GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 862

Karma Hunter | Posted 3/3/2010 9:26:48 PM | message detail
Heh, Ness has every advantage here (aside from the whole night match thing) and he's going to get thrashed it looks like. Big Daddy deserves every ounce of this win.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/3/2010 9:27:39 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #350
It was pretty good for me! The sooner Ness gets buried, the better!


Huzzah! Ness is gonna get humiliated!

As two of the most fervent Jak > Ness backers from the olden days, this one is especially sweet for us, I'd wager!
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 3/3/2010 9:28:03 PM | message detail

From: GrapefruitKing | #337
if Big Daddy wins this, I'll be 1/7 in Round 2 debated matches

go me


Yeah same here.. basically I got.. Subby right? I did so well in round 1.. ugh.

Hopefully Bowser vindicates my efforts.
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CBVIII: 75/87 - 92 pts, tied for 385th
Day Pick: Dante Night Pick: Solid Snake
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 3/3/2010 9:28:09 PM | message detail
Unsurprisingly abysmal prediction percentages. All the -8s to -12s got the match wrong. The top bracket is now -10 and are the same -8s we had before the match. Even if you go down the tiers, the prediction percentage never really goes much higher than 20 until we get to tiers that have a small number of brackets. A number of the 1 brackets got this match right. I guess we had several brackets that advanced Missingno. to the finals but had nothing else filled in.

3 people fell off the Top 50. Zeriercahl, HopefulDeath and Draco1214 did not have Missingno. winning the match.

47 people got the match wrong but survived. Current first place blitler, current second place PartOfYourWorld, current third place primewaker, KadenceInc, Evil_REmade, HeroicRoy, Saxophoninator, AffeldtABoob, bospsychopaat, sonic_nhl, Naomi_Diamond, Dr_Football, GoldSlime35, LagunaticHigh, RPGuy96, Luigi_Galaxy, LegendaryGeno, cyanlce, ranapuer, vash_131, Shadowhiei899, Randomcrazydude, evilevi13, Seang1978, andylt, Jman_gamerX8, Zylothewolf, TheGreenThunder, nintendogirl1, Niko_G, DaemonDragon, ToadYoshi, TeamRocketElite, fr0g804, Agent_M, Safer_777, FF7Cloud_Strife, Big_Bob, Garrison5001, WhatTheDarn, HotSkitty, AzureMoonstone, GreatGen, Iamthekuzalol, Sonic_Factor, Chinballz and Naveplayer did not have Missingno. advancing in round 2.

Once again, no one on the Top 50 had Missingno. winning. The top rated bracket who had Missingno. winning was GameBopAdv who jumped from a tie for 38th place to 17th.


More BOOM HEADSHOTTTING the leaderboard...

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WhiteLens | Posted 3/3/2010 9:28:11 PM | message detail
Well, so much for Ness reaching Round 3 for the first time, damn.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 9:28:23 PM | message detail
As two of the most fervent Jak > Ness backers from the olden days, this one is especially sweet for us, I'd wager!

Yesssss

This isn't quite as satisfying as picking Liquid/Alucard over Ness in 2007, but it still feels great.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/3/2010 9:28:29 PM | message detail
Yub yub Commander
Well done Turtle. It feels good to be around people who at the very worst are just as crazy as I am.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:28:34 PM | message detail
Wish I had internet for my 360 here so I could blast you people in BioShock 2.

I'll settle for firing up SSBM and killing Ness.
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Lots.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 3/3/2010 9:28:53 PM | message detail
Oh wait, I got Ike right too. Whoopee.
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CBVIII: 75/87 - 92 pts, tied for 385th
Day Pick: Dante Night Pick: Solid Snake
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:29:19 PM | message detail
Ness > Jak and Ness > CJ, aw yeah!
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Mustache...and Green...
Draco1214 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:29:43 PM | message detail
My bracket gets to live another day in the Guru!

I'm marking out so hard right now (and Earthbound is one of my favorite games). Everyone who hasn't played Bioshock needs to do so soon!
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No match for KrahenProphet's extreme Guru skills.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 9:30:03 PM | message detail
Hey, Ness > CJ put my favorites bracket at #1 on the leaderboard for like a week, so I'm okay with that one!

Squall Leonhart at #1 for nearly a week, awww yeah
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/3/2010 9:30:37 PM | message detail
This isn't over yet.
Master Moltar | Posted 3/3/2010 9:30:39 PM | message detail
augh ness go away
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Big Daddy > Ness (100/124)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 9:30:39 PM | message detail
...Okay, Ness, take your beating like a snotty nose kid, take your ball, and go home, please.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
nintendogirl1 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:30:52 PM | message detail
From: Draco1214 | #361
Everyone who hasn't played Bioshock needs to do so soon!

I've been telling them all this! I got Ulti to start.
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He'll love it.
medicority | Posted 3/3/2010 9:30:59 PM | message detail
I'm skurred of playing bioshock

plus I have no money for new games right now and my ds list of stuff is like 8 games long
MegatokyoEd | Posted 3/3/2010 9:31:07 PM | message detail
Ness is officially the most annoying guy in these contests.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 3/3/2010 9:31:18 PM | message detail
2 vote cut!
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TheKoolAidShoto is warned? TIME TO BUST OUT THE ALT
TheOceIot | Posted 3/3/2010 9:32:10 PM | message detail
Man I've been getting killed in all the really close matches this contest.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 3/3/2010 9:32:11 PM | message detail
haha Ness what are you trying to do

I say Big Daddy leads by 90 votes at the next update
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 21st
Today's prediction: Ness - 51.18% Status: **** this contest
red sox 777 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:32:40 PM | message detail
This is gonna end above 54% for Big Daddy I think.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/3/2010 9:33:28 PM | message detail
I can understand if some people just can't handle Bioshock. Not trying to belittle anyone or sound like a tough guy, but it is a very dark, intense game. It's definitely one I wouldn't quickly recommend to younger people.

And I expect a few more of these from Ness. We're still inside the Power Hour and he's still up in the Western World.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/3/2010 9:33:57 PM | message detail
Holy hell, I left for like 10 minutes and come back to this epic ****ing win.

LEADERBOARD, OH HOW I'VE MISSED YOU!!!


(first main account leaderboard for ExTha since after Mario/Crono in 2005!)
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/3/2010 9:34:05 PM | message detail
Ness has every advantage here (aside from the whole night match thing)

I had to give Big Daddy a shot at pulling off a win here. Despite the pretty heavy support for Ness in the Oracle, I still went with Big Daddy, figuring he could pull off a win based on some past polls:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3692
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2882

Big Daddy got 49.82% on Liquid in the vote-in poll while Liquid got 52.23% on Ness. If Big Daddy keeps rising, he could have a shot at finishing around 52%, which would be close to what Big Daddy would be projected to get when you go through Liquid from the vote-in poll and then use Liquid's performance on Ness.

In this case, the vote-in poll is probably going to be somewhat accurate here. Go figure.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:35:28 PM | message detail
Ness had heavy Oracle support? Really?

Huh. Maybe I'll stay tied in the Oracle and overall then!
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Mustache...and Green...
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 9:35:59 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #376
Ness had heavy Oracle support? Really?

Huh. Maybe I'll stay tied in the Oracle and overall then!


Board 8 sticks with their brackets to the end!
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/3/2010 9:36:37 PM | message detail
"Our original intuition is the RIGHT intuition!"
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/3/2010 9:37:28 PM | message detail
Huh, I just realized that if Daddy holds, I'll have called every one of my Guru upsets correctly (7/7). That should continue through the next round with Charizard and Ryu. If Snake pulls off the killer against Sephiroth, I'll go 10/10 in Guru upsets.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/3/2010 9:37:57 PM | message detail
Ness had heavy Oracle support? Really?

Ness had 57 predictors while Big Daddy only had 33.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 9:40:41 PM | message detail
Nessssssssssss
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:40:50 PM | message detail
Huh, I just realized that if Daddy holds, I'll have called every one of my Guru upsets correctly (7/7). That should continue through the next round with Charizard and Ryu. If Snake pulls off the killer against Sephiroth, I'll go 10/10 in Guru upsets.

I hope you or cn wins this year. I think a Link > Missingno final should do the trick (anyone who took Missingno that far probably took him over Link too).
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 3/3/2010 9:41:50 PM | message detail
****ing Ness, just die so I can go to sleep now! Even KP has given up hope on you.
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Currently NOT on the CBVIII Leaderboard v_v
Dante > Cloud: ITS NOT HAPPENING
MegatokyoEd | Posted 3/3/2010 9:42:26 PM | message detail
Go the **** away Ness.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
frisqo | Posted 3/3/2010 9:42:51 PM | message detail
Partofyourworld is a god among mortals

It's a shame that you would be nigh guaranteed to win this contest if only you picked seph>snake (lol I picked snake too, but out of sheer fanboyism)
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Draco1214 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:43:51 PM | message detail
Huh, I just realized that if Daddy holds, I'll have called every one of my Guru upsets correctly (7/7). That should continue through the next round with Charizard and Ryu. If Snake pulls off the killer against Sephiroth, I'll go 10/10 in Guru upsets.

Heh, if it wasn't for Liquid's failure, I would've called all of mine right as well...guess I'll have to settle for 5/6.

Hopefully, I can get Auron right next round.
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No match for KrahenProphet's extreme Guru skills.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/3/2010 9:46:14 PM | message detail

From: frisqo | #385
It's a shame that you would be nigh guaranteed to win this contest if only you picked seph>snake (lol I picked snake too, but out of sheer fanboyism)


No one is nigh guaranteed of anything right now, really. Believe me, I've been thinking over all the scenarios over the last few days. I still need Sonic > Ganon, Sonic > Kirby, Sora > Bowser, Sora > Charizard, and Snake > Seph. On top of that, I gotta hope no other upsets go down (like Auron > Squall or Leon > Ryu). AND I need to hope the Pokeglitch doesn't go ballistic on Seph and wins the contest. Asking for any one of these things is reasonable; asking for them all is asking for a LOT. I'd say my chances are somewhere in the neighborhood of 2%.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 3/3/2010 9:46:25 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
creativename | Posted 3/3/2010 9:47:11 PM | message detail

From: frisqo | #1905
Partofyourworld is a god among mortals

It's a shame that you would be nigh guaranteed to win this contest if only you picked seph>snake (lol I picked snake too, but out of sheer fanboyism)


Twould indeed be ironic if the strategic upset pick he took in order to have a shot at winning it all, be what costs him :)

Still plenty of time left though, and I'm sure there's some twists and turns left for us. There always are.

The Sora/Bowser/Charizard division is also very up in the air and worth lots of points.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:47:14 PM | message detail
Hm, 9/12 with 6 to go - missed Neku and Phoenix x2. Curse my love of DS characters!
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Mustache...and Green...
FFDragon | Posted 3/3/2010 9:47:34 PM | message detail
yo for guru champ

Especially if it means Jilly V seed boosting.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:48:15 PM | message detail
No one is nigh guaranteed of anything right now, really. Believe me, I've been thinking over all the scenarios over the last few days. I still need Sonic > Ganon, Sonic > Kirby, Sora > Bowser, Sora > Charizard, and Snake > Seph. On top of that, I gotta hope no other upsets go down (like Auron > Squall or Leon > Ryu). AND I need to hope the Pokeglitch doesn't go ballistic on Seph and wins the contest. Asking for any one of these things is reasonable; asking for them all is asking for a LOT. I'd say my chances are somewhere in the neighborhood of 2%.

Sora winning his division is probably the hardest thing on there. Well, Snake > Seph is also hard, but if Missingno beats Seph and then loses to Link or Cloud that probably takes care of that.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Link's quest to save us from the oppression of the jokes- Round 3: Megaman X
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 3/3/2010 9:48:28 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #382
Huh, I just realized that if Daddy holds, I'll have called every one of my Guru upsets correctly (7/7). That should continue through the next round with Charizard and Ryu. If Snake pulls off the killer against Sephiroth, I'll go 10/10 in Guru upsets.

I hope you or cn wins this year. I think a Link > Missingno final should do the trick (anyone who took Missingno that far probably took him over Link too).


Among the gurus, Junglebob took Missingno to beat Snake and lose to Cloud. RockMFR took Missingno to win it all. No other picks over Sephiroth.
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 9:49:48 PM | message detail
Due to the ASTOUNDING ACCURACY of the vote-in polls, I've decided to do X-Stats based on what we've seen the first two rounds based on vote-in polls! Here's the first one!

Vote-In 1

Ryu – 61.53%
Dante – 61.10%
Sonic the Hedgehog – 51.01%
Missingno – 50.00%
Crono – 49.71%
Yoshi – 48.49%
Weighted Companion Cube – 43.29%
Balthier Bunansa – 40.33%
The Boss – 40.00%
Axel – 39.54%
Nathan Drake – 38.10%
Lightning – 37.60%
Knuckles the Echidna – 33.06%
Cecil Harvey – 31.73%
Jak – 22.67%
Sandal – 18.96%

Looks good to me!
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nintendogirl1 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:50:26 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
creativename | Posted 3/3/2010 9:50:29 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #1907
No one is nigh guaranteed of anything right now, really. Believe me, I've been thinking over all the scenarios over the last few days. I still need Sonic > Ganon, Sonic > Kirby, Sora > Bowser, Sora > Charizard, and Snake > Seph. On top of that, I gotta hope no other upsets go down (like Auron > Squall or Leon > Ryu). AND I need to hope the Pokeglitch doesn't go ballistic on Seph and wins the contest. Asking for any one of these things is reasonable; asking for them all is asking for a LOT. I'd say my chances are somewhere in the neighborhood of 2%.


It should certainly be higher than 2%, but yes, it's unlikely. Lots of randomness involved. I don't know if the combined odds of anyone in the top 10 winning are even above 50%. Probably I'd guess, but if so not by much.

BTW you and me seem to have the same remaining bracket I think, other than Snake/Seph.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/3/2010 9:51:18 PM | message detail
Daddy has really pushed his lead in Europe (almost 60/40 now). Ness is fighting hard in the Power Hour, but things should turn pretty dire in a bit.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 3/3/2010 9:51:37 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #396
It should certainly be higher than 2%, but yes, it's unlikely. Lots of randomness involved. I don't know if the combined odds of anyone in the top 10 winning are even above 50%. Probably I'd guess, but if so not by much.

BTW you and me seem to have the same remaining bracket I think, other than Snake/Seph.


ExTha is pretty similar too.
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/3/2010 9:51:38 PM | message detail
I'll be rooting for you guys. We've not had a stat-regular be champion since Ulti. EC got screwed by L-Block and -- while I'm content with either CN or Yo winning -- Yo's had probably the best leaderboard-history of anybody on B8. It would be about time if he could win.

Then again, whatever makes me as perfect as possible the rest of the contest would be nice too. If they don't follow me on upsets like Auron > Squall, it's their own fault!
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 9:51:51 PM | message detail
I need Sonic to lose (don't really care to whom), Bowser to win his division, and Auron to beat Squall. And the Missingno situation to resolve itself in such a way that I don't get killed for Sephiroth > Snake - probably anything except Snake > Missigno works.

Definitely hurts that I lose four points to Charizard, though.
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Mustache...and Green...