GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 857

creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 4:07:39 PM | message detail
In a bit of extreme irony, I'm #4 right now both in the Oracle and overall. More ironically this is due to me picking Ryu in my bracket and making a last minute switch to Dante in my Oracle.

Looks like a so-so performance by Snake yesterday - I expected better of him in a night match, but I was likely underestimating Fox. Strange how much the board vote favored Fox though. Guess Snake is below Nintendo in the board's preference hierarchy.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/1/2010 4:11:34 PM | message detail
Heh, I'm 15th (contest) and 17th (Oracle). I'm about three Oracle points short of going for the double.
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Mustache...and Green...
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/1/2010 4:12:05 PM | message detail
I think we're becoming something of Oracle rivals. Weren't we tangoing the whole time last year? =)
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voltch | Posted 3/1/2010 4:14:27 PM | message detail
CN dominated with a weapon called X-stats? man the stuff of legends, its like he was using a jet engine while everyone was stuck on the old WWI planes.
I wish I was older back then, I'd have been able to make an account.
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Shakes Fist!
creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 4:16:44 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #2253
I think we're becoming something of Oracle rivals. Weren't we tangoing the whole time last year? =)


Hmph, apparently so. Looks like you just edged me out for 5th.

Hopefully I'll just edge you first 1st this time then :) If Iamthekuzalol ever decides end his seemingly eternal run at first.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 4:17:30 PM | message detail
From: Leonhart4 | Posted: 8/31/2003 12:41:55 PM | Message Detail
I wouldn't expect the bracket voters would play much of a factor at all. Most people are out of the running anyway, and what's it gonna help them if Link wins it all? Most of the people ahead of them are gonna have Link, too. If anything, the bracket voters will be as insignificant as they've ever been. Only the people strongly in contention would vote Link for their bracket's sake.


The beginning of a legend!
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/1/2010 4:18:57 PM | message detail
oh lord I missed something awesome

...I think I had too many random accounts running around to make an accurate showing of my post totals, but how many posts did I make between WarThaNemesis, this account, and..I dunno, Warsola TRE?
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 4:19:57 PM | message detail
Aw yeah Cloud > Link. That was the first time I ever got on the leaderboard, after that match. Too bad I have Mario winning the last 2 matches of the contest!
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Karma Hunter | Posted 3/1/2010 4:20:03 PM | message detail
Nice showing from Shepard today, and definitely demonstrates he got a big boost from ME2 - the rat was just out of his league. Hopefully this quiets down the speculation that Dante loses to Pik- oh who am I kidding
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red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 4:20:48 PM | message detail
Er....I had Mario winning the last two matches of that contest. I don't have Mario winning this contest.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/1/2010 4:21:59 PM | message detail
Hopefully this quiets down the speculation that Dante loses to Pik- oh who am I kidding

More like Shepard should beat Protoman 60-40. Watch out!
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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 3/1/2010 4:22:52 PM | message detail
obviously shepard > Ezio

so Pikachu > Zelda

and Zelda > Dante

so Pikachu > Snake


I may have skipped a few steps there and made some stuff up, but it seems pretty solid.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 3/1/2010 4:23:31 PM | message detail
I see what you did there.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 4:24:32 PM | message detail
From: red sox 777 | Posted: 9/10/2003 1:41:39 PM | Message Detail
My Proposed 2004 Bracket:

North:
1. Cloud
2. Mario
3. Sonic
4. Ganondorf

East:
1. Mega Man
2. Crono
3. Aeris
4. Magus

South:
1. Sephiroth
2. Samus
3. Tidus
4. Bowser

West:
1. Link
2. Snake
3. Frog
4. Squall


Another legend begins!
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
red sox 777 | Posted 3/1/2010 4:27:12 PM | message detail
Actually, my first post was, if I remember correctly anyway, much much worse than that, in fact downright embarassing. I bumped a stats topic without posting any content.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/1/2010 4:31:42 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #465
Actually, my first post was, if I remember correctly anyway, much much worse than that, in fact downright embarassing. I bumped a stats topic without posting any content.


Mine was something along the lines of "I'm really looking forward to this contest!"
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 3/1/2010 4:32:36 PM | message detail
...I think I had too many random accounts running around to make an accurate showing of my post totals, but how many posts did I make between WarThaNemesis, this account, and..I dunno, Warsola TRE?

WarThaNemesis - 0
WarThaNemesis2 - 360
Warsola - 0
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
RPGuy96 | Posted 3/1/2010 4:34:43 PM | message detail
My first post was probably arguing for FFT over MGS? I remember getting into debates about that (I brought up FFT's seeding advantage!) but I don't know if it was in the stats topic or not.
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Mustache...and Green...
creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 4:36:46 PM | message detail
Finally found where this old stats topic discussion began. Everybody loves nostalgia :)

From: Team Rocket Elite | #1605
LeonhartFour - 2775
Lightslayer987, MyWorldIsCrono, Cyclo_Reaper - 1677 total
red sox 777 - 1331
voltch - 687
Fayt_Esteed - 469
creativename - 249
XxSoulxX - 190
ZenOfThunder - 181


Only 5 posts/topic for me during contest season? Seems off, but I guess there's days where I don't post anything, so that must bring the average down.

And whoa at Leon having more than 10% of the posts! I couldn't break a measly 1% :\ Although I was close...!
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creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 4:40:58 PM | message detail
From glancing over the bracket, the only debatable match left this round is Big Daddy/Ness? (I got BD there but Ness might pull it off, especially if that ugly pic actually hurts BD)

Round 3 has a bunch though, starting with Sonic/Bacondorf.
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voltch | Posted 3/1/2010 4:45:57 PM | message detail
I think I started my career as the shy dude asking question, after question, after question.
I still don't have all the answers to this day though.
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creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 4:46:17 PM | message detail
Where are people finding their first posts from? I just looked at Ngamer's archive and couldn't find the old topics.

I did find this seeding comparison of 2K2 to 2K3 though -
http://www.thengamer.com/gamefaqs/03Summer/02-03compare.html

Pretty interesting. My favorite part -

Of course, the strangest rebound of the first-round exits has to be Squall. The most-hated main character in Final Fantasy history managed less votes against Snake than Knuckles (seed 8 this year) and even less than Aeris (seed 11), but he rose almost as high as Kirby to land in front of Auron. Which probably brands this contest a fraud to half the FF fans out there automatically

Heh. Just checked and Auron actually managed a decent place in the x-stats that year despite being SFFed by Cloud.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 4:46:46 PM | message detail
I hate any match featuring Ness. I never know what to expect from that stupid kid.
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voltch | Posted 3/1/2010 4:47:44 PM | message detail
Next year please just feed Ness To a Noble niner so we don't have to go through his matches again.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 3/1/2010 4:48:33 PM | message detail
Oh hey, this match gave us a vote from Greenland. That doesn't happen often.

...No idea why I noticed that
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
meche313 | Posted 3/1/2010 4:48:49 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #455
Hmph, apparently so. Looks like you just edged me out for 5th.

Hopefully I'll just edge you first 1st this time then :) If Iamthekuzalol ever decides end his seemingly eternal run at first.


Hey creative I heard that! You don't need to worry though: I'm taking over first place tonight. =P
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 5:05:50 PM | message detail
You know, this next half of the division would have been awesome in 2003 or 2004. Squall/Aerith/Zero/Auron in one half of a division? That 4-pack would have been heavily debated back then.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
charmander6000 | Posted 3/1/2010 5:23:06 PM | message detail
UBC, Computer Engineering.

TRE goes to the same University as I? You mean we could have passed each other on the street and not even know it?


Also I'm way behind Leon over the past 50 topics, looks like I need to kick it to hyperdrive.
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Character Battle VIII - 89/112 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Pikachu
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 5:23:19 PM | message detail
So what does Auron need on Zero to look good going into his match with Squall?
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/1/2010 5:24:02 PM | message detail
You know, this next half of the division would have been awesome in 2003 or 2004. Squall/Aerith/Zero/Auron in one half of a division? That 4-pack would have been heavily debated back then.

Funny enough Zero > Aerith would have been the favourite.
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Character Battle VIII - 89/112 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Pikachu
charmander6000 | Posted 3/1/2010 5:24:43 PM | message detail
If Auron can break 60% I would say that the match could go either way.
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Character Battle VIII - 89/112 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Pikachu
Xuxon | Posted 3/1/2010 5:34:52 PM | message detail
62% is where he'd actually look good to me, though I'd be worried if he broke 60.
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 3/1/2010 5:35:02 PM | message detail
oh man guyz it's the first official artwork of Red

http://img709.imageshack.us/img709/3972/p1070145s3678065.jpg

we gotta use this guyz
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RPGuy96 | Posted 3/1/2010 5:40:18 PM | message detail
Using 43% for Squall/Snake and 33% for Zero/Snake, Squall would be expected to get a bit short of 62%. But Zero's probably better off than last year, and going through their matches with Fenix Auron's only supposed to get 56%. My Oracle is 59% and I'll be satisfied with anything around that range and excited if he goes higher.
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Mustache...and Green...
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 5:46:19 PM | message detail
I think last year's stats predicted a 62% win for Auron, but Zero probably just had a down year last year. I'm willing to admit that. It seems to happen.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 3/1/2010 5:58:12 PM | message detail
Zero absolutely had a down year. There was a Mega Man in the way! Not to mention the Badass SFF in round 2 and the lol haybusa in round 1
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charmander6000 | Posted 3/1/2010 6:01:31 PM | message detail
Let's use the 2004 x-stats and take Zero > Solid Snake.
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Character Battle VIII - 89/112 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Pikachu
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 6:04:51 PM | message detail
BT's opinion on Mega Man is moot.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 3/1/2010 6:04:55 PM | message detail
Wait how did Gordon Freeman disappoint again? I actually expected him to lose, and realistically his ceiling was 56%. You didn't think the Gamespot contest would actually boost him, right?
creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 6:09:40 PM | message detail
Zero should do pretty well, the whole Mega Man franchise has looked real good, starting with Protoman. And Zero was just awful last year.

Let's not forget the guy used to be pretty strong.
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 3/1/2010 6:23:42 PM | message detail
Show your support for Zero by rating his pic!!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53720325
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(|| ' ' ||) Visio Vestri - Character Battle VIII Fanfiction Project
. /|_|\ http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53091233
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 3/1/2010 6:41:34 PM | message detail
As long as Auron can break 58-59% on Zero, I am inclined to think that Auron/Squall will be a good match. Zero seemed to have bounced back in strength by a little judging from his last match and Protoman/MM are looking great so far.
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therealmnm | Posted 3/1/2010 6:43:21 PM | message detail
28 years old today. I'm officially an old bastard now.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 6:44:59 PM | message detail
Where is that Zero picture even from?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 6:50:51 PM | message detail
Capcom vs. Tatsunoko
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
creativename | Posted 3/1/2010 6:52:52 PM | message detail
Anybody remember what Zero's trends are like overnight? Auron should benefit a bit from the night match right?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 6:54:14 PM | message detail
Zero's trends are just like Mega Man's. He'll do very well the first few hours until Europe wakes up, and then Auron should hurt him pretty badly.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 3/1/2010 6:55:12 PM | message detail
Higher amount of results whining today than usual. This was not a hard match.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 6:55:48 PM | message detail
I imagine this is as good of an idea of how it's going to go as any:

Time | Mega Man | ZackFAQs | Votes
0:05 | 64.45% | 35.55% | 1336
1:00 | 64.59% | 35.41% | 9748
2:00 | 63.94% | 36.06% | 5990
3:00 | 62.21% | 37.79% | 4364
4:00 | 59.50% | 40.50% | 3237
5:00 | 57.08% | 42.92% | 2635
6:00 | 56.22% | 43.78% | 2510
7:00 | 57.52% | 42.48% | 3140
8:00 | 59.50% | 40.50% | 3664
9:00 | 61.35% | 38.65% | 4098
10:00 | 62.47% | 37.53% | 4325
11:00 | 62.37% | 37.63% | 4507
12:00 | 62.54% | 37.46% | 4173
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
LeonhartFour | Posted 3/1/2010 6:55:58 PM | message detail
Squall > Auron
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."