GameFAQs Contests

http://images2.wikia.nocookie.net/finalfantasy/images/archive/9/95/20091017094913!Dissidia_Garland.png

the king has arrived

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart

Heck using Samus/Ganondorf Samus was expected to defeat Solid Snake 51/49 and I would imagine that Ganondorf had TP hype in 2006.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 93/116 - Today's Winners: Auron and Squall

I still don't understand how he uses that sword.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Snake was the favorite over Samus, though. The Oracle prediction for that match was Snake, 51.7%.

The oracle buys into hype, did you know Mario was the favourite to win over Samus by the time the match came in 2005.

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 93/116 - Today's Winners: Auron and Squall

The Snake/Samus and Terra/Squall comparison is silly to begin with. Snake had nothing more than an announcement that he would be in the next game. People actually played Terra in the game. Seems pretty obvious that any new Snake support would be a lot weaker than any new Terra support.
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.

The greatest weapon ever conceived right there. Buster Sword got nothin' on this.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart

If I win the Guru, we're nominating Fighter.

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http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg
best sig bet EVER

I think the mystery of Solid/Samus will stay a mystery -- it's hard to argue with certainty whether or not Samus took his hype away after out-performing her all contest or Solid just wasn't up to the job once Samus was no longer the obvious winner. I don't think anything in 2007 really said anything one way or another about it, either. The one time Solid had a match against a Nintendo-character in that contest, Solid was smashed...but Last Place Factor and L-Block were largely responsible for that, so it's hard to say.

After that, SSBB and MGS4 were out and it was no longer hype and Solid didn't lose his Nintendo-fanbase to anybody since then. Not Mewtwo pre-bandwagon, not Kirby when he was at the peak of his bandwagon, and not Link when Solid's bandwagon let him lead Cloud for forty-eight hours straight. That argument doesn't really work now unless you think Fox over-performed on Solid.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png

The hype was warranted. Snake was much better in 2006 than he was in 2005, and he was consistently outperforming the other. What happened during the previous season does not matter. Mario lost directly against Crono in 2004 by a large margin, and yet he was the favorite in 2005 because he performed that much better that year. Same with Snake in 2006; he was performing that much better.

http://thelifestream.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/DFF_Garland.png

goddamn this guy is cool
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, KrahenProphet

http://images2.wikia.nocookie.net/finalfantasy/images/archive/9/95/20091017094913!Dissidia_Garland.png

the king has arrived

o snap
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

Same with Snake in 2006; he was performing that much better.

He was, but 55% on Sonic isn't better than the 57.5% Samus got on Sonic in 2004. There's absolutely no proof that Snake 2006 was stronger than Samus 2006 before they met in the final anyway.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."

While I agree that he should have been the favourite going in Samus winning isn't that shocking because that was what we expected before the contest.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 93/116 - Today's Winners: Auron and Squall

http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2220/2263288997_39e6f88c02.jpg

The best

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http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg
best sig bet EVER

Not buying into the idea that Samus was underperforming due to being the obvious favorite being anti-voted.

I thought the obvious favorite was supposed to overperform because of bracket voting? So being the obvious favorite sometimes causes a winner to overperform, and other times to underperform?

I doubt bracket voting or anti-voting the favorite are significant factor at all. The average voter does not know or care enough about the contests, and many of those who do vote for the character they like more no matter how favored he is.

The average voter does not know or care enough about the contests

That's a big lie, just take a look at SFF four-way matches, see how when both characters are locks SFF doesn't happen (or it is not as bad), but when one of them may be threaten they drop the weaker character.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 93/116 - Today's Winners: Auron and Squall

That's a big lie, just take a look at SFF four-way matches, see how when both characters are locks SFF doesn't happen (or it is not as bad), but when one of them may be threaten they drop the weaker character.

I guess Super Metroid/Super Mario Kart is one such example of the former.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

I suppose I need to learn how to get nomination forms in, because I need to help Vincent and Tifa get better seeds.

I'd vote for them and MC over Sonic/Crono/both MMs right now.

I guess Super Metroid/Super Mario Kart is one such example of the former.

You mean the match between four SNES titles?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 93/116 - Today's Winners: Auron and Squall

Fail, Squall. Epic fail. This chick got quadrupled by Zelda and you can't come close to the doubling?? Jesus!

And Darth Revan is a beast. Turns out he's stronger in defeat than any of us ever would have thought he'd be in victory!

Also while most of us would think not, there's still a chance that there was some minor SFF here. It's not impossible. What a performance by Terra.
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gamefaqscontests.com
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You mean the match between four SNES titles?

Nope. I mean the one where both Super Metroid and Super Mario Kart advanced, in round one.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

I thought the obvious favorite was supposed to overperform because of bracket voting? So being the obvious favorite sometimes causes a winner to overperform, and other times to underperform?

So what happened to Sephiroth in the Villains Contest?

The funny thing about that was that it made us all think that the winner of the 2005 contest had a shot at beating him.

We all know what happened.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

The one where Mario Kart would've won easily on just about any other site. Seriously.

Though on "any other site" StarCraft would easily handle Final Fantasy VIII, Chrono Trigger, and Twilight Princess, but would lose to the likes of BioShock, Halo 3, Super Mario Galaxy, and GTAIV. I think this is now one of the sites where SC is MOST popular, no?

Ah...

I was thinking more along the lines of Sephiroth/Tifa and Samus/Ganondorf where they were closer in an earlier round compare to the next round.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 93/116 - Today's Winners: Auron and Squall

No one here thinks that the obvious favorite overperforms because of bracket voting more than a very very small amount. The obvious favorite underperforms in some cases, most notably near the end of brackets they will win, but also earlier in some cases (see round 1 of 2008 and this year).
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi

Though you know, after seeing Peach, the Boss, and Terra do so well, you could almost begin to think that the Female Bracket was legit.....almost. Tifa did outperform Vincent on Sephiroth by 14% after all!
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi

I was thinking more along the lines of Sephiroth/Tifa and Samus/Ganondorf where they were closer in an earlier round compare to the next round.

Dang it... I must've misunderstood then. Why didn't I think of those?
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

From: red sox 777 | #326
Though you know, after seeing Peach, the Boss, and Terra do so well, you could almost begin to think that the Female Bracket was legit.....almost. Tifa did outperform Vincent on Sephiroth by 14% after all!

Yeah, it's possible that Gordon may do better than expected because Tifa just crushed Peach in that match, but we'll see.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Well, Terra did kind of completely awful in the female bracket. I think that's more proof if it *not* being legit - she did 8% worse against Zelda than against Dante.
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Mustache...and Green...

The Boss points towards the female bracket being unreliable as well. She's definitely worth more than being tripled by Tifa.

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best sig bet EVER

Oh, nevermind, missed the context there of Samus/Zelda being legit. (And Zelda > Mega Man/Crono/Sonic.)

But even then, 2k6 Terra is loads worse than 2k5 Terra. I dunno what happened in that Zelda match but it was ugly.
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Mustache...and Green...

The Female Bracket had a lot of the heavy hitters overperforming for some reason.

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http://i46.tinypic.com/v4o0mx.jpg
best sig bet EVER

But even then, 2k6 Terra is loads worse than 2k5 Terra.

I dunno. Terra/Kerrigan went almost exactly as predicted based on 2005.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."

Oh and if you take Squall equal to Vincent's 45% on Samus (works out roughly to Squall = Vincent = Zelda), 2k10 Terra gets 71.23% on 2k6 Terra. Now that's what I call a boost!
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Mustache...and Green...

What does she get on 2005 Terra, just for the record?
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."

I dunno. Terra/Kerrigan went almost exactly as predicted based on 2005.

So it did, but that doesn't matter for Terra's final X-stat value, the 20.5% on Zelda does. Versus the 28.5% on Dante the year before. That's quite a difference.
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Mustache...and Green...

From: RPGuy96 | #336
I dunno. Terra/Kerrigan went almost exactly as predicted based on 2005.

So it did, but that doesn't matter for Terra's final X-stat value, the 20.5% on Zelda does. Versus the 28.5% on Dante the year before. That's quite a difference.

Mario = Yuna based on Joanna Dark!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

What does she get on 2005 Terra, just for the record?

If we keep the Squall=Vincent thing going, 63.03% for 2k10 Terra against 2k5 Terra.
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Mustache...and Green...

I'm just mad that GameFAQs didn't give Zidane the same treatment

Terra wasn't even good in Dissidia you jerks

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best sig bet EVER

Terra wasn't even good in Dissidia you jerks

Terra's the only character I can beat Inward Chaos Chaos with, by a long shot.

I wish I was good with Kefka but he's like a crappy version of Terra to me, complete with an awful Meteor and no Holy-Flare-Ultima combo.
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Mustache...and Green...

Just for me to know for next year, how do you enter the Oracle and Guru contests?

Oracle - Post your prediction in the oracle topic

Guru - Post your bracket and tiebreaker in the guru topic
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 93/116 - Today's Winners: Auron and Squall

From: TheOneAboveAll | #341
Just for me to know for next year, how do you enter the Oracle and Guru contests?

Post in them.

You can still enter the Oracle if you want. It's never too late.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53666142

Just follow the directions in the opening post.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."

Just post your predictions in the Oracle topic when it goes up. You can even join the current one if you like, though you won't have points for the matches that have already happened. For the Guru, NGamer usually posts a topic to post your bracket in a few days before brackets close. I think we got rid of sign-ups so all you have to do is post your bracket in that topic.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi

XCIII: (1) Sephiroth vs. (8) Vincent Valentine

Last Round

Sephiroth – 71.80%
Marth – 28.20%

Vincent Valentine – 77.44%
Guybrush Threepwood – 22.56%

Analysis

I’m positive that SBAllen comes into the stats topic every now and then and must know something about SFF. This match would have been fine if Vincent was given an epic match in an earlier round, but this was only the second round and his first round was against Guybrush. Vincent is a powerhouse in this contest and yet is reduced to the role of fodder. At least we can compare this performance to the one he got in 2007 and that Guybrush will look terrible in the x-stats.

It’s pretty safe to say that Vincent will perform significantly better compare to his 23% that he got against Sephiroth in 2007; when Link, Sephiroth and Mario are in the same poll it is quite likely that you are going to get crushed. Vincent is probably more likely to have a similar performance that Tifa had in round 2 of 2008. In the first round there was probably little SFF since the voters knew that both would advance, but in this match only one character can advance so I expect people to shift towards Sephiroth.

Some people expect Vincent to get SFF a bit more than Tifa since even though they are all from the same game it is more likely that a person would like Sephiroth and Vincent than Sephiroth and Tifa because of their personalities and while I agree with that logic that doesn’t necessarily mean more SFF, just a potential for more SFF.

I expect Sephiroth to perform similarly compare to what he did against Tifa. The board vote should be interesting though it would be a safe bet to expect Vincent to win it since the board does favour him. Vincent is easily the most wasted character in the entire bracket; at least Tifa will get to look good for three rounds before meeting Sephiroth.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Sephiroth > Vincent Valentine

charmander6000’s Prediction: Sephiroth wins, 67.37% - 32.63%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 93/116 - Today's Winners: Auron and Squall

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2920

Yeah

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best sig bet EVER

Vincent is easily the most wasted character in the entire bracket; at least Tifa will get to look good for three rounds before meeting Sephiroth.

The only thing that's noteworthy about this match is how bad Guybrush will look in the final X-Stats.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

From: RPGuy96 | #340
Terra wasn't even good in Dissidia you jerks

Terra's the only character I can beat Inward Chaos Chaos with, by a long shot.

I wish I was good with Kefka but he's like a crappy version of Terra to me, complete with an awful Meteor and no Holy-Flare-Ultima combo.

How do you beat IC with her? I haven't bothered with Terra yet.

Also: http://img96.imageshack.us/img96/6291/samuszeldar4.jpg
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~*ST*~
~*ST*~

The weird part about Samus Vs. Snake wasn't that Samus was legitimately more popular, but that Snake seemingly got no momentum votes at all in that match.

In all fairness nobody thinks that Samus overperformed against Cloud or Mario overperformed against Sephy (although I think that both did a little bit!) and those are comparable situations.
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"Right... today we'll be discussing the philosophy of putting a bullet in someone's head"--Marcus Fenix
Yesmar

what in the world are you trying to get zelda to win that

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart