GameFAQs Contests

That was no enemy of mine.




~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, Missingno etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·
http://img196.imageshack.us/img196/9416/eziogaiden.png

...Whatever.
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

Squall last name is Leonheart and his best limit is called Leonheart...Conspiracy!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Oh wow Squall

This is awful.

I'm sure there's some rSFF involved but really, come on. People say this guy is on Vincent's level?

He is.Terra got huge boost from Dissidia.No other way.Also a lot of pity votes I guess,I like Squall but I voted for Terra.I guess a lot of others did that too.Still if it ends as doubling all are well.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

From: Lightning Strikes | #004
Oh wow Squall

This is awful.

I'm sure there's some rSFF involved but really, come on. People say this guy is on Vincent's level?

Are you saying he's not?
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee

I'm not doubting that Dissidia boosted Terra. But Terra lost 80-20 to Zelda. When you consider the fact that Squall was also in Dissidia and wad by far the most impressive protagonist there it really doesn't make sense. If Squall was stronger than Zelda that's a huge difference. It's just too much for one game on the least popular current system on GameFAQs.

...whatever
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·
http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg

Zelda's quadrupling of Terra is like pointing to Yuna's quadrupling of Joanna Dark and saying she's as strong as Mario now.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"

THAT's more like it, Squall!
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"

If the match was happened again Zelda wouldn't even double her I believe.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

For reference, pre-Dissidia Terra:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2086
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2508
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2535
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png

I don't trust that Zelda/Terra match. Dante/Terra is probably closer to her true strength before this contest.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 89/112 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Pikachu

Now that Terra is proving to be strong, I can confidently say Sonic Team hasn't dropped (much), and thus Cecil is gonna be awesome next contest while the rest of you get burned as he makes it to the third round due to drawing a crappy 2 seed!
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png

I agree Zelda/Terra's the oddball...that was one hell of a beatdown though.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png

Chart from the night match:

Time | Auron | Zero | Votes
0:05 | 52.69% | 47.31% | 1357
1:00 | 53.83% | 46.17% | 9382
2:00 | 53.85% | 46.15% | 5653
3:00 | 55.62% | 44.38% | 4045
4:00 | 57.66% | 42.34% | 2955
5:00 | 60.21% | 39.79% | 2453
6:00 | 59.72% | 40.28% | 2351
7:00 | 58.38% | 41.62% | 2934
8:00 | 59.92% | 40.08% | 3538
9:00 | 56.87% | 43.13% | 3974
10:00 | 58.06% | 41.94% | 4113
11:00 | 56.63% | 43.37% | 4104
12:00 | 58.14% | 41.86% | 4195

Man, gotta love Square's and Mega Man's overnight Euro vote! Auron manages a 60% hour there. Zero doesn't really improve a whole lot during the morning though.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"

Tag

And Vincent being wasted in the second round is one of several reasons why the Jenova division is so awful.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

Yeah, Terra's strong showing makes Revan, Bowser, and Knuckles look better, that's for sure.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."

The Jenova division sucked.3 FF VII characters and all 3 are strong!Come on now!Who thought of that?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Lady Gaga > Heath Ledger
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"Then I'll be going now. I'll come back when it's all over."--Aeris Gainsborough
Yesmar

Dissidia is not that big a deal especially when Squall should be SFF'ing her Dissidia vote. I'm not saying she didn't boost but Squall=Vincent is just out of the question now. I'd say he's more on the level of Dante or Ryu. Yeah Zelda did overperform but even looking at her other matches...

Ah well, it was fun while it lasted...
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Currently playing: Zelda Double Feature: Spirit Tracks & Twilight Princess
Currently Watching: BSG: Season 4, LOST: Season 6

Well, I can point to Vincent's performance against Guybrush and make him look pretty bad, too!
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."

I'll also agree Sonic Team's not looking so bad now and go back to a former theory: four-ways made the Sonic-crew look worse than they really were. Ammy did rather well so Shadow looks okay, Kefka/Terra make Cecil look considerably more reasonable against Knuckles, Kratos isn't looking too bad if Charmander's a legitimate contender to win his division so Tails improves, and Sonic SFF'd Knuckles pretty harshly for previously winning a Sonic-favorite poll before. Only Lightning still makes Sonic look bad at this point, and she's a wildcard that -- while I still hate to give her credit for not having an American game out yet -- can be justified by the surrounding evidence.

Ganon may be in dangerous territory.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png

Lightning not having a game out yet isn't really that big of a deal when everyone already knows who she is.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."

Uh... what the heck is going on here? Terra... above 37%?

This is probably the weirdest result yet, seriously. It makes Akuma look like absolute garbage, too...

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CURRENT BRACKET SCORE: 100.
Next five choices: Auron, Squall, Sephiroth, Crono, Big Daddy

The Jenova division sucked.3 FF VII characters and all 3 are strong!Come on now!Who thought of that?

Also, four Square near-elites or higher in the same division. Everyone else other than Yoshi is either unknown (Missingno) or fodder.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

For comedy purposes, if you assume Sonic 2010 = Sonic 2005, and Knuckles is worth 40% on Sonic pre-SFF, that puts Cecil around Ryu (SF) levels.

Now imagine if Dante had lost to Cecil!
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png

Also Squall has a great chance at going up in percent throughout the day.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 89/112 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Pikachu

I don't think there's a reason to assume Squall is significantly weaker. He still did fine on Akuma in Round 1; it was a performance that suggested he was still at least at Ganon's level (and if you think Akuma is close to Ken, Squall beats Ganon). This is just Dissidia craziness. Maybe this match is completely legit, maybe Terra is resisting SFF, or maybe Squall is just getting anti-voted a bit. I'd find all those scenarios more likely than a significant Squall drop.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Yeah, Squall/Akuma went almost exactly as it would have been expected to go based on 2007 through Geno. Squall still looks better than Ganondorf. I think this is just FFVI being better.

I just didn't think they'd look THIS much better.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"

What the **** is this? Squall is not even at 63% on TERRA?
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Demyx is better than Axel.

I dunno. Auron/Aerith went almost exactly as Squall/Aerith did in 2007, for what little that's worth. You'd figure Auron would do better than that if he were affected less, at least.

Squall has always been stronger than Auron though. If Auron in 2010 got what Squall got in 07 then it does look like Squall fell a bit more than Auron at least.
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"Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename

From: XxSoulxX | #034
I dunno. Auron/Aerith went almost exactly as Squall/Aerith did in 2007, for what little that's worth. You'd figure Auron would do better than that if he were affected less, at least.

Squall has always been stronger than Auron though. If Auron in 2010 got what Squall got in 07 then it does look like Squall fell a bit more than Auron at least.

Gotta assume Aerith has fallen, too, though.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."

Man, just imagine what would have happened if Terra wasn't fed to Squall in Round Two. She could have really busted some brackets up with her newfound strength... though I guess Terra > Revan was a bracket buster in itself!

Speaking of which, I feel a little bad for giving Revan so much flack now. This weird Terra performance definitely vindicates him to an extent.

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CURRENT BRACKET SCORE: 102.
Next five choices: Squall, Sephiroth, Crono, Big Daddy, Gordon

Wow, impressive showing for Terra. Maybe Bowser still has a shot against Sora? Strange how old Square has looked great this year while new Square has been collectively sucking.

I expected Terra to get destroyed due to SFF and her mediocre pic.

What a pleasant surprise.

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i dunno

Man, just imagine what would have happened if Terra wasn't fed to Squall in Round Two

Swap Terra with Crash. That's a night match with Hayabusa followed by a day match with Master Chief. I wonder if Terra could pull that off.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST

Same here I thought Dissidia attracted new Sqaure fans so I thought Squall would SFF her based on that game.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 89/112 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Pikachu

So a question for experts.Let us say Squall ends with 60%.What is the prediction for Squall-Auron?Squall wins by 51-49?And what if he ends with 65,then Squall wins by 53-47?(the numbers are random since that is why I ask the experts to tell what will happen according to stats...)
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Swap Terra with Crash. That's a night match with Hayabusa followed by a day match with Master Chief. I wonder if Terra could pull that off.

Please don't torture me with such glorious possibilities.
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"Then I'll be going now. I'll come back when it's all over."--Aeris Gainsborough
Yesmar

From the previous topic:

I wonder how many 0 bracket attempts we had this year? TRE will have to report back on the number of 0 brackets after the first match of the contest, because that had the highest prediction percentage so far this contest. I assume most of the 0 brackets after the first match of the contest were actually 0 brackets, rather than Thrall fans picking him over Link.

889 brackets got Link vs Thrall wrong.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST

Well, I think Auron/Squall's still up in the air, but I'm favoring Auron more now than I did pre-contest. I think Squall's beat-down on Akuma is more impressive than what Auron did to Zero, though not by a lot...but when you compare their SFF-matches, I'm much more impressed with what Auron did with Aeris than Squall is doing to Terra, even if this is a new Terra who'll go down with the day-vote. Who expected her not to be doubled, or even close to being doubled? Anybody?

The problem here is that Squall still outdid Auron against Aeris...but between the new format, two and a half years separating them, and a new name for Aeris, their gap is pretty negligible since it meant Auron would get 49.45% on Squall based on her. That's easy enough to turn over by random variations and the changes in format/time/name (though that doesn't mean it WILL), so the match should rightfully be back up in the air.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png

So a question for experts.Let us say Squall ends with 60%.What is the prediction for Squall-Auron?Squall wins by 51-49?And what if he ends with 65,then Squall wins by 53-47?(the numbers are random since that is why I ask the experts to tell what will happen according to stats...)

It's clear Terra has boosted by a lot so this match doesn't say much about Squall. Revan was also a newcomer so we can't use him to determine how strong Terra is.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST

Swap Terra with Crash. That's a night match with Hayabusa followed by a day match with Master Chief. I wonder if Terra could pull that off.

Ooh, scary thought.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png

So a question for experts.Let us say Squall ends with 60%.What is the prediction for Squall-Auron?Squall wins by 51-49?And what if he ends with 65,then Squall wins by 53-47?(the numbers are random since that is why I ask the experts to tell what will happen according to stats...)

This match doesn't really tell us anything since we don't know how much Squall has boosted though if you want to if we use a constant Terra from 2k5 Auron would almost double Squall right now.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 89/112 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Pikachu

*Terra has boosted

not Squall.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 89/112 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Pikachu

I'm amazed by how big this Kefka/Terra/Cecil boost has been. It's pretty incredible... did Dissidia even sell that well?

And Auron/Squall looks much more interesting now, o' course.

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Currently Playing: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Ocarina of Time, Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn

Swap Terra with Crash. That's a night match with Hayabusa followed by a day match with Master Chief. I wonder if Terra could pull that off.

Dude.

Dude.

That's brilliant! And to top it all off, Crash/Revan is a potentially debatable match as well.

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CURRENT BRACKET SCORE: 102.
Next five choices: Squall, Sephiroth, Crono, Big Daddy, Gordon