GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Hockey Discussion - Part 856

Hochimihnister | Posted 2/28/2010 9:08:29 PM | message detail
Seriously, Squall would be doing better than this against Fox.
LOLContests | Posted 2/28/2010 9:08:44 PM | message detail
*won the early vote that is.
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"It's a bloody convention out there! "--Captain MacMillan
Yesmar
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/28/2010 9:09:12 PM | message detail

From: Chaotic Mind | #395
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B_MW65XxS7s


awwwww yeah. Melodramatic villain who only speaks in anime cliches with a legion of irritating fanboys he might be, but he has a cool character design AND an awesome song.
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
Hochimihnister | Posted 2/28/2010 9:10:00 PM | message detail
This might sound like a stupid question, but why does everyone assume the board as a whole is rabidly Nintendo? For example, when asked what your job is "I'm a high school student" won the board vote, and Board 8 skews older than that.


"Board vote" just means early vote. There are only like 50 votes that come from board 8 regulars in the opening
Master Moltar | Posted 2/28/2010 9:10:18 PM | message detail
c'mon night vote
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Snake > Fox (90/112)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/28/2010 9:10:26 PM | message detail

From: EternalxCourage | #398
Hmmm...

Squall (2007c) has a strength of 35.43 against Base Link.
Fox (2007c) has a strength of 23.93 against Base Link.

Squall 66.23% 99,714
Fox 33.77% 50,845
TOTAL VOTES 150,560

Squall wins with 66.23% of the vote!


Yeah, it's not like Fox faced Mario there or something.

Or had a clean match at all in 2007.

This will be the first clean read on Fox since 2002.
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EternalxCourage | Posted 2/28/2010 9:10:48 PM | message detail
Uh yeah Squall would be doing better -- let me post again!

Squall (2007c) has a strength of 35.43 against Base Link.
Fox (2007c) has a strength of 23.93 against Base Link.

Squall 66.23% 99,714
Fox 33.77% 50,845
TOTAL VOTES 150,560

Squall wins with 66.23% of the vote!


More like Sephiroth/MissingNo vs. Squall????
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Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 2/28/2010 9:11:04 PM | message detail
Seriously though... Squall > Snake is not happening. Ever. Choose another upset that's remotely possible.
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 19th
Today's prediction: Snake - 67.10% Status:
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/28/2010 9:11:09 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #406
Yeah, it's not like Fox faced Mario there or something.

Or had a clean match at all in 2007.

This will be the first clean read on Fox since 2002.


WTF I thought you'd be defending that quick X-stat there >_>
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Currently NOT on the CBVIII Leaderboard v_v
Dante > Cloud: ITS NOT HAPPENING
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/28/2010 9:11:19 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
102----4------------50.00
101----2------------50.00
100----9------------33.33
99------22----------50.00
98------37----------32.43
97------35----------28.57
96------59----------33.90
95------58----------39.66
94------68----------33.82
93------90----------44.44
92------121--------38.84
91------143--------45.45
90------152--------43.42
89------201--------43.28
88------228--------50.44
87------317--------40.38
86------391--------46.80
85------491--------44.20
84------551--------44.28
83------641--------44.46
82------780--------44.36
81------827--------38.81
80------863--------40.67
79------952--------43.59
78------978--------40.70
77------986--------42.39
76------957--------40.23
75------1049------41.37
74------992--------41.33
73------921--------43.87
72------853--------42.20
71------801--------40.82
70------856--------42.99
69------777--------43.63
68------728--------37.09
67------683--------40.26
66------700--------34.14
65------628--------37.74
64------590--------35.25
63------542--------31.37
62------527--------30.55
61------489--------33.13
60------446--------31.61
59------426--------28.87
58------379--------31.13
57------312--------25.32
56------331--------25.98
55------301--------24.25
54------273--------20.15
53------246--------24.80
52------222--------27.93
51------186--------20.43
50------198--------23.23
49------147--------17.69
48------115--------20.87
47------108--------17.59
46------90----------18.89
45------74----------13.51
44------60----------20.00
43------51----------15.69
42------41----------24.39
41------31----------22.58
40------32----------9.38
39------29----------10.34
38------17----------5.88
37------17----------5.88
36------12----------8.33
35------11----------9.09
34------11----------18.18
33------9------------11.11
32------8------------0.00
31------9------------33.33
30------9------------22.22
29------4------------25.00
28------7------------0.00
27------4------------25.00
26------4------------0.00
25------3------------0.00
24------2------------0.00
23------4------------25.00
22------5------------0.00
21------7------------0.00
20------7------------0.00
19------13----------0.00
18------5------------0.00
17------8------------0.00
16------7------------0.00
15------9------------0.00
14------5------------0.00
13------7------------0.00
12------11----------9.09

Everyone with a score of 11 or less got it wrong.

The top tiers took a hit from this one. The -8s, -9s and -11s actually do quite well and hit 50%. The -10s, -12s and lower don't fare as well with prediction percentage around 30. As you go down a bit, the prediction percentage actually rises to 40 before fading away.

18 people fell off the Top 50. HopefulDeath, Draco1214, Biggoron5, 19001900, articuno2001, Dan_Kirby, Xeybozn, RBZelenka, edgewalker16, DarkFalconX, running_lemon, pezzicle, Alastah98, bsmart08, YoboD, Consolesonlyalt, Jinjo802 and Glucose7 did not have Ryu winning.

12 people got it wrong but survived. Former second place Evil_REmade, Saxophoninator, cyanlce, vash_131, andylt, Jman_gamerX8, nintendogirl1, ToadYoshi, TeamRocketElite, Iamthekuzalol, Sonic_Factor and Chinballz also didn't have Ryu winning.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
red sox 777 | Posted 2/28/2010 9:11:20 PM | message detail
Right now it's looking like Snake will end up projected to get about the same on Laharl as Yoshi, Dante, and Ganondorf got.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/28/2010 9:11:27 PM | message detail
This might sound like a stupid question, but why does everyone assume the board as a whole is rabidly Nintendo? For example, when asked what your job is "I'm a high school student" won the board vote, and Board 8 skews older than that.

Interesting. I don't remember that poll.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/28/2010 9:11:31 PM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #409
WTF I thought you'd be defending that quick X-stat there >_>


I'm not Albion, dude.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/28/2010 9:11:34 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3818&region=GB

What is it with these guys
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 2/28/2010 9:11:52 PM | message detail
I don't know if this is Snake losing his board vote. Proto Man was obviously going to be a board favorite and there was some obvious voting for him because we knew he'd lose anyway (I did it), and Fox will have a strong board vote from being Nintendo/Smash Bros. I don't think the Smash Bros. board vote boost that Snake got has worn off, I just think he's up against characters that will SFF his board vote back to pre-2008 levels. When he gets to Squall we'll see how his board vote holds up.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/28/2010 9:11:57 PM | message detail
Nice 1% gain for Snake there.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/28/2010 9:12:01 PM | message detail
Squall > Snake bandwagon all aboard.
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Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/28/2010 9:12:09 PM | message detail

From: GrapefruitKing | #408
Seriously though... Squall > Snake is not happening. Ever. Choose another upset that's remotely possible.


I'd consider Squall > Snake more likely than Snake > Sephiroth at this point!
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Not Wylvane
Zenithian Legend | Posted 2/28/2010 9:12:16 PM | message detail
Wow, did Dante seriously lose? There goes my second division runner-up character. Looks like this just wasn't my tournament. :-(

Stunning Ryu still had enough Mustard to pull this one off. I think he's going to win against Leon too.
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~Dammit the Karma Boost blasted me over 3000, no milestone post for me.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/28/2010 9:12:39 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #413
I'm not Albion, dude.


Oh goody. Because theres fanboyism and then there's just stupidity :p
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Currently NOT on the CBVIII Leaderboard v_v
Ryu > Dante ALL DAY SOOOOOOON
paraboxx | Posted 2/28/2010 9:13:08 PM | message detail
*checks his bracket to see that beautiful green on Ryu's name*

Booya! That's what I'm talking a-

*sees Cloud vs. Snake in his semis*

....****
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/28/2010 9:13:16 PM | message detail
Squall > Snake bandwagon let's do this.

I wanna see that delicious Sephiroth vs. Squall match so Leonhart can suffer. =)
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
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EternalxCourage | Posted 2/28/2010 9:13:23 PM | message detail
Seriously though... Squall > Snake is not happening. Ever. Choose another upset that's remotely possible.

Uh...arguably the 10th strongest character beating one of the defunct Noble 9 is an upset that could never happen? Especially after Snake is allowing Fox to get close to 40% on him in a NIGHT match?
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Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 2/28/2010 9:13:26 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3818&region=GB

What is it with these guys


The U.K. is full of furries, hence their Sonic love.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/28/2010 9:13:56 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #422
Squall > Snake bandwagon let's do this.

I wanna see that delicious Sephiroth vs. Squall match so Leonhart can suffer. =)


If you really think seeing Squall lose a match he's supposed to lose bothers me, think again!

There's a reason Squall/Vincent is the worst match ever!
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
charmander6000 | Posted 2/28/2010 9:14:40 PM | message detail
Top 10 Changes

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Pokemon Trainer Red – 50.16% vs. Revolver Ocelot – 49.84% (R1) – 0.32%
2. Missingno – 50.29% vs. Crono – 49.71% (R1) – 0.58%
3. Ken – 50.32% vs. Albert Wesker – 49.68% (R1) – 0.64%
4. Ryu – 50.35% vs. Dante – 49.65% (R2) – 0.70%
5. Ike – 51.55% vs. Zidane Tribal – 48.45% (R2) – 3.10%
6. Knuckles the Echidna – 52.00% vs. Cecil Harvey – 48.00% (R1) – 4.00%
7. The Boss – 52.37% vs. Nathan Drake – 47.63% (R1) – 4.74%
8. Captain Falcon – 52.48% vs. Riku – 47.52% (R2) – 4.96%
9. Ryu Hayabusa – 52.56% vs. Master Chief – 47.44% (R2) – 5.12%
10. Amaterasu – 52.59% vs. Shadow the Hedgehog – 47.41% (R1) – 5.18%


Top 10 Smallest Day Vote Gaps
1. Ken – 36484 vs. Albert Wesker – 36013 (R1) – 471
2. Missingno – 45804 vs. Crono – 45277 (R1) – 527
3. Ryu – 37670 vs. Dante – 37139 (R2) – 531
4. Ike – 37182 vs. Zidane Tribal – 34953 (R2) – 2229
5. Knuckles the Echidna – 37437 vs. Cecil Harvey – 34558 (R1) – 2879
6. The Boss – 36615 vs. Nathan Drake – 33295 (R1) – 3320
7. Captain Falcon – 36378 vs. Riku – 32940 (R2) – 3438
8. Ryu Hayabusa – 39666 vs. Master Chief – 35800 (R2) – 3866
9. Amaterasu – 41994 vs. Shadow the Hedgehog – 37852 (R1) – 4142
10. Gordon Freeman – 41389 vs. Princess Peach – 36330 (R1) – 5059


Top 10 Most Impressive Day Losers
1. Crono (R1) – 45277
2. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 37852
3. Kratos (R2) – 37392
4. Dante (R2) – 37139
5. Princess Peach (R1) - 36330
6. Albert Wesker (R1) – 36013
7. Master Chief (R2) – 35800
8. Tidus (R1) – 35717
9. Zidane Tribal (R2) – 34953
10. Cecil Harvey (R1) – 34558


Top 10 Least Impressive Day Winners
1. Laharl (R1) – 31134
2. Captain Falcon (R2) – 36378
3. Ken (R1) – 36484
4. The Boss (R1) – 36615
5. Ike (R2) – 37182
6. Knuckles the Echidna (R1) – 37437
7. Ryu (R2) – 37670
8. Alucard (R1) – 38150
9. Sackboy (R1) – 38845
10. GlaDOS (R1) – 39381


Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Ryu Hayabusa vs. Master Chief (R2) – 15.87%
2. Vivi vs. Altair (R2) – 18.46%
3. Charizard vs. Kratos (R2) – 18.62%
4. Missingno vs. Crono (R1) – 21.94%
5. Jecht vs. Ratchet (R2) – 26.63%
6. Sub-Zero vs. Roxas (R2) – 30.84%
7. Ike vs. Zidane Tribal (R2) – 35.57%
8. Amaterasu vs. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 36.27%
9. Ryu vs. Dante (R2) – 37.61%
10. Weighted Companion Cube vs. The Boss (R2) – 38.31%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 89/112 - Today's Winners: Solid Snake and Pikachu
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/28/2010 9:15:24 PM | message detail
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 3/1/2010 12:11:34 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3818&region=GB

What is it with these guys


I can bet you that Solid Snake will easily take the lead over Fox there by the end of this hour. Very few votes from the UK obviously.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
GrapefruitKing | Posted 2/28/2010 9:16:26 PM | message detail

From: EternalxCourage | #2103
Seriously though... Squall > Snake is not happening. Ever. Choose another upset that's remotely possible.

Uh...arguably the 10th strongest character beating one of the defunct Noble 9 is an upset that could never happen? Especially after Snake is allowing Fox to get close to 40% on him in a NIGHT match?




1. Snake has already gotten more than 57% on Squall on 2006, and has no reason to have dropped since then
2. You're being dumb on purpose. Snake will end with at least 65-66% on Fox when this is over.

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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 19th
Today's prediction: Snake - 67.10% Status:
ZFS | Posted 2/28/2010 9:16:48 PM | message detail
Balthier Bunansa – 31.03%
Axel – 30.42%


vindicated

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/28/2010 9:17:42 PM | message detail
Oh yeah, should probably post a MGS song >_>

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6miaTf1gF4g
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Currently NOT on the CBVIII Leaderboard v_v
Dante > Cloud: ITS NOT HAPPENING
Karma Hunter | Posted 2/28/2010 9:18:44 PM | message detail
Snake's putting up 64% updates on Fox before we even get up in true night vote territory. This isn't a match to argue his case over Sephiroth or anything, but c'mon now.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/28/2010 9:18:55 PM | message detail
15 minute stats!

Solid Snake – 50.00%
Fox McCloud – 36.59%
Protoman – 27.65%
Lloyd Irving – 23.97%

Protoman gets 56.66% on Lloyd and 37.78% on Fox, but this should change a lot before we're done.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Big Bob | Posted 2/28/2010 9:19:14 PM | message detail
Proto Man and Fox's strengths are unclear; it's entirely possible that they have reasonable strength.

I'm still backing Snake > Seph.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/28/2010 9:21:04 PM | message detail
At any rate, I'll most likely not trust Dante in a debated match again unless he gets his ass in gear... Really, going from getting Mega Man's percentage on Axel to just dying like this against Ryu is just... All I can say is that I'm just really ****ing agitated.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/28/2010 9:21:44 PM | message detail
It's over, Karma Hunter.

Your reign of terror has ended.
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
WiggumFan267 | Posted 2/28/2010 9:22:16 PM | message detail
Seph hasn't done too hot either... I'd say it's probably looking good for Seph, unless Snake impresses next round or so.

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~Wigs~ Current Pick: Vivi, Current Points: 70/78
Happily Married to Alanna82 on Valentines Day 05
Karma Hunter | Posted 2/28/2010 9:22:46 PM | message detail
That does it time to get to Snake to 70%

rallying incoming
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/28/2010 9:23:10 PM | message detail
i am not afraid
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/28/2010 9:23:34 PM | message detail
This match only proves that Missingno will have no problem whatsoever kicking Snake's ass!
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Not Wylvane
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/28/2010 9:24:05 PM | message detail
Missingno is going to have a problem because Snake won't be there!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 2/28/2010 9:24:31 PM | message detail
LOL at Wiggum putting out the possibility of Snake impressing in the sprite round.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/28/2010 9:24:51 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #439
This match only proves that Missingno will have no problem whatsoever kicking Snake's ass!


there's a sephiroth in the way
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"I learned in England not to deceive the referees" - Cristiano Ronaldo
http://i50.tinypic.com/ohsr5j.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 2/28/2010 9:24:54 PM | message detail
Whatever. One Winged Angel Missingno can only be defeated by the Hero of Time himself.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/28/2010 9:26:11 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #443
Whatever. One Winged Angel Missingno can only be defeated by the Hero of Time himself.


Yoshi retcon'd Mario's birth with Yoshi's Island, therefore he is the Hero of Time.

WATCH OUT MISSINGNO.
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/28/2010 9:27:01 PM | message detail
Mario > Missingno final aw yeah

Best contest ever confirmed.
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Not Wylvane
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/28/2010 9:27:39 PM | message detail
And while we're talking about absolute truths, less than twelve hours until Shepard triples Pikachu!
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Not Wylvane
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/28/2010 9:29:56 PM | message detail
By the way, if you assume that Lloyd is equal to Kratos Aurion, than Fox is almost at Leon Kennedy's level. He's proving to have serious strength now and is almost undoubtedly the strongest "Smash guy."
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 2/28/2010 9:30:52 PM | message detail
For those pulling out the 2007 x-stats are forgetting the fact that Squall could only get 62% on Fox in 2008. (I would bet that Yoshi hurt Fox more Sora is to Squall.)

Snake should perhaps be pushing towards mid 60 at the end of the power hour.
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Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times"
Xuxon | Posted 2/28/2010 9:30:52 PM | message detail
Samus is the strongest "Smash guy".
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EternalxCourage | Posted 2/28/2010 9:31:02 PM | message detail
Er how is Fox anywhere near the strongest 'Smash guy'? @_@
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Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul.