GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 863

red sox 777 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:09:42 PM | message detail
Nintendo needs to do some serious marketing for Zelda in the Phillipines. Unless it's banned there or something as has been suggested.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 3/4/2010 9:09:56 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
116----1------------100.00
115----0------------0.00
114----3------------100.00
113----6------------100.00
112----10----------90.00
111----15----------93.33
110----26----------88.46
109----25----------80.00
108----47----------91.49
107----58----------84.48
106----56----------82.14
105----62----------83.87
104----91----------79.12
103----111--------78.38
102----127--------73.23
101----145--------64.14
100----154--------61.04
99------210--------54.76
98------280--------52.86
97------328--------44.82
96------377--------44.56
95------455--------41.76
94------537--------44.13
93------568--------35.74
92------677--------39.00
91------734--------36.92
90------776--------38.14
89------821--------35.08
88------831--------35.26
87------926--------35.21
86------880--------34.20
85------881--------32.35
84------854--------36.77
83------896--------36.94
82------838--------37.83
81------811--------38.10
80------752--------38.70
79------726--------38.02
78------711--------38.82
77------647--------41.42
76------654--------43.27
75------578--------41.35
74------598--------42.31
73------550--------40.73
72------518--------42.47
71------501--------45.11
70------505--------43.37
69------467--------41.76
68------433--------45.03
67------378--------42.86
66------343--------44.31
65------317--------42.59
64------317--------48.90
63------297--------45.79
62------277--------45.13
61------239--------48.12
60------259--------50.19
59------210--------45.71
58------198--------42.93
57------161--------47.83
56------144--------50.00
55------145--------37.93
54------123--------46.34
53------93----------37.63
52------88----------39.77
51------78----------37.18
50------54----------40.74
49------47----------38.30
48------42----------38.10
47------41----------36.59
46------35----------40.00
45------22----------22.73
44------19----------26.32
43------16----------43.75
42------17----------35.29
41------13----------38.46
40------9------------0.00
39------12----------33.33
38------9------------44.44
37------13----------30.77
36------4------------25.00
35------8------------12.50
34------7------------28.57
33------3------------0.00
32------8------------25.00
31------3------------0.00
30------5------------20.00
29------2------------100.00
28------7------------28.57
27------4------------0.00
26------5------------20.00
25------5------------20.00
24------2------------0.00
23------11----------9.09
22------1------------0.00
21------7------------14.29
20------8------------12.50
19------7------------0.00
18------7------------0.00
17------5------------0.00
16------4------------25.00
15------11----------9.09
14------7------------0.00
13------6------------0.00
12------8------------12.50
11------11----------0.00
10------14----------0.00
9--------3------------0.00
8--------5------------0.00
7--------12----------0.00
6--------5------------0.00
5--------6------------0.00
4--------8------------12.50
3--------31----------0.00
2--------9------------0.00
1--------20----------0.00
0--------26----------0.00

Top tiers do pretty good relative to the overall prediction percentage. 113 brackets and better go perfect. 109 and better break 80. From there the prediction percentage falls to the mid 30s.

Only 3 people on the Top 50 got this one wrong. Big_Bob, pezzicle and ZenOfThunder did not have Tifa winning the match.

1 person got it wrong but survived. nintendogirl1 also didn't have Tifa winning but manages to hang onto 50th place.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:10:16 PM | message detail
Oh, I should probably do this. Five minute X-stats!

50.00 Link
33.26 Mega Man X
26.85 Alucard
25.84 Pokemon Trainer Red
25.75 Revolver Ocelot
22.80 Captain John Price
22.27 Magus
20.19 Thrall

Oh, Magus
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Mustache...and Green...
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 9:10:23 PM | message detail
Nice, nearly 1% there for Link.

But he did the same thing against Alucard!
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/4/2010 9:10:27 PM | message detail
22.27 Magus
22.80 Captain John Price

haha wow
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TheCodeisBosco | Posted 3/4/2010 9:10:40 PM | message detail
Poor Magus.

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CURRENT BRACKET SCORE: 108.
Next five choices: Link, Luigi, Sonic, Kirby, Mario
GrapefruitKing | Posted 3/4/2010 9:10:49 PM | message detail
poor MMX
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 20th
Today's prediction: Link - 66.94% Status:
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/4/2010 9:11:41 PM | message detail
22.80 Captain John Price
22.27 Magus

lol Magus
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Gaddswell | Posted 3/4/2010 9:11:47 PM | message detail
Price > Magus would have been the upset of the contest.
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Thanks Anagram!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/4/2010 9:11:56 PM | message detail

Only 3 people on the Top 50 got this one wrong. Big_Bob, pezzicle and ZenOfThunder did not have Tifa winning the match.


With such a savvy leaderboard, I really doubt any of them will have Cube > Luigi too. Which means I then have to pray some of them had Ganon > Sonic or something. FML
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
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Karma Hunter | Posted 3/4/2010 9:12:02 PM | message detail
X has nothing to stop Link's skyrocketing though. Alucard had the entire night to stem the bleeding. MM starts out hot, but if they're not winning by the first 5-10 minutes, they ain't winning at all.
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CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:12:18 PM | message detail
Wow, only 40% for Tifa? I thought I was taking a major upset by selecting Gordon, but he musta been the bracket favorite!
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
red sox 777 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:12:20 PM | message detail
33.26 Mega Man X
26.85 Alucard
25.84 Pokemon Trainer Red
25.75 Revolver Ocelot
22.80 Captain John Price
22.27 Magus
20.19 Thrall


Alucard is lower than what he actually got.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X50.00 Link
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 3/4/2010 9:12:53 PM | message detail
I wouldn't say X is doing too bad here

22.80 Captain John Price
22.27 Magus
20.19 Thrall



Good lord Magus.
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:13:23 PM | message detail
man, Red vs. Magus pre-contest talk would have been hilarious.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/4/2010 9:13:30 PM | message detail
People probably got lured by the 2 seed and the Gamespot contest.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/4/2010 9:13:49 PM | message detail
Nintendo needs to do some serious marketing for Zelda in the Phillipines. Unless it's banned there or something as has been suggested.

Zelda may be unpopular there, but Metroid is even more unpopular there than Zelda. Mario is decent there and Pokemon does best there out of anything Nintendo.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:14:16 PM | message detail
Huh, I probably forgot to update that from a five minute X-stats post. And here I've been using 22% for Magus whenever I argued about Frog and Bowser!
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Mustache...and Green...
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/4/2010 9:14:20 PM | message detail
As one of the biggest anti-Red supporters, I would have taken Red over Magus without hesitation.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 9:15:14 PM | message detail
Link denied
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 3/4/2010 9:15:24 PM | message detail
Holy **** Knuckles, what the hell did you do to Magus
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/4/2010 9:15:57 PM | message detail
After 2 rounds into this contest, and the Chaos Division is the only division where I haven't gotten a single match wrong. Every other division, I have at least one wrong match. Time to hope that Sonic > Ganondorf, Kirby > Vivi, and Sonic > Kirby completes my perfect division.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/4/2010 9:16:10 PM | message detail
I'm gonna go ahead and say X is underperforming because he has his upgrades in that picture
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 3/4/2010 9:16:22 PM | message detail
Man, Price/Magus would have been hilarious. The casuals would have owned us had Price won!

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CURRENT BRACKET SCORE: 108.
Next five choices: Link, Luigi, Sonic, Kirby, Mario
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 9:16:29 PM | message detail

From: Wii_TuRtLe | #423
I'm gonna go ahead and say X is underperforming because he has his upgrades in that picture


This is stupid.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 3/4/2010 9:17:04 PM | message detail
Wait, this is X under-preforming?
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:17:44 PM | message detail
Sorry, sorry, lolMagus was my fault. To make it up to red sox here's some 15 minute X-stats.

50.00 Link
32.36 Mega Man X
28.25 Alucard
25.14 Pokemon Trainer Red
25.06 Revolver Ocelot
23.44 Magus
22.19 Captain John Price
20.19 Thrall
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Mustache...and Green...
ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/4/2010 9:17:48 PM | message detail
Sora has to beat Bowser. I just cannot fathom that I am 6 places from the leaderboard and I might not get there. SORA HAS TO BEAT BOWSER FOR ****'S SAKE
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:18:02 PM | message detail
Top 10 Changes

Top 10 Smallest Night Vote Gaps
1. Pokemon Trainer Red – 29195 vs. Revolver Ocelot – 29013 (R1) – 182
2. Jecht – 26287 vs. Phoenix Wright – 23592 (R1) – 2695
3. Terra Branford – 27612 vs. Darth Revan – 23647 (R1) – 3965
4. Big Daddy – 25790 vs. Ness – 21649 (R2) – 4141
5. Jecht – 26156 vs. Ratchet – 20416 (R2) – 5740
6. Auron – 28175 vs. Zero – 21524 (R2) – 6649
7. Vivi Ornitier – 30113 vs. Donkey Kong – 23379 (R1) – 6734
8. Roxas – 31010 vs. Heavy – 23427 (R1) – 7583
9. Auron – 29758 vs. Aerith Gainsborough – 21870 (R1) – 7888
10. Kirby – 30566 vs. Rikku – 22560 (R1) – 8006


Top 10 Least Popular Night Polls
1. Ryu Hayabusa vs. Crash Bandicoot (R1) – 46209
2. Jecht vs. Ratchet (R2) – 46572
3. Sora vs. Laharl (R2) – 47008
4. Big Daddy vs. Ness (R2) – 47439
5. Kefka vs. Arthas Menethil (R1) – 47495
6. Riku vs. Ramza Beoulve (R1) – 48172
7. Yoshi vs. Jak (R1) – 48501
8. Kirby vs. GlaDOS (R2) – 48660
9. Zelda vs. Travis Touchdown (R1) – 48896
10. Sephiroth vs. Vincent Valentine (R2) – 48968


Top 10 Highest Individual Day Votes
1. Big Boss (R1) – 56904
2. Mega Man X (R1) – 53276
3. Vincent Valentine (R1) – 51698
4. Jill Valentine (R1) – 50656
5. Commander Shepard (R1) - 50052
6. Dante (R1) – 49791
7. Pikachu (R2) – 49287
8. Tifa Lockheart (R2) – 48006
9. Zelda (R2) – 47699
10. Bowser (R2) – 47590


Top 10 Most Impressive Night Losers
1. Revolver Ocelot (R1) – 29013
2. Darth Revan (R1) – 23647
3. Phoenix Wright (R1) – 23592
4. Heavy (R1) – 23427
5. Donkey Kong (R1) – 23379
6. Rikku (R1) – 22560
7. Vault Boy (R1) – 21917
8. Aerith Gainsborough (R1) – 21870
9. Ness (R2) – 21649
10. Mewtwo (R1) – 21606


Top 10 Least Impressive Night Winners
1. Big Daddy (R2) – 25790

2. Jecht (R2) – 26156
3. Jecht (R1) – 26287
4. Terra Branford (R1) – 27612
5. Auron (R2) – 28173
6. Ryu Hayabusa (R1) – 28553
7. Kefka (R1) – 28769
8. Pokemon Trainer Red (R1) – 29195
9. Auron (R1) – 29758
10. Riku (R1) – 30017


Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Missingno vs. Yoshi (R2) – 14.06%
2. Ryu Hayabusa vs. Master Chief (R2) – 15.87%
3. Vivi vs. Altair (R2) – 18.46%
4. Charizard vs. Kratos (R2) – 18.62%
5. Missingno vs. Crono (R1) – 21.94%
6. Jecht vs. Ratchet (R2) – 26.63%
7. Big Daddy vs. Ness (R2) – 27.52%
8. Sub-Zero vs. Roxas (R2) – 30.84%
9. Ike vs. Zidane Tribal (R2) – 35.57%
10. Amaterasu vs. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 36.27%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 101/128 - Today's Winners: Link and Luigi
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 3/4/2010 9:18:11 PM | message detail
After 2 rounds into this contest, and the Chaos Division is the only division where I haven't gotten a single match wrong. Every other division, I have at least one wrong match. Time to hope that Sonic > Ganondorf, Kirby > Vivi, and Sonic > Kirby completes my perfect division.

Good luck, man! My only perfect division at this point is the Varia Division.

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CURRENT BRACKET SCORE: 108.
Next five choices: Link, Luigi, Sonic, Kirby, Mario
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/4/2010 9:18:16 PM | message detail
This is X underperforming compared to what he would be "naturally" worth on this anti-voted Link, but with the SFF involved I really don't think you could have realistically asked for much more.

I mean, I did. But it turns out I'm not very realistic.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/4/2010 9:18:22 PM | message detail
Ex, you are a passionate dude.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/4/2010 9:19:10 PM | message detail
Wait, this is X under-preforming?


Yes, because of SFF

1. Link SFFed MM, there has to be SFF here
2. Votals are much lower for a Link match
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 3/4/2010 9:19:32 PM | message detail
Fair enough
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
red sox 777 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:19:59 PM | message detail
If Price had beaten Magus, Albion would have been intolerable for a few days.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/4/2010 9:20:35 PM | message detail
Link drops 17% that time.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:21:09 PM | message detail
Link drops 17% that time.

If only.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 9:21:13 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #435
If Price had beaten Magus, Albion would have been intolerable for a few days.


This implies that there are times when he's tolerable.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/4/2010 9:21:47 PM | message detail
Hochi is looking into the future. Link is so screwed once Mega Man's notoriously awful board vote wears off.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:21:53 PM | message detail
I don't see any SFF in this match so far or are some people still thinking X = Mega Man?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 101/128 - Today's Winners: Link and Luigi
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/4/2010 9:21:57 PM | message detail
Hochi, don't forget decimal points. I know it' impossible that MMX tied the match that update, but you still made me think it for a second.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/4/2010 9:22:03 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #432
Ex, you are a passionate dude.


You don't know the half of it. You should see me during Arsenal. During the Yankees. During the Penguins or Duke.


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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
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creativename | Posted 3/4/2010 9:22:35 PM | message detail
Can ExTha stop whining about the leaderboard already? Seriously, the hell is with that, I don't get it.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/4/2010 9:22:49 PM | message detail
Link drops 17% that time.

That would be a mega cut. Actually, MMX would almost take the lead over Link with a drop like that.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/4/2010 9:22:56 PM | message detail
Hochi the Clairvoyant, what chance does Sora have against Bowser?
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/4/2010 9:23:06 PM | message detail
Ouch Ex. Terps fan here. Was at the game last night. It was awesome.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/4/2010 9:24:30 PM | message detail
Anyone know why KP was warned?
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/4/2010 9:25:34 PM | message detail

From: TheOneAboveAll | #446
Ouch Ex. Terps fan here. Was at the game last night. It was awesome.


Oh I bet. Good for you guys, I honestly came into the game feeling like we had no chance, and that wasn't helped by the first 12 minutes or so. I'm just happy Duke made a game of it. Going into College Park on Senior night isn't easy. GV's senior night makes it even more difficult.
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/4/2010 9:25:59 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #443
Can ExTha stop whining about the leaderboard already? Seriously, the hell is with that, I don't get it.


What's there not to get? I want to be on the goddamn leaderboard.
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:26:02 PM | message detail
Insulting someone about something?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 101/128 - Today's Winners: Link and Luigi