GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 842
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 9:19:47 AM | message detail |
You know what's coming when I make the stats topics don't you? ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Poll Start Times*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past. The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- Shakes Fist! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 12:19:00 PM | message detail |
Big Boss...?! --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
paulg235 | Posted 2/20/2010 12:19:55 PM | message detail |
Lousy pre-match posts? --- The Gamer In Me "Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 12:21:53 PM | message detail |
From: paulg235 | #003 R U MAD --- Shakes Fist! |
paulg235 | Posted 2/20/2010 12:25:05 PM | message detail |
No,
why would I be? Big Boss breaking 40% wouldn't surprise me, and I like
Zidane, so I wouldn't mind seeing my bracket lose a point. --- The Gamer In Me My Signature's broken, just like your front door. |
paulg235 | Posted 2/20/2010 12:25:39 PM | message detail |
2 points, even. --- The Gamer In Me My Signature's broken, just like your front door. |
thok | Posted 2/20/2010 12:30:20 PM | message detail |
Ignoring SFF, what does Mega Man need to hit on Zack to make Mega Man > Mario worth discussing? (SFF is likely to be an issue, but it's unclear how to quantify how much Mario can or would SFF MM.) |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 12:30:58 PM | message detail |
Mega Man would need at least 60% before I'd ever think about it. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 12:35:17 PM | message detail |
My vocabulary page on the wiki is stalling, time to increase the number of examples. Now where are my pills? --- Shakes Fist! |
ZFS | Posted 2/20/2010 12:35:55 PM | message detail |
Go Vivi --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 12:44:53 PM | message detail |
The
Army of Square, divided and led by team VII(why is always 7? in
Valkyria chronicles you are squad 7, in Naruto they are part of team 7,
it's always 7 is best when it comes to teams,except for bleach), may be
in charge and stealing all the spotlight, but team IX has the real deal. Agent Vivi's goal, to make western next gen characters look incompetent, impotent and now they are just a bunch of imbeciles hoping but failing to matter against the big boys(or tiny children in this case). Altair just sucks. --- Shakes Fist! |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/20/2010 12:48:19 PM | message detail |
Yeah, but VIVI is 66. NOW WHAT!? --- Or 541... |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/20/2010 12:48:54 PM | message detail |
Or 5151... or 516 --- Point stands... |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 12:49:21 PM | message detail |
By the way, Altair is once again doing his best work in Asia. What the heck is up with that, seriously? --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
ZFS | Posted 2/20/2010 12:50:09 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3801®ion=PH Bless you, Philippines. --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 2/20/2010 12:50:30 PM | message detail |
So Zidane vs Ike,Ike is the favorite?I don't even know who that is... --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
XxSoulxX | Posted 2/20/2010 12:50:57 PM | message detail |
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3mDl4vbumk Because no one went to my topic, I feel it is necessary to post this here as I'm guaranteed to forget about it during the Fox match. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 12:51:24 PM | message detail |
vivi is like 7 years old in game.7 itsibitsi, tiny little old vivi cast doomsday on Altair and it was game over. --- Shakes Fist! |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 12:51:32 PM | message detail |
From: ZFS | #015 I noticed that about his other matches. He gets killed in the Philippines but still does his best in Asia. It's weird. It's not as cool as the SF Cali vote, but it might be even weirder. --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 12:53:12 PM | message detail |
Asians are suckers for parkour, duh. --- Shakes Fist! |
Hochimihnister | Posted 2/20/2010 12:53:53 PM | message detail |
Ike is the favorite?I don't even know who that is... In Smash, lead of a Fire Emblem game and confirmed homosexual character. Zidane, who likes girls, will beat him |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 12:55:51 PM | message detail |
Zidane, needs some ass pre-match or he won't be in the zone. --- Shakes Fist! |
ZFS | Posted 2/20/2010 12:55:54 PM | message detail |
China, Korea, and India love them some Altair, I guess! --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 12:57:27 PM | message detail |
well the hip korean crowd supposedly likes breakdancing and stuff, so uh, make sense? --- Shakes Fist! |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 2/20/2010 1:03:33 PM | message detail |
I sure hope all of you are talking south korea! --- lol the North. |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 1:09:10 PM | message detail |
we talkin' bout the land of LG woman. --- Shakes Fist! |
EternalxCourage | Posted 2/20/2010 1:30:00 PM | message detail |
What I don't understand with people on here is that they think Kirby has a better chance of beating Sonic. How is this possible? --- Curt - PSN - CPhoenixM I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul. |
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 2/20/2010 1:34:26 PM | message detail |
Tag --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
LOLContests | Posted 2/20/2010 1:36:29 PM | message detail |
FACT or FICTION: -Vivi had the lowest prediction percentage for making it to R3 than anyone else in his 4 pack. --- "It smells like a whale ate some cabbage and died in your mouth like a year ago."--Eddie Riggs Yesmar |
LOLContests | Posted 2/20/2010 1:37:38 PM | message detail |
*of anyone --- "It smells like a whale ate some cabbage and died in your mouth like a year ago."--Eddie Riggs Yesmar |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 1:37:50 PM | message detail |
probably fact, in which case, LOL casuals. --- Shakes Fist! |
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 2/20/2010 1:39:48 PM | message detail |
What I don't understand with people on here is that they think Kirby has a better chance of beating Sonic. It's because Kirby has already beaten Sonic once in a match that didn't have any SFF or LFF holding Sonic back. It's still arguable that Kirby got a bandwagon, though. --- Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST |
hellfire104 | Posted 2/20/2010 1:40:53 PM | message detail |
Wow, now I wonder if Vivi takes down Kirby. --- Point Total: 68/76. Guru Status: Alive(63) My Bracket Says: Night: Kirby Day: Vivi |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 1:43:25 PM | message detail |
I
think Kirby would be doing more of a number on Altair than this. I'd
also take Rikku over Altair without worrying about it. Vivi shouldn't
be that much stronger than Rikku, and Kirby got 57.5% on her in a night
match. --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Achromatic | Posted 2/20/2010 1:44:19 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53584430 whoring out my topic. --- Winner of two Mafia Player of the Year Boardys Sir Chris |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/20/2010 1:44:59 PM | message detail |
From: Team Rocket Elite | #032 More like it's almost inarguable that he didn't --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 1:46:29 PM | message detail |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #034 But what if Vivi really is THAT much stronger, heh? --- Shakes Fist! |
TheOceIot | Posted 2/20/2010 1:51:59 PM | message detail |
awwww yeah Vivi This win should put me in the top 10 for the first time ever I believe. --- http://img.imgcake.com/boxarts2jpgsy.jpg |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 1:53:20 PM | message detail |
From: voltch | #037 Then he should have shown it against Tidus in 2007; instead, he only won with a 51/49 split. Kirby has outperformed that easily, and we still have no idea whether or not Tidus is stronger than Rikku (I think most people just consider them "about equal" these days). I'll probably give Kirby a standard 55/45 win, but the better Vivi looks, the (potentially?) smaller chance Kirby has of getting all roided against Sonic. --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/20/2010 1:54:48 PM | message detail |
I wouldn't be surprised to see Kirby match his performance against Rikku --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 1:56:31 PM | message detail |
From: TheOceIot | #038 #16? I'd say you have a good shot. I'm in the top 100 right now. I very much doubt this pick will get me on the leaderboard (especially since I was making changes a day or two before the deadline), but it should get me in contention. Maybe Ike>Zidane will be enough to do the trick before my risky Hayabusa pick. --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 2:01:41 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3801&map=1 Altair dominating mainland Asia and Africa. ...Why wouldn't Africa support a Black Mage, I wonder? --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
redrocket | Posted 2/20/2010 2:05:55 PM | message detail |
All African votes from white South Africans confirmed. --- From his looks Magus is Macho Man Randy Savage as an anime zombie. The black wind howls, and one of you will snap into a Slim Jim ooh yeeeah! -sonicblastpunch |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 2:08:14 PM | message detail |
Fact/Fiction: Big Boss gets a higher percentage on Mario than Solid Snake got in 2005 (42.79%) Fact/Fiction: Zidane/Ike will feature at least one lead change after the freeze. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 2:08:32 PM | message detail |
my response to Tidus/Vivi? LOL 4 WAYS! daddy ulti would be proud. But yeah, I really don't much stock in that kind of data and I think Vivi might fare decently against kirby, because Vivi is also in the adorable/cute character type. --- Shakes Fist! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/20/2010 2:09:16 PM | message detail |
Why should we disregard Vivi/Tidus exactly? --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 2:10:45 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #044 Fact, Mario and Samus are boring by now, so it even that wouldn't surprise me, though i'd still be cheering Big Boss! Fact, Zidane/Ike has me pumped! --- Shakes Fist! |
voltch | Posted 2/20/2010 2:13:53 PM | message detail |
I disregard anything 4 ways mostly because i think there's too much wonky stuff going on for precise numbers. --- Shakes Fist! |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/20/2010 2:22:07 PM | message detail |
Fiction Fiction --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/20/2010 2:24:12 PM | message detail |
Fiction (though not by a whole lot, I have high hopes for Naked Snake in a night match) Fiction (though I think it would in a 24 hour match) --- Mustache...and Green... |