GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 859

WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:18:35 PM | message detail
The fact that there's a question about L-Block's chances against Laharl should tell you everything you need to know about his chances with Link.

There's a bit of difference there considering L-Block hadn't even had a match yet!


The fact that there's a question about L-Block's chances against an LFFed Kirby should tell you everything you need to know about his chances with Link, then!
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/2/2010 9:18:50 PM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #449
Just pointing out that Crono pulled more votes against Missingno than Sephiroth did against Marth and lost.


So somewhere in there, there was some Crono rallying going on?
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:18:56 PM | message detail
Changes in Top 10

Top 10 Smallest Night Vote Gaps
1. Pokemon Trainer Red – 29195 vs. Revolver Ocelot – 29013 (R1) – 182
2. Jecht – 26287 vs. Phoenix Wright – 23592 (R1) – 2695
3. Terra Branford – 27612 vs. Darth Revan – 23647 (R1) – 3965
4. Jecht – 26156 vs. Ratchet – 20416 (R2) – 5740
5. Auron – 28175 vs. Zero – 21524 (R2) – 6649
6. Vivi Ornitier – 30113 vs. Donkey Kong – 23379 (R1) – 6734
7. Roxas – 31010 vs. Heavy – 23427 (R1) – 7583
8. Auron – 29758 vs. Aerith Gainsborough – 21870 (R1) – 7888
9. Kirby – 30566 vs. Rikku – 22560 (R1) – 8006
10. Ganondorf – 30642 vs. Mewtwo – 21606 (R1) – 9036


Top 10 Least Popular Night Polls
1. Ryu Hayabusa vs. Crash Bandicoot (R1) – 46209
2. Jecht vs. Ratchet (R2) – 46572
3. Sora vs. Laharl (R2) – 47008
4. Kefka vs. Arthas Menethil (R1) – 47495
5. Riku vs. Ramza Beoulve (R1) – 48172
6. Yoshi vs. Jak (R1) – 48501
7. Kirby vs. GlaDOS (R2) – 48660
8. Zelda vs. Travis Touchdown (R1) – 48896
9. Weighted Companion Cube vs. Sandal (R1) – 49202
10. Auron vs. Zero (R2) – 49697


Top 10 Most Impressive Night Losers
1. Revolver Ocelot (R1) – 29013
2. Darth Revan (R1) – 23647
3. Phoenix Wright (R1) – 23592
4. Heavy (R1) – 23427
5. Donkey Kong (R1) – 23379
6. Rikku (R1) – 22560
7. Vault Boy (R1) – 21917
8. Aerith Gainsborough (R1) – 21870
9. Mewtwo (R1) – 21606
10. Zero (R2) – 21524


Top 10 Least Impressive Night Winners
1. Jecht (R2) – 26156
2. Jecht (R1) – 26287
3. Terra Branford (R1) – 27612
4. Auron (R2) – 28173
5. Ryu Hayabusa (R1) – 28553
6. Kefka (R1) – 28769
7. Pokemon Trainer Red (R1) – 29195
8. Auron (R1) – 29758
9. Riku (R1) – 30017
10. Vivi Ornitier (R1) – 30113

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Character Battle VIII - 97/120 - Today's Winners: Sephiroth and Crono
red sox 777 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:18:57 PM | message detail
Why is everyone trying to read Crono through Vincent through 4-ways? Assuming Crono=Missingno. we'll know exactly how these two stack up in about a week-and-a-half. Unless Missingno gets a huge bandwagon by then (which I doubt, I think the ridiculous votals from round 1 show he has legitimate strength coming in), that match will give us an almost-perfect read of how Crono/Sephiroth would have gone.

Missingno will probably overrate Crono- you could say that if Missingno makes it to Sephiroth, Missingno's percentage will set an upper bound for Crono. This match, on the other hand, underrates Crono- you could say that Vincent's final percentage is a lower bound for Crono.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
MegatokyoEd | Posted 3/2/2010 9:19:06 PM | message detail
Vincent being able to resist SFF isn't surprising. He got slaughtered in 2007 for the same reason that Seph got humiliated by Kirby last contest. When the stronger FF7 character needed support in 4-ways, the FF7 fan-base put all their support behind the stronger entrant.
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vcharon | Posted 3/2/2010 9:19:47 PM | message detail
What sort of person that voted against Crono will vote for Sephiroth though? I just don't see it. That's why I predict the contest is done. If all those people return for every match I don't think it has a chance to lose.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/2/2010 9:19:49 PM | message detail
Plus, Cube started off losing to Tidus.

It won, actually.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/2/2010 9:20:02 PM | message detail
I love the people casually dismissing Yoshi.
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nintendogirl1 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:20:14 PM | message detail
From: charmander6000 | #453
Top 10 Least Impressive Night Winners
1. Jecht (R2) – 26156
2. Jecht (R1) – 26287
3. Terra Branford (R1) – 27612
4. Auron (R2) – 28173
5. Ryu Hayabusa (R1) – 28553
6. Kefka (R1) – 28769
7. Pokemon Trainer Red (R1) – 29195
8. Auron (R1) – 29758
9. Riku (R1) – 30017
10. Vivi Ornitier (R1) – 30113


Yesssss, GlaDOS finally off the list.
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Huzzah!
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/2/2010 9:20:20 PM | message detail
bam 60.40. This is gonna get ugly.
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hmmmmmmmm
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/2/2010 9:20:43 PM | message detail
What sort of person that voted against Crono will vote for Sephiroth though?

Apparently there are a lot of them, otherwise they'd be equal!
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vcharon | Posted 3/2/2010 9:20:54 PM | message detail
Yeah Sephiroth is going to be handling business throughout the night now.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:21:06 PM | message detail
I'm not dismissing Yoshi Ulti, I'm actually terrified. I figure no matter what happens in Seph/Missingno, Crono will look good, but Missingno/Yoshi has lots of potential for utter disaster.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
charmander6000 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:21:08 PM | message detail
What sort of person that voted against Crono will vote for Sephiroth though? I just don't see it. That's why I predict the contest is done. If all those people return for every match I don't think it has a chance to lose.

Considering Sephiroth would break 60% on Crono I would say a significant amount.
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Character Battle VIII - 97/120 - Today's Winners: Sephiroth and Crono
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/2/2010 9:21:30 PM | message detail
And there is no question about Missingno. > Yoshi. There's just one person here with a crazy Nintendo SFF theory that makes Yoshi destroy Missingno. If anything, Missingno. will be the one doing the SFFing.
(I love it how SFF became a verb.)
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/2/2010 9:21:36 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #433
This match is going to go exactly as it should by the time it's done, just minus the SFF. Not being able to SFF Vincent doesn't mean Sephiroth's in trouble.


Oh come on. Don't tell me that Seph finishing at 63% as opposed to 73% is meaningless in his next match. Mario hit 70% against Bowser. Link hit 88% against Ganondorf. Heck, Seph himself nearly hit 68% against Auron once upon a time, and Auron isn't even from his game. Heavy SFF in the 1v1 format does exist, and Seph SHOULD be rocking it to the tune of at least a doubling. Now, things will look better if he has a turnaround and gets the doubling, but this is bad right now. I'm not even arguing that Seph has gotten much weaker legitimately, but he just lost the board vote handily to someone with an awful board vote. He's getting anti-voted, flat and simple. I wish him luck trying to get out of whatever hole Missingno puts him in after ten minutes, but I have my doubts.

And I'm hoping extra hard that Yoshi ends the madness in 12 hours.
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vcharon | Posted 3/2/2010 9:21:59 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #461
What sort of person that voted against Crono will vote for Sephiroth though?

Apparently there are a lot of them, otherwise they'd be equal!


You know what I meant. I mean what sort of person votes for Missingno. over Crono, but then votes Sephiroth over Missingno.? There just aren't a whole lot I think. 90% of Missingno.'s votes are joke strength, and I don't understand how Sephiroth will magically quell that.
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creativename | Posted 3/2/2010 9:22:12 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #2110
Gear Division Fourth Quarter

Squall Leonhart – 50.00%
Terra Branford – 35.48%
Darth Revan – 32.73%
Akuma – 31.99%

Akuma gets 48.87% on Revan and 45.08% on Terra.


Man, Revan and Terra would have smashed a bunch of brackets with the right placement.

It's quite possible that Terra would be able to beat Chief, for instance.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/2/2010 9:22:20 PM | message detail
Don't tell me that Seph finishing at 63% as opposed to 73% is meaningless in his next match.

What does Sephiroth's SFF ability have to do with his ability to beat Missingno?

Nothing at all whatsoever.
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redrocket | Posted 3/2/2010 9:22:50 PM | message detail
What sort of person that voted against Crono will vote for Sephiroth though? I just don't see it. That's why I predict the contest is done. If all those people return for every match I don't think it has a chance to lose.

What kind of person that voted against Crono when he was fighting Freaking Mario would then turn around and vote for Sephiroth? I don't know, but in 2005 Sephiroth killed Mario right after Mario has just finished embarrassing Crono.

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nintendogirl1 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:23:03 PM | message detail
From: vcharon | #467
You know what I meant. I mean what sort of person votes for Missingno. over Crono, but then votes Sephiroth over Missingno.? There just aren't a whole lot I think. 90% of Missingno.'s votes are joke strength, and I don't understand how Sephiroth will magically quell that.

Tell me, how do you separate what proportion of the votes are pokemon votes as opposed to joke votes?
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Pray tell.
Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/2/2010 9:23:03 PM | message detail
Oh come on. Don't tell me that Seph finishing at 63% as opposed to 73% is meaningless in his next match. Mario hit 70% against Bowser. Link hit 88% against Ganondorf. Heck, Seph himself nearly hit 68% against Auron once upon a time, and Auron isn't even from his game. Heavy SFF in the 1v1 format does exist, and Seph SHOULD be rocking it to the tune of at least a doubling. Now, things will look better if he has a turnaround and gets the doubling, but this is bad right now. I'm not even arguing that Seph has gotten much weaker legitimately, but he just lost the board vote handily to someone with an awful board vote. He's getting anti-voted, flat and simple. I wish him luck trying to get out of whatever hole Missingno puts him in after ten minutes, but I have my doubts.

And I'm hoping extra hard that Yoshi ends the madness in 12 hours.



You realize that was around what Auron was projected to get right? He wasn't as strong as he is now, he got beat by ganondorf by over 4% for example. So ya.....no
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hmmmmmmmm
HaRRicH | Posted 3/2/2010 9:23:08 PM | message detail
Missingno barely beat Crono in a day-match, and there was decent speculation Missingno had already rallied several thousand votes against him. Crono has been practically even with Vincent since 2007, and Vincent's probably not being SFF'd that hard against Sephiroth unless Seph really picks up the pace. Missingno has to face Sephiroth in a night-match and will need to rally multiple times more than it did against Crono.

Just saying, Missingno's got a hell of an obstacle in the way if that glitch wants to win the contest.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:23:19 PM | message detail
Not being able to SFF something does not make you weaker.

Just ask Samus.
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Character Battle VIII - 97/120 - Today's Winners: Sephiroth and Crono
red sox 777 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:23:20 PM | message detail
What does Sephiroth's SFF ability have to do with his ability to beat Missingno?

SFF ability is correlated with strength. Also, it could be that he's doing poorly here because his base strength, before SFF, is not as far above Vincent as we thought.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:23:49 PM | message detail
I am sorely tempted to change my Oracle to Yoshi, but whenever I make last minute changes it backfires. I'd have been in the top 5 today if I hadn't marked Terra down 2%.

Oh hey, I'm 15th in the contest and 15th in the Oracle. Now that cn's 4th and 3rd and yo's 2nd and 5th I think I'm the only equal one.
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vcharon | Posted 3/2/2010 9:23:57 PM | message detail
Those are all legit characters and Missingno. relies on a large percentage of it's votes from joke votes and rallying.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/2/2010 9:23:58 PM | message detail
Hahaha. I'm not worried at all. I'm going to vote for Missingno, because I want you people to see just how strong Sephiroth is when he treats the stupid glitch like it was the Midgar Zolom.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 3/2/2010 9:24:30 PM | message detail
A lot of people don't know who Crono is these days. Seph would have put Missingno down easy in round one, if that's what you're getting at. Missingno can't win without joke momentum.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/2/2010 9:24:38 PM | message detail
SFF ability is correlated with strength. Also, it could be that he's doing poorly here because his base strength, before SFF, is not as far above Vincent as we thought.

He's going to end up 62-63% on Vincent, which is about as far above him as he should have been in the first place. Sephiroth's SFF ability has always been questionable. Everyone was raging when he couldn't get 70% on Vivi, for example.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 3/2/2010 9:25:06 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3822&region=OCE
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3822&region=AU

Wow, what a difference between Oceania and Australia.
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Hochimihnister | Posted 3/2/2010 9:25:29 PM | message detail
Hahaha. I'm not worried at all. I'm going to vote for Missingno, because I want you people to see just how strong Sephiroth is when he treats the stupid glitch like it was the Midgar Zolom.


You're acting like Vegeta when he allowed Cell to absorb the second android so he could become stronger.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/2/2010 9:26:02 PM | message detail
I doubt Crono's dropped significantly enough to go from being equal to Vincent to losing to Yoshi. Plus, Missingno beat Crono in Round 1 straight-out.

I imagine Missingno won't look as impressive against Yoshi since he won't need rallies like he did against Crono, and having an easier R2 opponent may hurt his bandwagoning chances against Sephiroth, but unless Yoshi had some weird-ass boost (which is possible I guess after the way he manhandled Jak) I can't see him beating Missingno or Crono.

Only reason I'd even entertain it is the relative strength of Crash and Ratchet suggesting that Jak may have a bit of strength as well! A bit of a stretch, but Yoshi looked damn impressive and I don't buy platformer SFF.
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Not Wylvane
charmander6000 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:26:06 PM | message detail
Wow, what a difference between Oceania and Australia.

New Zealand Factor.
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Character Battle VIII - 97/120 - Today's Winners: Sephiroth and Crono
creativename | Posted 3/2/2010 9:26:58 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #2258
I love the people casually dismissing Yoshi.


As if Yoshi deserves better. Riiiight :)
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:27:49 PM | message detail
I'd be very very confident if it were Crono facing Yoshi in 11.5 hours. I know linearity and transitivity have been proven over and over and over again, but I'm still nervous about Missingno here.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/2/2010 9:28:23 PM | message detail
I'd mark out so hard if Yoshi somehow won.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/2/2010 9:28:53 PM | message detail

From: Hochimihnister | #482
Hahaha. I'm not worried at all. I'm going to vote for Missingno, because I want you people to see just how strong Sephiroth is when he treats the stupid glitch like it was the Midgar Zolom.


You're acting like Vegeta when he allowed Cell to absorb the second android so he could become stronger.


I'm confident as hell, yes. Crono, Vincent, Yoshi, Missingno. None of these things have the raw base strength to get past Sephiroth 1v1 and you're all going to see it next round.
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:28:58 PM | message detail
Only way Yoshi is beating Missingno is either

a) Missingno was only expected to get below 42% on Crono and he was rallied that much and people go, but it's ****ing Yoshi this round

b) An anti-rally forms like it did for Pikachu/L-Block
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Character Battle VIII - 97/120 - Today's Winners: Sephiroth and Crono
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 3/2/2010 9:29:22 PM | message detail
Whoa, Hochi with the DBZ reference. Haven't seen those here in way too long.
Why are we all assuming that Crono=Vincent? In there last 1v1 Crono 55/45d him. In both 4-way matches they had together, the other characters in the poll would clearly leech of Crono more than Vincent. Crono is decently close to Nintendo (for the same reasons as Mega Man, unless you assume that most of Crono's strength is from emulations, which actually isn't so ridiculous), while Vincent is nowhere near. I would still believe Crono 55/45s Vincent unless I see some statistics here to say otherwise (e.g. Sephiroth 60/40ing Missingno.).
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/2/2010 9:29:37 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #489
Only way Yoshi is beating Missingno is either

a) Missingno was only expected to get below 42% on Crono and he was rallied that much and people go, but it's ****ing Yoshi this round

b) An anti-rally forms like it did for Pikachu/L-Block


X-Stats for joke characters is pretty silly.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/2/2010 9:30:16 PM | message detail
The only way Yoshi wins is if the Nintendo fanbase sides with him decisively or if voters get tired of Missingno after an astonishing one match. I won't say it's impossible, but Missingno just went even with Crono, who is at Vincent's level, who is likely at Squall's level, who put up 57% on Yoshi a year ago. Even if things don't correlate perfectly, Yoshi does not have the intrinsic strength to hang at that level without some zaniness going on. Fortunately, a damned glitch in the poll can mean a lot of zaniness.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:30:27 PM | message detail
Yoshi is awesome.
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creativename | Posted 3/2/2010 9:30:52 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #2356
Oh hey, I'm 15th in the contest and 15th in the Oracle. Now that cn's 4th and 3rd and yo's 2nd and 5th I think I'm the only equal one.


This ironic equal ranking **** is getting freaky!
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:30:52 PM | message detail
X-Stats for joke characters is pretty silly.

Yoshi is significantly weaker and joke characters have a base strength when they aren't being rallied. You know MIssingno has fans too.
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Character Battle VIII - 97/120 - Today's Winners: Sephiroth and Crono
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/2/2010 9:31:21 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #487
I'd mark out so hard if Yoshi somehow won.


Same here. I really want Snake/Seph to happen, and the glitch must die before it even has a chance to ruin it.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/2/2010 9:31:22 PM | message detail
If Missingno had a couple more rounds, I'd be more apt for Missingno > Sephiroth.

Round 3 against what should be an easy win against Yoshi? Kicking Crono's ass, impressive as it was, is one thing, but taking on Sephiroth is another. Sephiroth's the easy favorite in my eyes.

I'm not stupid enough to take any bets on either, though! Missingno shocked me by actually beating Crono, and he could shock me yet again with a victory over Sephiroth!
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Not Wylvane
KamikazePotato | Posted 3/2/2010 9:31:46 PM | message detail
*logs in out of boredom, checks the match*

...hahahahahahaha

Forget a rally, Missingno could beat this hunk of crap on strength alone

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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/2/2010 9:31:50 PM | message detail
Yoshi > Link
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 3/2/2010 9:32:01 PM | message detail
Noli, manare
Manare, en memoria
SEPHIROTH
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