GameFAQs Contests

Squall Leonhart – 65.87%
Luigi – 65.70%

oh jeeze
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!

That's what happens when you SFF the winner of the poll!
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."

Big Daddy's numbers from the Eastern Hemisphere have gone back up. I wonder how Ness brought them all down so low for a while.

Gotta hand it to Ness for keeping it interesting when normally he gets killed here. If he keeps the lead down to a reasonable level he has a chance in the morning.. very slim though.
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CBVIII: 75/87 - 92 pts, tied for 385th
Day Pick: Dante Night Pick: Solid Snake

Big Daddy was very evenly trended throughout his match last round and last year, so Ness is going to have to be the one to make a big move. Big Daddy doesn't have a bad match frame.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"

Shadow the Hedgehog – 55.25%
Vincent Valentine – 54.48%

I'm okay with this
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Big Daddy > Ness (100/124)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Well there's a decent move.. two big cuts.
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CBVIII: 75/87 - 92 pts, tied for 385th
Day Pick: Dante Night Pick: Solid Snake

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3255&type=0&seconds=60&max=0

Looks like Big Daddy is all ASV as well...maybe this is why he's struggling to put away Ness here.
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No match for KrahenProphet's extreme Guru skills.

Predix: Night vote kills Ness.

Can't say I miss him! Hurrah for our great newcomer, Big Daddy!

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Currently Playing: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Ocarina of Time, Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn

Big Daddy better ****ing win this.
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg

He should. He's got at least three more hours of dead zone Euro voting. Heck, I wouldn't be at all surprised if he goes even with Ness in the morning or even extends his lead. Daddy is a Western character, after all.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Not sure if anyone noticed it but first round 3 pic up

http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/cb8/cb8-97.jpg
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All hail the new guru champ, KrahenProphet

Big Daddy is now back over 60% in all 3 Eastern Hemisphere continents. Ness is below 60% in South America. What does Big Daddy need to reach overnight to feel completely safe?

Breaking 1k would be ideal, but impossible at this point. The closer he gets to that threshold the better.
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No match for KrahenProphet's extreme Guru skills.

ExTha and Yo, I asked the all mighty Lieutenant Kettch, and assuming the rest of our bracket goes perfect(silly of course), it brings us to...

Char>Sora and Snake>Sep, Dr Football
Char>Sora and Sep>Snake, Extha
Sora>Char and Snake>Sep, Yoblazer
Sora>Char and Sep>Snake, Wigs and demphra tie.
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http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png
http://img.imgcake.com/drfootballpngru.png

From: TheOneAboveAll | #463
What does Big Daddy need to reach overnight to feel completely safe?

If he keeps this pace up for another two hours, he'll have it locked. I really don't expect Ness to come back much with the morning vote.

From: Dr_Football | #465
ExTha and Yo, I asked the all mighty Lieutenant Kettch, and assuming the rest of our bracket goes perfect(silly of course), it brings us to...

Char>Sora and Snake>Sep, Dr Football
Char>Sora and Sep>Snake, Extha
Sora>Char and Snake>Sep, Yoblazer
Sora>Char and Sep>Snake, Wigs and demphra tie.

Fun stuff. It's funny how, at this point, I feel way more worried about Sora than Snake. Maybe because Snake's match seems so far away, or maybe because Kingdom Hearts has looked bad with the exception of Roxas. I just want to get Sora/Bowser over with.
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Yoblazer: http://i29.tinypic.com/dqhyf5.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

I think 1K can happen. I'm going to sleep now, I think. I hope Gordon/Tifa is at least this awesome.

If Gordon/Tifa is this close, the board will be in a meltdown. I... would like to see it very much, actually!
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

I'm pretty fearful for Sora, but he always seems to get the job done even when the other KH guys perform like ass (Riku and Roxas bombed the last couple of years). I don't think he's ever lost a debatable match.
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No match for KrahenProphet's extreme Guru skills.

From: Draco1214 | #469
I'm pretty fearful for Sora, but he always seems to get the job done even when the other KH guys perform like ass (Riku and Roxas bombed the last couple of years). I don't think he's ever lost a debatable match.

He never has. Not once. I named him Mr. Clutch for a reason. It surprised me when I looked up his history, but Sora has NEVER lost a debated match, and he's had plenty.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Although to be fair, Sora has never had a huge 1v1 win. He's not nearly as bad as Dante is in that category, but I think the strongest 1v1 opponent he's ever defeated is Alucard. Not bad, but compare that to Bowser, who sports 1v1 wins over Yoshi, Leon Kennedy, and a crushing victory against Ryu. Dante seemed a step above Ryu in 4ways but couldn't get the job done in this format, so the same could hold true for Sora.

When is that match, anyway... Sunday night? It can't come soon enough.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Wait, it's Monday night. Mind games!
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Big Daddy is really crushing Ness now. It's going to be well over 1000 before morning at this rate.
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.

If Big Daddy holds on to win and Tifa wins tomorrow, that gives us 7 double digit seeds making the third round, all of them except Tifa and Zelda vote-in guys. Looks like we did a good job with the vote-ins. In fact, two divisions have three double digit seeds in the third round (This one and Samus's). We don't have a single division where the chalk has prevailed (the top 4 seeds all advancing), thanks to the curse of the 2 seed, mostly. The closest we got was Snake's division, where the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 5th seeds all advanced. In fact, here's a breakdown of all we have left:

Bold indicates the character has been eliminated

1 Seeds: Link, Sonic the Hedgehog, Mario, Sora, Samus Aran, Cloud Strife, Solid Snake, Sephiroth (8/8)

2 Seeds: Nathan Drake, Altair, Master Chief, Kratos, Ezio, Dante,, Squall Leonhart, Gordon Freeman (1/8, maybe 2/8 if Gordon pulls an upset)

3 Seeds: Luigi, Kirby, Mega Man, L-Block, Phoenix Wright, Leon Kennedy, Auron, Soap MacTavish (6/8)

4 Seeds: Captain John Price, Albert Wesker, Ike, Bowser, Tidus, Captain Falcon, Commander Shepard, Crono (3/8)

5 Seeds: Pokemon Trainer Red, Ganondorf, Zidane Tribal, Kefka, Roxas, Riku, Pikachu, Yoshi (2/8)

6 Seeds: Amaterasu, GlaDOS, Zack Fair, Isaac, Ratchet, Sackboy, Zero, Ness (0/8)

7 Seeds: Weighted Companion Cube, Vivi Orunitia, Ryu Hayabusa, Charizard, Travis Touchdown, Ryu, Darth Revan, Yuri Lowell (5/8)

8 Seeds: Alucard, Cecil Harvey, Big Boss, Laharl, Niko Bellic, Chris Redfield, Lloyd Irving, Vincent Valentine (0/8)

9 Seeds: Magus, Knuckles the Echidna, Miles Edgeworth, Neku Sakuraba, Jill Valentine, Captain MacMillan, Fox McCloud, Guybrush Threepwood (0/8)

10 Seeds: Sandal, Donkey Kong, Crash Bandicoot, Duke Nukem, Zelda, Balthier Bunansa, Terra Branford, Tifa Lockhart (2/8)

11 Seeds: Shadow the Hedgehog, Fawful, Yuna, Professor Layton, Eddie Riggs, Kratos Aurion, Marcus Fenix, Geno (0/8)

12 Seeds: Revolver Ocelot, Mewtwo, Claptrap, Arthas Menethil, Heavy, Ramza Beoulve, Banjo, Jak (0/8)

13 Seeds: Mega Man X, Ken Masters, Prinny, Frog, Sub-Zero, Wander, Ellis, Missingno (3/8)

14 Seeds: Meta Knight, Rikku, Cid Highwind, HK-47, Jecht, Vault Boy, Aerith Gainsborough, Big Daddy (2/8)

15 Seeds: The Boss, Liquid Snake, Spy, Miles "Tails" Prower, Simon Belmont, Axel, Akuma, Princess Peach (0/8)

16 Seeds: Thrall, Lightning, Falco Lombardi, Midna, Prince of Persia, Ridley, Protoman, Marth (0/8)

Fun Facts: Despite 5/12 upsets being popular in March Madness, not a single 12 seed won a first round match. Same goes for the 11 seeds.

6 seeds are the highest seeds to have no representative in round three.

Apparently, it's a good year to be a 7 seed! All the 7 seeds who failed to make round 3 all lost in round 1.

A good year to be a 3 seed for once, too! The only two 3 seeds not to get to the third round lost in round 1, and both 14 seeds made round 3.

We have more 13 seeds in the third round than we have 2 seeds or 5 seeds.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"

Sora has one thing Dante doesn't though...impressive losses against big opponents. I know I'm still shocked every time I look at Sora's 46% on Mega Man (if you wanna go the 4-way route, Sora got 48% on Squall...way better than losses to Kirby and needing LFF to survive Luigi).
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No match for KrahenProphet's extreme Guru skills.

Although to be fair, Sora has never had a huge 1v1 win.

That match against Alucard in 2005 was a pretty big win, I think. That was before Alucard really fell off, and that was a pretty debated match.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"

Squall Leonhart – 65.87%
Luigi – 65.70%

Alucard – 57.59%
Vincent Valentine – 54.48%

Best X-stats ever!

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Contest bracket status: ELIMINATED

Oh right, forgot to post the chart from yesterday:

Time | Yoshi | Missingno | Votes
0:05 | 52.10% | 47.90% | 929
1:00 | 50.98% | 49.02% | 8852
2:00 | 49.56% | 50.44% | 7526
3:00 | 47.50% | 52.50% | 7488
4:00 | 47.25% | 52.75% | 7831
5:00 | 49.38% | 50.62% | 7607
6:00 | 49.97% | 50.03% | 7234
7:00 | 46.86% | 53.14% | 7081
8:00 | 47.89% | 52.11% | 5941
9:00 | 47.31% | 52.69% | 5329
10:00 | 47.04% | 52.96% | 4766
11:00 | 47.97% | 52.03% | 4294
12:00 | 48.49% | 51.51% | 3747

Despite Yoshi leading for a while, he only won the first hour. Missingno rocked the ASV. Pokeymanz wins again!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

It was a fine win, but it really doesn't have anything on Bowser's biggest. Of course, this really doesn't mean a thing for the match at hand, but it's fun to talk about. Wins over Bowser and Charizard (on Pokemon launch day) would really cement his legacy. I know his bracket support was extremely impressive this year, but if KHIII is announced before the next contest, NO ONE would pick against the guy.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Well, to be fair, Sora hasn't really had a chance to get a big 1-on-1 win since KHII since this is only the 2nd 1-on-1 contest we've had since then, and he had an easy path to Mega Man in 2006.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"

Vicious update.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Well, I'll be damned...there's the 1K vote lead. Yep, looks like Big Daddy has it and my bracket survives round 2!
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No match for KrahenProphet's extreme Guru skills.

So Big Daddy outlasts Gordon Freeman, Master Chief, Kratos, and Dante this year?

Man this is funny. I had a feeling it was coming, but...it just didn't make sense outside of extrapolating from the first round.

Nice win for Big D here. Just realised I'm 4/4 for last minute bracket changes:

Laharl>Neku
Sackboy>Kratos A
Big Daddy>Soap
Big Daddy>Ness

Shame the rest of my bracket isn't up to that standard.

Even with the fact that i never really liked Sephiroth, i was kinda hoping that he will win(which he most probably will) against Missingno.

Forget about Link/Cloud in the finals, Snake vs Sephiroth is the true main event of this contest and Missingno better don't find a way to ruin it. I am afraid that Sephiroth might just blow away Snake and make the match anticlimatic, but who knows at this moment, Snake always impresses when he is underestimated.
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Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times"

I took Big Daddy because Ness always does bad and is one of the weakest Nintendo characters. Looks like it paid off.

I should be in the top 10 after today. Too bad I didn't enter Guru. I have yoblazer's bracket the rest of the way but with Sephiroth over Snake so I'm guessing I win the contest in that scenario.

I actually made identical picks to yoblazer in 124 of 127 matches which is pretty crazy. Had Master Chief and I took Neku for some reason.

On another random note, yoblazer, RPGuy and myself are top 15 in the contest and in Oracle. Though I guess that makes sense do to the penalty for picking the loser in oracle.

Charizard already broke my bracket so getting Big Daddy right here means nothing to me!
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Damn not even one of the top tiers had Missingno winning?Congrats to people that had him winning.Leaderboard didn't changed much.Now for today's match I am surprised to tell the truth.I guess Bioshock 2 helped.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Ya'll are lucky this was a night match.
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who needs a dick when you're good at smash brothers - stingers
Now this is entertainment!

Also something must be done with nominations.Only one 2 seed goes to round 3,2 14 seeds going to round 3 and Tifa and Zelda 10 seed?Right...
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Also something must be done with nominations.Only one 2 seed goes to round 3,2 14 seeds going to round 3 and Tifa and Zelda 10 seed?Right...

Also, how the hell does GUYBRUSH get a 9 seed???
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

So here are the number of characters by seeding that get to round 3 (assuming Mr. Freeman doesn't pull off some silly upset out of nowhere, and I'm not even helping him this time; I'd vote for Freeman over lots of characters he likely loses to but, uh, Tifa isn't one of them):

1 seeds - 8
2 seeds - 1
3 seeds - 6
4 seeds - 3
5 seeds - 3
6 seeds - 0
7 seeds - 5
8 seeds - 0
9 seeds - 0
10 seeds - 2
11 seeds - 0
12 seeds - 0
13 seeds - 3
14 seeds - 2
15 seeds - 0
16 seeds - 0

And the 3/7 seeds that didn't make it to round 3 were eliminated in round 1.

Also I think Tifa > Zelda is the consensus now, no? So 38% is the mark for Freeman to get past if he wants to get a moral victory, though I think he gets pushed down to 32% at lowest.

Do you think there will be rallying for Gordon?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

According to the '05 x-stats Freeman barely escapes being doubled by Tifa, and according to the 06 x-stats Freeman only gets 31% on her...but then again that's 31% on the Tifa who went 50-50 with Samus. Tifa has reason to be weaker now, both Peach and Freeman have reason to be stronger than in '06, so I have to think that Freeman's lower bound is actually 35% (if he goes under then...yeah), and he could possibly break 40% and still look like a decent midcarder. With the way a lot of "nobody" Nintendo characters have looked surprisingly good this contest (Ridley, DK, Peach) thanks simply to Brawl exposure, I'd say that anywhere from 35%-42% would be Freeman's bound. And if there is rallying for him it should be minimal, though Freeman may throw back is Gamespot shenanigans at us for dealing with a strong opponent...then again, maybe not. We have to tell them that Freeman's opponent has almost beaten Samus before (with the same match pic no less!), then they will understand how essential rallying is.

Listening to Justin_Crossing paid off?
yahoo!
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Shakes Fist!

Tifa won't impress today. Historically, she does her best during the night hours.

Yes, there is the whole day thing as well to take into account. It's not like Freeman is good with it or anything, but still...I think Freeman can definetely break 40%, and should most definetely get above 35%.

Tifa gets about the low 60's on Gordon Freeman, IMO.
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The Gamer In Me
My Signature's broken, just like your front door.

Anyway...
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The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream

Time to take the 500 from this topic.
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The Gamer In Me
My Signature's broken, just like your front door.