GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 858

Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 9:34:48 PM | message detail
FACT- If Mega Man can lead Samus for an hour, why not Mario for 5 minutes? Shame that round 4 isn't the sprite round.

I think a better question would be:

FACT/FICTION: Mega Man outperforms Snake on Hayabusa next round
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LOLContests | Posted 3/1/2010 9:35:46 PM | message detail
30% on BL? Zack got 30% on 2008 Link, who's probably stronger than BL. Crono got 45% on Samus last year- he may be a tad overrated there, but 35% on BL is a lot more reasonable for him.

The Samus we saw in 2008 was more on par with 2002-2004 Mario than her previous years. Getting 45% on her in a LFF match, isn't that much better than 33-30 on BL, and combine that with the drop off the CT characters might have taken.

Alucard's numbers are very suspect when taking into account Link's previous match.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 9:36:02 PM | message detail
Sprite round ain't gonna help Mega Man against Mario.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 9:36:04 PM | message detail
Your new name is decent, Albion.

I'd love to see Megaman > Mario at the freeze, but Mario's board vote is really good. It's possible though and Megaman could end with like 47-48% if he resists SFF.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
kinsho3 | Posted 3/1/2010 9:36:22 PM | message detail
Normally, I just lurk around here, but I need to get something explained....

I don't get Luigi. He doesn't seem like the a very strong character, yet he beat Zero in 2006, edged out Ganondorf in 2007, and blew away Bowser in 2008. Is he some sort of master at rSFF or something?
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/1/2010 9:36:50 PM | message detail
also MEGA MAN > MARIO SON

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 9:36:56 PM | message detail
Luigi just lurks in the shadows and strikes when people least expect it!
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/1/2010 9:37:02 PM | message detail
FACT/FICTION: Mega Man outperforms Snake on Hayabusa next round

Fiction, did you see what solid did to Hayabusa two years in a row?
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Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 9:37:09 PM | message detail
Auron 49.4%


Zero 50.6%


TOTAL VOTES: Canada


Zero takes the lead in the greatest country on earth!
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
CronoBrokeNobl9 | Posted 3/1/2010 9:37:17 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #203
Sprite round ain't gonna help Mega Man against Mario.


Its a good thing that its not the sprite round, then! I'd imagine round 4 is when we are gonna start getting those "art" pics again.
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LOLContests | Posted 3/1/2010 9:37:27 PM | message detail
Going by Zero/Crono the round before, he looks pretty close to his 2005/2006 numbers.

Except for the fact that Crono fell off a cliff that year.
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Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 9:37:34 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #208
FACT/FICTION: Mega Man outperforms Snake on Hayabusa next round

Fiction, did you see what solid did to Hayabusa two years in a row?


EXACTLY!
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
Achromatic | Posted 3/1/2010 9:37:48 PM | message detail
Auron 33.33%


Zero 66.67%


TOTAL VOTES: Brazil
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/1/2010 9:38:09 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3820&region=USXWY

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red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 9:39:38 PM | message detail
The Samus we saw in 2008 was more on par with 2002-2004 Mario than her previous years. Getting 45% on her in a LFF match, isn't that much better than 33-30 on BL, and combine that with the drop off the CT characters might have taken.

Samus has been perhaps the most consistent character ever since 2003; why would she suddenly fall off so much? It's not like she looked bad in her other matches, and indeed, she broke 46% on Mario while being at the bottom of Triple SFF. And if you don't like Samus still, Vincent's always been way above 30% on BL too.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 9:40:38 PM | message detail

From: LOLContests | #211
Going by Zero/Crono the round before, he looks pretty close to his 2005/2006 numbers.

Except for the fact that Crono fell off a cliff that year.


Crono and Vincent weren't too far off in 2006.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 9:41:18 PM | message detail
Only a 10 vote gain for Auron that time!
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Hochimihnister | Posted 3/1/2010 9:42:13 PM | message detail
What percent does Squall need to get on Terra for Auron to look like he has a shot?
charmander6000 | Posted 3/1/2010 9:42:48 PM | message detail
What percent does Squall need to get on Terra for Auron to look like he has a shot?

Almost 60%
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Sonic_Factor | Posted 3/1/2010 9:42:59 PM | message detail
Zero is going to start getting owned soon. over 66% in europe wow.. he's over 53% now in NA too, it keeps rising. 55% should be easy.
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hmmmmmmmm
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/1/2010 9:43:03 PM | message detail

From: Hochimihnister | #218
What percent does Squall need to get on Terra for Auron to look like he has a shot?


50.01
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Draco1214 | Posted 3/1/2010 9:43:19 PM | message detail
Squall needs to bomb pretty damn hard at this point.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 9:43:39 PM | message detail
Chart from yesterday's match:

Time | Pikachu | Shepard | Votes
0:05 | 64.67% | 35.33% | 934
1:00 | 60.53% | 39.47% | 9148
2:00 | 60.82% | 39.18% | 7826
3:00 | 60.21% | 39.79% | 7545
4:00 | 59.85% | 40.15% | 8164
5:00 | 61.90% | 38.10% | 7914
6:00 | 61.95% | 38.05% | 7440
7:00 | 61.87% | 38.13% | 7047
8:00 | 62.06% | 37.94% | 6455
9:00 | 60.78% | 39.22% | 5663
10:00 | 59.85% | 40.15% | 5143
11:00 | 62.09% | 37.91% | 4693
12:00 | 60.05% | 39.95% | 3752

Shepard joins Zack as the only two characters to get two best hours! The Shepard Punch demands it!
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vcharon | Posted 3/1/2010 9:43:50 PM | message detail
Europe once again showing how cool they are.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 9:44:14 PM | message detail
I mean, Link is strong and all, but all the near-elites should be above 30% on BL, and probably some of the high midcarders too, depending on how much stronger you think Link is now than in 2003.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/1/2010 9:45:55 PM | message detail
Sonic has reason to nose-dive downward since his games are one continuous ball of suck. Crono is just slowly deteriorating, and even had a port to slow it down a bit. In 2008 he handled L-Block with ease and beat Vincent in a rematch, not to mention having enough strength to make it to the finals through the intense LFF (something Zack couldn't pull off!). 2008 was probably Crono's best year since 2004 or so.

Crono is still likely Top 10, or would be if Missingno hadn't showed up and threatened to dethrone him. Of course, who knows if Missingno will actually be a Top 20 Contender next year, let alone Top 10! WCC went from being close to Tidus to being close to The Boss, and L-Block's a far cry from even his 2008 self!
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Not Wylvane
vcharon | Posted 3/1/2010 9:46:39 PM | message detail
Auron should still rise enough during the night to look respectable. Hopefully this is just a sign that Zero is returning to his old levels.
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creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 9:46:48 PM | message detail
You know, I think the thing most startling to me about all of this is that Fenix *hasn't* dropped off and is actually stable. Wtf.

From: red sox 777 | #1004
I'd love to see Megaman > Mario at the freeze, but Mario's board vote is really good. It's possible though and Megaman could end with like 47-48% if he resists SFF.


I don't think Mario's board vote will be great in that match. It might be a Snake/Fox like thing - favorites seem to have a lot of trouble with the board vote.

I really doubt Mega Man can hit 48% by the end though.

From: kinsho3 | #1005
Normally, I just lurk around here, but I need to get something explained....

I don't get Luigi. He doesn't seem like the a very strong character, yet he beat Zero in 2006, edged out Ganondorf in 2007, and blew away Bowser in 2008. Is he some sort of master at rSFF or something?


Yeah Luigi's strength seems pretty sneaky.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/1/2010 9:47:24 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #223
Chart from yesterday's match:

Time | Pikachu | Shepard | Votes
0:05 | 64.67% | 35.33% | 934
1:00 | 60.53% | 39.47% | 9148
2:00 | 60.82% | 39.18% | 7826
3:00 | 60.21% | 39.79% | 7545
4:00 | 59.85% | 40.15% | 8164
5:00 | 61.90% | 38.10% | 7914
6:00 | 61.95% | 38.05% | 7440
7:00 | 61.87% | 38.13% | 7047
8:00 | 62.06% | 37.94% | 6455
9:00 | 60.78% | 39.22% | 5663
10:00 | 59.85% | 40.15% | 5143
11:00 | 62.09% | 37.91% | 4693
12:00 | 60.05% | 39.95% | 3752

Shepard joins Zack as the only two characters to get two best hours! The Shepard Punch demands it!


Aw yeah, Shepard.
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Not Wylvane
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 9:47:36 PM | message detail
Auron 48.9%


Zero 51.1%


TOTAL VOTES: Canada

Zero now pulling away in Canada

Winter Olympic gods and superior taste. Eat sUcKers
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Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 9:48:52 PM | message detail
Err, eat it
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
Not_Wylvane | Posted 3/1/2010 9:49:11 PM | message detail
It's a shame that Luigi's just wasted against Link! He needs to gradually face competition you'd expect him to lose to, from Zero to Ganondorf.

I think Luigi/Auron could be a good match, actually!
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Not Wylvane
vcharon | Posted 3/1/2010 9:50:51 PM | message detail
So much for Zero pulling away in Canada lulz
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 9:51:52 PM | message detail
Link > Luigi for blowout of the contest aw yeah

*sees horde of angry Luigi fanboys with pitchforks*
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 9:51:55 PM | message detail
Zero would probably be around 54-55% here if it was a full day match. Either Auron is looking to not be anywhere near contention next round or Zero is back to top 15 status.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
vcharon | Posted 3/1/2010 9:53:19 PM | message detail
Well Auron/Squall won't tell us the answer to that because of SFF.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 9:53:39 PM | message detail
There shouldn't be any serious SFF in that match.
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creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 9:53:45 PM | message detail

From: Sonic_Factor | #1060
Zero is going to start getting owned soon. over 66% in europe wow.. he's over 53% now in NA too, it keeps rising. 55% should be easy.


Yeah, we've seen that the board's love for Mega Man this year knows no bounds. Their early votes are up there.

The Snake/Fox thing still confounds me. With how Fox did in the Power Hour you'd think Snake would drop off come morning, but instead his morning vote wasn't even all that lower than his overnight domination.

I mean, since when did Snake become a FF7 character? What's with the early vote/Power Hour vote this year?
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vcharon | Posted 3/1/2010 9:54:24 PM | message detail
No SFF between Auron and Squall? Two "badass" type characters from Final Fantasy?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 9:54:27 PM | message detail
The Power Hour is truly back to being the Nintendo/Mega Man Power Hour, basically. If you're not Nintendo, too bad!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 9:54:41 PM | message detail
Where was the SFF between Squall and Vincent then?
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creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 9:55:26 PM | message detail

From: Wii_TuRtLe | #1155
Zero would probably be around 54-55% here if it was a full day match. Either Auron is looking to not be anywhere near contention next round or Zero is back to top 15 status.


Nah. The day vote wouldn't favor Zero nearly as much as this early vote. Auron's day vote is quite decent. It'd probably be mostly a stalemate from morning on.
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Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 9:55:31 PM | message detail
The important thing here, is it looks like Zero/Dante is debateable once more, and Ryu/Zero by proxy!
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Hochimihnister | Posted 3/1/2010 9:55:38 PM | message detail
There could be SFF. We don't know. Squall did deliver massive SFF to Tidus afer all.
vcharon | Posted 3/1/2010 9:56:00 PM | message detail
Touche, I guess. I still say it existed despite the results; it doesn't necessarily require blowouts of Tidus/Squall proportions to make a case for SFF. Remember what those are initials for... it's clear Squall and Auron share a fanbase and all.
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Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 9:57:14 PM | message detail
SFF isn't a factor in close matches, outside of killing the votals. We saw that in VIncent/Squall, Kirby/Luigi and Kirby/Bowser for example.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 9:57:21 PM | message detail

From: Hochimihnister | #1204
There could be SFF. We don't know. Squall did deliver massive SFF to Tidus afer all.


As if Auron wouldn't :o) That would be even worse.

I'd be pretty surprised if Squall SFFed Auron. Auron should get 47% or more.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 9:57:31 PM | message detail
It won't skew the results or the final stats very much though. They should be relatively accurate.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 3/1/2010 9:58:31 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
106----2------------100.00
105----1------------100.00
104----5------------100.00
103----12----------100.00
102----18----------100.00
101----21----------95.24
100----44----------100.00
99------47----------100.00
98------63----------100.00
97------76----------97.37
96------90----------95.56
95------115--------97.39
94------142--------97.18
93------162--------98.15
92------195--------95.90
91------237--------96.20
90------291--------94.85
89------393--------95.42
88------447--------93.51
87------545--------92.66
86------626--------91.85
85------661--------89.11
84------782--------88.75
83------905--------87.62
82------893--------86.56
81------942--------82.70
80------942--------84.61
79------981--------81.55
78------966--------80.02
77------1013------78.87
76------938--------80.81
75------848--------73.82
74------845--------74.20
73------791--------72.82
72------741--------69.77
71------725--------69.38
70------706--------67.00
69------632--------65.82
68------659--------64.64
67------575--------67.30
66------560--------62.50
65------514--------59.73
64------487--------58.73
63------461--------57.05
62------433--------58.89
61------394--------53.30
60------366--------54.64
59------341--------51.91
58------307--------44.63
57------276--------46.74
56------299--------51.17
55------236--------40.68
54------226--------40.71
53------188--------39.36
52------189--------39.68
51------152--------36.18
50------129--------34.11
49------117--------37.61
48------93----------32.26
47------78----------28.21
46------66----------42.42
45------59----------32.20
44------39----------10.26
43------30----------46.67
42------29----------20.69
41------28----------14.29
40------25----------24.00
39------23----------13.04
38------10----------20.00
37------10----------10.00
36------12----------50.00
35------9------------11.11
34------9------------11.11
33------13----------15.38
32------9------------11.11
31------2------------0.00
30------6------------0.00
29------4------------0.00
28------7------------0.00
27------3------------0.00
26------3------------0.00
25------4------------0.00
24------4------------0.00
23------4------------0.00
22------3------------0.00
21------7------------0.00
20------7------------0.00
19------12----------0.00
18------5------------0.00
17------8------------0.00
16------7------------0.00
15------9------------0.00
14------6------------0.00
13------7------------0.00
12------10----------0.00
11------11----------0.00
10------8------------0.00
9--------6------------0.00
8--------13----------0.00
7--------9------------0.00
6--------4------------0.00
5--------8------------0.00
4--------7------------14.29
3--------21----------0.00
2--------11----------0.00
1--------32----------0.00
0--------26----------0.00

The overall prediction percentage isn't bad. It's the highest prediction percentage in Round 2 that isn't held by a 1 seed. The top tiers do well but we still lose a -13 bracket.

1 person fell off the Top 50. TheOathkeeper15 didn't have Pikachu winning the match.
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creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 9:58:43 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #1205
Remember what those are initials for... it's clear Squall and Auron share a fanbase and all.


What are you trying to get at here? SFF as we use it means someone is disproportionately favored by that fanbase. Everyone shares a fanbase.
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