GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 862

creativename | Posted 3/3/2010 7:42:17 PM | message detail
red is actually right here. Frog seemed fine - Bowser would have to flop to make him look bad. Magus looked horrible, but no more so than last contest. And Crono, who the hell knows - he's obviously underrated relative to Yoshi due to a) no rallying needed against Yoshi and b) he's way stronger in a 24-match than a 12-hour day match (see the infamous Crono/Vincent...).
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 7:42:44 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #149
Um, did you miss the Squall/Terra thing?


No, and that wasn't a really good match for Squall either.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/3/2010 7:43:10 PM | message detail
We don't even know where Kefka stands at this point. I would take Terra over him pretty easily.

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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/3/2010 7:43:46 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #142
More LOL-worthy than CT?

Ehhhhhhhhhh


Yeah a bit of a stretch, but I don't think its impossible or completely implausible. Apparently, Baltheir would beat Axel now.

Baltheir.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/3/2010 7:43:54 PM | message detail
I'm hoping that Kefka's stupid and terrible picture really did hurt him, and that he would have broken 40% had he gotten a pic like the one in R1.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:44:09 PM | message detail
I'm reserving judgment on Squall until he loses to Auron, but being obviously stronger than Squall and putting up Crono-esque numbers on Arthas would fit most people's definition of a good match, I should think.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 7:44:29 PM | message detail
but being obviously stronger than Squall

Here's your problem.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/3/2010 7:45:03 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #155
I'm hoping that Kefka's stupid and terrible picture really did hurt him, and that he would have broken 40% had he gotten a pic like the one in R1.


You do realize most people loved that pic?

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Draco1214 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:45:03 PM | message detail
By the end of this, Midna isn't going to be much stronger than Laharl, so I have no idea why people are using the Laharl match against Sora. It's not like Sora's ever been good at blowing out fodder (remember Agent 47 and Tingle?)
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:45:04 PM | message detail
Kefka's obviously stronger than Terra. I fail to see the problem.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/3/2010 7:45:32 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #157
but being obviously stronger than Squall

Here's your problem.


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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 7:45:35 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #160
Kefka's obviously stronger than Terra. I fail to see the problem.


Pre-Dissidia, sure.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/3/2010 7:45:39 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #158
You do realize most people loved that pic?


Uhh no, I do not. Did you poll most people?
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/3/2010 7:46:17 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #163
Uhh no, I do not. Did you poll most people?


I browsed the pic topic and rating topic. Around 2/3 of the people thought it was great.

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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:47:19 PM | message detail
Oh, that's funny. I seem to recall that right around the Revan match, everyone was saying how Terra wasn't going to be helped by Dissidia because she sucks in it while Kefka is awesome.

Curious how that works.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 7:47:44 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #165
Oh, that's funny. I seem to recall that right around the Revan match, everyone was saying how Terra wasn't going to be helped by Dissidia because she sucks in it while Kefka is awesome.

Curious how that works.


Yeah, because we can't be wrong about that stuff.

Does Luigi beat Bowser, just out of curiosity?
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/3/2010 7:48:06 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:48:30 PM | message detail
Probably not. I have a hard time imagining Ammy > Kefka.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/3/2010 7:48:30 PM | message detail
And he does, and she does! But numbers don't lie. Terra is a step above Kefka now. And I hate GameFAQs just a little bit more.

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Draco1214 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:48:58 PM | message detail
putting up Crono-esque numbers on Arthas

If you really wanna go that route, Sora far outdid Ganondorf on someone who's essentially equal to Mewtwo.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 7:48:58 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #168
Probably not. I have a hard time imagining Ammy > Kefka.


But he beat him just last year! And pretty easily at that! And they've been pretty close to equal since 2006.
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ZFS | Posted 3/3/2010 7:49:17 PM | message detail
I really, really have a hard time seeing Terra above Kefka, regardless of what it implies.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 7:49:19 PM | message detail

From: Draco1214 | #170
putting up Crono-esque numbers on Arthas

If you really wanna go that route, Sora far outdid Ganondorf on someone who's essentially equal to Mewtwo.


THE MEWTWO MATCH DOESN'T COUNT LOLOLLOL
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:49:33 PM | message detail
I should think today's Yoshi adds to the evidence that these are not the same characters from last year.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 7:50:27 PM | message detail
The "TERRA CAN'T BE STRONGER THAN KEFKA!" is akin to the Samus > Cloud bandwagon because "CHRIS CAN'T BE STRONGER THAN JILL!"

Not sure when Bowser all of a sudden became a near elite again.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:50:37 PM | message detail
If you really wanna go that route, Sora far outdid Ganondorf on someone who's essentially equal to Mewtwo.

And Sora far under-did Ganondorf on Neku. (By a lot. 39% for Sora on Ganondorf.) We'll call it a draw.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 7:50:49 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #174
I should think today's Yoshi adds to the evidence that these are not the same characters from last year.


A match with Missingno, really.

C'mon now, even you can't take this match at face value.
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ZFS | Posted 3/3/2010 7:51:29 PM | message detail
If you want to tell me Terra got that much more of a boost from Dissidia than Kefka, then sure. Bowser and Squall aren't even figuring into why I feel that way.

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/3/2010 7:52:08 PM | message detail
I can't believe you guys can be so confident about this stuff. I'm the top freakin' guy and I feel like I've only had an average contest. Terra/Kefka seems like a question mark in my book, but I'd probably favor Kefka. Either way, it's not at all conclusive:

20% on Crono
20% on Female Bracket Zelda
30% on Dante
42% on Marth
Dissidia
Dissidia

Nothing really stands out.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 7:52:14 PM | message detail
I dunno. We're going to get a lot of wacky stat numbers that don't make sense this year anyway, so who cares.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:52:36 PM | message detail
You don't have to take it at face value to realize that Yoshi is fairly close to Crono, and that that's a big step up from 42% on Squall.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 7:53:02 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #181
You don't have to take it at face value to realize that Yoshi is fairly close to Crono, and that that's a big step up from 42% on Squall.


Why doesn't it mean that Crono sucks horribly now?

Oh, probably because it makes Frog look bad.
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ZFS | Posted 3/3/2010 7:53:18 PM | message detail
We'll see what Bowser and Squall do next round.

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voltch | Posted 3/3/2010 7:53:39 PM | message detail
Yoshi hasn't looked this good since his dante squashing days.
SMG2 hype boost clearly.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/3/2010 7:54:27 PM | message detail
http://content.ytmnd.com/content/f/2/8/f28814974d3e13516658bd48817dd0b9.gif

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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:56:11 PM | message detail
It could mean Crono sucks terribly now, I'm not sure. However, I'll take the only available evidence - Yoshi/Jak, admittedly pretty sparse - to support the conclusion that he doesn't. We'll find out next round.

But if Crono sucking means Frog looks bad, and Frog looking bad makes Kefka look bad, then obviously Kefka looking bad makes Terra look bad. Which is an awfully roundabout way of saying intra-game relationships aren't always the best thing to follow. I've already noted that Luigi looks bad but the other Mario characters look golden.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 7:57:13 PM | message detail
And I'm just curious what makes Bowser and Yoshi boost up to Crono levels while Luigi (who has a pretty favorable comparison with 2008 Crono since they both faced Ammy, that works out to 56.63% for Crono, which is pretty cool since he got 57.44% on Bowser in 2006) stays put.

A lot of the numbers in this contest stink. I just don't know which ones are which. You can make the numbers from this contest say just about anything you want them to, depending on what perspective you take.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:57:40 PM | message detail
Bowser = Squall seems very strange, but so does Kefka = Terra.

I have absolutely no qualms with Bowser > Luigi, though you probably could have guessed that about me. I don't see last year's match as conclusive- it was a 4-way, and it's possible that Bowser is more popular outside the Mario fanbase but Luigi wins inside it (that's what the favorite Mario character polls suggest at any rate). There's also Bowser's Inside Story, plus Bowser was always the strongest Mario side-character, up until 2007 maybe, and there's been nothing conclusive to show that he fell out of that position, ever, outside that Bowser/Luigi match.

Leonhart will not like this probably, but I think Old-School LFF is a possibility in Bowser/Ryu/Auron. It's as good an explanation as I can think of for why Bowser and Auron were so far apart in 2007 after being only 3% apart in 2006.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/3/2010 7:58:37 PM | message detail
And I apologize, but I must depart. I'll leave you with my Oracle of 56.04% for Bowser and this, which I am pleased with:
http://img716.imageshack.us/img716/1159/bowsero.png
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/3/2010 7:59:37 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #144
Frog was pretty LOL-worthy to me.

Just a quick question: What was Bowser's last really good match?


When you really think about it, his only good matches ever was the Sephiroth thing in the villain's contest and beating Kirby.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 8:00:07 PM | message detail
However, I'll take the only available evidence - Yoshi/Jak, admittedly pretty sparse - to support the conclusion that he doesn't.

Which projects Yoshi to beat Crono with 61.63% based on 2007 Jak!

I guess Missingno has already boosted up to Sephiroth levels!
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/3/2010 8:00:34 PM | message detail
Ryu in 2005. That was a pretty amazing performance.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 8:00:53 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #190
When you really think about it, his only good matches ever was the Sephiroth thing in the villain's contest and beating Kirby.


Beating Kirby was a terrible result at the time. Everyone was high on Bowser beating Snake until that match.

40% on Sephiroth, 59% on Ryu, and beating Yoshi in 2003.

That's it.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 8:02:29 PM | message detail
and there's been nothing conclusive to show that he fell out of that position, ever, outside that Bowser/Luigi match.

Outside of a direct match with Luigi (which he lost handily, it's not like it was close enough to be a tossup like against Ganon), nothing supports it, huh?

But the fact that Bowser lost to Ryu at all speaks a lot about him.
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Draco1214 | Posted 3/3/2010 8:02:59 PM | message detail
And Sora far under-did Ganondorf on Neku. (By a lot. 39% for Sora on Ganondorf.) We'll call it a draw.

Extrapolating Sora through fodder is an awful idea, considering how awful Sora is at blowing stuff out. I remember people were calling for Sora's head after he "bombed" against Agent 47 and then went on to 55 Alucard.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/3/2010 8:04:01 PM | message detail
I'm very glad that Sora faced Laharl in a night match, because 1. Sora has an awful early vote and a 24-hour match would have resulted in Sora rising to heaven 2. Sora sucks at blowing people out

Laharl gonna looks great in the stats, aw yeah

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/3/2010 8:06:16 PM | message detail
Actually, I'm curious. Let me do a little math here.

Bowser got 65.36% on Wrighto in 2008. Magus got 56.30% on him in 2007. That projects to...60.37% for Bowser. Which would give us Magus > Frog (which I don't think has ever really changed, despite how bad Magus has looked).

52.11% for Bowser against Alucard there.

Number manipulation is fun!
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/3/2010 8:06:20 PM | message detail
Bowser/Kirby paired with Snake/Sora pretty much killed the hype for that match until the match picture showed up.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/3/2010 8:06:37 PM | message detail
As Yoblazer said, we don't have enough info yet to sort through all this yet, but here's what I think is most likely:

2010 Crono/Frog ~= 2008 Crono/Frog ~= 2006 Crono/Frog > 2007 Crono/Frog

2010 New Square < 2008 New Square

2010 KH < 2007-8 KH < 2006 KH

2005-7 Mario Characters > 2010 Mario Characters > 2008 Mario Characters
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/3/2010 8:06:57 PM | message detail
I FEEL ASLEEP

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