GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 846
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/22/2010 8:04:58 PM | message detail |
Hmhmhmhmhm.... HAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!! ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Poll Start Times*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past. The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ You can't hide forever! |
ZenOfThunder | Posted 2/22/2010 8:05:50 PM | message detail |
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PG7lvNkyPZs#t=15 --- (|| ' ' ||) Visio Vestri - Character Battle VIII Fanfiction Project . /|_|\ http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53091233 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/22/2010 8:07:13 PM | message detail |
I know now, without a doubt, Kingdom Hearts...is waffles! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
HaRRicH | Posted 2/22/2010 9:08:50 PM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
HaRRicH | Posted 2/22/2010 9:09:09 PM | message detail |
http://www.zshare.net/download/72907036dc23b336/ The Contest Blues. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/22/2010 9:09:31 PM | message detail |
Bowser > Sora --- ¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸ Truly, if there is a god of destiny, he is fond of plot twists. |
Haguile | Posted 2/22/2010 9:09:34 PM | message detail |
How in the world is someone who lost to Vyse not being humiliated by Sora? |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/22/2010 9:09:48 PM | message detail |
Inc 2% boost update --- Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII! He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII. |
Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/22/2010 9:10:17 PM | message detail |
DID I CALL IT?! --- Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII! He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/22/2010 9:10:22 PM | message detail |
Mushroom Division Fourth Quarter Ryu Hayabusa – 50.00% Master Chief – 47.44% Crash Bandicoot – 38.21% Spy – 37.74% Crash gets 50.62% on Spy and 40.27% on Master Chief. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/22/2010 9:10:33 PM | message detail |
You called it. Maybe Sora will get 70% after all (which is still terrible). --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
creativename | Posted 2/22/2010 9:10:34 PM | message detail |
In 2003, Golden Sun was most definitely obscure. Felix did well because of the picture and being Not Chief for a day. Utterly untrue. There's a reason that match was mega-hyped pre-contest as everyone's Upset Special. Felix was not some jobber. That's just revisionist history. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/22/2010 9:10:45 PM | message detail |
Sorry, it was 2.02%. Close, but no cigar. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/22/2010 9:10:46 PM | message detail |
From: Haguile | #007 Laharl has gotten stronger over the years while Vyse has dropped off. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 2/22/2010 9:10:48 PM | message detail |
k Sora might hit 70 after all --- Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 14th Today's prediction: Sora - 69.71% Status: Decent |
MegatokyoEd | Posted 2/22/2010 9:10:49 PM | message detail |
Nice try Laharl --- Demyx is better than Axel. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/22/2010 9:11:03 PM | message detail |
I just remembered Sora/Bowser is a night match and that Bowser has a decent night vote for a Ninty guy. Could be trouble. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/22/2010 9:11:07 PM | message detail |
Wow 2% --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 71/88 - Today's Winners: Sora and Bowser |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/22/2010 9:11:14 PM | message detail |
How in the world is someone who lost to Vyse not being humiliated by Sora? Good question. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/22/2010 9:11:23 PM | message detail |
I think Laharl probably is stronger. Prinny did well enough for me to think it's a good possibility, at least. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/22/2010 9:11:31 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2096 Yoshi > Sora lol --- Not Wylvane |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/22/2010 9:12:03 PM | message detail |
Oh, and Laharl beats Vyse easily now. Vyse 2004 was equal to Duke Nukem, which isn't great overall, but for a cult guy like Vyse, that's quite good. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
MegatokyoEd | Posted 2/22/2010 9:12:45 PM | message detail |
Laharl
looked stronger last year anyway. Hanging with Hogger and Ramza is
still better than the garbage performances he had before that. --- Demyx is better than Axel. |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/22/2010 9:12:46 PM | message detail |
There's
a reason that match was mega-hyped pre-contest as everyone's Upset
Special. Felix was not some jobber. That's just revisionist history. Well, I took it (and voted for Felix) purely out of hate for Xbox/Chief, and I'm sure a lot of others thought the same way. Isaac's 25% on Samus was really impressive though, yeah. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
creativename | Posted 2/22/2010 9:12:49 PM | message detail |
Sora won't match people's expectations - he should rise some, but he'll likely crumble during the dead hours. But he's just not that good in the first 12 hours. There's probably a good 2% difference in his x-stat strength in the first 12 to the second 12 hours, would be my guess. Are his matches with Bowser and potential match with Charizard night or day matches? --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/22/2010 9:13:22 PM | message detail |
Sora (2007c) VS Laharl (2007c) Sora has a strength of 25.52. Laharl has a strength of 11.23. Sora wins with 78.00% of the vote! A win of 78,296 with 139,826 total votes cast. --- http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/13twop_02.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/22/2010 9:14:03 PM | message detail |
Bowser is night, Charizard is day (of HG/SS release) --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png |
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/22/2010 9:14:10 PM | message detail |
Bowser's at night and Charizard would be during the day. --- Mustache...and Green... |
creativename | Posted 2/22/2010 9:14:19 PM | message detail |
Isaac's 25% on Samus was really impressive though, yeah. Bingo. We're debating stuff that was disproven easily years and years ago. Yet another contest "Zombie myth" - a falsehood that just refuses to die. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/22/2010 9:14:42 PM | message detail |
From: MyWorldIsCrono | #026 You REALLY don't get it, do you. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.· Hey, it's that dog! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/22/2010 9:14:50 PM | message detail |
Dante tripled Laharl last year, for what it's worth. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/22/2010 9:14:55 PM | message detail |
From: creativename | #025 Bowser = night Char = day --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
creativename | Posted 2/22/2010 9:15:12 PM | message detail |
Bowser's got a good chance then. I don't know if Bowser has the same strength he used to, though. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/22/2010 9:15:28 PM | message detail |
I would've thought the 'Golden Sun is super obscure!' talks would've died down after this happened: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3512 --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/22/2010 9:15:33 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #031 And I'd take Sora and Dante to be a good match. So regardless, this is a bad showing for Sora. Very bad. I'd gotta favor Bowser after this. --- http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/13twop_02.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
MegatokyoEd | Posted 2/22/2010 9:15:34 PM | message detail |
and... a huge Laharl cut. --- Demyx is better than Axel. |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/22/2010 9:15:37 PM | message detail |
Yeah anyone calling Golden Sun unknown in 2003 either has bad memory or doesn't know what they are talking about. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 71/88 - Today's Winners: Sora and Bowser |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 2/22/2010 9:15:39 PM | message detail |
From: creativename | #012 It was the upset special because Felix is Not Chief. I remember 2003 quite clearly. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ XFD rofl bad u mad? QQ moar |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/22/2010 9:15:51 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #031 Eh, very few people smash fodder like Dante. 80% against Ratchet was some sick ****. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/22/2010 9:16:24 PM | message detail |
Isaac beat Serge and held close to Lucario. Not exactly the best competition, but he's not pathetic either. GS has a decent fanbase here, or else Felix would've sucked against even 2003 Chief. --- Not Wylvane |
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/22/2010 9:16:38 PM | message detail |
I'm not even ruling out Disgaea boosting a bit. Laharl handled Neku in his worst timeframe, and Prinny speaks for itself. --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/22/2010 9:17:05 PM | message detail |
From: creativename | #033 That's what I'm hoping for. You can't look at what the Chrono Crew did and then suddenly call Bowser's performance a good one. The guy has looked progressively worse ever since beasting it up in 2005. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/22/2010 9:17:15 PM | message detail |
Assuming Frog and Magus are equal, Bowser/Alucard goes 55/45. Sound familiar? http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2103 --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
Draco1214 | Posted 2/22/2010 9:17:48 PM | message detail |
I
remember people were calling for Sora's head after he failed to smash
Agent 47, and then he went on to make Alucard look like a joke. Sora
just sucks at blowing people out. --- No match for KrahenProphet's extreme Guru skills. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/22/2010 9:17:56 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #038 That was our reasoning. Doesn't mean it was good reasoning. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 2/22/2010 9:18:16 PM | message detail |
Disgaea
slowly getting more attention between the Games Contest and Laharl's
continued presence in the contests makes sense to me. He's become more
and more established over the years. --- Not Wylvane |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 2/22/2010 9:19:05 PM | message detail |
So... Is Laharl actually not joke fodder now? --- http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/02/13twop_02.jpg Albion Hero is the Cream of Loli fanboyism |
creativename | Posted 2/22/2010 9:19:17 PM | message detail |
It was the upset special because Felix is Not Chief. I remember 2003 quite clearly. Come on man...just, come on. If Felix was weak he would've been smashed by Chief anyway. This "anti-vote" stuff is just a part of Chief's inherent strength, it's no different. Dude just isn't that damn popular here. And this was not a surprise in 2k3. Most knew he wouldn't be that popular. This stuff has been case-closed for years, from the performances that Isaac and Golden Sun has repeatedly put on. And the performances that Chief has put on! --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/22/2010 9:19:34 PM | message detail |
Top 10 Changes Top 10 Closest Matches 1. Pokemon Trainer Red – 50.16% vs. Revolver Ocelot – 49.84% (R1) – 0.32% 2. Missingno – 50.29% vs. Crono – 49.71% (R1) – 0.58% 3. Ken – 50.32% vs. Albert Wesker – 49.68% (R1) – 0.64% 4. Ike – 51.55% vs. Zidane Tribal – 48.45% (R2) – 3.10% 5. Knuckles the Echidna – 52.00% vs. Cecil Harvey – 48.00% (R1) – 4.00% 6. The Boss – 52.37% vs. Nathan Drake – 47.63% (R1) – 4.74% 7. Ryu Hayabusa – 52.56% vs. Master Chief – 47.44% (R2) – 5.12% 8. Amaterasu – 52.59% vs. Shadow the Hedgehog – 47.41% (R1) – 5.18% 9. Jecht – 52.70% vs. Phoenix Wright – 47.30% (R1) – 5.40% 10. Gordon Freeman – 53.25% vs. Princess Peach – 46.75% (R1) – 6.50% Top 10 Smallest Day Vote Gaps 1. Ken – 36484 vs. Albert Wesker – 36013 (R1) – 471 2. Missingno – 45804 vs. Crono – 45277 (R1) – 527 3. Ike – 37182 vs. Zidane Tribal – 34953 (R2) – 2229 4. Knuckles the Echidna – 37437 vs. Cecil Harvey – 34558 (R1) – 2879 5. The Boss – 36615 vs. Nathan Drake – 33295 (R1) – 3320 6. Ryu Hayabusa – 39666 vs. Master Chief – 35800 (R2) – 3866 7. Amaterasu – 41994 vs. Shadow the Hedgehog – 37852 (R1) – 4142 8. Gordon Freeman – 41389 vs. Princess Peach – 36330 (R1) – 5059 9. Weighted Companion Cube – 40132 vs. The Boss – 34466 (R2) – 5666 10. Sub-Zero – 41693 vs. Tidus – 35717 (R1) – 5976 Top 10 Most Popular Day Polls 1. Missingno vs. Crono (R1) – 91081 2. Mega Man X vs. Captain John Price (R1) – 81068 3. Amaterasu vs. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 79846 4. Master Chief vs. Spy (R1) – 78003 5. Kratos vs. Miles “Tails” Prower (R1) – 77724 6. Gordon Freeman vs. Princess Peach (R1) – 77719 7. Mega Man X vs. Pokemon Trainer Red (R2) – 77712 8. Sub-Zero vs. Tidus (R1) – 77410 9. Altair vs. Liquid Snake (R1) – 76041 10. Ryu Hayabusa vs. Master Chief (R2) – 75466 Top 10 Most Impressive Day Losers 1. Crono (R1) – 45277 2. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 37852 3. Princess Peach (R1) - 36330 4. Albert Wesker (R1) – 36013 5. Master Chief (R2) – 35800 6. Tidus (R1) – 35717 7. Zidane Tribal (R2) – 34953 8. Cecil Harvey (R1) – 34558 9. The Boss (R2) – 34466 10. Nathan Drake (R1) – 33295 Top 10 Least Impressive Day Winners 1. Laharl (R1) – 31134 2. Ken (R1) – 36484 3. The Boss (R1) – 36615 4. Ike (R2) – 37182 5. Knuckles the Echidna (R1) – 37437 6. Alucard (R1) – 38150 7. Sackboy (R1) – 38845 8. GlaDOS (R1) – 39381 9. Ryu Hayabusa (R2) – 39666 10. Weighted Companion Cube (R2) – 40132 Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict 1. Ryu Hayabusa vs. Master Chief (R2) – 15.87% 2. Vivi vs. Altair (R2) – 18.46% 3. Missingno vs. Crono (R1) – 21.94% 4. Ike vs. Zidane Tribal (R2) – 35.57% 5. Amaterasu vs. Shadow the Hedgehog (R1) – 36.27% 6. Weighted Companion Cube vs. The Boss (R2) – 38.31% 7. Vivi vs. Donkey Kong (R1) – 39.95% 8. Sub-Zero vs. Tidus (R1) – 41.68% 9. The Boss vs. Nathan Drake (R1) – 44.82% 10. Jecht vs. Phoenix Wright (R1) – 45.40% --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 71/88 - Today's Winners: Sora and Bowser |
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/22/2010 9:19:39 PM | message detail |
Laharl hasn't been joke fodder the moment he almost beat Ramza (who then got 39% on Riku). --- KrahenProphet lived up to his name. |