GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 842

Masato_Tanaka | Posted 2/20/2010 2:26:33 PM | message detail
Tag time!
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Elephant Talk: A New Kind Of Music Blog!
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red sox 777 | Posted 2/20/2010 2:26:54 PM | message detail
Fiction to both, though I'd love it if Big Boss did so tonight. Think he'll get pretty close to that though.

Vivi/Tidus seems like a good match to base things on, but it's not at all clear that Tidus = Rikku. Indeed, he was projected to get 55.21% on her in 2005, so I'd think that it's probably not true.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 2:32:27 PM | message detail
I'm much more comfortable calling them about equal. The stronger Tidus is, the closer it brings Sub-Zero to Kirby. Would anyone ever consider Subz>Kirby?
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
red sox 777 | Posted 2/20/2010 2:35:23 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero/Kirby? Those are two antipodes of character design, there. But yeah, I wouldn't think Sub-Zero would get close to Kirby.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
Karma Hunter | Posted 2/20/2010 2:39:20 PM | message detail
This Big Boss underestimation has gone far enough! Someone has to be the conductor of this stupid upset train and I'll make a sig bet for the non-Ariel part of my sig that BB exceeds Snake's 2k5 percentage tonight
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charmander6000 | Posted 2/20/2010 2:48:39 PM | message detail
Well Mario defeated Big Boss 65/35 with a Naked Snake picture.
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Character Battle VIII - 63/76 - Today's Winners: Kirby and Liquid Snake
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 2:48:49 PM | message detail
I'll take that bet and will start scouring the web for amazing Belle art immediately.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
paulg235 | Posted 2/20/2010 2:50:06 PM | message detail

From: Karma Hunter | #055
This Big Boss underestimation has gone far enough! Someone has to be the conductor of this stupid upset train and I'll make a sig bet for the non-Ariel part of my sig that BB exceeds Snake's 2k5 percentage tonight


So you're sig-betting that Big Boss will surpass Snake's % and someone's sig-betting that he won't?
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red sox 777 | Posted 2/20/2010 2:53:22 PM | message detail
By the way, once again, I love Vivi's picture in this match. Vivi's half of it might just be one of my all-time favorite match pics.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 2:54:32 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #056
Well Mario defeated Big Boss 65/35 with a Naked Snake picture.


Yeah, but that was pre-MGS4 and pre-whoa, the old man is Big Boss!

And no, I probably wouldn't take Sub-Zero > Kirby. Heck, I probably wouldn't take Ryu > Kirby, so there's no way I take Sub-Zero over him.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 2:58:37 PM | message detail
And while we're on the subject of MGS...Ocelot vs. Liquid: Who you got?
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paulg235 | Posted 2/20/2010 3:00:08 PM | message detail
I call a no contest on that match and the R2 opponent gets a bye to the 3rd round.

But I'd probably take ReSTALLver LOSSalot.
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red sox 777 | Posted 2/20/2010 3:00:09 PM | message detail
Ocelot, I guess. MMX should be stronger than Vivi.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 3:00:13 PM | message detail
Within the series, I'd go Solid > Naked > Liquid > everyone.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 3:01:08 PM | message detail
Yeah, you realize how awful that makes MMX look if Liquid > Ocelot?

Or Liquid will rebound next year and beat Vivi or something. Who knows.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 2/20/2010 3:09:39 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
KamikazePotato | Posted 2/20/2010 3:10:05 PM | message detail
Would anyone really take Liquid over Ocelot at this point?

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ZFS | Posted 2/20/2010 3:11:20 PM | message detail
Ocelot and Liquid -- no winners here.

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 3:12:09 PM | message detail
I would. Liquid is really weird, and I don't see anything unreasonable in assuming that the Snakes > the rest when it comes to the MGS fanbase.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 3:12:24 PM | message detail
(except Solidus)
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 3:15:47 PM | message detail
It doesn't seem unreasonable when you think about it, but after MGS4, Ocelot being stronger than Liquid isn't that farfetched.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 2/20/2010 3:23:23 PM | message detail
So are there any arguments for Zidane/Ike?
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 3:31:42 PM | message detail
Ike seemed definitely stronger last year and he's got the cooler pic. If both guys had gotten like 70% against their respective opponents, I think there'd be less worry, but the fact that both Ike and Zidane looked bad has caused some people to get nervous.

It's kinda like Ryu/Chief.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
HaRRicH | Posted 2/20/2010 3:34:39 PM | message detail
Vivi/Tidus seems like a good match to base things on, but it's not at all clear that Tidus = Rikku. Indeed, he was projected to get 55.21% on her in 2005, so I'd think that it's probably not true.

I don't think this accounts for Ryu/Bowser that year.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 3:47:19 PM | message detail
Plus, the fact that it's a day match seems to favor Ike. If this were a night match, I'd be very worried about Zidane.
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voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 4:27:44 PM | message detail
damn double bill coen night, but once Barton Fink's over I'll be back to ramble some more.
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creativename | Posted 2/20/2010 4:28:58 PM | message detail
How prominent is Zidane in Dissidia? Is he likable/popular for players of the game?

I think if Zidane wins, it'll be because of that game, but I don't know if there's any reason it would really help. Other than the fact that Zidane was basically worthless before, and it's very easy to increase in strength if you're worthless.

And I don't think the bar for overcoming Ike is all that high.

Oh - and how popular is Ike among Brawl players? Would Brawl have done jack for him?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 4:30:36 PM | message detail
Ike is big time casual bait, from what I hear. He's basically the Roy of Brawl. It definitely would have helped him. The fact that he has SSB-esque trends seems to be proof of this. Zidane's one of the better characters in Dissidia as well, from what I hear.
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voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 4:31:33 PM | message detail
Zidane is easy to use, then again so was Tidus, for the story he's relegated to funny midcarder with Bartz as his coconspirator.

But he surprise Fly kicks Garland so that alone makes him uber awesome.
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Shakes Fist!
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 2/20/2010 4:33:47 PM | message detail
I'd take Liquid over Ocelot because Liquid's contest performances make no sense and maybe MGS fans are stupid and will mix up Liquid and Solid because they both have Snake in the name.
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ZFS | Posted 2/20/2010 4:34:22 PM | message detail
Zidane is a lot of fun to use in Dissidia, very easy to pick up and do well with. He was one of the 'best' characters in the game from what I remember, too.

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HaRRicH | Posted 2/20/2010 4:36:07 PM | message detail
Ike's casual-bait like Roy except he's a starter with a LOT of power. Casuals like him because he can easily kick ass.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 2/20/2010 4:39:27 PM | message detail
I don't like to use Zidane in Dissidia, but I'm pretty sure I have very nonstandard preferences. (I'm by far and away best with Terra.)
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 5:10:48 PM | message detail
Looks like Altair's not going to get anywhere close to 45% here. I'm impressed with how well Vivi's held up here against Altair's day vote.

FFIX's day vote > MGS's day vote, apparently.

And FFIX's night is certainly better. Vivi might be able to push this back up to 56% before it's over.
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Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 2/20/2010 5:26:50 PM | message detail
Eh, there's really no day vote change at all in weekend day matches. Most graphs I've taken a look at actually have the night characters improving a bit throughout the day compared to day characters (when looking at 12:00-00:00), but there's no hard rule to it at all.
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Iamthekuzalol | Posted 2/20/2010 5:32:05 PM | message detail
A sizable number of the people here have Mario > 64% for their oracle predictions and when discussing about the potential top 20 characters in the contest, most felt that BB isn't anywhere strong enough to be a contender for that.

BB, please do well tonight, at least prove that your win over Kirby in the 4 ways wasn't a fluke.
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Jmast7 | Posted 2/20/2010 5:37:24 PM | message detail
Wow, Altair's getting spanked! Looks like I may actually make the leaderboard after all, even if it will only last for two days... <_<
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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 2/20/2010 5:39:18 PM | message detail
so... Vivi goes 55 - 45 with Altair
Zelda 60 - 40'd Vivi in the past
Ezio is probably weaker than Altair

which means


Zelda quintuples Ezio

or I'm bad at math
either way
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TheOceIot | Posted 2/20/2010 5:40:39 PM | message detail
I didn't know Ike was the favourite...

He's only been in 4-ways right? I don't put much faith in that silly format so I picked Zidane. With the FF boost this battle I'm not really worried.
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HaRRicH | Posted 2/20/2010 5:43:01 PM | message detail
Oh, I expect Big Boss to bring some pain tonight. It'd be fun to see him take an update or two from Mario, though I don't know if he's gonna do THAT well. Then again, Ammy cut Luigi...so here's to hoping.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 5:51:15 PM | message detail
Snake was able to steal some updates from Mario in 2005. I have high hopes for Big Boss. I really do think he's one of our near elites now, and I hope he'll prove it tonight.
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HaRRicH | Posted 2/20/2010 6:03:44 PM | message detail
Same here, just gotta hope he's not a four-way invention. The only time we've seen him one-on-one is against Auron in 2005 after MGS3 was released...and that was ugly. Now that MGS has aged like wine, MGS4 came out, there's less confusion about who he is, and having much better pics (as long as we stay out of the sprite-round)...yeah, I think he can be amongst our top characters.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 6:09:20 PM | message detail
I wonder how close our near elites could even get to Mario, though. Guy is still pretty beastly.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
SonicRaptor | Posted 2/20/2010 6:21:51 PM | message detail
Wow, Altair's getting spanked! Looks like I may actually make the leaderboard after all, even if it will only last for two days... <_<

This match will shake up the leaderboard probably harder than anything we've seen so far. Only 39% had Vivi getting past Round 1 so it will be big.
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HaRRicH | Posted 2/20/2010 6:26:53 PM | message detail
Everybody on the leaderboard missed Missingno > Crono. I don't think the leaderboard's gonna get rocked that badly here..!

It'll be ugly though, I agree.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/20/2010 6:32:22 PM | message detail
This match will shake up the leaderboard probably harder than anything we've seen so far. Only 39% had Vivi getting past Round 1 so it will be big.

Yeah. And Vivi probably has the least amount of brackets saying he'd win twice out of him, DK, Altair, and Liquid. So this'll sting the leaderboard. Hard.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/20/2010 6:34:47 PM | message detail
Though of course, Crono/Missingno rearranged the face of the leaderboard like nothing we'd ever seen; NOBODY on the leaderboard got it right.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
ZFS | Posted 2/20/2010 6:35:40 PM | message detail
Hope it's enough to get me close to the leaderboard, but I doubt it!

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 6:38:15 PM | message detail
21 of the top 100 guys are in the Guru. Of those 21, 7 do not have Vivi today. I'm just gonna use that to assume that about 1/3 of the top 100 will miss this one.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 6:41:09 PM | message detail
Yeah, out of all 4 guys in this 4-pack, I imagine Vivi probably has the least bracket support overall. His prediction percentage should end up pretty low.

From: PartOfYourWorld | #093
I wonder how close our near elites could even get to Mario, though. Guy is still pretty beastly.


That's a good question. It's hard to say, really. He never had a fair match last year with all the LFF. We know that with Link's help, Zack was able to get close enough to lead him for a little while. We saw MMX come close to beating him once and doing really well on him another time. Zelda got 37.77% in round 1 against him last year, and she may have been underperforming a bit there due to LFF.

Although the fact that Liquid wasn't able to get anywhere close to Mario or Mega Man X despite Luigi's interference seems pretty telling. He ended up closer to Weegi than to Mario or X. He managed about 40% on Mario there. Mario is certainly not as strong as he used to be, and that match with Samus last year seemed to prove it. I think Big Boss can beat 2005 Snake's mark on Mario, and he doesn't have to be at Noble Nine levels to do it because 2005 Mario was probably the strongest he's ever been by a wide margin.
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