GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 840
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LOLContests | Posted 2/19/2010 6:42:29 PM | message detail |
If
Ryu is a more West Coast guy than Dante/Ryu should have been somewhat
closer than it was back in 2003, since it happened on the day of that
huge black out in New York area. --- "It smells like a whale ate some cabbage and died in your mouth like a year ago."--Eddie Riggs Yesmar |
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 2/19/2010 6:44:50 PM | message detail |
So
I guess we finally figured out why the SF morning vote was always so
horrible. All the Californians still being asleep, with the rest of
America awake. http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=1762&type=2&seconds=60&max=0 --- KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/19/2010 6:46:45 PM | message detail |
From: LOLContests | #451 Heh, now research like that is how you make the stats topic proud. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
LOLContests | Posted 2/19/2010 6:50:39 PM | message detail |
It's
kind of cool to see all of these vote trends that we had previously
assumed were due to school/work trends actually have a very large basis
in Geolocation as well. --- "It smells like a whale ate some cabbage and died in your mouth like a year ago."--Eddie Riggs Yesmar |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/19/2010 6:51:02 PM | message detail |
That explains the low vote total for that match. I thought it was because Ryu/Dante were bad vote drawers. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 59/72 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Ganondorf |
voltch | Posted 2/19/2010 6:51:40 PM | message detail |
looks like my texas theory totally fell apart here today. --- Shakes Fist! |
creativename | Posted 2/19/2010 6:58:15 PM | message detail |
This
Street Fighter California vote thing has been one of the more
fascinating things this contest to me. That's very interesting. Nominate Red XIII for the Character Battle VII! He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII. While I'm all for this, it's a bit late for CBVII IMO, considering we're already in VIII :) Time to update the sig I think! --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 2/19/2010 7:03:01 PM | message detail |
From: LOLContests | #451 NY is actually voting pretty heavily on the Ken side as well, oddly enough. Really weird that he's losing the US with 33% despite having 40% in NY and 44% in CA. --- KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest. |
voltch | Posted 2/19/2010 7:04:50 PM | message detail |
Red XIII for CBXIII doods! --- Shakes Fist! |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/19/2010 7:05:41 PM | message detail |
NY
is actually voting pretty heavily on the Ken side as well, oddly
enough. Really weird that he's losing the US with 33% despite having
40% in NY and 44% in CA. Places like Ohio and Pennsylvania have Ganondorf with 70% --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 59/72 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Ganondorf |
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 2/19/2010 7:15:06 PM | message detail |
Yeah, here are the states that each character has over a 3% improvement on their overall US number: Ganon - AK, AR, CO, CT, DE, ID, IN, IA, KY, ME, MI, MN, MO, NH, ND, OH, OR, PA, SD, UT, VT, WV, WI Ken - CA, HI, LA, MT, NV, NM, NY --- KrahenProphet and Nintendo cleaned me out in the Guru Contest. |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/19/2010 7:18:08 PM | message detail |
Pretty rare to see a variance of 14% between mainland states I imagine. --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/19/2010 7:18:31 PM | message detail |
(except for the low population states like Wyoming of course!) --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
HaRRicH | Posted 2/19/2010 7:55:03 PM | message detail |
If
Ryu is a more West Coast guy than Dante/Ryu should have been somewhat
closer than it was back in 2003, since it happened on the day of that
huge black out in New York area. Discovery of the month, even if NY supports Ryu too. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/19/2010 7:55:44 PM | message detail |
Match LXXI: (3) Kirby vs. (6) GlaDOS Last Round Kirby – 57.53% Rikku – 42.47% GlaDOS – 66.78% Fawful – 33.22% Analysis Another match where the winner is obvious, but the percent isn’t. There are a lot of questions of where GlaDOS and Kirby stand, especially after their performances from last round. However I think the match will go as expected in order to set up an interesting match against Sonic or maybe even next round depending on how the next match goes. I’m not sure if people are overestimating Kirby or underestimating GlaDOS, but there are some people that think Kirby could possibly score the biggest blowout of the round. Looking at last contest Vincent would have trouble outscoring what Link got against Alucard. I would have thought that Rikku’s performance would bring people’s expectations of Kirby back down to Earth. Kirby is still a strong character, but I think people are hyping the little guy a bit much. While GlaDOS looked pretty impressive against Fawful I think that performance was sadly more because of Fawful being weak rather than GlaDOS being strong. There is still the possibility that Portal characters are weaker this year due to their game aging. While WCC’s match went as expected in my opinion a lot of people were expecting a lot more. I think GlaDOS will be fine, relatively speaking. Kirby should be pushing from mid to high 60s in this match. As long as he outdoes Ganondorf’s percent he should be fine in future matches. From here on out the Chaos Division should have nothing, but debatable matches which people will be glad to know. charmander6000’s Bracket: Kirby > Fawful charmander6000’s Prediction: Kirby wins, 67.15% - 32.85% --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 59/72 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Ganondorf |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/19/2010 8:14:53 PM | message detail |
I wish we could see how many votes we get per state. So after this performance, who's the favorite going into next round: Sonic or Ganondorf? And what kind of performance does Kirby need to give himself favorite status going into round 4? --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 2/19/2010 8:21:03 PM | message detail |
Sonic
is the favorite right now due to round 3 being the sprite round though
i won't be surprised if Ganon does indeed beat Sonic. Kirby must score at least 68% on Glados in order to be the favorite, i think. Glados > SFFed Knuckles --- Snake's Mission "To make it to the finals for the fourth consecutive times" |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/19/2010 8:24:05 PM | message detail |
Sonic's
probably a slight favorite due to Bacondorf. As for Kirby, GlaDOS was
projected to a bit over 25% on Vincent last year through Falco's round
2 performance, so considering this is a night match, I'd want Kirby to
break 70% at least to look good for his match with Sonic. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 2/19/2010 8:26:18 PM | message detail |
Why
is everyone (in the Oracle) going so low with Kirby? WCC is stronger
than GlaDOS, and he finished with only 54% on The Boss. I doubt GlaDOS
is even in Cube's league, and freakin' Boss put a scare in Cube. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
ZFS | Posted 2/19/2010 8:26:55 PM | message detail |
Good rebound from Ken. What was the lowest point he as at from the 5 minute mark? --- wheresoever you go, go with all your heart |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/19/2010 8:27:08 PM | message detail |
I'm wondering the same thing- I thought I was submitting a low pick with my 68.8% in the Crew. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/19/2010 8:28:26 PM | message detail |
Why
is everyone (in the Oracle) going so low with Kirby? WCC is stronger
than GlaDOS, and he finished with only 54% on The Boss. I doubt GlaDOS
is even in Cube's league, and freakin' Boss put a scare in Cube. Vincent only got 70% and Kirby's stuck with a night match. I wouldn't be terribly surprised to see him go higher, but eh. --- Mustache...and Green... |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 2/19/2010 8:28:35 PM | message detail |
Places like Ohio and Pennsylvania have Ganondorf with 70% Kickass indeed. It's also worth mentioning that Ganondorf is doing almost 3% better in the US, and that's even with California pulling Ganondorf down. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as KrahenProphet, Guru Champ! |
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/19/2010 8:28:44 PM | message detail |
GlaDOS
scored 30% on Vincent in 2k8, Vincent > Kirby, if anything she
should be a little stronger now, and it's a night match. --- "The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/19/2010 8:31:05 PM | message detail |
Ah,
that was a prime example of Obvious First Place Factor, that match was,
based on how much worse Falco did in round 2. Tonight will be a good
test of that, if people don't yet believe it exists. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/19/2010 8:34:54 PM | message detail |
I don't think OFPF comes into play when the battle for 2nd place isn't close, though it's possible i suppose. --- "Flash runs alongside balefire watching marshmallows stop existing" - War |
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/19/2010 8:37:01 PM | message detail |
Though looking at it again Falco's R2 performance is boggling unless you take OFPF. Hmm... --- "Flash runs alongside balefire watching marshmallows stop existing" - War |
Magic8Squall | Posted 2/19/2010 8:42:27 PM | message detail |
From: Chaotic Mind | #476 That's not necessarily true. The OFPUF usually seems to come into play when you have an obvious first place winner, and so people vote for someone else instead. Sort of like what we've been seeing with the Noble Nine so far. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Magic8Squall | Posted 2/19/2010 8:43:35 PM | message detail |
From: ZFS | #470 Ken's lowest percentages were 32.57% at the 10 minute mark and 32.98% at the fifteen minute mark. The lowest he's been since the first hour ended was 35.33%. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
paraboxx | Posted 2/19/2010 8:50:21 PM | message detail |
If Kirby scores the biggest blowout of the round I'll eat my hat. And that would be really difficult, because I only have one hat and I don't even know where it is right now. |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/19/2010 8:52:10 PM | message detail |
Hey I already used the hat joke --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
paraboxx | Posted 2/19/2010 8:54:57 PM | message detail |
This is what I get for only reading the last two pages. :( |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 2/19/2010 8:55:18 PM | message detail |
We need to rally Epic Beard Man into this contest. Nobody ****s with him. --- This is good...isn't it? - Big motha****ing Boss |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 2/19/2010 8:55:52 PM | message detail |
Actually I used it like a week ago for the Crono/Missingno match! So I guess it's ok, once per match. *nod nod* --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/19/2010 8:56:18 PM | message detail |
Ken with nearly a 45% update! Way to go, California! If it wouldn't take so long and it probably wouldn't be worth the trouble, it'd be nice to see if any other states seem to disproportionately favor a particular character/game/series. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Master Moltar | Posted 2/19/2010 9:00:13 PM | message detail |
Kirby 100% 7 GlaDOS 0% 0 TOTAL VOTES 7 wrecked --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Kirby > GlaDOS (66/76) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/19/2010 9:00:15 PM | message detail |
Vote Accepted Kirby 100% 6 GlaDOS 0% 0 TOTAL VOTES 6 Sweet, a shutout! --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Gaddswell | Posted 2/19/2010 9:00:26 PM | message detail |
Kirby 75% 39 GlaDOS 25% 13 TOTAL VOTES 52 --- http://fc93.deviantart.com/fs40/f/2009/026/9/3/Ike_Climbers1_by_MGSFan4ever.png Thanks Anagram! |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/19/2010 9:00:31 PM | message detail |
Kirby 81.91% 77 GlaDOS 18.09% 17 TOTAL VOTES 94 Kirby's board vote is ridiculous. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/19/2010 9:00:36 PM | message detail |
Man, not even Portal is a match for Kirby's board vote. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 2/19/2010 9:00:38 PM | message detail |
wow... not looking pretty for GlaDOS --- Oracle Challenge 2k10 - Rank: 17th Today's prediction: Ganondorf with 64.57% Status: Great |
RPGuy96 | Posted 2/19/2010 9:00:45 PM | message detail |
Kirby 81.55% 84 GlaDOS 18.45% 19 TOTAL VOTES 103 Kirby > Link --- Mustache...and Green... |
red sox 777 | Posted 2/19/2010 9:01:10 PM | message detail |
Kirby freefalling now. --- Missingno's quest to avenge Crono - Round 2: Yoshi |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/19/2010 9:01:15 PM | message detail |
Already falling pretty quickly. Kirby probably won't finish with 70%+ here. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Chaotic Mind | Posted 2/19/2010 9:01:19 PM | message detail |
Kirby > Sonic confirmed --- "Flash runs alongside balefire watching marshmallows stop existing" - War |
paraboxx | Posted 2/19/2010 9:01:21 PM | message detail |
*grumbles, starts looking through his closet* |
charmander6000 | Posted 2/19/2010 9:01:26 PM | message detail |
Poor GlaDOS. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB8%20BOP.xls Character Battle VIII - 59/72 - Today's Winners: Sonic and Ganondorf |
HaRRicH | Posted 2/19/2010 9:01:31 PM | message detail |
That first thirty seconds was UGLY. --- T E A M C H O C O L A T E http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/7355/64590879.png |
LeonhartFour | Posted 2/19/2010 9:01:37 PM | message detail |
59.54% for Ganondorf. Seems awfully low. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Master Moltar | Posted 2/19/2010 9:01:51 PM | message detail |
kirby > sonic --- Moltar Status: Bracket: Kirby > GlaDOS (66/76) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |