GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 850

paulg235 | Posted 2/25/2010 7:17:06 AM | message detail
Today, I dine on Nobody soup.


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, Missingno etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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The Gamer In Me
"paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/25/2010 7:23:24 AM | message detail
I wonder if Roxas can avoid doubling...
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/25/2010 7:29:44 AM | message detail
I should say so.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
paulg235 | Posted 2/25/2010 7:31:39 AM | message detail
If Roxas gets doubled, Riku's losing to Falcon and Sora's losing to Bowser.
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The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/25/2010 7:38:18 AM | message detail
Well better that doesn't happen then.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/25/2010 7:57:30 AM | message detail
I wonder if Roxas can avoid doubling...

Probably. It's a day match, which helps Roxas and hurts Sub-Zero.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/25/2010 9:31:10 AM | message detail
taggo
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
You've really become... quite an inconvenience for me.
ffmasterjose | Posted 2/25/2010 9:51:35 AM | message detail
Great Sub-Zero picture
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85/98 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VIII
NP: Samus Aran > Jill Valentine | Sub-Zero > Roxas
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/25/2010 9:51:52 AM | message detail
It seems KH is still strong.Nice.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/25/2010 10:03:07 AM | message detail
Chart from the night match:

Time | Samus | Jill V. | Votes
0:05 | 70.44% | 29.56% | 1397
1:00 | 69.89% | 30.11% | 9460
2:00 | 69.11% | 30.89% | 5830
3:00 | 66.67% | 33.33% | 4171
4:00 | 62.89% | 37.11% | 3069
5:00 | 62.94% | 37.06% | 2623
6:00 | 63.27% | 36.73% | 2407
7:00 | 66.46% | 33.54% | 3068
8:00 | 67.75% | 32.25% | 3832
9:00 | 67.45% | 32.55% | 4148
10:00 | 66.80% | 33.20% | 4259
11:00 | 68.99% | 31.01% | 4612
12:00 | 69.10% | 30.90% | 4398

Jill does very well for herself overnight, but Samus rocks her for the first few hours and the last few hours. But if Jill can do this well during the night against Samus, just imagine what Cloud's gonna do!
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
charmander6000 | Posted 2/25/2010 10:03:43 AM | message detail
Cloud is going to double Samus over those hours.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 75/96 - Today's Winners: Samus and Sub-Zero
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/25/2010 10:04:01 AM | message detail
All hail Cloud! If he doesn't get the sunglasses pic, I'm gonna be mightily upset.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/25/2010 10:05:16 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #012
All hail Cloud! If he doesn't get the sunglasses pic, I'm gonna be mightily upset.


Too bad he's facing Chris and not Wesker!

There could be too much awesome sunglasses to handle if that were the case!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/25/2010 10:12:16 AM | message detail
Man, Sub-Zero's tearing Roxas apart now that we're out of the Power Hour!
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/25/2010 10:21:27 AM | message detail
Tag
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
voltch | Posted 2/25/2010 10:24:52 AM | message detail
Day match not favouring KH?
What is this bizarro land?
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Shakes Fist!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/25/2010 10:30:50 AM | message detail
Roxas will pick up once the ASV starts. The DSV is a bad time for KH, for example in Frog/Axel, Frog got his lead to 1500 with the first 3 hours, Axel cut it to 1200 with the overnight and morning, and Frog built it up to 1900 with the DSV. Then of course Axel swung 2200 with the ASV before losing to Frog's greatest final hour rally.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/25/2010 10:31:18 AM | message detail
The ASV hasn't started yet. It will start in 1 hour from now, with the ASV getting into full swing about 30 minutes after that.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/25/2010 10:31:38 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #017
Roxas will pick up once the ASV starts. The DSV is a bad time for KH, for example in Frog/Axel, Frog got his lead to 1500 with the first 3 hours, Axel cut it to 1200 with the overnight and morning, and Frog built it up to 1900 with the DSV. Then of course Axel swung 2200 with the ASV before losing to Frog's greatest final hour rally.


*eyes well up*
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 2/25/2010 10:54:07 AM | message detail
I have Sub-Zero winning today, so that helps ease the pain of Charizard > Kratos a bit. Plus, since Roxas is underwhelming here, maybe Falcon has a chance against Riku after all!

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Heavy should have made it to Round Two.
Just saying.
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/25/2010 10:54:58 AM | message detail
Is there a list of winless characters somewhere?

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 2/25/2010 10:56:21 AM | message detail
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Winless_characters

Poor CATS. :(

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Heavy should have made it to Round Two.
Just saying.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/25/2010 10:56:43 AM | message detail
technically cats beat drake!
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http://ui21.gamespot.com/2036/u1060218_2.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
charmander6000 | Posted 2/25/2010 10:56:47 AM | message detail
I'm not liking Riku's chances against Falcon, his performance against Ramza was terrible.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 75/96 - Today's Winners: Samus and Sub-Zero
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/25/2010 10:57:41 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #024
I'm not liking Riku's chances against Falcon, his performance against Ramza was terrible.


I can't wait for this match so we can start all the "Falcon punches" when he gets awesome updates
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http://ui21.gamespot.com/2036/u1060218_2.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/25/2010 10:59:09 AM | message detail
Remember that Riku got Ramza in a night match. He won't have an ASV against Falcon, but going from night to day probably helps Kingdom Hearts more than any other entity.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 2/25/2010 11:00:54 AM | message detail
How has Falcon's ASV been over the years? I imagine it's pretty good due to Smash, but I'm just making sure.

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Heavy should have made it to Round Two.
Just saying.
charmander6000 | Posted 2/25/2010 11:02:16 AM | message detail
Roxas is doing better in Europe, same with Riku

>_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 75/96 - Today's Winners: Samus and Sub-Zero
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/25/2010 11:05:57 AM | message detail

From: TheCodeisBosco | #027
How has Falcon's ASV been over the years? I imagine it's pretty good due to Smash, but I'm just making sure.


Hard to say. Apart from a 2K6 match with Crono, he's been stuck with enormous SFF every time. He gained all day in that Crono match, though. Finished at almost 26% after being at 22% four hours into it.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
vcharon | Posted 2/25/2010 11:09:52 AM | message detail
Hey nice, looks pretty good.
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:>
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 2/25/2010 11:19:31 AM | message detail
Hard to say. Apart from a 2K6 match with Crono, he's been stuck with enormous SFF every time. He gained all day in that Crono match, though. Finished at almost 26% after being at 22% four hours into it.

Thanks for the heads-up - I have Falcon > Riku in my bracket, and I'm hoping it pays off! I almost picked Riku, but I eventually chose Falcon, partially due to fanboyism.

On a side note, I know I'm late in saying this, but man - Charizard's bracket support is awful! I really wish I would have gone with my gut instinct and chose Charizard > Kratos... that could have really paid off.

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Heavy should have made it to Round Two.
Just saying.
charmander6000 | Posted 2/25/2010 11:32:10 AM | message detail
Sub-Zero getting ready to take the ASV.

How did Master Chief destroy him with it?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 75/96 - Today's Winners: Samus and Sub-Zero
Jmast7 | Posted 2/25/2010 11:33:47 AM | message detail
Sub-Zero with the ASV? This makes me worry about Riku a bit... <_<
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Currently playing: Zelda Double Feature: Spirit Tracks & Twilight Princess
Currently Watching: BSG: Season 4, LOST: Season 6
paulg235 | Posted 2/25/2010 11:36:32 AM | message detail
ASV may not be as big as of factor in these 12-hour matches than we thought. Remember, there are more votes during this timeframe thanks to the matches starting midday.
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The Gamer In Me
My Signature's broken, just like your front door.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/25/2010 11:38:31 AM | message detail
The ASV is already diluted enough as-is, and a large chunk of the Northeast is home from school today because of snow.
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/25/2010 11:42:04 AM | message detail
Well Sub Zero is doing a lot better in US and NA, so it wouldnt be a shock if Subby wins the asv
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http://ui21.gamespot.com/2036/u1060218_2.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/25/2010 11:56:17 AM | message detail
I have survived Black Turtle's attempt at a guru assassination! Dunno why he picked Roxas in this fourpack over Tidus and Subby.
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"Not everybody is a perfect person in the world. Everyone kills people, murder people, steals from you, steals from me, whatever." -Ohio State
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/25/2010 12:10:10 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero getting ready to take the ASV.

Appears to be a minor hiccup, as Roxas is starting to gain a little bit now.

and a large chunk of the Northeast is home from school today because of snow.

Schools in my area were closed for today because of the snow.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/25/2010 12:11:01 PM | message detail
Luster, has anyone ever told you how sexy you are?
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http://ui21.gamespot.com/2036/u1060218_2.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/25/2010 12:13:36 PM | message detail
WTF Albion, that was totally random and out of place here.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
charmander6000 | Posted 2/25/2010 12:28:15 PM | message detail
After the discussion about which male characters were sexy nothing is out of place in this topic.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 75/96 - Today's Winners: Samus and Sub-Zero
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/25/2010 12:29:47 PM | message detail
Thanks for that, Luster.
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"Not everybody is a perfect person in the world. Everyone kills people, murder people, steals from you, steals from me, whatever." -Ohio State
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/25/2010 12:42:28 PM | message detail
Stop lusting after Luster, Albion.
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holy crap, you used an apostrophe to make a word plural at least 3 times in that post. that's like cryptonite to me if I was batman - Bako Ikporamee
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/25/2010 12:42:34 PM | message detail
After the discussion about which male characters were sexy nothing is out of place in this topic.

That had nothing to do with me at all. I remember that discussion, but I did not participate in it at all.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/25/2010 12:42:48 PM | message detail
So... will Subby finish over 60% here? He should recover with the night vote, Mortal Kombat is pretty good there.
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http://ui21.gamespot.com/2036/u1060218_2.jpg
Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/25/2010 12:43:36 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/25/2010 12:43:54 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/25/2010 12:44:56 PM | message detail
I just confirmed my own mental retardation.

Twice.
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Nothing to see here!
HaRRicH | Posted 2/25/2010 12:55:24 PM | message detail
Odd recent few posts.

So what're we expecting from Sub-Zero next round? Samus is looking good by the way she blew PoP away and scissored Jill, but Sub's been looking good too. For reference, he's gotten ~40.5% on Auron twice (37.2% once) and faced him post-KH2 in each format. Scorpion also got 34.31% on Samus-with-Midna in 2007.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
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voltch | Posted 2/25/2010 12:57:46 PM | message detail
uh, why the triple post Ngirl?
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Shakes Fist!