GameFAQs Contests

Vivi > Altair



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~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
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http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Poll Start Times*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Battle_8_Poll_Start_Times

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Solid Snake, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.

Near-Elite - The Squall, Auron, Tifa, Vincent, Zelda, Kirby, etc group that has come at, near or even ahead of Noble Nine characters in the past.

The Fodder Line - A final X-Stat value of 15% or below.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.

---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ ; Rest in peace, Mitch Stuekerjuergen :(

Altair > Sonic
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi

Altair > Vivi
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Rs Name: Iggly (With an L!) - Skill Total - 1930+ - Combat level 125 - 295/299 Quest Points
CB8 Score: 69

Vivi>Kirby

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KrahenProphet lived up to his name.

Squall > Snake
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"Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about Jecht vs. PW

GORDON FREEMAN > LINK
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Good Times,
Great Memories

Missingno > Sephiroth
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Oh brilliant blade of cold as steel, rend the infinite darkness and crush my enemies into nothing... SAVAGE WOLF FURY

Crono > Mario
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi

Captain Falcon > Cloud

Big Boss > Mario
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Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times"

Need you.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."

Kirby may not be able to hold 70% for the freeze.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi

kirby must die
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!

Sonic > Kirby.
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Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII!
He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.

Not looking like it. He's already under 70% now. With the night vote almost certainly favoring GlaDOS and knowing how much Rikku rocked Kirby overnight last round, I wonder if he'll even be able to hold on to the doubling at this point.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"

c'mon Kirby!
don't disappoint!
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Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 17th
Today's prediction: Ganondorf with 64.57% Status: Great

Oh, he jumped back over 70% while I was typing that!
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"

And then dropped back below it while I was typing that! Arghhhhh
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Ganondorf vs Ken got some pretty crappy scores:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53580691
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(|| ' ' ||) Visio Vestri - Character Battle VIII Fanfiction Project
. /|_|\ http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=53091233

Kirby is a joke character with joke trends.

Also, Fawful sucks.
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If you're seeing this sig, I'm not on my computer!

41% thought Ganondorf would lose to Wesker, Ken, or Mewtwo. Ouch.
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Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename

And then he went back over 70% while you were typing that!

*Prepares to see 69% after refreshing*
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi

I moved up six spots thanks to Ganondorf/Ken?
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Mustache...and Green...

Heh, this is still almost the blowout of the round so far. Only Link did better and only by 1%. But yeah, I don't like Kirby's chances of holding steady overnight.

Weekend match, so Kirby should be able to make up any night losses with the morning.
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KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest.

Score-Brackets-% Right
70------8------------100.00
69------26----------100.00
68------67----------98.51
67------95----------97.89
66------150--------95.33
65------205--------93.66
64------290--------86.55
63------427--------85.01
62------555--------81.44
61------751--------80.96
60------950--------76.74
59------1170------75.64
58------1357------73.77
57------1437------70.91
56------1539------68.42
55------1628------66.03
54------1453------65.31
53------1415------62.05
52------1377------61.29
51------1282------56.55
50------1238------53.47
49------1096------50.27
48------1010------48.71
47------866--------45.73
46------768--------43.49
45------689--------40.78
44------625--------36.64
43------509--------38.90
42------451--------33.04
41------389--------32.65
40------379--------34.04
39------260--------30.77
38------186--------29.03
37------140--------34.29
36------119--------26.89
35------102--------28.43
34------70----------25.71
33------46----------26.09
32------46----------19.57
31------35----------14.29
30------18----------22.22
29------19----------10.53
28------10----------30.00
27------17----------17.65
26------13----------7.69
25------7------------28.57
24------5------------20.00
23------4------------0.00
22------12----------8.33
21------7------------28.57
20------7------------0.00
19------7------------14.29
18------7------------28.57
17------10----------30.00
16------9------------11.11
15------17----------0.00
14------6------------0.00
13------12----------0.00
12------14----------0.00
11------8------------0.00
10------7------------0.00
9--------9------------0.00
8--------15----------0.00
7--------10----------0.00
6--------3------------0.00
5--------10----------10.00
4--------7------------14.29
3--------12----------0.00
2--------13----------0.00
1--------41----------0.00
0--------26----------0.00

Good performance by the top tiers considering the not too great overall prediction percentage. We do lose one of the -6s. It's not until the -10s that the prediction percentage goes below 90.

No one fell off the Top 50 today. Next match is going to be pretty brutal, though.
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Every night will have a day. Even forever has to come to an end. 2/14/2010 24:00 EST

Chaos Division Second Quarter

Ganondorf – 50.00%
Mewtwo – 41.35%
Ken Masters – 36.17%
Albert Wesker – 35.94%

Mewtwo gets 56.54% on Wesker and 56.26% on Ken.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."

RPGuy's post prompted me to go look at the leaderboard.
I like the current Final Pick standings.

Link: 48
Missingno: 1
Weighted Companion Cube: 1

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3799&map=1

Man, look at this map. Ken rocked the east.

And Hawaii is apparently even more SF fanatical than California!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3799&region=USXHI
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."

I'm drunk. I shouldn't be posting since last time I was drunk, I posted random insults and threats and got my other account banned.

Oh well, I can always scrounge up another account somehow. Anyway, go Kirby!
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Not Wylvane

Whoops, my bad, I went up after the Cube. I thought I checked more recently than that, but I guess not.
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Mustache...and Green...

No changes to the Top 10 from the last two matches.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 63/76 - Today's Winners: Kirby and Liquid Snake

GlaDOS pushing for 31%
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 63/76 - Today's Winners: Kirby and Liquid Snake

From: charmander6000 | #032
No changes to the Top 10 from the last two matches.

I have a feeling thats gonna change in the next 24 hours ^_^
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Currently 25th on the CBVIII Leaderboard ^_^
Dante > Cloud: ITS HAPPENING

For the record, based on Mewtwo/Pac-Man round 2, Pac-Man gets 44.28% on Mewtwo, and he gets 37.50% based on round 1. Not sure which is more accurate there.

So...Wesker vs. Ocelot, who you got?

Wesker vs. Kefka, who you got?
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #034
I have a feeling thats gonna change in the next 24 hours ^_^

Damn you, Liquid! Now I have to rely on a Zidane upset just to give me another chance to make the leaderboard!
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Not Wylvane

And Hawaii is apparently even more SF fanatical than California!

Hawaii makes sense because they are Asia-lite when it comes to the performance of characters and games there. Hawaii is the state most likely to attract Asians to move there and it probably has a very good Asian population there.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ!

From: LeonhartFour | #035
For the record, based on Mewtwo/Pac-Man round 2, Pac-Man gets 44.28% on Mewtwo, and he gets 37.50% based on round 1. Not sure which is more accurate there.

So...Wesker vs. Ocelot, who you got?

Wesker vs. Kefka, who you got?

****, you just made me realize that Wesker might actually beat the Cube 1v1.

That scares the everliving **** out of me.
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Not Wylvane

Beware of Wesker.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls
Character Battle VIII - 63/76 - Today's Winners: Kirby and Liquid Snake

I say we should bring back Nemesis, just for kicks.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"

GlaDOS, more like Glad Of ****!
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Not Wylvane

Ocelot should handle Wesker without much trouble. MMX and Ganondorf shouldn't be too far apart, if Ganondorf is ahead at all.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi

Tag
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

The odd thing is that Kirby is actually doing very well in Europe and Asia right now. That could still easily change, but if it holds up, he may not die off badly overnight.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi

MMX and Ganondorf shouldn't be too far apart

I dunno about that. I know you think more highly of Red than most of us do, but I was thoroughly unimpressed with both of MMX's matches. Ganondorf wasn't particularly impressive, but he did about what I expected both times.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"

Eh, I'd pick Ken over Ocelot and Ganondorf over X.

Then again, last time I was drunk in the stats topic, I said I'd pick Fallout 3 over Twilight Princhess, so probably best not to take me seriously until I sober up!

Not that anyone takes me seriously in the first place!
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Not Wylvane

Based on GlaDOS' current percentage, Fawful is worth 20.59% on Kirby and 24.24% on Rikku, which means, unless WCC is equal to Kirby (Not likely at this point!), Fawful probably crushes Sandal.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"

I dunno about that. I know you think more highly of Red than most of us do, but I was thoroughly unimpressed with both of MMX's matches. Ganondorf wasn't particularly impressive, but he did about what I expected both times.

MMX and Ganondorf being close is what I thought before the whole Red fiasco, based on last year's matches.
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Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi

I'd take Ken over Ocelot pretty easy, so give me Wesker there.

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wheresoever you go, go with all your heart

From: LeonhartFour | #047
Based on GlaDOS' current percentage, Fawful is worth 20.59% on Kirby and 24.24% on Rikku, which means, unless WCC is equal to Kirby (Not likely at this point!), Fawful probably crushes Sandal.

WCC = Kirby would mean The Boss > Rikku!

Whether that sounds appealing is up to you!
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Not Wylvane