd | #410
Holy **** at Kirby's percentage in CA.


Hahaha

That's amazing

Make your time, Vivi
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Kotetsu534 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:19:42 AM | message detail
Vivi w/ >54% in Europe.

The last hours of this match will not be kind to the li'l mage.

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Currently Playing: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Ocarina of Time, Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/6/2010 9:20:21 AM | message detail
Haha, Ganondorf wins Mexico again! Why do they love that guy there?

They love their Zelda it seems, based on this:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3509&region=MX
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/6/2010 9:26:04 AM | message detail
Huge gain for Kirby there.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/6/2010 9:26:24 AM | message detail
Whoa, Kirby re-beasting.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Lopen | Posted 3/6/2010 9:29:29 AM | message detail
Kirby still gonna finish with over 60% let's do this.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:31:09 AM | message detail
Kirby's vote intake isn't falling off for some reason:

582, 513, 497, 506, 510, 480
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:37:54 AM | message detail
Chart from the night match:

Time | Sonic | Ganondorf | Votes
0:05 | 54.72% | 45.28% | 1219
1:00 | 55.01% | 44.99% | 8725
2:00 | 54.82% | 45.18% | 5867
3:00 | 55.86% | 44.14% | 4386
4:00 | 58.34% | 41.66% | 3339
5:00 | 58.94% | 41.06% | 2896
6:00 | 60.17% | 39.83% | 2669
7:00 | 61.08% | 38.92% | 2523
8:00 | 61.57% | 38.43% | 3081
9:00 | 58.00% | 42.00% | 3964
10:00 | 57.25% | 42.75% | 4550
11:00 | 57.80% | 42.20% | 5204
12:00 | 55.50% | 44.50% | 5094

Gotta love that Sonic Euro vote, with three 60%+ hours, and then an abrupt dropoff when America starts voting in bigger numbers. Ganondorf can only manage one hour of 45%+ himself.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 9:40:37 AM | message detail
vivi bending over
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hmmmmmmmm
voltch | Posted 3/6/2010 9:45:43 AM | message detail
Viv's hat>>>anything kirbs has ever worn.
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Shakes Fist!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:47:24 AM | message detail
For the record, Kirby has to finish at 56.30% or higher in order to get GlaDOS > Liquid, so there's something to watch for!
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
Lopen | Posted 3/6/2010 9:49:05 AM | message detail
Anything lower than 60.30% would be a disappointment tbqh
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 9:52:01 AM | message detail
Lets assume kirby finishes with 57%, what's sonic vs kirby looking like?
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hmmmmmmmm
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:52:45 AM | message detail

From: Sonic_Factor | #425
Lets assume kirby finishes with 57%, what's sonic vs kirby looking like?


Sonic finishing with 57%.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 9:53:19 AM | message detail
It's an afternoon match though, and sonic did do 2.5% worse there.
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hmmmmmmmm
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 9:53:39 AM | message detail
there being NA
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hmmmmmmmm
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 9:53:59 AM | message detail
Ganondorf > Kirby, the fact that Kirby has a day match and won't be looking like a pig will balance out the difference.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
irriadin | Posted 3/6/2010 9:54:35 AM | message detail
I'm thinking Kirby ends with 59-60% at this rate.
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"I do read sometimes." Mat Cauthon, The Wheel of Time.
Lopen | Posted 3/6/2010 9:54:58 AM | message detail
Ganon > Kirby is a fossil of an idea from 2006

Kirby's stronger now!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:55:05 AM | message detail
Heh my Internet had problems.Low percentages for Luigi and Sonic.Luigi I can understand people thought joke characters will do good,but Sonic?Man...
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
LOLContests | Posted 3/6/2010 9:56:15 AM | message detail
Ganon and Kirby would be close ordinarily, but based on this match I would guess that Kirby has boosted somewhat from his performance in 2008.
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"How appropriate. You fight like a cow."--Guybrush Threepwood
Yesmar
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 9:57:06 AM | message detail
Well, we skipped vivi's best part. No way kirby would finish this high in 24%
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hmmmmmmmm
LOLContests | Posted 3/6/2010 9:57:10 AM | message detail
I mean, I don't know about you guys but I would take Vivi to 50/50 Bacondorf, so Sonic better watch out next round!
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"How appropriate. You fight like a cow."--Guybrush Threepwood
Yesmar
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 9:57:27 AM | message detail
hr*
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hmmmmmmmm
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 3/6/2010 9:58:27 AM | message detail
Very nice performance from Kirby today. I wonder how his prediction percantage will be? If I had to guess, it won't be too good - Altair probably had a fair amount of casual support.

For the record, Kirby has to finish at 56.30% or higher in order to get GlaDOS > Liquid, so there's something to watch for!

I really, really hope this happens.

LOL LIQUID

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CURRENT BRACKET SCORE: 120.
Favorite Match Pictures: Duke Nukem R1, Auron R2, Zero R2, MMX R3
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/6/2010 9:58:48 AM | message detail
Sonic may still be doomed. Kirby's day vote is even better than Ganon's, he won't have a picture disadvantage, brackets will be doomed, and the puffster is just a more likely choice to beat Sonic.

Yep, Sonic is doomed. I have convinced myself.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
red sox 777 | Posted 3/6/2010 9:59:14 AM | message detail
This match is weird. Kirby fell 2% with the second update and then started going up again.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 3: Sephiroth!!!
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/6/2010 10:02:53 AM | message detail
The first bit of a day match is as much Europe as the board. Look at what Kirby has in NA versus what he has in Europe. Kirby rising in the day against Vivi should really not be surprising.
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Mustache...and Green...
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/6/2010 10:04:34 AM | message detail
Kirby's looking great, but not really "Beating Sonic" great, sadly.

Hopefully he can at least keep things close against the hedgehog.
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Not Wylvane
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/6/2010 10:07:05 AM | message detail
The dangerous thing about Kirby is that he didn't look "beating Sonic" great last time, but he still did. Sonic may very well be doomed; the circumstances surrounding the Sonic/Kirby match are different than the ones he had against Ganondorf, and NO ONE should be counting Kirby out.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 3/6/2010 10:07:34 AM | message detail
Agreed. I can't explain it, but Kirby seems to be stronger every year. Sonic, on the other hand...

Also, there is no logical way to explain away what happened in 2008. Kirby beat Sonic in a poll where the closest thing to SFF would have been between the two of them. There was no reason for Sonic to underperform, nor was there reason for Kirby to overperform (like in the previous round where it was Kirby vs. three mature, non-Nintendo characters). I really wavered on that pick in my bracket, and I ended up going with Sonic just because Kirby's history was surprisingly bad (2008 was the first time he even got the chance to face a Noble Niner), but I definitely regret it--not that I've got much of a chance at winning anything unless I get Snake > Cloud, and probably not even then. Kirby > Sonic, and I have no idea why.
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CB8 score: 113
Incorrect picks: More than my signature will allow.
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/6/2010 10:11:25 AM | message detail
I expect Sonic to win. It obviously won't be a blow out. I'm thinking 48-52.
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hmmmmmmmm
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/6/2010 10:14:15 AM | message detail
2008 is a weird situation, but I'm not buying that it will be replicated again. There's probably not one factor that explains Kirby > Sonic, but rather a mix such as four-ways hurting Sonic, Kirby bandwagoning, potential LFF, and so on. Sonic also lost to Auron in 2008, and after what the hedgehog did to Ganondorf I'd pick Sonic over Auron.

I'm thinking Kirby's performances were a fluke and won't be replicated again this contest. Don't get me wrong, I'd be ****ing ecstatic if Kirby upset Sonic, but I don't see it happening.

Similarly, that's why I have no confidence in Snake being Sephiroth. Hell, I wouldn't be surprised to see Snake/Pikachu be a closer match than Snake/Sephiroth.
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Not Wylvane
CJaM613 | Posted 3/6/2010 10:14:44 AM | message detail
My god you people are delusional. Kirby won't break 45 if he's lucky. it's unreal how deluded 4 ways have you.
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Curt
Hey soul sister, hey that mister mister on the radio, stereo, the way you move ain't fair ya know.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/6/2010 10:16:19 AM | message detail
I'll be shocked if Kirby doesn't break 45%. I'd almost consider it a lock Kirby hits that.

Almost, considering what Sonic just did to Bacondorf.
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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/6/2010 10:17:31 AM | message detail
I mean, I don't know about you guys but I would take Vivi to 50/50 Bacondorf

Yeah, good luck with that. Vivi's going to be lucky to 50/50 Rikku at this rate.

And people getting scared of Kirby are getting scared for no reason at all, really. Expecting flukes to happen more than once is just asking to be disappointed, and that's what the first Sonic/Kirby match was.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
XxSoulxX | Posted 3/6/2010 10:17:33 AM | message detail
Hell, I wouldn't be surprised to see Snake/Pikachu be a closer match than Snake/Sephiroth.

Momentum is not working the same way in this contest based off of the joke characters, so you're right!

Kirby > Sonic isn't looking too good right now either, but my bracket dies with that upset so I'll argue for it until the match happens!
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Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename
frisqo | Posted 3/6/2010 10:18:03 AM | message detail
Kirby isn't beating sonic. I thought we all agreed on LOL4ways. There's a pretty big difference between beating sonic in a poll with two other options included and just beating sonic straight up.
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Name: Flex
FC: 4510 7199 0698