GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 855

UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/28/2010 11:24:25 AM | message detail
THIS PARTY'S GETTIN CRAZY!



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, Missingno etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 2/28/2010 11:36:07 AM | message detail
Dante got this.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/28/2010 11:38:18 AM | message detail
http://s3-llnw-screenshots.wegame.com/9-8727316824276327/8727316824276327_l.png
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ZFS | Posted 2/28/2010 12:18:38 PM | message detail
I haven't seen Ryu take the lead yet, have you?

gotta build up that ultra meter tbqh

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
Master Moltar | Posted 2/28/2010 12:18:42 PM | message detail
SSS Dante unstoppable
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Leon > Sackboy (88/108)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
ctesjbuvf | Posted 2/28/2010 12:18:44 PM | message detail
nice pic though
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/28/2010 12:19:15 PM | message detail
Don't be surprised if this is one of the most viewed sporting events of the year.

Somehow, I'm doubting that it would beat out the Super Bowl for the most viewed sporting event of the year. But maybe it will.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/28/2010 12:19:55 PM | message detail
I like how a 200 vote lead seems huge but in reality could be erased in 3 updates if Ryu decides to beast out for a little bit (or doubled if Dante did the same).

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 2/28/2010 12:20:09 PM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 2/28/2010 3:19:15 PM | #007
Don't be surprised if this is one of the most viewed sporting events of the year.

Somehow, I'm doubting that it would beat out the Super Bowl for the most viewed sporting event of the year. But maybe it will.


One of the most viewed =/= THE most viewed. >_>
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/28/2010 12:20:33 PM | message detail
Tag
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/28/2010 12:20:59 PM | message detail
hell ya dante, keep it up
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hmmmmmmmm
ZFS | Posted 2/28/2010 12:21:03 PM | message detail
Dante is doing a good job here, though. I don't think it's over, since 200 votes is nothing in a match like this, but the fact he's got the lead at all helps a bunch. Gotta hope Ryu can keep at it, he should do better the further into the match we go.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 2/28/2010 12:21:27 PM | message detail
24 vote increase. If Ryu can keep stalling until the game ends, he's got this.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 2/28/2010 12:22:05 PM | message detail
A 24 vote increase when the lead has never gone above 300 is not a stall, Kan.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
shane15 | Posted 2/28/2010 12:22:28 PM | message detail
I know Leon has lost to Dante in the past but Leon has this one in the bag this time around.
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Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/28/2010 12:22:36 PM | message detail
Dante is at 48.76 in the US.. he was as low as 48.10 when ryu was cutting. So he might get passed 49%. If he does, it will help him a good deal.
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hmmmmmmmm
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/28/2010 12:23:23 PM | message detail
Would supporters of either character trade a DMC3 picture for no hockey game/earthquake?
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Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/28/2010 12:23:43 PM | message detail
I know Leon has lost to Dante in the past but Leon has this one in the bag this time around.

some nice evidence. Either beats Leon much easier than this match imo.
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hmmmmmmmm
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/28/2010 12:23:56 PM | message detail
In a heartbeat. DMC4 also works.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
ZFS | Posted 2/28/2010 12:24:09 PM | message detail
are we really serious about this hockey factor

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/28/2010 12:25:12 PM | message detail
I know Leon has lost to Dante in the past but Leon has this one in the bag this time around

I fail to see how you can sqay Leon's got this in the bag when it's the sprite round, which means he'll be at a really big pic disadvantage.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/28/2010 12:25:31 PM | message detail

From: ZFS | #020
are we really serious about this hockey factor


The SUPER BOWL FACTOR was real, man!
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 2/28/2010 12:26:09 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | Posted: 2/28/2010 3:22:05 PM | #014
A 24 vote increase when the lead has never gone above 300 is not a stall, Kan.


Never said it was. What I meant is that, if Ryu can AVOID those increases for the most part, he can take it later on. >_>
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shane15 | Posted 2/28/2010 12:28:29 PM | message detail
Say what you want but i believe in Leon >_>
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Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/28/2010 12:30:15 PM | message detail
Just got back from playing a poker tourney, looks like we had an epic struggle for the first couple hours. Glad Dante's starting to put it away now though.
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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/28/2010 12:30:26 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/28/2010 12:30:32 PM | message detail
Weskers greatest lead was 206, and Ken ended up winning with 471. 677 vote swing. What we shouldn't forget about that match though is that it was a weekday match, and Ken went crazy with the ASV. If Dante can get a 500 vote lead or so, it could be bad.
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hmmmmmmmm
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/28/2010 12:30:44 PM | message detail
Say what you want but i believe in Leon >_>

Well, you can't just blurt out "LOL Leon's a lock to advance" which is what you were saying.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/28/2010 12:30:52 PM | message detail

From: shane15 | #024
Say what you want but i believe in Leon >_>


*reads your sig*

I concur!
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
Karma Hunter | Posted 2/28/2010 12:31:04 PM | message detail
Ryu down to Dante with a DMC2 pic how much has this dude fallen off is what I want to know
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/28/2010 12:32:58 PM | message detail
I still can't believe you guys are still harping on about this picture ****.
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Currently NOT on the CBVIII Leaderboard v_v
Dante > Cloud: ITS NOT HAPPENING
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/28/2010 12:36:05 PM | message detail
YEEEEEEEssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss DEVIL TRIGGER GET
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hmmmmmmmm
voltch | Posted 2/28/2010 12:37:28 PM | message detail
Man I need an intermission.
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Shakes Fist!
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/28/2010 12:40:09 PM | message detail
Is there an explanation for these votes?I mean it was like 100 max a while ago and now...
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/28/2010 12:41:08 PM | message detail
How long do hockey games last? I know there are three 20-minute periods, but how long are breaks between each period, and are there ever "breaks" or time-outs like in basketball and football, or is it a continuously running clock like in soccer?

I am being the most serious I have ever been in my entire life.
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Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/28/2010 12:41:11 PM | message detail
300 vote barrier activated
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hmmmmmmmm
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/28/2010 12:41:55 PM | message detail
How long do hockey games last? I know there are three 20-minute periods, but how long are breaks between each period, and are there ever "breaks" or time-outs like in basketball and football, or is it a continuously running clock like in soccer?

I am being the most serious I have ever been in my entire life.


XD
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hmmmmmmmm
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/28/2010 12:42:06 PM | message detail
AHV not gonna matter at this rate.
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red sox 777 | Posted 2/28/2010 12:42:16 PM | message detail
300 votes? Well then, time to call the match.
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Jmast7 | Posted 2/28/2010 12:43:29 PM | message detail
Come back from my run and find Dante with a 300 vote lead? Now that's what I like to see! :D
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 2/28/2010 12:46:38 PM | message detail
BARRIER BROKEN

That's what I wanna see, Ryu!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 2/28/2010 12:48:14 PM | message detail
This hockey game will decide the match.

Whichever country loses will dejectedly sign onto GameFAQs afterwards, hoping to assuage their sorrow with message board discussions about whether or not Kratos is cooler than Master Chief. They will see the match pic, and vote for the character that represents their current mental state: the goober that is DMC2 Dante. Inversely, the winners will vote for Ryu, for the same reasons.

Since the US has a much higher population than Canada, if they lose, Dante's got this. Come on, Canada!

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 2/28/2010 12:48:50 PM | message detail
The US is losing, Americans will stop watching now.
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.
Forceful Dragon | Posted 2/28/2010 12:50:47 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #042
This hockey game will decide the match.

Whichever country loses will dejectedly sign onto GameFAQs afterwards, hoping to assuage their sorrow with message board discussions about whether or not Kratos is cooler than Master Chief. They will see the match pic, and vote for the character that represents their current mental state: the goober that is DMC2 Dante. Inversely, the winners will vote for Ryu, for the same reasons.

Since the US has a much higher population than Canada, if they lose, Dante's got this. Come on, Canada!





I think that's the best contest logic I've heard....ever.

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Eff Dee ~C~
Man, I'm ugly. -Dark_Spiral
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/28/2010 12:51:02 PM | message detail
dayam dante, DAYAM
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hmmmmmmmm
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/28/2010 12:52:19 PM | message detail

From: Lieutenant Kettch | #043
The US is losing, Americans will stop watching now.


My logical reasoning has proven sound once again!

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/28/2010 12:52:23 PM | message detail
That's ridiculous. The US viewers are obviously more fickle. I hope Canada puts the game away in the second period so the US viewers can turn it off and vote for Ryu.
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Forceful Dragon | Posted 2/28/2010 12:53:38 PM | message detail
That was a great update ^_^

I'm actually surprised this turned out to be a close match, I don't think I hesitated much when I picked dante.

In any case its not over yet, but at least dante has been leading the entire time barring the opening update.

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Eff Dee ~C~
Man, I'm ugly. -Dark_Spiral
charmander6000 | Posted 2/28/2010 12:53:55 PM | message detail
*comes in after 1st period*

lol can't wait to see if Ryu gets the AHV.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/28/2010 12:56:16 PM | message detail
LMAO
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