GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 863
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/4/2010 8:07:37 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #298 So like two days late. Man, Sora is so doomed. --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/4/2010 8:07:59 PM | message detail |
also you will all feel the wrath of the FF13 boost just you wait --- If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:08:32 PM | message detail |
More like one day late. Sora/Bowser is Monday. We need SOMETHING to postpone the contest for just one day! Or even just 12 hours! --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/4/2010 8:09:07 PM | message detail |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #301 Augh I know. If only could benefit just enough to beat Bowser and then lose to Charizard. --- "I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/4/2010 8:09:36 PM | message detail |
We
may not see as much motion among the high elites as with others. New
Square could collapse left and right around Cloud, and at the end of
the day, he'll still only drop like 2% on Link. Also, I increasingly think 2006 was a banner year for the Square characters that appeared in KH, not just the KH-exclusive ones, though to a lesser extent for the originally Final Fantasy characters of course. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:10:12 PM | message detail |
Also, I increasingly think 2006 was a banner year for the Square characters that appeared in KH Except for Aerith! Whoops being equal to Yuna --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
creativename | Posted 3/4/2010 8:11:22 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #1453 For Sora, this could not be further from the truth. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
MetricTrout | Posted 3/4/2010 8:11:43 PM | message detail |
I
think that Zelda 3 Ganon would be stronger since it has a greater
resemblance to Ganon's appearance in the 3D Zelda games. 3D Zelda is
stronger than 2D Zelda, which is why Ganondorf would be the most
recognizable form, but a good majority those who played OoT or TP
reached the final battle in these games. And Zelda 1 sprite of some
pig/bull hybrid does not resemble the 3D Ganon forms in the slightest |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/4/2010 8:15:09 PM | message detail |
Sora has to deal with the Power Hour AND can't even do anything with the morning vote because it's the Mario Crew's best time. Why did I pick this kid again? --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:15:52 PM | message detail |
Because of how good Sora has looked the last few years and how pitiful Bowser has looked during that same span of time. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/4/2010 8:16:34 PM | message detail |
My guess is that Sora/Bowser would have around a 3% day/night spread --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/4/2010 8:16:38 PM | message detail |
shhhh I'm trying to lull RPGuy into a false sense of security before I smash his bracket. He has been awful confident lately. --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:19:25 PM | message detail |
Sonic whipping Ganon will go a long way to dashing that confidence! --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/4/2010 8:21:09 PM | message detail |
I'm not at all confident in Ganondorf! --- Mustache...and Green... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:21:48 PM | message detail |
Yeah, but when Sonic gets 55%+, that will help because Ganon and Bowser are on the same relative plane! --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 3/4/2010 8:22:14 PM | message detail |
Haha, cyclops Luigi. Hope the cube can do well there, I like the portal background. --- KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest. |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/4/2010 8:22:51 PM | message detail |
No way does Sonic break 55%. If he does we're proceeding straight to blaming SFF and the picture. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 3/4/2010 8:22:56 PM | message detail |
Sora has to deal with the Power Hour AND can't even do anything with the morning vote because it's the Mario Crew's best time. Why did I pick this kid again? Posts like this scare the bollocks out of me. :( More than anything, though, I'm wondering why I went with Kratos > Charizard... especially since I had Charizard to the division finals for quite a while. ARGH. --- CURRENT BRACKET SCORE: 108. Next five choices: Gordon, Link, Luigi, Sonic, Kirby |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/4/2010 8:23:11 PM | message detail |
Someone told me that daylight savings time ends next week. Is this true? Are we gonna get one match cut down to 11 hours? Correct, but DST actually starts up again. We are not currently under DST right now. A match will be cut down to 11 hours. That will be the Mario/Mega Man match, which is a night match. The day match running on the same day as that one will run for the normal 12 hours. Keep in mind, FFXIII is coming out Tuesday, so we should get a New Square voter base influx! That's going to happen on the day of Samus/Sub-Zero and Jecht/Zelda. Cloud gets his match the day after FFXIII is released as a result of the contest being delayed one day. Fact/Fiction: Mega Man X outdoes Alucard's percentage against Link (28.21%) I'll call Fiction for now. MMX is stronger than Alucard, but probably not by much. I'd would probably take MMX to get around 55% on Alucard. Factoring in the SFF (which seems likely), and MMX will get pushed below Alucard in the final x-stats. Fact/Fiction: Weighted Companion Cube outdoes Amaterasu's percentage against Luigi (40.41%) Fact. I think joke characters are pretty good at resisting a blowout when they are in a position to finally lose. Fact or Fiction: Sonic does better on Kirby than Ganondorf Fiction. Bacondorf most likely stops Ganondorf from doing better on Sonic than Kirby would. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:23:25 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #317 You may go straight there, but then Sora will do the same to Bowser, and we'll just lawl and Nintendo! --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/4/2010 8:23:26 PM | message detail |
If Sonic breaks 55% on Ganondorf then he's breaking 60% on Kirby. Book it. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 99/124 - Today's Winners: Ness and Tifa |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:24:28 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #321 The vote-in poll would predict something along the lines of 60/40! --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/4/2010 8:26:31 PM | message detail |
So
basically Luster, Mario is going to have one less hour to catch up to
Mega Man and all the kiddies will be tired in the mornings and older
people will oversleep, leading to a much weaker morning vote. Mega Man over Mario confirmed . But then Bacon says it was unfair and leaves the poll open an extra hour... you all know the drill. |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/4/2010 8:27:44 PM | message detail |
Nice
SNV for Tifa there. She's gone up 0.22% since 10:00 PM and has gone up
about 0.50% from her all time low of 61.49% in this match. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/4/2010 8:27:53 PM | message detail |
You may go straight there, but then Sora will do the same to Bowser, and we'll just lawl and Nintendo! Brawl Deboost Part 2 is also acceptable, better than merely acceptable even. Brawl is like a cancer that infects everything it touches and makes them weaker. It's so bad that it even infected Melee, causing Nintendo fans to no longer be so disappointed in Brawl since they forgot they ever had a superior game in the first place. That's why Melee did poorly in the Games Contest but the older Nintendo games did very well (the newer Nintendo games were knocked out completely by Brawl Deboost Part 1 and couldn't recover). Melee is made of stronger stuff, however, and the voters have remembered how great a game it was- unleashing Brawl Deboost Part 2. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X |
MegatokyoEd | Posted 3/4/2010 8:28:46 PM | message detail |
Sonic's going to vastly over perform because of his sprite. I'm positive of that. --- Demyx is better than Axel. |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/4/2010 8:31:04 PM | message detail |
Again, for someone who loves the term "deboost", you sure are a fan of who that term TRULY fits, red sox. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
creativename | Posted 3/4/2010 8:31:25 PM | message detail |
Oh - yet another match that the format could change is Squall/Auron. Auron is not nearly as good at night as the other Final Fantasy characters. That being a day match definitely hurts Squall. Considering how razor-thin close those two characters probably already are, that could be enough to swing it for Auron. Out of all the matches this round, that's the one most likely to have multiple trend swings. Squall might have to make an SNV comeback there. I'm going to take Squall there, but...I don't know. I'm not very comfortable with it. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:33:56 PM | message detail |
Squall and Auron's trends aren't different enough that the fact that it's day or night should affect TOO much. Squall's not awful
with the day vote (It's hard to forget this considering he's had four
matches with Sora in the last two contests), nor is Auron awful with
the night vote. FFX's night vote isn't as good as FFVII's, which is why
Aerith did so well with the night vote last time. If this match ends up within 50/50, then I think you can probably just chalk it up to random variation. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
creativename | Posted 3/4/2010 8:35:08 PM | message detail |
From: Fayt_Esteed | #1607 That wouldn't be a deboost, just a decline. A deboost would imply some release or event caused it, rather than just aging. Also the Crono decline is being HIGHLY overrated IMO. Stats may imply Crono only gets like 51% on Yoshi or something but come on, we all know that's not legit. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/4/2010 8:35:11 PM | message detail |
Semi-seriously,
"Deboost" only refers to one very specific thing in 2008. I use "fall"
or "drop" or "decline" or other similar words for all other cases of a
decrease in strength. Less seriously, CT was undoutedly infected by Brawl through some sort of contact. My guess is that it was because CTDS came out in the same year as Brawl. Now, I finally understand why Link was so bad in Twilight Princess. Link had to keep himself away from Brawl, so he created a new, different, Link to take the damage for him. Smart move, Link. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/4/2010 8:37:25 PM | message detail |
FFX's night vote isn't as good as FFVII's How does the FFVIII night vote compare to FFX's night vote? I would expect that whoever wins the night vote probably loses the day vote. So if Squall loses the day vote to Auron, then Squall's night vote is probably better than Auron's. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
creativename | Posted 3/4/2010 8:38:52 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #1609 I'd be a lot more confident in Squall winning the dead zone vote though than Auron. The trend difference shouldn't be big, but this match could be real close. The trends over the course of that match should give us insight into how a 24-hour match would've gone - one of them probably wins the DSV and SNV, and not that I'm certain of it, but I'm guessing that's more likely to be Squall. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
red sox 777 | Posted 3/4/2010 8:39:44 PM | message detail |
Auron should be better than Squall at the day, but I doubt there will be too much difference. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:40:14 PM | message detail |
FFVIII
and FFX have more extreme trends than their characters do. FFX has a
fantastic night vote and a poor day vote (but then again, it faced
Melee, RBY, KH, and OoT, and FFVIII had to face OoT and RBY itself, so
go figure). FFVIII and FFX actually had better morning votes than night
votes. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:45:29 PM | message detail |
For
the record, Auron got 60% on Aerith in the U.S. and 55% in Europe, but
the FF girls aren't as popular in North America, for whatever the
reason (Cid beat Aerith in the vote-in poll in the U.S.). He got 55.38%
against Zero in the U.S. (about 1.3% lower than his actual percentage)
and 68.25% in Europe (LOL Mega Man). Squall got 64.31% against Terra in the U.S. (slightly lower than his actual percentage) and 68.36% in Europe, but FFVI obviously has different trends than FFVIII or FFX. He got 67.13% against Akuma in the U.S. (1-2% lower than his actual percentage) and 72.52% in Europe. I'm not seeing a big world of difference there. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/4/2010 8:47:08 PM | message detail |
Here's
a factoid I got while looking up Sora's recent matches in a sea of
tears: Fox McCloud is actually stronger in the US and North America
than Sora is. In fact, Fox was only 1.75% away from Yoshi in the US.
These "Smash first" guys might be the ultimate North American force, as
Captain Falcon beat Riku in NA as well. --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:47:59 PM | message detail |
Fox McCloud is actually stronger in the US and North America than Sora is. Fox McCloud actually won several states over Yoshi in that match. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:49:28 PM | message detail |
Actually, is Cloud/Falcon a day match or a night match? A night match, huh? Ouch, sorry, Falcon. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/4/2010 8:51:20 PM | message detail |
Auron being better in the day just means he'll have no excuses when Squall wins! --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
creativename | Posted 3/4/2010 8:54:05 PM | message detail |
Mega
Man X should do have a bit better (less embarassing?) with this night
match against Link. They might suck in Europe, but Mega Man characters
still tend to do better in the first 12 hours. And Link tends to shoot
up big in the second 12 hours. Also Mega Man X will actually get the
Power Hour edge I think. From: LeonhartFour | #1656 Like I said, it doesn't need to be a world of difference, to make a difference. And I'm guessing the pun with geolocation and 'world' was unintentional :p --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 8:55:01 PM | message detail |
Well, I just think Squall's going to win easily enough that it'd need a world of difference for it to matter! --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/4/2010 8:58:11 PM | message detail |
A night match, huh? Ouch, sorry, Falcon. Though it'll be hilarious to see Cloud lose the board vote to a CAR... --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/4/2010 8:58:39 PM | message detail |
Thanks to the FFXIII boost, Cloud will beat Captain Fodder worse than he beat Ridley |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/4/2010 8:59:44 PM | message detail |
At this rate Ridley would take out half the characters in the bracket. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 101/128 - Today's Winners: Link and Luigi |
Hochimihnister | Posted 3/4/2010 9:00:01 PM | message detail |
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_eFI0UFfAJE |
Master Moltar | Posted 3/4/2010 9:00:15 PM | message detail |
Link 62.5% 15 Mega Man X 37.5% 9 TOTAL VOTES 24 --- Moltar Status: Prediction: Link > MMX (102/128) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
tennisboy213 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:00:20 PM | message detail |
Link 57.14% 20 Mega Man X 42.86% 15 TOTAL VOTES 35 --- Join the bandwagon!! Mario > Link!! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/4/2010 9:00:28 PM | message detail |
Vote Accepted Link 66.67% 6 Mega Man X 33.33% 3 TOTAL VOTES 9 Only 40.95% for Tifa? LOLOLOLOLO Gordon pickers --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
charmander6000 | Posted 3/4/2010 9:00:34 PM | message detail |
Link 53.19% 25 Mega Man X 46.81% 22 TOTAL VOTES 47 X can't even keep up. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 101/128 - Today's Winners: Link and Luigi |
