GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 849

LeonhartFour | Posted 2/24/2010 9:14:35 PM | message detail
Or that just means LOL Ganon.

Honestly, I'm thinking Sonic probably wins pretty easily against Ganon and Kirby at this point.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
charmander6000 | Posted 2/24/2010 9:14:44 PM | message detail
Top 10 Changes

Top 10 Most Popular Day Polls
1. Missingno vs. Crono (R1) – 91081
2. Charizard vs. Kratos (R2) – 82168
3. Mega Man X vs. Captain John Price (R1) – 81068
4. Amaterasu vs. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 79846
5. Master Chief vs. Spy (R1) – 78003
6. Kratos vs. Miles “Tails” Prower (R1) – 77724
7. Gordon Freeman vs. Princess Peach (R1) – 77719
8. Mega Man X vs. Pokemon Trainer Red (R2) – 77712
9. Sub-Zero vs. Tidus (R1) – 77410
10. Bowser vs. Kefka (R2) – 77153


Top 10 Most Impressive Day Losers
1. Crono (R1) – 45277
2. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 37852
3. Kratos (R2) – 37392
4. Princess Peach (R1) - 36330
5. Albert Wesker (R1) – 36013
6. Master Chief (R2) – 35800
7. Tidus (R1) – 35717
8. Zidane Tribal (R2) – 34953
9. Cecil Harvey (R1) – 34558
10. The Boss (R2) – 34466


Top 10 Least Impressive Night Winners
1. Jecht (R1) – 26287
2. Terra Branford (R1) – 27612
3. Ryu Hayabusa (R1) – 28553
4. Kefka (R1) – 28769
5. Pokemon Trainer Red (R1) – 29195
6. Auron (R1) – 29758
7. Riku (R1) – 30017
8. Vivi Ornitier (R1) – 30113
9. Kirby (R1) – 30566
10. L-Block (R2) – 30620


Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Ryu Hayabusa vs. Master Chief (R2) – 15.87%
2. Vivi vs. Altair (R2) – 18.46%
3. Charizard vs. Kratos (R2) – 18.62%
4. Missingno vs. Crono (R1) – 21.94%
5. Ike vs. Zidane Tribal (R2) – 35.57%
6. Amaterasu vs. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 36.27%
7. Weighted Companion Cube vs. The Boss (R2) – 38.31%
8. Vivi vs. Donkey Kong (R1) – 39.95%
9. Sub-Zero vs. Tidus (R1) – 41.68%
10. The Boss vs. Nathan Drake (R1) – 44.82%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 75/96 - Today's Winners: Samus and Sub-Zero
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/24/2010 9:15:25 PM | message detail
awwwwwww ya jill, rip into that %. Go time. Nintendofanboy board vote dying.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/24/2010 9:15:36 PM | message detail
For the record, Samus has to finish at 67.50% or higher for Prince > Niko.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/24/2010 9:15:51 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
89------2------------0.00
88------6------------50.00
87------15----------33.33
86------43----------25.58
85------51----------35.29
84------65----------40.00
83------76----------30.26
82------123--------33.33
81------147--------34.69
80------172--------31.40
79------215--------30.23
78------248--------29.03
77------357--------25.21
76------456--------23.46
75------590--------22.03
74------685--------18.83
73------802--------17.58
72------921--------20.20
71------1018------17.68
70------1065------18.22
69------1049------16.68
68------1084------17.25
67------1146------16.40
66------1062------16.29
65------1070------19.07
64------1021------19.69
63------918--------18.30
62------917--------18.21
61------852--------17.84
60------858--------18.88
59------803--------15.82
58------708--------18.08
57------662--------17.22
56------669--------18.24
55------616--------16.40
54------537--------21.04
53------508--------18.11
52------474--------18.78
51------437--------14.65
50------414--------18.84
49------350--------22.86
48------339--------18.58
47------264--------15.91
46------271--------17.34
45------223--------15.70
44------191--------17.28
43------156--------18.59
42------121--------18.18
41------90----------11.11
40------86----------11.63
39------78----------16.67
38------52----------7.69
37------39----------10.26
36------37----------13.51
35------24----------12.50
34------18----------11.11
33------23----------17.39
32------15----------6.67
31------15----------26.67
30------12----------16.67
29------11----------0.00
28------9------------22.22
27------5------------40.00
26------6------------16.67
25------3------------0.00
24------10----------20.00
23------8------------12.50
22------2------------0.00
21------4------------0.00
20------10----------10.00
19------9------------0.00
18------5------------0.00
17------12----------16.67
16------8------------12.50
15------11----------9.09
14------7------------14.29
13------11----------9.09
12------12----------8.33
11------9------------0.00
10------9------------0.00
9--------8------------0.00
8--------13----------0.00
7--------10----------0.00
6--------4------------0.00
5--------8------------0.00
4--------6------------16.67
3--------17----------0.00
2--------13----------7.69
1--------36----------0.00
0--------26----------0.00

Just about everyone got killed on this one. We lose the remaining -5s and half of the -6s. The damage isn't quite as bad as Master Chief's win but it's worse than Vivi. Those with higher scores managed to do a bit better than those with lower scores. The higher tiers had around the mid-30s for prediction percentage but that falls to below 20 when you go down a few tiers.

20 people fell off the Top 50 today. DarkFalconX, running_lemon, Black_Tuesday, Shadowhiei899, TheMightyPeanut, Randomcrazydude, Alastah98, evilevi13, bsmart08, Consolesonlyalt, Glucose7, Silent_Alarm, DarkJAgo798, Arvisk_Dremdaw, FuturisticTrunk, _Harmonica_, transience, -LusterSoldier-, _Grimmer_ and TheGreenThunder did not have The Char beating Kratos.

15 people got the match wrong and survived. Former first place RPGuy96, former second place GameBopAdv, former third place vash_131, mdgilb06, ToadYoshi, bospsychopaat, Denji2000, Naomi_Diamond, primewaker, DDRKirbyISQ, HopefulDeath, 19001900, UltimaBladeX, ranapuer and Dan_Kirby also did not have The Char beating Kratos.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
charmander6000 | Posted 2/24/2010 9:16:44 PM | message detail
If there is no RE5 boost, lol Ken.

I think Ken proved himself against Ganondorf.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 75/96 - Today's Winners: Samus and Sub-Zero
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/24/2010 9:17:39 PM | message detail
Jill is beating Samus in Asia, and has 46.7% in Europe. Samus is probably gonna die off horribly. Not surprised in the least that its NA with 71% for Samus atm. Freaking fanboys.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/24/2010 9:18:29 PM | message detail

From: Sonic_Factor | #257
Jill is beating Samus in Asia, and has 46.7% in Europe. Samus is probably gonna die off horribly. Not surprised in the least that its NA with 71% for Samus atm. Freaking fanboys.


Freaking fanboys!
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Not Wylvane
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/24/2010 9:19:42 PM | message detail

From: Sonic_Factor | #257
Jill is beating Samus in Asia, and has 46.7% in Europe. Samus is probably gonna die off horribly. Not surprised in the least that its NA with 71% for Samus atm. Freaking fanboys.


really hard to judge possible geolocation trends this early. Best to wait till about an hour in so they settle down.
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
paraboxx | Posted 2/24/2010 9:19:42 PM | message detail
Did we ever get an update on how many 0 brackets were legit?
creativename | Posted 2/24/2010 9:20:08 PM | message detail
Samus lost 2% from around here against TaunTaun Prince.

Jill is probably better at the night vote than Prince would be my guess.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/24/2010 9:20:47 PM | message detail
Yeah, Jill should finish above 30% when all's said and done, but this is pretty impressive for Samus all the same.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
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Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/24/2010 9:20:51 PM | message detail
Jill finishes at 33% would be my guess.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/24/2010 9:21:39 PM | message detail
I'd say about 68% when its over for Samus sounds about right. Jill won't be able to escape the doubling though
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/24/2010 9:21:52 PM | message detail
and thats really damn good for jill imo.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
red sox 777 | Posted 2/24/2010 9:21:53 PM | message detail
Samus has always been a lot better in North America than anywhere else. I think her sales corroborate that too (the Prime series has had laughably bad sales there).
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/24/2010 9:22:45 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #266
Samus has always been a lot better in North America than anywhere else. I think her sales corroborate that too (the Prime series has had laughably bad sales there).


All FPS games/characters always are best in NA, so its no big surprise
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Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism
ExThaNemesis | Posted 2/24/2010 9:23:04 PM | message detail

From: Hochimihnister | #236
18% picked Charizard? Oh my god I can't wait til he beats Sora.


54% on a Kratos that flopped against Tails is a poor performance. The winner of Sora/Bowser will crush Charizard. He has no chance


forgive my insolence master
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creativename | Posted 2/24/2010 9:23:29 PM | message detail
Oh, and Kratos even lost the SNV to Charizard? Pathetic by him.

I wonder if Charizard is the favorite to take the ASV (or Sunday afternoon vote, which should be similar) over Sora now. That's not something we would've expected - something that could out-trend Sora during the ASV.
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WhiteLens | Posted 2/24/2010 9:23:31 PM | message detail
And just when I was 2 points away from hitting leaderboard...comes my stupid Tidus pick *sigh*....hopefully it goes well down the line.
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I just realized what the D in Yu-Gi-Oh 5D's stands for....Don't watch it!
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/24/2010 9:23:48 PM | message detail
If Jill is favored in Japan, and is keeping it close in Europe, I can only imagine what Cloud will do. It's a night match, and both of those love FF. It might not be close at all. At leat 55% from Cloud.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/24/2010 9:24:08 PM | message detail
Nah, Kratos's day vote is overrated. He got that reputation from facing Alucard and Ryu.
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DarkFalconX | Posted 2/24/2010 9:24:56 PM | message detail

From: paraboxx | Posted: 2/24/2010 11:19:42 PM | #260
Did we ever get an update on how many 0 brackets were legit?


I sent a feedback ticket in and this the response I got:

Message From DarkFalconX on 02/17/2010

I'm curious if any of the zero brackets ended up being legit after round 1?

Message From GameFAQs on 02/17/2010

This will be addressed later.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/24/2010 9:25:38 PM | message detail
Just about everyone got killed on this one. We lose the remaining -5s and half of the -6s. The damage isn't quite as bad as Master Chief's win but it's worse than Vivi. Those with higher scores managed to do a bit better than those with lower scores. The higher tiers had around the mid-30s for prediction percentage but that falls to below 20 when you go down a few tiers.

20 people fell off the Top 50 today. DarkFalconX, running_lemon, Black_Tuesday, Shadowhiei899, TheMightyPeanut, Randomcrazydude, Alastah98, evilevi13, bsmart08, Consolesonlyalt, Glucose7, Silent_Alarm, DarkJAgo798, Arvisk_Dremdaw, FuturisticTrunk, _Harmonica_, transience, -LusterSoldier-, _Grimmer_ and TheGreenThunder did not have The Char beating Kratos.

15 people got the match wrong and survived. Former first place RPGuy96, former second place GameBopAdv, former third place vash_131, mdgilb06, ToadYoshi, bospsychopaat, Denji2000, Naomi_Diamond, primewaker, DDRKirbyISQ, HopefulDeath, 19001900, UltimaBladeX, ranapuer and Dan_Kirby also did not have The Char beating Kratos.


Owww.
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paraboxx | Posted 2/24/2010 9:26:33 PM | message detail
Ah, ok. Thanks.

Heh, that should be a sticky. At least I won't have to ask again!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/24/2010 9:26:58 PM | message detail
I doubt Charizard beats Sora at the ASV. Only Melee and Halo were really at KH's level in the Games Contest, with RBY having an ASV that was about average for post-SNES Nintendo and GS having an above average one. But it shouldn't be a big handicap for Charizard, it probably won't help Sora by more than a little bit.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Japago | Posted 2/24/2010 9:28:06 PM | message detail
Or that just means LOL Ganon.

It's most likely that the boost is reaching Wesker and Chris more, but I'm thinking a little bit this. Link hasn't exactly impressed so far compared to expectations, right? I'll keep my eye on Zelda. It would be weird though after OoT winning BGE2.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/24/2010 9:28:34 PM | message detail
Actually, I just realized that Zelda/Ezio is a day match tomorrow. I'll be very interested to see how Ezio's day vote stacks up against Zelda. Should be worth paying attention to.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/24/2010 9:29:16 PM | message detail

From: Japago | #277
Or that just means LOL Ganon.

It's most likely that the boost is reaching Wesker and Chris more, but I'm thinking a little bit this. Link hasn't exactly impressed so far compared to expectations, right? I'll keep my eye on Zelda. It would be weird though after OoT winning BGE2.


Weird, but awesome.

Aw yeah Mario > Samus final.
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Not Wylvane
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/24/2010 9:29:19 PM | message detail
Hmm... assuming nothing strange happens until then, I can miss Ryu/Dante and stay on the leaderboard. I wonder if I can miss that one along with the Missingno match (which is inevitable) and still maintain a leaderboard spot.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
paraboxx | Posted 2/24/2010 9:29:42 PM | message detail
I'd have thought any talk of Charizard > Sora would've died out after last match. Did anyone have Kratos > Sora? Did anyone even think Kratos would break 40% on Sora?
creativename | Posted 2/24/2010 9:29:58 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #1352
Nah, Kratos's day vote is overrated. He got that reputation from facing Alucard and Ryu.


And Sora went even with Tingle I think. Monster day vote swings tend to come against weak day vote competition, otherwise they wouldn't turn into monster swings.

I really don't know who wins the ASV (or Sunday afternoon vote) between Sora and Charizard. It'll be interesting to see, if Sora beats Bowser.
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red sox 777 | Posted 2/24/2010 9:30:16 PM | message detail
We'll probably see some of the Missingno as champion brackets return to the leaderboard after Missingno/Yoshi, assuming Missingno wins.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/24/2010 9:30:41 PM | message detail
I had Kratos > Sora.
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Not Wylvane
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/24/2010 9:31:31 PM | message detail
Hmm... assuming nothing strange happens until then, I can miss Ryu/Dante and stay on the leaderboard. I wonder if I can miss that one along with the Missingno match (which is inevitable) and still maintain a leaderboard spot.

Mizno folks are only going to +3 on regular folks, so I don't think Missingo. winning would have a huge effect. If it beats Sephiroth, the +7 starts being pretty significant, though...
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Mustache...and Green...
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/24/2010 9:32:48 PM | message detail
I noticed Ryu vs Dante is a day match. That might save Dante fans.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/24/2010 9:33:35 PM | message detail
And Sora went even with Tingle I think

*checks*

Tingle obviously has a top tier ASV.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/24/2010 9:34:27 PM | message detail
whos the favorite in Captain falcon vs Riku btw?
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/24/2010 9:34:58 PM | message detail
Probably Riku. Could go either way.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/24/2010 9:35:16 PM | message detail
I think Riku's still the favorite. Captain Falcon's performance against Wander didn't really do anything to change that, even after Riku's unimpressive performance against Ramza.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 2/24/2010 9:36:39 PM | message detail
Man, only against Wander can you call a 71% performance a bit unimpressive.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/24/2010 9:37:48 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3809&map=1

Man, have we ever seen a losing character win so many countries? Charizard won like the top 4 vote-getting regions (US, Canada, UK, and Australia, though I don't know if Australia is top 4 or not), and Kratos dominated everywhere else, looks like.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/24/2010 9:38:10 PM | message detail
I'm liking these small inside-the-Power-Hour cuts. If Jill rolls with the night vote, this could still end up decent. I hope Samus really fries Subzy so Jill can still come out of this with an impressive looking contest.

From: KamikazePotato | #289
Probably Riku. Could go either way.


That one has been worrying me a bit; the way Axel got so manhandled is a bit disconcerting. Either Dante is turning into Samus's protege or the non-Sora KH guys have really lost a step.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/24/2010 9:39:10 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3433

Europe is #2 in votes.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/24/2010 9:39:13 PM | message detail
Now if you were to predict Ramza/Wander, how high would you go with Ramza?
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/24/2010 9:39:22 PM | message detail
Hah, Kratos won Japan too.

Come on guys, you know you're voting wrong if JAPAN favors KRATOS
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red sox 777 | Posted 2/24/2010 9:39:55 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3789&map=1

That seems to be how Pokemon rolls. Win California, Texas, New York, Florida, and Pennsylvania- it's usually enough for a victory on Gamefaqs.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Draco1214 | Posted 2/24/2010 9:40:30 PM | message detail
Riku/Falcon has me a bit worried too, but I doubt too many people have Falcon anyway.
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Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/24/2010 9:41:03 PM | message detail
Agreed partofyourworld. Jill has risen 1% in the power hour. She could end this at 33+ for sure.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/24/2010 9:41:23 PM | message detail
That one has been worrying me a bit; the way Axel got so manhandled is a bit disconcerting. Either Dante is turning into Samus's protege or the non-Sora KH guys have really lost a step.

Non-Sora?

Now if you were to predict Ramza/Wander, how high would you go with Ramza?

The break even point is 38.3% but I'd definitely go higher for Ramza. Wander sucks.
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Mustache...and Green...