GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 853

ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/27/2010 7:05:27 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #249
I don't think you realize just how weak Tanner is.

And the fun part is that Snake beat Tanner when he should have ideally been at his peak strength! Imagine what he'd be like if he made the contest now!


You're right.

I know who we're nominating if I win the guru now!
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/27/2010 7:05:36 PM | message detail
How could anyone hate Tentacool? I know he pops up a lot, but seriously, his character design is great - as is his evolution!

There's your answer.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
creativename | Posted 2/27/2010 7:18:43 PM | message detail
Can someone remind me what it is with Street Fighter and Europe again? Is SF really strong in Europe, or really weak?
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KamikazePotato | Posted 2/27/2010 7:20:08 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/27/2010 7:20:21 PM | message detail
Street Fighter is just okay in Europe. It's the morning vote that absolutely kills it.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/27/2010 7:23:18 PM | message detail
Which is why I'm glad there ain't much of a morning vote tomorrow. If Ryu can keep it even early, I'll get confident.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 2/27/2010 7:27:05 PM | message detail
Ryu will win because of California

Book it.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 83/104 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Riku
charmander6000 | Posted 2/27/2010 7:29:13 PM | message detail
Match LXXXVII: (3) Leon Kennedy vs. (6) Sackboy

Last Round

Leon Kennedy – 60.81%
Vault Boy – 39.19%

Sackboy – 54.58%
Kratos Aurion – 45.42%

Analysis

The winner of this match is pretty obvious, but the percent is up for much debate. While Vault Boy performed rather well people insist that it was more about Vault Boy having strength rather than Leon’s weakness and I support that idea. Fallout 3 and the series are popular on GameFAQs and the mascot is pretty much everywhere in that game. While Resident Evil 5 has taken some of the light away from Leon I don’t believe that he will drop because of it for at least another few years.

Calling Sackboy right was pretty awesome, but his match against Kratos didn’t exactly tell us what his strength is. While Lloyd also looked worse in this contest I believe that Nintendo and Tales of Symphonia have some overlap. I believe that Sackboy is pretty close to the fodder line in terms of strength and while that is nowhere close to Leon or even as close as Vault Boy it is pretty decent when you consider what he was reduced to in the previous contest.

Leon should have an easier time winning this match than he did against Vault Boy though I wouldn’t be surprised if Sackboy was able to outperform the kid with how little we know about him. Leon needs to look as good as possible if he wants to take on the winner of Dante/Ryu.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Leon Kennedy > Sackboy

charmander6000’s Prediction: Leon wins, 62.64% - 37.36%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 83/104 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Riku
creativename | Posted 2/27/2010 7:30:14 PM | message detail
So on weekdays, SF tends to recover with the DSV and the ASV? Or is it's ASV as week as it's morning vote?
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creativename | Posted 2/27/2010 7:30:38 PM | message detail
*weak
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creativename | Posted 2/27/2010 7:32:12 PM | message detail
I think Aurion is real weak, and this being a night match helps Leon. He should do better than people are expecting I think.
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charmander6000 | Posted 2/27/2010 7:32:12 PM | message detail
Vote totals are pretty bad for this match, we may not even break 70k.
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Character Battle VIII - 83/104 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Riku
HaRRicH | Posted 2/27/2010 7:40:29 PM | message detail
If Kratos Aurion's like how he was in 2008, yeah, Sackboy's gonna have his face bashed in. If Aurion's like how he's been every other year, Sackboy may outdo Vault Boy. Hard to tell until the match starts which one's the case.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
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KamikazePotato | Posted 2/27/2010 7:41:54 PM | message detail
I'm not sure it really matters, as weekend day matches have been very wonky and somewhat unpredictable so far.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 2/27/2010 7:46:12 PM | message detail
The Vault Boy result makes perfect sense when I think about it, especially considering that Fallout 3 likely breaks 40% on Resident Evil 4 in a games contest.

I'll be surprised if Sackboy is stronger than Vault Boy. That won't sit well for anyone who is taking Leon to beat Ryu/Dante, though Leon > Ryu makes sense now.
charmander6000 | Posted 2/27/2010 7:53:28 PM | message detail
Leon > Ryu > Dante makes sense?
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Character Battle VIII - 83/104 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Riku
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 8:14:26 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #259
So on weekdays, SF tends to recover with the DSV and the ASV? Or is it's ASV as week as it's morning vote?


Ken and Wesker had similar trends, but Ken did better in the second half of the match than the first half. Ganon rocked Ken pretty hard during the first half of the ASV, but he made a big recovery with the second half of it and the night vote.

From: charmander6000 | #257
Ryu will win because of California

Book it.


No California ASV tomorrow!
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
charmander6000 | Posted 2/27/2010 8:18:04 PM | message detail
California doesn't need the ASV to give Ryu the win.
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Character Battle VIII - 83/104 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Riku
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 8:18:50 PM | message detail
Yeah, but when he falls behind 55/45 right off the bat, don't wait for Cali to save him!
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
ZenOfThunder | Posted 2/27/2010 8:23:34 PM | message detail
Vent your hate for DMC2 Dante here!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53688669
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creativename | Posted 2/27/2010 8:34:42 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #1307
Ken and Wesker had similar trends, but Ken did better in the second half of the match than the first half. Ganon rocked Ken pretty hard during the first half of the ASV, but he made a big recovery with the second half of it and the night vote.


I was wondering about 1st half to 2nd half of the whole match though for Ryu. I checked out all the SF matches since 2K7 and here's what I found - these results compare what percent it had at noon, vs. what it ended the match with:

Games
SFII Round 1 35.69% to 35.58%
SFIV Round 1 14.35% to 13.38%

2K8
Ryu Round 1 32.29% to 31.57%
Ryu Round 2 23.66% to 23.85% (Crono and L-Block match, who also suck with the day)

2K7
Ryu Round 1 to 37.58% to 36.30%
Ryu Round 2 26.87% to 26.16%
Ryu Round 3 21.67% to 20.25%
Ryu Round 4 11.71% to 11.54%

Hmm...seems like the Dante match being a day match is real bad for Ryu. Street Fighter lost big chunks of %age in almost every match.

If you take the average of all those performances, then Street Fighter (Night) scores 51.41% on Street Fighter (Day).
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 8:41:11 PM | message detail
Street Fighter is definitely a night oriented game. Remember SFII/Mario RPG?

That match was 50/50 until morning hit.
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charmander6000 | Posted 2/27/2010 8:43:41 PM | message detail
SMRPG also didn't exist in Europe.
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Character Battle VIII - 83/104 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Riku
creativename | Posted 2/27/2010 8:45:25 PM | message detail
Dante analysis:

2K8
Dante Round 4 16.99% to 16.90%
Dante Round 3 26.82% to 26.15%
Dante Round 2 33.77% to 33.90%
Dante Round 1 48.98% to 50.08%

2K7
Dante Round 5 14.91% to 15.13%
Dante Round 4 27.28% to 26.59%
Dante Round 3 30.38% to 30.43%
Dante Round 2 41.80% to 43.41%
Dante Round 1 48.95% to 49.19%

So taking the average of those numbers, Dante (Day) scores 50.19% on Dante (Night). Which confirms what we pretty much already knew: Dante is basically the baromter for day/night neutral chacters.

So if you think Ryu wins this match on a weekday's 2nd 12 hours, you have to think he wins with around ~51.50% in a 24-hour match.

The caution to that is that this is a weekend match, which messes with things a bit.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 8:46:43 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #273
SMRPG also didn't exist in Europe.


It did the same thing to CT.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
red sox 777 | Posted 2/27/2010 8:47:28 PM | message detail
Ryu was leading Sonic overnight, and Sonic is great in Europe!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 8:53:25 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #276
Ryu was leading Sonic overnight, and Sonic is great in Europe!


Best match ever.
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"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/27/2010 8:54:05 PM | message detail
12 hours until it begins!

Yoblazer - Ryu

VS

LeonhartFour - THE Dante Sparda

Only ONE will win!!
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 8:54:32 PM | message detail
Man, I'm about the biggest Ryu fan in this topic! I just think Dante's going to win easily!
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
creativename | Posted 2/27/2010 8:56:29 PM | message detail
Before the contest I didn't really understand why Dante was the big favorite, I thought it was a toss-up match. I went with Ryu.

Now I understand better though - looking at Ryu's more recent history, there's a number of performances that stand out. His 41.96% on Mega Man in 2K6, his 42.20% against Auron, and his horrible 28.99% on a Cloud LFFed by Auron. Those are all pretty bad.

That, combined with it being a day match, has me contemplating switching my Oracle to Dante.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/27/2010 8:57:21 PM | message detail
Man, I'm about the biggest Ryu fan in this topic! I just think Dante's going to win easily!

Oh. Whoops. Don't you have Dante in your bracket, though?
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
charmander6000 | Posted 2/27/2010 8:58:02 PM | message detail
Leon getting ready to beat another boy.

Pick on someone your own age.
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Character Battle VIII - 83/104 - Today's Winners: Cloud and Riku
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 8:58:27 PM | message detail
I do have Dante in my bracket.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 8:59:38 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #280
Before the contest I didn't really understand why Dante was the big favorite, I thought it was a toss-up match. I went with Ryu.

Now I understand better though - looking at Ryu's more recent history, there's a number of performances that stand out. His 41.96% on Mega Man in 2K6, his 42.20% against Auron, and his horrible 28.99% on a Cloud LFFed by Auron. Those are all pretty bad.

That, combined with it being a day match, has me contemplating switching my Oracle to Dante.


Dante's looked better than Ryu every year since DMC3 almost without exception.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
creativename | Posted 2/27/2010 8:59:40 PM | message detail
Seems to me like he's secretly rooting for Dante.
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Master Moltar | Posted 2/27/2010 9:00:13 PM | message detail
Leon Kennedy 73.33%

11
Sackboy 26.67%

4
TOTAL VOTES 15
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Moltar Status: Prediction: Leon > Sackboy (88/108)
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 9:00:17 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Leon Kennedy 85.71%

6
Sackboy 14.29%

1
TOTAL VOTES 7

LOL Sackboy
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
charmander6000 | Posted 2/27/2010 9:00:21 PM | message detail
Poor Sackboy.
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Character Battle VIII - 85/108 - Today's Winners: Leon and Ryu
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/27/2010 9:00:53 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #279
Man, I'm about the biggest Ryu fan in this topic!


*ahem*
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This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 2/27/2010 9:00:56 PM | message detail
I voted for Sackboy. Poor chap. :(

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CURRENT BRACKET SCORE: 90.
Characters who helped my bracket most: Falcon, Sub-Zero, Jecht
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 9:01:04 PM | message detail
46.68% for Captain Falcon. Looks like the casuals beat the Gurus!

From: creativename | #285
Seems to me like he's secretly rooting for Dante.


Nah, I just like arguing debated matches!
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 9:01:21 PM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #289
*ahem*


I said about!
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
red sox 777 | Posted 2/27/2010 9:01:27 PM | message detail
Leon dominating Sackboy.

Is there a Yoblazer/Leonhart bet I'm not aware of?
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 9:02:09 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #293
Leon dominating Sackboy.

Is there a Yoblazer/Leonhart bet I'm not aware of?


Not as far as I know.

Unless I'm not aware of it either!
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
charmander6000 | Posted 2/27/2010 9:02:19 PM | message detail
At least Sackboy isn't under 30% like he was a minute ago.
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Character Battle VIII - 85/108 - Today's Winners: Leon and Ryu
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 2/27/2010 9:03:19 PM | message detail
On the bright side, this makes Vault Boy look rather good.

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CURRENT BRACKET SCORE: 92.
Characters who helped my bracket most: Falcon, Sub-Zero, Jecht
creativename | Posted 2/27/2010 9:03:23 PM | message detail
Huh. I had Riku that match but I'm still in the top ten. Looks like the top tiers must have all had Riku.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/27/2010 9:03:37 PM | message detail
NO THANKS, BRO
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/27/2010 9:04:08 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #297
Huh. I had Riku that match but I'm still in the top ten. Looks like the top tiers must have all had Riku.


Yep, Riku was a big Guru favorite, Falcon was the favorite with the casuals.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
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RPGuy96 | Posted 2/27/2010 9:04:40 PM | message detail
Heh, I dropped three spots on the leaderboard despite Falcon's excellent prediction percentage. The top tiers got crushed.
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Mustache...and Green...