GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 843

RPGuy96 | Posted 2/21/2010 11:00:41 AM | message detail
Man, I didn't even notice that Guybrush/Edgeworth was a nearly possible match. That would have been the best match ever!
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Mustache...and Green...
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:05:10 AM | message detail

From: RPGuy96 | #101
Man, I didn't even notice that Guybrush/Edgeworth was a nearly possible match. That would have been the best match ever!


Edgeworth beats Phoenix into round 2?!
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:07:37 AM | message detail
Chart from the night match:

Time | Mario | Big Boss | Votes
0:05 | 64.13% | 35.87% | 1263
1:00 | 64.12% | 35.88% | 9797
2:00 | 62.23% | 37.77% | 6641
3:00 | 62.06% | 37.94% | 5061
4:00 | 60.78% | 39.22% | 3988
5:00 | 60.30% | 39.70% | 3222
6:00 | 58.51% | 41.49% | 2931
7:00 | 59.75% | 40.25% | 2909
8:00 | 62.40% | 37.60% | 3141
9:00 | 64.61% | 35.39% | 3990
10:00 | 64.67% | 35.33% | 4690
11:00 | 66.01% | 33.99% | 5322
12:00 | 66.61% | 33.39% | 5519

Now here is a match with some big shifts. The difference between Mario's best hour and his worst hour was 8.1%. Big Boss goes from getting 41.50% in one hour to nearly getting doubled in the last two hours. Mario erased most of the damage Big Boss did overnight with that crazy morning vote.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/21/2010 11:09:28 AM | message detail
Is there a place where all of your charts are being archived? They're pretty useful

If not you should totally make one
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:11:07 AM | message detail
The 2008 charts are on the Board 8 Wiki:

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Summer_2008_Match_Trends

I have trends for every contest since SC2K6, but I'm pretty sure only the 2008 Contest's charts are on there.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/21/2010 11:11:45 AM | message detail
Only the charts from the 2008 contest are up on the Wiki. The charts for the 2007 and the 2009 contests should be put up there as well. And I guess if Leon wants to, doing trend charts for the 2006 contests and putting those up too.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:12:33 AM | message detail
Yeah, Ike's starting to roll now. He got 52.70% in that last hour and it doesn't look like he's slowing down.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/21/2010 11:14:06 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/21/2010 11:14:15 AM | message detail
Hope I'm not disappointed 22 hours from now.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/21/2010 11:14:28 AM | message detail
Man the difference between Altair's power hour and day vote is like a thing of awe
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
HaRRicH | Posted 2/21/2010 11:14:39 AM | message detail
Those trends should also be on each match's page -- that would be handy to have side-by-side with the graph.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:16:03 AM | message detail
I guess I could put them on the match's page (or someone else can. I can send the file to anyone who feels like doing it. You'd have to re-format it to make it look nice on the Wiki though).
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/21/2010 11:17:48 AM | message detail
Looks like this match got boring while I was away.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
HaRRicH | Posted 2/21/2010 11:18:19 AM | message detail
So is this Zidane getting stronger, Ike being weaker than we thought, or a bit of both?

I'll take both. Shadow's gonna end up not looking so bad and we've seen some other characters presumably boost thanks to Dissidia, so Zidane's got room to look better this year. We've only seen Ike in four-ways either pre-SSBB or with Pikachu in the poll, so it's not like we ever had a clear read on him -- his strength was largely just assumed. Combine the two, and voila.
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T E A M C H O C O L A T E
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ffmasterjose | Posted 2/21/2010 11:18:23 AM | message detail
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/21/2010 12:43:56 PM | message detail
Don't put things that can be misinterpreted as a ToU violation in the first post of a stats topic. It'll be a pain if someone marks it and I can't get it overturned.


But at least you got the joke, right TRE? :D

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71/82 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VIII
NP: Mario > Big Boss | Ike > Zidane Tribal
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:18:31 AM | message detail
And I guess you'd need to make a special note if the match was a weekend match, too, probably.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:20:48 AM | message detail
Hmmmm...I wonder if we could adjust Ike/Zidane by Zidane/Shadow 2008. Probably the fairest adjustment we could make, I guess.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
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KamikazePotato | Posted 2/21/2010 11:22:12 AM | message detail
So Ike gets 45% or so on Luigi? I can allow this!

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LOLContests | Posted 2/21/2010 11:22:20 AM | message detail
Trend charts for 2005 and some other matches are available here:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=572228&topic=43938411
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"No! I'm too handsome to die!"--Simon Belmont
Yesmar
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:26:53 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #118
So Ike gets 45% or so on Luigi? I can allow this!


Let's see...Based on Zidane's current percentage of 48.05% (and it'll probably get quite a bit lower than that), you end up with this:

Luigi – 50.00%
Ike - 42.75%
Zidane Tribal - 41.08%
Amaterasu – 40.41%
Shadow the Hedgehog – 38.32%

Hmmm...Seems too high.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/21/2010 11:28:11 AM | message detail
Ike also got 44.65% against Pikachu. I don't think Luigi is that much higher than Pikachu, so it doesn't look so bad to me.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
Xuxon | Posted 2/21/2010 11:28:22 AM | message detail
That adjustment wouldn't help for the final stats anyway <_<
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:28:40 AM | message detail
Well, Ike got 44.65% on Pikachu, so maybe it's not TOO far off.

Makes Prinny and Claptrap seem way too high though. Prinny gets 32.07% on Weegi and Claptrap gets 29.28% on him.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Xuxon | Posted 2/21/2010 11:29:32 AM | message detail
Also it seems really arbitrary to decide Zidane's Dissidia boost = the amount Shadow got SFFed.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:29:36 AM | message detail

From: Xuxon | #122
That adjustment wouldn't help for the final stats anyway <_<


Oh right.

darn you link.

Hmmm...Luigi seems to be about equal with Bowser and Yoshi these days anyway, so I could just make him equal to one of them.
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"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:29:57 AM | message detail

From: Xuxon | #124
Also it seems really arbitrary to decide Zidane's Dissidia boost = the amount Shadow got SFFed.


Shadow got SFF'd?
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
Xuxon | Posted 2/21/2010 11:31:38 AM | message detail
Maybe he didn't, but doing an adjustment based on Shadow implies that the statement I made is true, regardless if both things are zero.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:32:49 AM | message detail
I don't really know what else to make an adjustment on.

Not that we need an adjustment per se, but it's nice to have a general idea of ballpark strength. I doubt the difference is all that large anyway.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/21/2010 11:33:24 AM | message detail
But at least you got the joke, right TRE? :D

Ah, I was actually refering to what Biolizard28 said not what you did. What you put down is fine. And yes I got the joke. =D
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:34:37 AM | message detail
Well, I guess I could adjust Ike off of Pikachu, but the rat's probably going to overperform on Snake.

...I could adjust him based off of Arthas?

Or Spy?

I dunno.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/21/2010 11:35:39 AM | message detail
Isn't it nice to have nice, accurate 1 v 1 stats, so unlike those 4-ways stats

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:36:22 AM | message detail
Yes, it is quite nice to get back to good ol' infallible X-Stats
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
HaRRicH | Posted 2/21/2010 11:36:59 AM | message detail
I agree it's probably too high when I'm looking at what they get on Luigi, but if Zidane/Ammy would have a good match (I bet they would, anyway), then the numbers don't look so bad.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:39:12 AM | message detail
Well, Luigi probably breaks 60% on Ammy in a full 24 hour match, so that'll end up a tad overrated, but not bad.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 11:43:13 AM | message detail
Huh, that was quite a cut there, Zidane.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
voltch | Posted 2/21/2010 12:02:00 PM | message detail
no SNV is ever gonna save his ass though.
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Shakes Fist!
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/21/2010 12:02:28 PM | message detail
Not when Ike can pull 80 vote updates out of his butt.

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 12:03:00 PM | message detail
At the rate Ike's going, he may beat Zidane bad enough that he would've managed to win even at night.

52.50% in that last hour.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 12:03:34 PM | message detail
Zidane dropped 23 votes in that last update and Ike went up 22.

Creepy.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
Draco1214 | Posted 2/21/2010 12:04:44 PM | message detail
Predict this division of low midcarders/high fodder!

(1) Master Chief
(16) Lightning

(8) Alucard
(9) Jill Valentine

(5) Ike
(12) Revolver Ocelot

(4) Albert Wesker
(13) Duke Nukem

(3) Phoenix Wright
(14) HK-47

(6) Ness
(11) Frog

(7) Ryu Hayabusa
(10) Donkey Kong

(2) Altair
(15) Midna
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/21/2010 12:07:01 PM | message detail
(16) Lightning
(9) Jill Valentine

(5) Ike
(4) Albert Wesker

(3) Phoenix Wright
(6) Ness

(7) Ryu Hayabusa
(2) Altair

...I guess?

I have no idea.

Although I'm predicting this based on post-FFXIII Lightning, who will probably be a decent bit above the rest of these losers.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/21/2010 12:07:52 PM | message detail
(16) Lightning

(8) Alucard

(5) Ike

(4) Albert Wesker

(3) Phoenix Wright

(6) Ness

(7) Ryu Hayabusa

(2) Altair


(16) Lightning

(5) Ike

(6) Ness

(2) Altair


(16) Lightning

(2) Altair


(16) Lightning


augh why don't I feel good about any of those picks

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 2/21/2010 12:07:56 PM | message detail
A decent bit more like triples this entire division
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Sonic_Factor | Posted 2/21/2010 1:00:05 PM | message detail
Good thing I have Ike winning today. Lol, it's hilarious how weak Zidane is in these contests compared to cloud and squall.
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ShatteredElysium | Posted 2/21/2010 1:04:36 PM | message detail
It's a shame really as Zidane is one of the better leads imo.
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HaRRicH | Posted 2/21/2010 1:09:13 PM | message detail
So...Ike versus Meta-Knight, who ya got?
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voltch | Posted 2/21/2010 1:11:33 PM | message detail
oh the BAFTAS, so good, i wonder if LFF is strong in award shows.
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Shakes Fist!
kinsho3 | Posted 2/21/2010 1:11:51 PM | message detail
From: Draco1214 | #140
Predict this division of low midcarders/high fodder!

Master Chief
Alucard

Ike
Wesker

HK-47 (Really tough match to predict here)
Frog

Donkey Kong
Altair

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Alucard
Ike

Frog
Donkey Kong

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Alucard
Donkey Kong

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Alucard

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ffmasterjose | Posted 2/21/2010 1:47:32 PM | message detail
Okay so I guess this is one of those times where I'm glad I listened to B8 about a debated match :D
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71/82 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VIII
NP: Mario > Big Boss | Ike > Zidane Tribal
ffmasterjose | Posted 2/21/2010 1:49:19 PM | message detail
Lol, it's hilarious how weak Zidane is in these contests compared to cloud and squall.

You make it sound like Squall is just below Cloud at Sephiroth's level. While I wish this was true, it's not :P

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71/82 points - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VIII
NP: Mario > Big Boss | Ike > Zidane Tribal