GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 857

RPGuy96 | Posted 3/1/2010 2:35:03 PM | message detail
Well, then, we've arrived at a conclusion, haven't we?
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Mustache...and Green...
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 2:35:45 PM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #399
Well, you seem disinclined to read what TRE posted, prompting approximately 10 people to correct you. Form your own conclusions!


But idiots can't form their own--

God dammit Harrich
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 3/1/2010 2:36:17 PM | message detail
Where/what for?

UBC, Computer Engineering.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 2:36:17 PM | message detail
Hey I thought I was dumb for the Samus/Mario stuff, at least now I have a better reason. Movin' on up.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 3/1/2010 2:36:33 PM | message detail
I just got back from playing the Edgeworth game, so I'm in the right state of mind to point out the contradiction in your post:

Idiots can form conclusions! They just won't be good, insightful, or worth spending time dwelling on.

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voltch | Posted 3/1/2010 2:36:56 PM | message detail
BT's brain functions slower than a 100 year old Turtle moves.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 2:37:41 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #403
Where/what for?

UBC, Computer Engineering.


LOL

Yeah anyone who thinks you sit around doing nothing all day doesn't have a clue. Takes a special kind of guy to be a computer engineer, good luck with it.
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HaRRicH | Posted 3/1/2010 2:38:15 PM | message detail
HEYOOOO! =)

Talking about stuff that'd be fun to see, something I've meant to do for myself for awhile is try to find the very first post each of us made in an archived topic. I'm pretty sure one of my first points in these topics was calling Magus's four-pack in 2003 over-rated, though there wasn't real evidence at the time for it like in 2005 when Leon nailed it.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 2:40:59 PM | message detail
I did this awhile ago, let me go find it.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 2:42:45 PM | message detail
Oh yeah, Ngamer's site skips from Part 1 to Part 10. I'm positive there are posts in there it missed.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 2:42:54 PM | message detail
Missed from me, that is.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/1/2010 2:47:38 PM | message detail
Harrich, I'd try doing that if I could get my hands on the archive easily.

TRE, any chance of putting up a .tar.gz of all the stats topics or would that be way too big?
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Mustache...and Green...
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 2:48:43 PM | message detail
UBC eh?

So you smoke weed while sitting around all day!
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 3/1/2010 2:49:41 PM | message detail
Oh yeah, Ngamer's site skips from Part 1 to Part 10. I'm positive there are posts in there it missed.

That's a problem with how the site sorts pages. You'll find Part 2 between Part 19 and Part 20. Parts 3, 6-8, 27-28, 32, 35 and some later topics were never archived, though.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
voltch | Posted 3/1/2010 2:51:20 PM | message detail
Is there a way to figure out what was the first topic a user has ever posted in?
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 2:55:12 PM | message detail
LOL, from Part 2. My first-ever stat topic post:

From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 7/11/2003 12:24:27 AM | Message Detail
Solar, I love you. I even read the entire writeup on LAST year`s topic, and was enthralled. It`s about damned time I can actually post in your topic and have it actually mean something :)

Anyway, I know I`m looking ahead, but how do you see the MC/Felix match? Personally, I`ve never played Halo, and still think MC will beat both Felix AND Aeris. He should have no problems with Felix, Aeris` popularity has been on the steady decline for years, and Halo`s popularity is vastly, vastly underestimated. He could be a dark horse until Sonic, or he could lose in the first round. Who in the hell knows. We have nothing from last year to compare him with. But if he`s a 3 seed, then he got a whole hell of a lot of nominations from SOMEWHERE, didn`t he?

Furthermore, there are the matters of the West. I don`t think Knuckles should have many problems with Yuna. She`s more hated than Tidus, and Knuckles literally rivals Sonic as THE most popular character from the series. Does Knuckles carry the flag for Sega? Hell no. But does he have the same following of fans. You`d better believe it. I don`t even think that match will be close, personally. If Ganondorf can beat Tidus, then Knuckles should be able to smoke Yuna. After all, who DIDN`T own a Sega along with their Nintendo/SNES back in the day?

And then, there`s Lara/Zelda. I may have made a mistake in picking Lara to win, but then again, Zelda is just the dumb ***** you have to save in every game. Saying Zelda would win is like saying Princess Peach would be able to beat Lara, and sorry, but Peach would get killed, easily. Lara also has a movie coming out, and you can see Angelina Jolie in every magazine/newspaper by this point advertizing it. Furthermore, a lot of people on gamefaqs (not ALL of them, so don`t go getting offended by this) don`t have much of a social life, which inevitably leads to porn-surfing. I guarantee you that they`ve looked up Angelina Jolie at least once or twice. You think that won`t matter for Lara Croft? Think agian.



What an AWFUL post. I remember my ` days, too. So bad.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 2:56:49 PM | message detail
Lara > Zelda is my all-time stupidest pick, ever.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 3/1/2010 2:56:50 PM | message detail
Can't discuss that on GameFAQs, Wii_TuRtLe. <_<

TRE, any chance of putting up a .tar.gz of all the stats topics or would that be way too big?

I think it was something like 300MB even if you cut out everything except the HTML files. The other problem is on rare occations I accidently saved the topic with my mod account. I edited the files to remove the mod only stuff before I uploaded to the stats archive, but I deleted the edited version after uploading them. It'll take me some time to hunt down and remove all of that.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 2:57:39 PM | message detail
TRE is literally the last guy in the stats topic I'd expect to try illegal drugs, which would make it all the more funny if he ever took the plunge.
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Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 3:04:56 PM | message detail
Weed is hardly illegal, and in BC it's almost expected for everyone under 30 to be constantly high. We're a lot more liberal about marijuana in Canada. Actually, I'd be surprised if there were any Canadian LLers who have never tried weed.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 3:08:13 PM | message detail
Well it's legal medicinally in a couple states (California has pot dispensaries everywhere now), but yeah. America is ass backwards when it comes to weed. The only reason it's illegal is because hemp is cheaper in textiles, so the distributors want to make more money making textiles and paper and such from more expensive products. The negative PR surrounding weed has nothing at all to do with health concerns, it's all a scam.
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voltch | Posted 3/1/2010 3:16:25 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #416
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 7/11/2003 12:24:27 AM | Message Detail
Solar, I love you. I even read the entire writeup on LAST year`s topic, and was enthralled. It`s about damned time I can actually post in your topic and have it actually mean something :)

Anyway, I know I`m looking ahead, but how do you see the MC/Felix match? Personally, I`ve never played Halo, and still think MC will beat both Felix AND Aeris. He should have no problems with Felix, Aeris` popularity has been on the steady decline for years, and Halo`s popularity is vastly, vastly underestimated. He could be a dark horse until Sonic, or he could lose in the first round. Who in the hell knows. We have nothing from last year to compare him with. But if he`s a 3 seed, then he got a whole hell of a lot of nominations from SOMEWHERE, didn`t he?

Furthermore, there are the matters of the West. I don`t think Knuckles should have many problems with Yuna. She`s more hated than Tidus, and Knuckles literally rivals Sonic as THE most popular character from the series. Does Knuckles carry the flag for Sega? Hell no. But does he have the same following of fans. You`d better believe it. I don`t even think that match will be close, personally. If Ganondorf can beat Tidus, then Knuckles should be able to smoke Yuna. After all, who DIDN`T own a Sega along with their Nintendo/SNES back in the day?

And then, there`s Lara/Zelda. I may have made a mistake in picking Lara to win, but then again, Zelda is just the dumb ***** you have to save in every game. Saying Zelda would win is like saying Princess Peach would be able to beat Lara, and sorry, but Peach would get killed, easily. Lara also has a movie coming out, and you can see Angelina Jolie in every magazine/newspaper by this point advertizing it. Furthermore, a lot of people on gamefaqs (not ALL of them, so don`t go getting offended by this) don`t have much of a social life, which inevitably leads to porn-surfing. I guarantee you that they`ve looked up Angelina Jolie at least once or twice. You think that won`t matter for Lara Croft? Think agian.


Man who is this guy?

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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 3/1/2010 3:20:11 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #416
Personally, I`ve never played Halo, and still think MC will beat both Felix AND Aeris.


Oh geez
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/1/2010 3:21:41 PM | message detail
That`s quite a post, isn`t it?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 3:27:54 PM | message detail
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 7/12/2003 1:06:08 AM | Message Detail
It`s a fact that when two Nintendo icons go at it, the fans will choose the hero over the villain. Expect Mario/DK results once Bowser and Yoshi go at it.


Ulti's second post worse than his first!

And creative, you had Yuna > Snake in 2003?
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voltch | Posted 3/1/2010 3:28:54 PM | message detail
SFF had not been coined back then had it.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 3:30:17 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #425
From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 7/12/2003 1:06:08 AM | Message Detail
It`s a fact that when two Nintendo icons go at it, the fans will choose the hero over the villain. Expect Mario/DK results once Bowser and Yoshi go at it.


Ulti's second post worse than his first!

And creative, you had Yuna > Snake in 2003?


XFD I was so stupid back then.

yeah ib"lol nothing changed xfddddddddddddd" hur hur hur epic burn guy
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Dawkplex | Posted 3/1/2010 3:30:41 PM | message detail
truth =/= burn

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red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 3:31:08 PM | message detail
To be fair, most everyone thought Yoshi would take that on the basis of the favorite Mario character poll.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 3:31:29 PM | message detail
Part 1: Among top-tier characters

Who will be considered top tier in this: Mario, Link, Samus, Megaman, Cloud, Sephiroth, Crono, Magus

(Don't whine if your favorite is not in this (like Snake and Vercetti), I'm trying to be as objective and realistic as possible.)


Aw yeah, everyone's expectations of Magus
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 3:31:53 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #429
To be fair, most everyone thought Yoshi would take that on the basis of the favorite Mario character poll.


Yeah, but saying it would be akin to Mario/DK was the silly part!
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 3:32:17 PM | message detail
Not as silly as Yoshi > Cloud!
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/1/2010 3:32:22 PM | message detail
Sonic still left out of the conversation 7 years ago!
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paulg235 | Posted 3/1/2010 3:34:18 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #380
paulg235 - 236


Damnit, one post too many! Would've been epic if that was 235.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 3:37:53 PM | message detail

From: KleenexTissue50 | #433
Sonic still left out of the conversation 7 years ago!


Yeah, but solarshadow said he thought Sonic should be a slight favorite over Cloud in response to that post!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 3:40:17 PM | message detail
From: Slowflake | Posted: 7/23/2003 6:08:15 AM | Message Detail
Why not Magus? He did as well against Sam Fisher as Crono did against Dante, and the approximate equality of these two opponents isn't too far-fetched.


Poor Dante.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 3:41:31 PM | message detail
Sam Fisher is definitely more impressive than Bomberman, and probably moreso than Tails as well. There can be little doubt that Magus >> Alucard.

Also good!
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 3:42:33 PM | message detail
Pre-xstats posts are the best.
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 3:44:55 PM | message detail
Someday, after Chrono 3, KH3, and SSB4, all of which will feature him, Magus will trounce Sonic. Someday!
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 3:46:30 PM | message detail
From: solarshadow | Posted: 7/25/2003 3:52:49 PM | Message Detail
Slowflake's miracle prediction has given me the perfect opportunity to offer you guys a sneak preview of a competition I was hoping to run (assuming I have enough time). It's inspired partially by MMXcalibur's Prophet Challenge, Ringworm's betting topics, and nearly every prediction post I've ever seen. The basic idea is to predict not just the winner of each match, but the percentage of the votes they will get. The aim is to see who can most accurately gauge each character's popularity. Okay, so we all knew Sephiroth would beat Raziel, giving everyone 1 point in their bracket. But Slowflake predicted the exact vote split, which is much better than I would have done. :) So I'm hoping this competition will reward those who can most accurately predict the outcome of each match.

The competition is tentatively called "The Oracle Challenge" (because MMX already took "Prophet"). ;) The basic scoring model is that everyone can earn up to 50 points for each match. If you pick the winner and guess exactly right (like Slowflake) you get 50 points. If you're off by 2% I subtract 2 points, giving you 48. If you're off by 9.5% you get 40.5 points. Etc. If you pick the wrong character you'll usually get 0 points, although you may get still get a few in relatively close matches (based on a formula I'll explain later).

So, that's the basic idea. I'm hoping to start it at the beginning of the second round. And hopefully I'll have enough time to run this as well as keep up with the stats. :)

Feedback is welcome. If this is a dumb idea, I'd like to know. ;)


The legend begins!
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voltch | Posted 3/1/2010 3:49:00 PM | message detail
whoa, CS&D history by prof Ulti and Doc Leon.
This is actually pretty interesting when taking single posts to analyse.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/1/2010 3:49:58 PM | message detail
Dumb idea indeed.
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 3/1/2010 3:50:20 PM | message detail
I take it no one said it was a dumb idea!

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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 3:56:07 PM | message detail
Oh man, we're getting into my favorite match of all-time!

Match #36 Preview

Kind of a breather here. I stand firm on my prediction here: the Ratchet Rebound is sure puzzling, but Mario scored 75% against a total loser last year, and look where it took him. We can use last year's Snake vs. Squall as a reference: where is Luigi compared to Snake, and how much popularity did Squall earn with Kingdom Hearts? Is this enough to give Squall the 15% needed for the win? I doubt it. Snake's a big name and all, but it's freakin' Luigi. And, even if he's a bit below Snake, it still gives him a lot of points to play with. Squall beat Jill, but he didn't destroy her. And in retrospect, Jill's wins over Kirby and Bomberman weren't THAT impressive, and neither did her destruction at the hands of Link. So Squall whacking a weak opponent could have been what really happened in round 1. If you're still not sure Luigi can take Squall, I'll take it from the other side: is Luigi worth 10% over Jill? I think he's worth even more. So while I think Luigi will win, he'll have a very tough time getting 60%.

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 3:58:09 PM | message detail
The 2003 contest would have been hilarious if X-Stats existed.
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voltch | Posted 3/1/2010 3:59:49 PM | message detail
Man the further back you go the more kirby looks like a joke compared to today.
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Smashnuke | Posted 3/1/2010 3:59:51 PM | message detail
... Oh man. I'm going to be facepalming so hard when it comes time for Sephiroth/Vincent a few days for now, from the looks of things.
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Stuff
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 3/1/2010 3:59:57 PM | message detail
To be fair, he did have a tough time getting 60%!
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 3/1/2010 4:02:51 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #445
The 2003 contest would have been hilarious if X-Stats existed.


CN used his private stats to dominate the Oracle that year. He was one of the earliest to predict Cloud > Link, too. That's why they became such a fixture.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 4:03:24 PM | message detail
I remember.
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